Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - September 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.04 $1.04 26%
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00  5-3 $3.43 $1.43 72%
EMD-5   EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $14.22 $8.22 137%

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   09/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAKAS SECRET 2 3 1nk 1½   13 1 (nunnally jen)OROZCO E 121 5.00 4.03  
ALLANTE 5 6 3 32   23 2 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 13.57 P
JACOB YEN 3 2 4 44   33 3 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 121 1.80 36% 1.70 0.93 S
BOOGIE ON DOWN 1 1 2nk 2½   4 4 (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL 120 10.00 11.35  
SUN LA GOLD 4 4 54 5   5 5 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 121 4.50 31.72  
COY ROY 6 5 6 6   611½ 612¾ (essex charles)REYES R 121 3.50 23% 3.40 4.09  
R J HALFSHOT 7 7 7 715½   720½ 721 (asmuss)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 15.00 16% 5.20 9.24  
 
EMD-2   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:23 :452 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEKUDYLAN 3 2 3 33   2nk 1nk (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 121 5.00 29% 2.50 1.52 W
BANG AND A BOOM 2 3 2½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 121 3.00 39% 1.50 0.60 P
WAITINGATTHEBAR 4 1 1½ 2nk   32 3 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00 10.75  
MOBLEY 1 4 4 4   46 414 (simkins rosie)LOPEZ KARLO 125 10.00 10.54  
SCR  JULLIAN IN PARIS               (wenzel tom)MAWING A 121 4.00    
SCR  TENFORTHEBIGGUY               (evans justin)REYES R 121 1.40    
 
EMD-3   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:222 :451 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYRULA 3 6 2½ 1   12 1 (martinez david )LOPEZ KARLO 119 6.00 2.41  
  (by PAYNTER out of KARULA by COLONEL JOHN)
MAXIMUM SPARKLE 6 4 3 33   22 2 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 2.00 62% 0.60 1.48 P
  (by INSTAGRAND out of DIAMONDS R by ALTERNATION)
STELLZONE 2 2 43 45   4 3 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 119 4.00 6.38  
  (by UNIFIED out of LOVELY COOL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
DYNAMIC DEE DEE 1 7 65 56   5 4 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 119 4.00 15% 5.60 5.66  
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of SOMETHIN'BOUT IRIS by HARBOR THE GOLD)
TIETON RIVER 7 3 1½ 2   3 5 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.55  
  (by CONVEYANCE out of WINDY POINT by COAST GUARD)
SOCIAL PROMISE 4 1 5 66   6 612¼ (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 12.00 15.94  
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of SOCIAL STATEMENT by SUAVE)
DREAM PAYNTER 5 5 79 712   715½ 717¼ (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00 13.07  
  (by PAYNTER out of STAR DREAMIN by CURLIN)
SCR  SHADY HARBOR               (patino faustino)ZUNINO L 119 10.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of HIT A STAR by IHTIMAM)
 
EMD-4   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:223 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEUX MERES 2 3 32 31   1nk 1¾ (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 3.00 2.47  
TREASURE THE TIME 1 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¾ (freeman sco)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 3.50 24% 3.20 2.15 P
GALESVILLE 4 6 66 6   5 31 (wright blaine)REYES R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.30 S
PRANCING MATILDA 5 4 5 5   4 4 (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 10.00 9.07  
SWIFT CARO 6 5 2½ 2nk   3.2 5 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 2.00 34% 1.90 2.21  
SHEZA HIGH CLIMBER 3 1 4 43   6 67 (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 7.26  
SCR  SLEW MOON               (essex char)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00 14% 6.00    
 
EMD-5   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:101 1:223   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARCTIC BREEZE 3 5 38 34 31 11 14 (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 118 2.00 26% 2.80 2.04 W
YOUNG LIFE LAURA 2 3 4 24 11 21 24 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.23 P
JAMIES INHERITANCE 4 4 511 5 5 35 38 (essex charl)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.50 2.27  
FRISCO FRILLS 1 2 18 14 21 47 414 (hernandez migue)CRUZ M 122 3.50 43% 1.30 4.30  
VICTORIA'S CHARGE 5 1 28 4 42 59 515¼ (markle dan)REYES R 118 3.00 4.63  
SCR  ROPERS N WRANGLERS               (johnston)AMADOR RUIZ 122 10.00    
 
EMD-6   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
See original race card.
:221 :443 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VILIFIED 3 2 11 1½   1nk 11 (evans justin)REYES R 125 2.00 22% 3.50 0.99 W
WIREWYRE 1 3 21 2½   2nk 21 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 6.00 4.22  
LAURA'S KIDOUGH 4 5 55 3   4 3 (markle dan)CRUZ M 125 1.60 53% 0.90 2.40 S
NIGHT TO REMEMBER 5 1 45 57   35 4 (patino faustino)ZUNINO L 123 4.50 7.83  
MONGOLIAN SPRING 2 4 33 4   5 510 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 15.00 5% 19.00 10.01  
SCR  BIG DIFFERENCE               (mcdaniel l)LOPEZ KARLO 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.