Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Santa Rosa
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SR-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $28.60 $22.60 377%
    DD (5/4/1)-(2/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-1 $114.60 $96.60 537%
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(5/4/1)-(2/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00  5-5-1 $447.30 $420.30 1557%
SR-4   DD (2/1/5)-(1/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-1 $56.20 $38.20 212%
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(2/1/5)-(1/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00  5-1-1 $193.20 $166.20 616%
    PK4 (1/5/4)-(5/4/1)-(2/1/5)-(1/5/4) 81 $0.50 $40.50  5-5-1-1/2 $287.10 $246.60 609%
SR-5   PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/5/4)-(2/5/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00  1-1-5 $156.20 $120.20 334%
SR-6   EXA (6/8/7/3/1)-(6/8/7/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-8 $35.90 $15.90 80%
SR-7   WIN (6/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $10.00 $2.00 25%
    EXA (6/4/8/5)-(6/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-8 $34.00 $22.00 183%
    DD (6/8/7/3/1)-(6/4/8/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-6 $52.40 $12.40 31%
SR-8   WIN (3/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $21.40 $13.40 168%
    EXA (3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-1 $23.00 $11.00 92%
    TRI (3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  2-1-3 $61.30 $37.30 155%
    SFT (3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2) 24 $0.10 $2.40  2-1-3-5 $14.11 $11.71 488%
    DD (6/4/8/5)-(3/1/5/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-2 $274.40 $242.40 758%
    PK3 (6/8/7/3/1)-(6/4/8/5)-(3/1/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00  6-6-2 $319.10 $239.10 299%
    PK4 (2/5/3/7)-(6/8/7/3/1)-(6/4/8/5)-(3/1/5/2) 320 $0.50 $160  5-4/6-6-2 $506.90 $346.90 217%
    PK5 (1/5/4)-(2/5/3/7)-(6/8/7/3/1)-(6/4/8/5)-(3/1/5/2) 960 $0.50 $480  1/2-5-4/6-6-2 $724.45 $244.45 51%
    PK6 (2/1/5)-(1/5/4)-(2/5/3/7)-(6/8/7/3/1)-(6/4/8/5)-(3/1/5/2) 2880 $1.00 $2880  1-1/2-5-4/6-6-2 $5071 $2191 76%

Simulator Race results

 
SR-1   08/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:251 :511 1:161 1:28   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASTAGNA 5 1 1 1 11 12 13 (o'neill )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 2.50 10% 8.80 1.80 W
HARNEY LANE 1 2 2 2 31 22 23 ( )JIMENEZ LUIS 122 2.00 65% 0.50 1.00 P
SILVER FLIRT 6 4 54 5 21 34 37 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 5.00 8.20  
CARLSBADGAL 2 3 32 4 53 4 411 (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 8.00 18.80  
STARLIT HARBOR 3 5 43 3 4 5 511 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 122 3.50 6.10  
PALACE MISCHIEF 4 6 66 6 64 612½ 616 (bautista jorge)ALVARADO T 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
 
SR-2   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:23 :463 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A DIME FOR ME 5 3 32 32   31 1½ (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.00 51% 1.00 1.40 W
DADDYS NINA 2 2 11 11   11 2½ (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 4.50 4.60  
SHOUT IT OUT 1 4 4 43   42 3 (bainum kell)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 6.00 5% 19.00 12.70 S
LILA AT THE BEACH 4 1 21 21   21 4 (thomas j)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 1.80 21% 3.70 1.90  
SMOOVE AS SILK 3 5 54 55   58 5 (greiner gary)RIVERA SANTOS 125 4.00 5.90  
WELL SPOKEN LADY 6 6 67 69   612 612¾ (dillenbeck bruc)MEEKS MICAH 118 12.00 19.00  
 
SR-3   08/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:141 1:271   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUNT PELLIAR 1 4 43 54 32 32 1 (greiner gary)FLORES P 125 8.00 21% 3.80 13.30 W
OH GREAT (IRE) 4 1 21 2½ 21 21 2 (maravilla j)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 4.00 4.30  
EFFECTIVE GIG 3 2 11 1½ 11 11 3 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 3.00 2.70  
ECOLOGIST 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 (calvario s)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 1.20 36% 1.80 0.90  
LOOKOUT POINT 6 6 65 6 610 67 5 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00 11.50  
POUR ON THE COLE 5 5 5 4 54 55 6 ( )JIMENEZ LUIS 125 8.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
 
SR-4   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:222 :46 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER QUEEN 1 3 11 11   1 1 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 0.80 69% 0.50 0.20 W
LION'S LAIR 4 2 21 21   2 2 (torres a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 4.00 7% 14.00 9.40 P
THE GREAT HAYNES 6 1 5 3   34 33 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 6.00 9.80  
OUTRAGEOUS 5 6 6 53   4 4 (stor)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 8.00 8.80  
STATEFOREST 2 5 3 4   5 5 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 10.00 18.20  
LADY RANGER 3 4 4 67   620½ 629¾ (guerrero em)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 12.00 5% 19.00 24.80  
SCR  DALLAS ALICE               (vallejo genaro)ALVARADO T 125 8.00    
 
