Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ferndale
Sunday - August 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FER-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4/2)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FER-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (4/2)-(2/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(2/5/3)-(5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FER-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(5/6)-(5/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FER-4   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (5/6)-(5/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(5/6/4)-(5/2/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FER-5   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(5/2/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(5/2/1/6)-(1/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FER-6   WIN (5/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/6)-(5/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/6)-(5/2/1/6)-(5/2/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/1/6)-(1/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/6)-(1/7/6)-(4/1/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FER-7   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6/3)-(1/7/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(4/1/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FER-8   WIN (4/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FER-1   08/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIME TIME PORTA Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 Jun16 Oct08 (guerre)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
2  SMOKENSILVER Jul04 Jun29 Jun22 Oct09 Sep17 (craig r)HERRERA HUGO 126 4.00 36% 1.80    
3  LAST BABY Aug09 Jun23 Jun14 May04 Apr12 (stortz marcia)KING MCKENZIE 122 2.50 ★    
4  CARDINAL TRICK Jul27 Jul20 Jun09 Jun01 May10 (hansen ro)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 4.50    
5  APLOMBADO Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 Oct30 Oct14 (rodriguez francisc)FLORES P 126 2.00    
 
FER-2   08/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILY PAD LAKE Aug08 Jul11 Oct09 Sep17 Aug25 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 4.50    
2  SPORTS FOR WOMEN Aug09 Aug07 Oct09 Sep17 Aug12 (abraha)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 5.00 14% 6.40    
3  HAPPY IS Aug03 May25 Apr20 Mar31 Mar10 (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 1.60    
4  SASSY EINSTEIN Aug09 Aug07 Jul11 Jun22 Oct02 (guerrero e)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 6.00 45% 1.20    
5  CLICKING Aug17 Aug03 Jun21 May27 Mar24 (rodriguez )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.00 ★    
 
FER-3   08/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($9.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HER PERFECT VISION Aug03 Jul20 Jun23 Aug27 Aug20 (guerrero em)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 5.00    
2  SPANISH CHANNEL Jul04 Jun16 Oct08 Sep25 Aug18 (craig r)HERRERA HUGO 126 3.50 26% 2.90    
3  MADAME CAUSEWAY Aug10 Aug08 Jun29 Jun22 Oct09 (abrah)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 6.00 15% 5.90    
4  DISTINCTIVE DEB Aug03 Jul27 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 (homer jaso)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 1.80    
5  BLUEBERRY MUFFIN Nov26 Nov05 Oct13 Sep30 Sep10 (stortz marcia)KING MCKENZIE 126 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
FER-4   08/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAY JUAN Aug11 Jul21 Jul06 Jun15 May18 (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 3.50    
2  STRETCH RUN Aug04 Jun14 Jun02 Nov17 Oct28 (maravilla jorg)HERRERA HUGO 126 2.00 ★    
3  TOO MUCH INFO Aug02 Jul04 Jun15 May05 Feb23 (greiner g)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 2.50    
4  GENERAL THAYER Jun29 Jun15 Aug10 Jun25 Jun17 (craig )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 5.00    
5  BIG BAD BRIAN Aug09 Jun09 Sep17 Aug26 Aug19 (craig jam)JENSEN P 126 8.00 28% 2.50    
6  HAKUNUI Aug08 Jun29 Jun23 Oct08 Oct01 (abrah)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 8.00 23% 3.30    
 
FER-5   08/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILA AT THE BEACH Aug10 Jul14 Jun16 May10 Mar09 (greiner gary)KING MCKENZIE 126 3.00    
2  TAKES A VILLAGE Jul27 Jul20 Oct14 Aug26 Aug20 (rubin howar)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 6.00    
3  MATCHLESS Aug11 Jul27 Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 (rondan fe)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 3.50    
4  HYPHY Aug08 Jul12 Jul04 Jun16 Oct01 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 10% 9.20    
5  MADAME GAZELLE Aug03 Jul14 Jun16 Sep30 Sep10 (rodriguez )MONROY FRANCISCO 126 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY Jul04 Jun16 Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 (craig r)HERRERA HUGO 126 4.50 18% 4.50    
 
FER-6   08/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOS MAN Aug04 Jun29 Jun16 May18 Mar24 (rodriguez )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 126 5.00 13% 6.60    
2  LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) Aug10 Jul21 Jul13 Jun30 Jun07 (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  DRUIDIC Aug10 Jul21 Jun09 May18 May04 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 10.00    
4  WESTERN CAPE Jul14 Jun22 Jun09 May27 May18 (mille)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 4.00    
5  HOT CHICKS ONLY Jul28 Jun30 Aug26 Jul29 Jun03 (thomas jamey)FLORES P 126 4.50 37% 1.70    
6  FALSELY ACCUSED Jul27 Jun29 Jun16 May19 Apr25 (homer jason)HERRERA HUGO 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHARMING ROY         (de pabl)KING MCKENZIE 126 6.00    
8  TRINIDAD Aug11 Jul21 Jun22 Jun01 Apr12 (hansen ro)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 8.00    
 
FER-7   08/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHELSIESDANZIGLITE Aug04 Jul07 Jun23 Jun02 May11 (craig r)KING MCKENZIE 126 4.50 30% 2.40    
2  HOT JOURNEY Aug03 Jul04 Apr21 Apr12 Mar16 (maravilla jorg)HERRERA HUGO 126 6.00    
3  DANZ TILL TEN Aug09 Jul07 Jun23 May11 Apr12 (dillenbeck bruc)MEEKS MICAH 126 3.00 ★    
4  CONEJO MALO Aug18 Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 Jun07 (ramos )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 5.00    
5  LIBERTY WOLF Aug16 Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 Jul09 (stort)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 2.00    
6  CLASSY Jul26 Jun29 May18 May03 Feb18 (rodriguez )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 10.00 9% 10.20    
7  GATO NEGRO Aug07 Jun09 May26 Jul12 Jul02 (gilmour ji)MONROY FRANCISCO 126 12.00 23% 3.30    
 
FER-8   08/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIANGLE Aug02 Jun22 Jun01 May11   (greiner gary)FLORES P 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
2  BEAU BRUME Aug04 Jul20 Jun22 Jun01 Mar29 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 8.00 9% 9.90    
3  ONLY ALLEGED Jun16 May12       (meier mon)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 5.00 10% 8.70    
4  BIG ATTITUDE Jun15 Jun18 Apr28     (craig r)KING MCKENZIE 126 2.50 34% 2.00    
5  MR MAKUNOUCHI Aug02 Jul04 Jun16 Oct08 Sep17 (guerrero emilio)MEEKS MICAH 119 6.00    
6  CRAZY STORM Aug08 Jul19 Jul06 Jun21 May11 (gilmour ji)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
7  TOP WOLF Aug16 Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 May04 (stort)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 8.00    
8  THIRSTY LOV Jul26 Jul13 Jun30 Jun09 May18 (mirand)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.