Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Rosa
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SR-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(5/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(5/4/1)-(2/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SR-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(2/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(2/1/5)-(1/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SR-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/5/4)-(2/5/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SR-4   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(2/5/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(2/5/3/7)-(6/8/3/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SR-5   WIN (2/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/7)-(2/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/7)-(2/5/3/7)-(2/5/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/3/7)-(6/8/3/7/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/7)-(6/8/3/7/1)-(6/4/8/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SR-6   WIN (6/8/3/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/7/1)-(6/8/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/7/1)-(6/8/3/7/1)-(6/8/3/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (6/8/3/7/1)-(6/4/8/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/7/1)-(6/4/8/5)-(3/1/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SR-7   WIN (6/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/5)-(6/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/5)-(6/4/8/5)-(6/4/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/8/5)-(3/1/5/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SR-8   WIN (3/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SR-1   08/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARNEY LANE Jul27 Jun28 Aug25     (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 2.00 65% 0.50    
2  CARLSBADGAL Jun29 Jun02 May11     (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
3  STARLIT HARBOR Jun02 May04 Apr05     (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 122 3.50    
4  PALACE MISCHIEF Jul06 Jun08       (bautista jorge)ALVARADO T 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CASTAGNA Jul06 Jun02 May25 May10 Apr26 (o'neill )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 2.50 10% 8.80    
6  SILVER FLIRT Jun01 May18 Apr27 Apr05 Mar15 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 5.00    
 
SR-2   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOUT IT OUT Jun30 Jun16 May27 Apr10 Mar13 (bainum kell)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  DADDYS NINA Jul14 May27 May04 Apr05 Mar09 (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 4.50    
3  SMOOVE AS SILK Jul14 Jul04 Jun16 May27 Apr14 (greiner gary)RIVERA SANTOS 125 4.00    
4  LILA AT THE BEACH Jul14 Jun16 May10 Mar09 Feb16 (thomas j)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 1.80 21% 3.70    
5  A DIME FOR ME Jul27 Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 Mar05 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.00 51% 1.00    
6  WELL SPOKEN LADY Aug03 Jul06 May11     (dillenbeck bruc)MEEKS MICAH 118 12.00    
 
SR-3   08/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOUNT PELLIAR Aug20 Jul21 Jan06 Dec09 Nov12 (greiner gary)FLORES P 125 8.00 21% 3.80    
2  ECOLOGIST Jun29 Jun07 May18 Mar31 Mar16 (calvario s)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 1.20 36% 1.80    
3  EFFECTIVE GIG Jul14 Jul05 Jun08 Apr12 Mar01 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 3.00    
4  OH GREAT (IRE) Jul27 Jul05 Jun23 Jun07 May26 (maravilla j)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 4.00    
5  POUR ON THE COLE Jul05 Jun15 May26 May05 Apr12 (p)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LOOKOUT POINT Jun21 May26 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00    
 
SR-4   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGER QUEEN Jul28 Jul06 Jun08 Apr22 Apr06 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 0.80 69% 0.50    
SCR  DALLAS ALICE Jul06 Jun23 Jun08 Mar08 Aug10 (vallejo genaro)ALVARADO T 125 8.00    
3  STATEFOREST Jul04 Jun16 Oct23 Sep17 Jul30 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 10.00    
4  LADY RANGER Jun16 Sep25 Sep04 Aug18 Aug05 (guerrero em)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  LION'S LAIR Jul06 Jun21 May26 Nov24 Oct29 (torres a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 4.00 7% 14.00    
6  OUTRAGEOUS Jun30 Jun14 May27 Apr27 Apr05 (stor)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 8.00    
7  THE GREAT HAYNES Jul27 Jul13 Jun08 May11 Apr28 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 6.00    
 
