Handicappers' Racing Form

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Emerald Downs
Saturday - September 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (3/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-2   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
EMD-3   Win (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-4   Win (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-5   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-6   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-7   Win (5/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-8   Win (2/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EMD-1   09/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOGIE ON DOWN Sep06 Aug23 Aug09     (cryderman ca)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 10.00    
PAKAS SECRET Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jun29 Jun15 (nunnally jenni)OROZCO E 121 5.00    
JACOB YEN Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 Jun29 Jun15 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 121 1.80 36% 1.70    
SUN LA GOLD Sep06 Aug23       (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 121 4.50    
ALLANTE Aug31 Jul12 Jun23 May25 May04 (belvoir howard)MARTIN A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
COY ROY Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jun29 Jun08 (essex charles)REYES R 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
R J HALFSHOT         (asmussen)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 15.00 16% 5.20    
 
EMD-2   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBLEY         (simkins rosie)LOPEZ KARLO 125 10.00    
SCR  TENFORTHEBIGGUY         (evans justin)REYES R 121 1.40    
BANG AND A BOOM         (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 121 3.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  JULLIAN IN PARIS Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 Jun29   (wenzel tom)MAWING A 121 4.00    
DEKUDYLAN Aug31 Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 Jun01 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 121 5.00 29% 2.50    
WAITINGATTHEBAR Sep07 Aug24 Jul12 Jun08 May04 (nunnally jenn)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00    
 
EMD-3   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHADY HARBOR         (patino faustino)ZUNINO L 119 10.00    
DYNAMIC DEE DEE Aug25 Aug09       (lucarelli fran)OROZCO E 119 4.00 15% 5.60    
STELLZONE Jul06 Jun22       (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 119 4.00    
PAYRULA         (martinez b)LOPEZ KARLO 119 6.00    
SOCIAL PROMISE Aug31 Aug10       (johnston kimb)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 12.00    
DREAM PAYNTER         (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00    
MAXIMUM SPARKLE Aug31 Aug10       (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 2.00 62% 0.60    
TIETON RIVER Aug31         (navarro )DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-4   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREASURE THE TIME Aug31 Aug17       (freeman scott)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
DEUX MERES Aug31 Jul26 Jun30 Jun14 May26 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 3.00    
SLEW MOON         (essex charle)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00 14% 6.00    
SHEZA HIGH CLIMBER Aug31 Aug17       (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
GALESVILLE Aug31 Aug17       (wright blaine)REYES R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
PRANCING MATILDA Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20   (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
SWIFT CARO Sep01         (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
EMD-5   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRISCO FRILLS Aug30 Aug17 Jul21 Jul07 Jun28 (hernandez miguel )CRUZ M 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
YOUNG LIFE LAURA Aug31 Aug04 Jul21 Jun22 May19 (silva-martinez ale)MONTALVO C 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
ARCTIC BREEZE Jul14 Jun15 May12 Mar03 Feb10 (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
ROPERS N WRANGLERS Aug31 Aug11 Jul19 Jul03 Jun16 (johnston k)AMADOR RUIZ 122 10.00    
JAMIES INHERITANCE Aug11 Jul21 Jun22 Jun08 Jun01 (essex charles)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.50    
VICTORIA'S CHARGE Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 Jun15 May26 (markle dan)REYES R 118 3.00    
 
EMD-6   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIREWYRE Sep07 Aug23 Aug11 Jul14 Jun28 (gibson howar)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 6.00    
MONGOLIAN SPRING Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jul12 Jun21 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
VILIFIED Sep06 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 May18 (evans justin)REYES R 125 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  BIG DIFFERENCE Aug18 Aug02 Jun23 May25 Mar10 (mcdaniel l)LOPEZ KARLO 123 8.00    
LAURA'S KIDOUGH Jul03 Jun14 May11 Apr27 Apr12 (markle dan)CRUZ M 125 1.60 53% 0.90    
NIGHT TO REMEMBER Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 Jul12 Aug20 (patino faustino)ZUNINO L 123 4.50    
 
EMD-7   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POP CHART Sep01 Aug11 Jul19 Jun30 Jun08 (madrigal e)AMADOR RUIZ 121 5.00    
CAPE BLOSSOM Sep01 Aug11 Jul27 Jun09   (martinez b)CRUZ M 118 6.00    
SCR  STARRY BEACH Sep09 Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 Jun03 (silva-martinez al)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
VALLEY ECHO Sep06 Jun23 Jun02 May11   (toye joe)REYES R 121 10.00 9% 10.80    
UNBRIDLED SCHOLAR Aug24 Aug09 Jul03 Jun16 May11 (wright blaine)OROZCO E 122 3.00 43% 1.40    
SECRET HOTTIE Aug04 Jul19 Jul07 Jun14 May19 (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 125 3.50 19% 4.20    
BUMPING RIVER Sep06 Aug17 Aug03 Jul07 Jun22 (navarro )DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
VERONICA'S DELIGHT Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 May11 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 118 4.00    
 
EMD-8   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECIMATE Sep01 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jun29 (rosales jorg)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 2.50    
ABRAAJ MIRAGE Aug04 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May19 (kowalski liz)OROZCO E 125 3.50 39% 1.60    
PICK A LANE FRANK Aug10 Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 (christian shawna)LOPEZ KARLO 125 15.00    
SCR  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Sep01 Aug23 Jul28 Jul13 Jun02 (johnston kimb)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 15.00    
BLAZE OF DREAMS Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 Jun02 (tubbs scott)REYES R 125 12.00 8% 11.40    
TUMAC MOUNTAIN Sep01 Aug23 Jul28 Jul12 Jun23 (navarro jose)ZUNINO L 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALWAYS GALLANT Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 Jul03 (martinez b)MAWING A 118 20.00    
MOJAVE (GB) Sep01 Aug16 Jul20 Jul12 Jun22 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 125 4.50 26% 2.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.