SR-5   08/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Robert Dupret Derby Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 6:47
See original race card.
:231 :492 1:134 1:39   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEP MOVIN' ON 5 6 64 7 43 2½ 1 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 120 2.00 17% 4.70 1.60 W
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of MY DUE PROCESS by HENNY HUGHES)
BABY WAYLON 3 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 1½ 2 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 8.00 15% 5.60 2.60 P
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of JU JU BABY by SNOW RIDGE)
GROGU 6 4 4 31 3 41 3 (troy matthew )OROZCO IRVING 120 2.50 3.00  
  (by GET STORMY out of HOW UNUSUAL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
RIGHT HAND RYDER 2 2 2½ 2nk 2½ 31 4 (calvario)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 3.50 34% 2.00 8.90  
  (by G. G. RYDER out of HAND TRICKS by BERTRANDO)
BRAVO RAGAZZO 7 5 7 5 53 54 5 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
  (by THE FACTOR out of SUNDAY GEISHA by SUNDAY BREAK (JPN))
ELEGANT BOY 1 7 32 42 75 6 6 (perez ser)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 118 12.00 19.50  
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of TRAPPERS MAGIC by TRAPPER)
NOVINOPHOBIA 4 3 5 6 64 77 715¼ (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 120 6.00 16.20  
  (by DIALED IN out of SENSIBLE GIRL by STREET SENSE)
 
SR-6   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 7:16
See original race card.
:221 :463 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRSTY VISION 5 3 3½ 21   2½ 1hd (ramos jesus)RIVERA SANTOS 122 3.50 24% 3.20 2.10 W
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY SCARLETT by GRACE UPON GRACE)
ACCIDENTAL GENIUS 7 8 8 6   6 2hd ( )JIMENEZ LUIS 122 10.00 18% 4.70 11.80 P
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of RADISH by SQUARE EDDIE)
TYPHOON TOMMY 4 9 7 8   5 32 (rondan f)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 6.00 7.10  
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of HURRICAINE CALLIE by COMIC STRIP)
PROWLING CAT 1 1 1½ 11   1½ 4 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of MEDICINE GAL by TRIBAL RULE)
10  LAST CALL VRON 9 5 5 32   3 53 (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00 4.20  
  (by VRONSKY out of GRAY DARLING by GRAYDAR)
BIG BAD BERT 8 4 41 53   4 65 (perez s)HERRERA HUGO 122 20.00 12.20  
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of BAY BREEZE by HIGH BRITE)
EL DIAMANTE NEGRO 3 6 9 910½   810½ 7 (calvario sa)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 6.00 17% 4.80 8.40  
  (by G. G. RYDER out of LUCKI LUCY ANNA by LUCKY PULPIT)
JEFFREY ON THE RUN 2 2 2½ 43   710½ 813¾ (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 12.00 12.10  
  (by FULLBRIDLED out of SEAQUOIA BLUE by FORESTRY)
STAR CHIEFTAIN 6 7 6 77   912½ 915½ (trujillo vict)OROZCO IRVING 122 6.00 17% 4.80 12.30  
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of STARZA by PEPPERED CAT)
SCR  SALTYBISCUIT               (bonde jeff)DURAN F 122 3.00    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of MISS JOHNNIE by COLONEL JOHN)
 
SR-7   08/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:15 1:271   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT PROOF 6 2 22 2½ 2½ 2nk 1¼ (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 123 3.50 51% 1.00 4.00 W
LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) 8 3 34 33 32 3 2¼ (ramos jesus)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 3.00 12% 7.40 5.10 P
DRUIDIC 7 1 12 1½ 1½ 1nk 3¾ (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 6.00 3.00  
EL JOY 4 5 5 5 43 4 4 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.50 14% 6.10 2.10  
ROARING TIGER 5 6 6 67 54 5 5 (jaur)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
CONTRARY CHIEFTAIN 3 7 710 7 7 66 6 (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 8.00 6.70  
CUT ACROSS SHORTY 2 4 45 4 6 77 710½ ( )JIMENEZ LUIS 123 12.00 27.80  
GROSS PROFIT 1 8 814½ 810 86 88 814½ (torres a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 15.00 27.90  
 
SR-8   08/10/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:17
See original race card.
:221 :454       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLAND DE BESOS 2 4 65 43   2½ 1¾ (ramos jesus)HERRERA HUGO 125 12.00 5% 19.00 9.70 W
SIR GREYSON 1 3 1½ 1½   1½ 2¾ (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.00 28% 2.50 0.90 P
TOWN PERFORMER 3 1 32 32   4 3 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.50 33% 2.10 4.20 S
REGAL PATRIOT 5 2 2½ 2½   33 4 (torres arnold)OROZCO IRVING 125 8.00 18% 4.70 5.10  
GERLACH'S 7 7 4 54   5 5 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 5.00 5.50  
BLUE SILVER 4 5 78 710   7 611¾ ( )JIMENEZ LUIS 125 15.00 23.20  
PRIME TIME PORTA 6 6 54 65   6 715¼ (guerrero emil)RIVERA SANTOS 122 20.00 25.60  
SCR  HAY JUAN               (ramos jesus)ALVARADO T 125 12.00    
SCR  SHARONA'S WILD BOY               (stortz marcia)COUTON JULIEN 125 15.00    
SCR  SMUGGLER'S RUN               (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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