SR-5   08/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Robert Dupret Derby Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEGANT BOY Jul26 Jul04 Dec31 Nov12 Oct15 (perez ser)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 118 12.00    
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of TRAPPERS MAGIC by TRAPPER)
2  RIGHT HAND RYDER Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 Apr20 Mar30 (calvario)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
  (by G. G. RYDER out of HAND TRICKS by BERTRANDO)
3  BABY WAYLON Dec31 Nov26 Oct21     (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 8.00 15% 5.60    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of JU JU BABY by SNOW RIDGE)
4  NOVINOPHOBIA Jul28 Jun29 Oct22     (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 120 6.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of SENSIBLE GIRL by STREET SENSE)
5  KEEP MOVIN' ON Jun22 May25 Apr28 Mar01 Jan27 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 120 2.00 17% 4.70    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of MY DUE PROCESS by HENNY HUGHES)
6  GROGU Jul07 May26 May12 Apr06 Mar16 (troy matthew )OROZCO IRVING 120 2.50    
  (by GET STORMY out of HOW UNUSUAL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
7  BRAVO RAGAZZO Jul07 Jun07 May12 Mar31 Mar10 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SUNDAY GEISHA by SUNDAY BREAK (JPN))
 
SR-6   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROWLING CAT Jun23 May26       (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of MEDICINE GAL by TRIBAL RULE)
2  JEFFREY ON THE RUN Jul07 Jun23       (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 12.00    
  (by FULLBRIDLED out of SEAQUOIA BLUE by FORESTRY)
3  EL DIAMANTE NEGRO         (calvario sa)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
  (by G. G. RYDER out of LUCKI LUCY ANNA by LUCKY PULPIT)
SCR  SALTYBISCUIT         (bonde jeff)DURAN F 122 3.00    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of MISS JOHNNIE by COLONEL JOHN)
5  TYPHOON TOMMY Jul07         (rondan f)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 6.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of HURRICAINE CALLIE by COMIC STRIP)
6  THIRSTY VISION Jul07 Jun23       (ramos jesus)RIVERA SANTOS 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY SCARLETT by GRACE UPON GRACE)
7  STAR CHIEFTAIN         (trujillo vict)OROZCO IRVING 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of STARZA by PEPPERED CAT)
8  ACCIDENTAL GENIUS         (f)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 10.00 18% 4.70    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of RADISH by SQUARE EDDIE)
9  BIG BAD BERT Jul21 May26       (perez s)HERRERA HUGO 122 20.00    
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of BAY BREEZE by HIGH BRITE)
10  LAST CALL VRON Jul21         (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of GRAY DARLING by GRAYDAR)
 
SR-7   08/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROSS PROFIT Jul21 Jul06 Jun09 May05 Mar17 (torres a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 15.00    
2  CUT ACROSS SHORTY Jul18 Jun01 May05 Apr05 Feb23 (k)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
3  CONTRARY CHIEFTAIN Aug04 Jun22 May18 Apr28 Apr06 (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 8.00    
4  EL JOY Jun16 May26 Apr24 Apr15 Apr06 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.50 14% 6.10    
5  ROARING TIGER Jul07 Jun07 May26 Jul09 Jun25 (jaur)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  NIGHT PROOF Jul27 Jun16 May26 Aug28 Jul09 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 123 3.50 51% 1.00    
7  DRUIDIC Jul21 Jun09 May18 May04 Apr13 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 6.00    
8  LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) Jul21 Jul13 Jun30 Jun07 May12 (ramos jesus)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 3.00 12% 7.40    
 
SR-8   08/10/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR GREYSON Jun09 May26 Mar23 Feb23 Jan13 (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.00 28% 2.50    
2  GALLAND DE BESOS Jul21 Jun09 Jun01 May05 May21 (ramos jesus)HERRERA HUGO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  TOWN PERFORMER May11 Apr21 Apr07 Mar15 Feb23 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.50 33% 2.10    
4  BLUE SILVER May27 Nov10 Sep24 Jun10 May21 (h)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 15.00    
5  REGAL PATRIOT Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 Feb23 Jan15 (torres arnold)OROZCO IRVING 125 8.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  HAY JUAN Jul21 Jul06 Jun15 May18 Apr28 (ramos jesus)ALVARADO T 125 12.00    
7  PRIME TIME PORTA Jul20 Jun29 Jun16 Oct08 Jul08 (guerrero emil)RIVERA SANTOS 122 20.00    
8  GERLACH'S Jun28 Jun01 Aug06 Jul01 Nov12 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 5.00    
SCR  SHARONA'S WILD BOY Jul21 Jun29 May11 Apr21 Mar22 (stortz marcia)COUTON JULIEN 125 15.00    
SCR  SMUGGLER'S RUN Jul21 Jun30 Nov17 Oct06 Sep17 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.