Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - November 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (7/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $5.40  
TUP-4   Win (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $21.80 $21.80 13.80
TUP-5   Win (8/9/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $20.00 $20.00 10.00
TUP-6   Win (5/2/4/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $13.40  
TUP-7   Win (3/2/7/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TUP-8   Win (2/3/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $3.00  
TUP-9   Win (7/3/9/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $18.40 $18.40 8.40

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   11/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:22 :444       :51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOJAVE (GB) 4 2 21     2½ 11 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 124 5.00 1.70  
ADIOS COOL ARROWS 2 1 11     1½ 21 (silva juan )ULLOA JOAN 121 5.00 1.70  
BEST CHOICE BABY 7 6 55     4 34 (wolf ashlee)REYES R 124 8.00 6% 15.20 8.10 S
TRIBUNAL LOVE 8 3 3     3 4 (baze robert)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 12.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
STORMIN FAST 3 7 7     57 56 (ferguson curt)VERGARA P 124 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
SIMONSITO 6 5 67     7 6 (velasquez ri)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00 71% 0.40 5.50  
POOF HE'S GONE 5 4 45     6 79 (ferguson curt)MONTALVO C 124 3.00 8.00  
FIGHT ME 1 8 810¾     813¼ 814½ (figueroa ju)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 70.80  
SCR  HAPPY HOUR BOBBY               (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
 
TUP-4   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:122 1:26   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTOFQUEMADO 1 2 4 3 2 12 11 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 6.00 12% 7.40 9.90 W
HARBOR THUNDER 8 7 6 55 35 33 21 (belvoir vann)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 2.90  
ZEN STATE 7 3 53 6 45 43 3 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 121 12.00 9.40  
WAR ON THE WEST 5 6 1½ 11 1 22 47 (chambers mike)KHELAWAN KERRON 121 4.00 3.90  
DAVID'S FAITH 2 4 7 78 611 511 515 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 25.70  
CHARLIE'S MAN 4 8 89 811 812¾ 712½ 617¼ (tubbs scott)REYES R 124 8.00 17% 4.80 8.20  
BENNY BUCKETS 6 5 2½ 21 5 611½ 717½ (silva-martinez ale)MONTALVO C 121 8.00 11% 7.80 40.50  
THOMPSON 3 1 32 4 712½ 815 821½ (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 1.60 22% 3.60 1.20  
 
TUP-5   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:121 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER SHANDEE 3 9 8 7 6 32 1 (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 124 5.00 8% 12.00 9.00 W
MARQUET MALICE 4 8 7 5 32 2½ 2 (rosales jorg)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00 29.60  
BEL RAGAZZO 7 2 1½ 1nk 11 1½ 3 (kereluk edwa)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.30 S
MARKSMAN ON TARGET 1 1 41 6 5 4 4 (bean a)CRUZ M 124 4.00 7.40  
CALIFORNIA SWING 2 5 6 8 7 56 55 (woolley benn)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
SURPRISE FASHION 8 4 3½ 31 43 68 67 (rosales j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 43% 1.30 3.20  
ESTEEMED 6 7 9 911¼ 99 710 7 (macvittie william )MONTALVO C 124 15.00 71.80  
STRYDER 5 6 52 4 8 813 813¼ (rojero c)REYES R 124 8.00 15.30  
EL TOMATE 9 3 2½ 2nk 21 915½ 923½ (silva a)MOJICA O 124 3.00 29% 2.50 1.30  
 
TUP-6   11/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO IS PAVEL 1 4 1½ 11   1 1 (bean a)TOHILL S 121 5.00 5.70  
BENNIGAN 7 2 2½ 21   3 2 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 12.00 6.50  
CHIRAG 5 3 3½ 3   2 35 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 3.60  
BIG MOONIE 2 6 42 4   46 4 (villamar candelar)ARANA MINOR 121 10.00 22% 3.50 32.10  
LISA'S DOCTOR S 6 8 7 610   5 510½ (belvoir vann)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 6.00 12% 7.40 5.20  
M K BIRTHDAY 3 7 5 510   610 611¾ (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 121 10.00 13% 6.60 6.90  
10  PAISLEES PROMISE 8 1 810 813   815 715¼ (bean a)CRUZ M 121 20.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
DRIVE FOR SHOW 4 5 68 710½   712½ 816½ (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 2.50 29% 2.50 1.50  
SCR  MOBLEY               (carlson a)REYES R 124 12.00    
SCR  WINSITWELL               (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 3.50    
 
