Handicappers' Race Results
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Ferndale
Sunday - August 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
FER-1   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $8.20  
FER-2   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $16.20 $16.20 12.20
FER-3   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
FER-4   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $12.00  
FER-5   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
FER-6   Win (5/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $8.20  
FER-7   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $5.00  
FER-8   Win (4/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
Simulator Race results
 
FER-1   08/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:242 :491       1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LAST BABY 3 2 11½ 12   12 1¾ (stortz marcia)KING MCKENZIE 122 2.50 ★ 3.10  
4  CARDINAL TRICK 4 4 45 35   33½ 2¾ (hansen roge)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 4.50 1.50  
2  SMOKENSILVER 2 3 21½ 22   22 33¼ (craig r)HERRERA HUGO 126 4.00 36% 1.80 4.20 S
5  APLOMBADO 5 5 57½ 59   56½ 44¼ (rodriguez francisco)FLORES P 126 2.00 9.80  
1  PRIME TIME PORTA 1 1 33 45   45 56¾ (guerrero)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 3.50 21% 3.70 2.50  
 
FER-2   08/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:46
See original race card.
:243 :512 1:174     1:32   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPORTS FOR WOMEN 2 1 23 22   11½ 12 (abraham )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 5.00 14% 6.40 7.10 W
4  SASSY EINSTEIN 4 3 34½ 43   21½ 22 (guerrero emi)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 6.00 45% 1.20 7.50 P
5  CLICKING 5 4 45½ 33   31½ 35 (rodriguez fr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.00 ★ 2.90 S
3  HAPPY IS 3 5 511½ 55   54 47½ (trujillo ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 1.60 0.50  
1  LILY PAD LAKE 1 2 13 12   43½ 518½ (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 4.50 16.60  
 
FER-3   08/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($9.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:241 :491       1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPANISH CHANNEL 2 4 31½ 11   2nk 1¾ (craig r)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.50 26% 2.90 2.70 W
3  MADAME CAUSEWAY 3 2 21 31½   1nk 2¾ (abraham tim)JENSEN P 126 6.00 15% 5.90 9.80 P
4  DISTINCTIVE DEB 4 3 55 56   54½ 32¼ (homer jason)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.80 1.30  
5  BLUEBERRY MUFFIN 5 1 11 21   31½ 44¾ (stortz marcia)KING MCKENZIE 126 2.00 22% 3.50 2.70  
1  HER PERFECT VISION 1 5 43½ 43   43 58¼ (guerrero emil)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 5.00 5.40  
 
FER-4   08/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
See original race card.
:242 :484       1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TOO MUCH INFO 3 4 54 66   54½ 1½ (greiner gar)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 2.50 5.00  
2  STRETCH RUN 2 1 1nk 2nk   21 2½ (maravilla jorge)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.00 ★ 1.10 P
6  HAKUNUI 6 5 43 43½   32½ 33½ (abraham)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 8.00 23% 3.30 13.80 S
1  HAY JUAN 1 3 3½ 1nk   11 43½ (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 3.50 2.00  
4  GENERAL THAYER 4 6 65 55   65 54½ (craig ja)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 5.00 8.70  
5  BIG BAD BRIAN 5 2 2nk 3½   43½ 65¼ (craig james)JENSEN P 126 8.00 28% 2.50 14.10  
 
FER-5   08/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:19
See original race card.
:234 :482       1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MADAME GAZELLE 5 3 33 33   21 11¼ (rodriguez fr)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 2.00 33% 2.00 0.90 W
2  TAKES A VILLAGE 2 2 21 21   11 21¼ (rubin howard )GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 6.00 18.20  
1  LILA AT THE BEACH 1 4 44 11   42½ 32¾ (greiner gary)KING MCKENZIE 126 3.00 3.80  
3  MATCHLESS 3 5 55½ 56   53½ 44¼ (rondan feli)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 3.50 7.60  
6  MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY 6 6 67½ 67½   64 55 (craig r)HERRERA HUGO 126 4.50 18% 4.50 2.80  
4  HYPHY 4 1 11 44½   31½ 613 (maelfeyt)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 10% 9.20 18.60  
 
FER-6   08/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:24 :493 1:153     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DRUIDIC 3 5 11½ 11   11½ 11¼ (baker wayne)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 10.00 3.10  
6  FALSELY ACCUSED 6 2 42 21   21½ 21¼ (homer jason)HERRERA HUGO 126 12.00 5% 19.00 6.30 P
8  TRINIDAD 8 4 53½ 32½   32½ 32¾ (hansen roge)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 8.00 10.80  
2  LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) 2 7 21½ 44   44 44¼ (ramos jesus)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 2.50 28% 2.60 5.60  
1  HONOS MAN 1 8 812½ 66   57½ 55 (rodriguez fr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 126 5.00 13% 6.60 4.30  
4  WESTERN CAPE 4 6 65½ 77½   610½ 67 (miller )CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 4.00 17.00  
5  HOT CHICKS ONLY 5 1 77½ 810   714½ 716 (thomas jamey)FLORES P 126 4.50 37% 1.70 2.30  
7  CHARMING ROY 7 3 32 56   817 822 (de pablo)KING MCKENZIE 126 6.00 21.50  
 
FER-7   08/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:20
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:171     1:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HOT JOURNEY 2 6 64¾ 43   32 11¾ (maravilla jorge)HERRERA HUGO 126 6.00 1.50  
3  DANZ TILL TEN 3 2 42½ 65½   43½ 21¾ (dillenbeck bruce)MEEKS MICAH 126 3.00 ★ 6.90 P
6  CLASSY 6 3 1nk 1nk   11½ 32¼ (rodriguez fr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 10.00 9% 10.20 9.20 S
5  LIBERTY WOLF 5 4 54½ 76½   75½ 43¼ (stortz )CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 2.00 7.20  
4  CONEJO MALO 4 1 31 31½   21½ 54 (ramos je)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 5.00 13.90  
7  GATO NEGRO 7 7 77¼ 55   54½ 69 (gilmour jim)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 12.00 23% 3.30 13.40  
1  CHELSIESDANZIGLITE 1 5 2nk 2nk   65 79½ (craig r)KING MCKENZIE 126 4.50 30% 2.40 2.00  
 
FER-8   08/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:50
See original race card.
:241 :50 1:171     1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BEAU BRUME 2 8 810 69   21 12 (baker wayne)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 8.00 9% 9.90 2.30 W
6  CRAZY STORM 6 1 2½ 1½   11 22 (gilmour jim)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 10.00 13.30  
5  MR MAKUNOUCHI 5 6 66½ 712½   43½ 34 (guerrero emilio)MEEKS MICAH 119 6.00 18.60  
1  TRIANGLE 1 5 42½ 32   32½ 44 (greiner gary)FLORES P 122 6.00 16% 5.20 4.30  
4  BIG ATTITUDE 4 7 77 818½   810 57 (craig r)KING MCKENZIE 126 2.50 34% 2.00 3.30  
7  TOP WOLF 7 3 32½ 44   66 610 (stortz )CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 8.00 7.50  
3  ONLY ALLEGED 3 4 54 57   55½ 710¼ (meier monty)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 5.00 10% 8.70 4.40  
8  THIRSTY LOV 8 2 1½ 2½   76 815¼ (miranda )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 12.00 14.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.