Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grants Pass
Monday - October 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GRP-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-3   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-4   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-6   WIN (3/1/8/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/6/2)-(3/1/8/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GRP-7   WIN (6/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/4)-(6/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-8   WIN (6/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/8)-(6/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-9   WIN (3/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GRP-2   10/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE FRIEND Sep22 Sep08 Jul06 Jun14 May18 (lyons ken)JENSEN P 126 3.00 16% 5.30    
YANKEE PANKEE Aug08 Jul11 Jun23 Sep18   (hoover cind)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
RAFANELLI Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 Jul13 Jun23 (harshman lo)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 2.00    
COWLITZ Sep22 Sep02 Jun15 Oct02 Sep17 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.50 52% 0.90    
HER PERFECT VISION Sep23 Aug25 Aug03 Jul20 Jun23 (guerrero emilio)ELLIS DEVON 126 3.00    
 
GRP-3   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT CASH Sep29         (shiffer h)JENSEN P 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
ZEPHYR CAT Sep29 Sep16 Aug31 Aug07 Jul11 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 18% 4.70    
INTRUSIVE Sep29 Sep16 Jul27 Jun29 Jun02 (gibson howard )SAMUELS JAKE 124 3.00    
GORMLEY GAL Sep16 Sep07 Aug31 Aug10 Jul28 (perez hilar)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  GOIN SEVENTY FIVE Sep29 Aug31 Sep03     (bozell alan)MARTIN A 124 4.00    
SUMTHINTOTALKABOUT Sep29 Sep16 Sep09 Aug18 Jul12 (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 124 4.50    
 
GRP-4   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN RUSH Sep16 Aug30 Aug08 Jun23 Jun07 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 2.50 64% 0.60    
DECIMATE Sep01 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jun29 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.00    
MATTAWA N THAT Sep15 Aug10 Aug08 Jun29 Jun23 (boyle mary)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.50 13% 6.70    
DRAW THE FOUL Sep23 Jul27 Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 (harshman loega)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.00    
HAKUNUI Sep16 Sep01 Aug25 Aug08 Jun29 (lyons ken)JENSEN P 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
SPEEDY TOM Sep29 Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 Jun30 (lyons kendr)GUERRERO C 126 5.00    
 
GRP-6   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUND CLOUD         (williams )JENSEN P 124 8.00 25% 2.90    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of TANDALICIOUS by LEMON DROP KID)
COLTON'S TIGER Sep08 Aug31 Aug08 Jun23 Jun07 (stillw)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of STARSILHOUETTE by ORIENTATE (GB))
GONZAGA         (homer jas)MARTINEZ HUMBERTO 126 4.50 31% 2.20    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of ONEKNIGHTLEDO by SLEWDLEDO)
SUN LA GOLD Sep14 Sep06 Aug23     (velasquez rigo)SAMUELS JAKE 124 3.50    
  (by JAKE LA GOLD out of SOPHIE DOPEY by TRICKEY TREVOR)
SCR  SENOR AT WAR Sep23 Jun16 Sep04 Jul04 Jun24 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 20.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of MIDDAY AFFAIR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
IM GUNNA Sep08 Sep02 Aug24 Aug08 Jul12 (gilmour )MURO ISIDRO 124 4.00 6% 15.10    
  (by CUPID out of COURAGEOUS CALL by TALE OF THE CAT)
IKE BUTTE Jul04 Jun16 Oct09 Jul02 Jul09 (cantrell ma)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 15.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of ADAPTABILITY by EDDINGTON)
RED AND READY Sep23 Jul13 May25 Apr28   (stewart larr)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 6.00 8% 11.90    
  (by VRONSKY out of WILD FLEECE by HUSSONET)
SHADOW WOLF Sep23 Sep08 Jul13 Jun08 May25 (kowalsky harl)LOPEZ E 126 10.00    
  (by JERANIMO out of SOME KIND OF EASY by SEMORAN)
10  MR MAKUNOUCHI Sep23 Sep08 Aug25 Aug02 Jul04 (mccracken rober)MEEKS MICAH 121 6.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of BIG ADVENTURE by MR. BIG)
 
GRP-7   10/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Sep30 Sep22 Sep08 Aug30 Aug18 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 4.00    
MISCHIEF MAME Sep15 Sep08 Aug08 Jul10 Jun30 (harris john)SAMUELS JAKE 126 5.00 16% 5.30    
MAGGIE'S FAYE Sep23 Sep08 Aug31 Aug18 Aug03 (swanson stev)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 10.00    
STEEL NERVES Sep23 Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 Aug07 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPARKLE IN THE SKY Jun21 Jun07 May11 Apr13 Mar21 (homer jason)MEEKS MICAH 121 6.00    
BIKINI NATION Sep29 Sep22 Sep08 Aug30 Aug18 (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 126 2.50 41% 1.40    
ELECTRIC ELIZABETA Sep22 Sep09 Aug24 Aug10 Aug08 (hurley de)JENSEN P 126 15.00    
HEY WILMAAA Sep22 Sep07 Aug08 Jun30 Jun16 (magallanes )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
GRP-8   10/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE GOT SWAG Sep23 Sep08 Aug31 Aug08 Jul26 (velasque)MURO ISIDRO 124 10.00    
GRAMMY WINNER Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 2.00    
BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Sep23 Sep16 Sep07 Aug23 Aug10 (pollard eli)ELLIS DEVON 126 15.00    
DELTA DELTA Sep23 Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 Jun21 (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 126 4.50 15% 5.60    
FOYT Sep23 Aug24 Jun29 Jun22 Oct08 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 7% 13.80    
LORD OF LIGHT Sep16 Sep01 Aug09 Jun22 Jun09 (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.50 52% 0.90    
CHANCELLORS BOOM Sep16 Aug23 Jul27 Jul14 Jun21 (stewart larr)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 15.00    
DIVERSIFUL Sep23 Sep16 Aug11 Jul26 Jul13 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
GRP-9   10/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT-11:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANISH CHANNEL Sep15 Sep08 Aug25 Jul04 Jun16 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 8.00    
BLOWING BAYOU Sep29 Aug23 Aug16 Jul26 Sep17 (abrahamson m)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 6.00    
REIGN OF FIRE Sep22 Sep06 Aug04 Jul21 Jun01 (velasque)MURO ISIDRO 126 2.50 51% 0.90    
SASSY EINSTEIN Sep22 Sep09 Aug25 Aug09 Aug07 (lewis rob)JENSEN P 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S A KRAKEN Sep22 Sep15 Sep06 Aug16 Aug09 (rosale)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 4.00    
FANTASTIC SECRET Sep15 Jun30 Jun16 Oct08 Sep17 (kowalsky ha)GUERRERO C 126 15.00    
MARY WALKER Sep22 Sep06 Aug03 Jul20 Jul03 (kowalski liz)MEEKS MICAH 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
MADAME GAZELLE Sep22 Sep02 Aug25 Aug03 Jul14 (magallanes )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.00 22% 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.