Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Grants Pass
Monday - October 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GRP-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $30.00 $24.00 400%
GRP-4   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.40 $3.40 57%
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-3 $20.90 $14.90 248%
GRP-8   EXA (6/4/5/8)-(6/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-6 $26.50 $14.50 121%

Simulator Race results

 
GRP-2   10/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:221 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE FRIEND 1 4 4 22   2½ 13 (lyons ken)JENSEN P 126 3.00 16% 5.30 2.40 W
YANKEE PANKEE 2 3 12 12   1½ 23 (hoover cind)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 5% 19.00 6.00 P
RAFANELLI 3 2 22 3   4 3 (harshman lo)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 2.00 2.80  
COWLITZ 4 1 3 43   3 45 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.50 52% 0.90 1.60  
HER PERFECT VISION 5 5 55 59   510½ 521½ (guerrero emilio)ELLIS DEVON 126 3.00 5.70  
 
GRP-3   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTRUSIVE 3 2 21 21   2½ 1½ (gibson howard )SAMUELS JAKE 124 3.00 4.00  
SUMTHINTOTALKABOUT 5 1 11 11   1½ 2½ (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 124 4.50 5.30  
ZEPHYR CAT 2 5 5 47   4 3 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 18% 4.70 4.30 S
GORMLEY GAL 4 4 32 31   3 4 (perez hilar)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 2.50 48% 1.10 0.90  
MIDNIGHT CASH 1 3 4 515   516½ 523½ (shiffer h)JENSEN P 126 8.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
SCR  GOIN SEVENTY FIVE               (bozell alan)MARTIN A 124 4.00    
 
GRP-4   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:214 :443 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN RUSH 1 4 1nk 1½   1 12 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 2.50 64% 0.60 3.70 W
MATTAWA N THAT 3 5 4 42   2 22 (boyle mary)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.50 13% 6.70 3.00 P
DECIMATE 2 3 32 32   3 33 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.00 1.70  
DRAW THE FOUL 4 6 5 56   5 4 (harshman loega)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.00 7.20  
SPEEDY TOM 6 1 2nk 2½   44 57 (lyons kendr)GUERRERO C 126 5.00 9.50  
HAKUNUI 5 2 6 67   6 67 (lyons ken)JENSEN P 126 6.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
 
GRP-6   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
See original race card.
:221 :451 :581     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUN LA GOLD 4 6 3 34   31 1¾ (velasquez rigo)SAMUELS JAKE 124 3.50 9.20  
  (by JAKE LA GOLD out of SOPHIE DOPEY by TRICKEY TREVOR)
GONZAGA 3 7 5 45   21 2¾ (homer jas)MARTINEZ HUMBERTO 126 4.50 31% 2.20 4.60 P
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of ONEKNIGHTLEDO by SLEWDLEDO)
10  MR MAKUNOUCHI 9 4 7 6   66 3¾ (mccracken rober)MEEKS MICAH 121 6.00 4.10  
  (by GIACOMO out of BIG ADVENTURE by MR. BIG)
RED AND READY 7 2 2nk 12   11 4 (stewart larr)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 6.00 8% 11.90 3.30  
  (by VRONSKY out of WILD FLEECE by HUSSONET)
COLTON'S TIGER 2 1 8 812½   78 5 (stillw)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 12.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
  (by SMILING TIGER out of STARSILHOUETTE by ORIENTATE (GB))
IM GUNNA 5 5 4 5   55 6 (gilmour )MURO ISIDRO 124 4.00 6% 15.10 3.80  
  (by CUPID out of COURAGEOUS CALL by TALE OF THE CAT)
SHADOW WOLF 8 3 1nk 22   4 7 (kowalsky harl)LOPEZ E 126 10.00 5.70  
  (by JERANIMO out of SOME KIND OF EASY by SEMORAN)
IKE BUTTE 6 9 67 710½   811 810½ (cantrell ma)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 15.00 11.30  
  (by GIACOMO out of ADAPTABILITY by EDDINGTON)
SOUND CLOUD 1 8 914¾ 922½   921 931½ (williams )JENSEN P 124 8.00 25% 2.90 30.90  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of TANDALICIOUS by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  SENOR AT WAR               (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 20.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of MIDDAY AFFAIR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
GRP-7   10/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:30
See original race card.
:221 :453       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKUP BUTTERCUP 1 3 2nk 21   1nk 1 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 4.00 5.70  
BIKINI NATION 6 1 5 46   33 2 (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 126 2.50 41% 1.40 2.60 P
STEEL NERVES 4 2 4 56   65 3 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 5% 19.00 20.50 S
HEY WILMAAA 8 6 1nk 11   2nk 4 (magallanes )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.50 14% 6.00 5.10  
MAGGIE'S FAYE 3 7 66 67   5 5 (swanson stev)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 10.00 6.00  
SPARKLE IN THE SKY 5 8 710 713   77 67 (homer jason)MEEKS MICAH 121 6.00 5.40  
ELECTRIC ELIZABETA 7 4 810½ 813¼   8 7 (hurley de)JENSEN P 126 15.00 15.80  
MISCHIEF MAME 2 5 32 34   44 811¼ (harris john)SAMUELS JAKE 126 5.00 16% 5.30 3.30  
 
GRP-8   10/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:55
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELTA DELTA 4 2 1nk 1nk   11 12 (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 126 4.50 15% 5.60 1.60 W
LORD OF LIGHT 6 8 5 44   33 22 (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.50 52% 0.90 2.80 P
FOYT 5 6 65 5   55 38 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 7% 13.80 8.00 S
DIVERSIFUL 8 7 810 7   66 48 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 10.00 5% 19.00 35.00  
BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR 3 5 4 6   78 512 (pollard eli)ELLIS DEVON 126 15.00 19.30  
WE GOT SWAG 1 1 2nk 31   45 612¼ (velasque)MURO ISIDRO 124 10.00 13.20  
CHANCELLORS BOOM 7 4 78 812½   814 725½ (stewart larr)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 15.00 12.70  
GRAMMY WINNER 2 3 31 2nk   21 8100 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 2.00 2.80  
 
GRP-9   10/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT-11:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:104     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANISH CHANNEL 1 6 4 4   2nk 1¼ (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 8.00 4.00  
REIGN OF FIRE 3 3 1nk 11   1nk 2¼ (velasque)MURO ISIDRO 126 2.50 51% 0.90 3.00 P
SHE'S A KRAKEN 5 7 7 6   43 32 (rosale)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 4.00 7.40  
MADAME GAZELLE 8 1 3 31   31 4 (magallanes )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.00 22% 3.50 2.60  
BLOWING BAYOU 2 4 2nk 21   5 54 (abrahamson m)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 6.00 15.60  
SASSY EINSTEIN 4 8 8 8   8 67 (lewis rob)JENSEN P 126 12.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
FANTASTIC SECRET 6 2 5 5   65 7 (kowalsky ha)GUERRERO C 126 15.00 15.60  
MARY WALKER 7 5 6 7   7 8 (kowalski liz)MEEKS MICAH 121 10.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.