TUP-7   11/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
See original race card.
:222 :45       :504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAT'S PADDOCK PICK 2 1 1nk     13 1 (martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 30% 2.30 1.60 W
JUSTIN AZTECA 5 5 6     55 2 (lund valorie)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 3.50 P
CRYPTO CONSPIRACY 3 2 2nk     23 36 (valerio g)CRUZ M 121 3.50 36% 1.80 7.00 S
QUINTECENTS 6 3 3     3 47 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 124 5.00 2.60  
THIS IS A JOKE 4 7 43     4 58 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 124 4.50 4.40  
10  CAP GREELEY 10 10 9     7 6 (barraza s)VERGARA P 121 10.00 45.60  
WE GOT SWAG 7 4 5     67 710½ (velasquez r)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00 6% 14.50 74.50  
MINNY SPEIGHTSTER 8 6 87     8 810¾ (silva pablo)MONTALVO C 121 15.00 5% 19.00 52.30  
THUSLY INSPIRED 9 9 7     910¼ 911¾ (homer jason)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 59.80  
YOU'RE MY BOY KAT 1 8 1011¾     1014¾ 1014¼ (marin marti)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 64.70  
SCR  APLOMBADO               (torres-casas)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00    
SCR  QUEBECK (ARG)               (silva pablo)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
 
TUP-8   11/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hank Mills Jr. Overnight Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:02
See original race card.
:214 :433 1:073     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDLINE 6 2 3 43   3½ 12 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 4.00 0.50  
COASTAL JAZZ 2 4 21 2½   1½ 22 (evans justin)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 10.00 16% 5.20 5.00 P
10  CHUCKANUT BAY 7 1 11 1½   2½ 3 (rosales jorge)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.10 S
ARMA D'ORO 1 6 53 32   42 4 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 124 3.50 42% 1.40 2.80  
TENTH STREET DON 5 7 7 67   58 5 (lund valorie)CARMONA SERAFIN 124 15.00 29.40  
COASTAL KID 4 3 4 5   69 612¼ (silva-martinez al)CRUZ M 122 10.00 13% 6.70 16.60  
OHHH DADDY 3 5 6 79   713½ 716½ (rojero luis)VALENZUELA A 120 20.00 50.20  
SCR  EXXEL               (gutierrez)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00    
SCR  QUEENS EFFORT               (figue)VALENZUELA RAUL 120 30.00    
SCR  READS PET ZENON               (rojero c)REYES R 120 20.00    
SCR  TONY'S TAPIT               (guti)DA FAUSTO 124 1.40    
 
TUP-9   11/14/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:242 :471 1:114     1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOCHING 9 5 1 1   13 11 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.50 11% 7.90 8.20 W
WARRIOR LADY 8 7 712 6   4 21 (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 122 3.50 4.00  
FOREST ACCLAMATION 4 3 44 5   3 3 (fearon johnat)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 15.00 46.20  
LUNAR UNIT 3 4 6 710¼   55 4 (vitali j)VERGARA P 122 3.00 16% 5.40 1.80  
UNIFIED A. P. 2 1 2 2   23 5 (freeman edwar)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 5.00 3.50  
DREWY 1 2 5 4   6 6 (birdwell te)VALENZUELA A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 20.10  
DELUSIONAL DREAM 6 9 814½ 812¼   710 711¼ (woolley benn)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 6.00 6.80  
BIG JOLT 5 8 915½ 913¾   813½ 817¼ (hernandez migu)MARTIN A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 30.60  
NOBLE TESS 7 6 34 3   917 923½ (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 47% 1.10 5.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.