Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - September 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (3/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/5)-(3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/5)-(3/5)-(7/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(7/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(7/2/8)-(7/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-3   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/4/8)-(7/2/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/8)-(7/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8)-(7/1/3/5)-(1/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/5)-(1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/5)-(1/3/2)-(5/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/6/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-6   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(5/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(5/6/4/7)-(2/9/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-7   WIN (5/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/7)-(2/9/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EMD-8   WIN (2/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/7)-(2/9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/7)-(2/9/6/7)-(2/9/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   09/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOGIE ON DOWN Sep06 Aug23 Aug09     (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL 120 10.00    
2  PAKAS SECRET Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jun29 Jun15 (nunnally jen)OROZCO E 121 5.00    
3  JACOB YEN Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 Jun29 Jun15 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 121 1.80 36% 1.70    
4  SUN LA GOLD Sep06 Aug23       (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 121 4.50    
5  ALLANTE Aug31 Jul12 Jun23 May25 May04 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  COY ROY Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jun29 Jun08 (essex charles)REYES R 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
7  R J HALFSHOT         (asmuss)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 15.00 16% 5.20    
 
EMD-2   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBLEY         (simkins rosie)LOPEZ KARLO 125 10.00    
SCR  TENFORTHEBIGGUY         (evans justin)REYES R 121 1.40    
3  BANG AND A BOOM         (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 121 3.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  JULLIAN IN PARIS Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 Jun29   (wenzel tom)MAWING A 121 4.00    
5  DEKUDYLAN Aug31 Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 Jun01 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 121 5.00 29% 2.50    
6  WAITINGATTHEBAR Sep07 Aug24 Jul12 Jun08 May04 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00    
 
EMD-3   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHADY HARBOR         (patino faustino)ZUNINO L 119 10.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of HIT A STAR by IHTIMAM)
2  DYNAMIC DEE DEE Aug25 Aug09       (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 119 4.00 15% 5.60    
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of SOMETHIN'BOUT IRIS by HARBOR THE GOLD)
3  STELLZONE Jul06 Jun22       (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 119 4.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of LOVELY COOL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  PAYRULA         (martinez david )LOPEZ KARLO 119 6.00 ★    
  (by PAYNTER out of KARULA by COLONEL JOHN)
5  SOCIAL PROMISE Aug31 Aug10       (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 12.00    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of SOCIAL STATEMENT by SUAVE)
6  DREAM PAYNTER         (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of STAR DREAMIN by CURLIN)
7  MAXIMUM SPARKLE Aug31 Aug10       (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 2.00 62% 0.60    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of DIAMONDS R by ALTERNATION)
8  TIETON RIVER Aug31         (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of WINDY POINT by COAST GUARD)
 
EMD-4   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREASURE THE TIME Aug31 Aug17       (freeman sco)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
2  DEUX MERES Aug31 Jul26 Jun30 Jun14 May26 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 3.00    
SCR  SLEW MOON         (essex char)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00 14% 6.00    
4  SHEZA HIGH CLIMBER Aug31 Aug17       (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
5  GALESVILLE Aug31 Aug17       (wright blaine)REYES R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRANCING MATILDA Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20   (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
7  SWIFT CARO Sep01         (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
EMD-5   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRISCO FRILLS Aug30 Aug17 Jul21 Jul07 Jun28 (hernandez migue)CRUZ M 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
2  YOUNG LIFE LAURA Aug31 Aug04 Jul21 Jun22 May19 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  ARCTIC BREEZE Jul14 Jun15 May12 Mar03 Feb10 (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Aug31 Aug11 Jul19 Jul03 Jun16 (johnston)AMADOR RUIZ 122 10.00    
5  JAMIES INHERITANCE Aug11 Jul21 Jun22 Jun08 Jun01 (essex charl)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.50    
6  VICTORIA'S CHARGE Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 Jun15 May26 (markle dan)REYES R 118 3.00    
 
EMD-6   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIREWYRE Sep07 Aug23 Aug11 Jul14 Jun28 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 6.00    
2  MONGOLIAN SPRING Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jul12 Jun21 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  VILIFIED Sep06 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 May18 (evans justin)REYES R 125 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  BIG DIFFERENCE Aug18 Aug02 Jun23 May25 Mar10 (mcdaniel l)LOPEZ KARLO 123 8.00    
5  LAURA'S KIDOUGH Jul03 Jun14 May11 Apr27 Apr12 (markle dan)CRUZ M 125 1.60 53% 0.90    
6  NIGHT TO REMEMBER Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 Jul12 Aug20 (patino faustino)ZUNINO L 123 4.50    
 
EMD-7   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POP CHART Sep01 Aug11 Jul19 Jun30 Jun08 (madrigal)AMADOR RUIZ 121 5.00    
2  CAPE BLOSSOM Sep01 Aug11 Jul27 Jun09   (martinez david )CRUZ M 118 6.00    
SCR  STARRY BEACH Sep09 Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 Jun03 (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
4  VALLEY ECHO Sep06 Jun23 Jun02 May11   (toye joe)REYES R 121 10.00 9% 10.80    
5  UNBRIDLED SCHOLAR Aug24 Aug09 Jul03 Jun16 May11 (wright blain)OROZCO E 122 3.00 43% 1.40    
6  SECRET HOTTIE Aug04 Jul19 Jul07 Jun14 May19 (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 125 3.50 19% 4.20    
7  BUMPING RIVER Sep06 Aug17 Aug03 Jul07 Jun22 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  VERONICA'S DELIGHT Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 May11 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 118 4.00    
 
EMD-8   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECIMATE Sep01 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jun29 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 2.50    
2  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Aug04 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May19 (kowalski liz)OROZCO E 125 3.50 39% 1.60    
3  PICK A LANE FRANK Aug10 Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 (christian shawn)LOPEZ KARLO 125 15.00    
SCR  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Sep01 Aug23 Jul28 Jul13 Jun02 (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 15.00    
6  BLAZE OF DREAMS Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 Jun02 (tubbs scott)REYES R 125 12.00 8% 11.40    
7  TUMAC MOUNTAIN Sep01 Aug23 Jul28 Jul12 Jun23 (navarro jose)ZUNINO L 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ALWAYS GALLANT Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 Jul03 (martinez b)MAWING A 118 20.00    
9  MOJAVE (GB) Sep01 Aug16 Jul20 Jul12 Jun22 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 125 4.50 26% 2.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.