Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - November 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (7/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/9)-(7/8/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/9)-(7/8/3/9)-(7/8/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/3/9)-(3/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/9)-(3/4/1/6)-(8/9/3/2/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-4   WIN (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/6)-(8/9/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/6)-(8/9/3/2/7)-(5/2/4/7/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-5   WIN (8/9/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/3/2/7)-(8/9/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/3/2/7)-(8/9/3/2/7)-(8/9/3/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/3/2/7)-(5/2/4/7/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/9/3/2/7)-(5/2/4/7/10)-(3/2/7/8/5) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-6   WIN (5/2/4/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/7/10)-(5/2/4/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/7/10)-(5/2/4/7/10)-(5/2/4/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/4/7/10)-(3/2/7/8/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/7/10)-(3/2/7/8/5)-(2/3/6/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/2/7/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/8/5)-(3/2/7/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/8/5)-(3/2/7/8/5)-(3/2/7/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/7/8/5)-(2/3/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/8/5)-(2/3/6/10)-(7/3/9/1/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/3/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/10)-(2/3/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/10)-(2/3/6/10)-(2/3/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/10)-(7/3/9/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-9   WIN (7/3/9/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/9/1/5)-(7/3/9/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/9/1/5)-(7/3/9/1/5)-(7/3/9/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   11/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHT ME Apr22 Apr11 Mar25 Mar11 Feb26 (figueroa )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
2  ADIOS COOL ARROWS Sep24 Sep11 Aug04 Jul24 Jun04 (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 121 5.00    
3  STORMIN FAST Sep19 Aug31 May05 Mar28 Mar15 (ferguson curt)VERGARA P 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HAPPY HOUR BOBBY Oct20 Sep28 Sep19 Sep02 Aug17 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
5  MOJAVE (GB) Sep01 Aug16 Jul20 Jul12 Jun22 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
6  POOF HE'S GONE Sep26 Sep15 Aug31 Aug04 Jul19 (ferguson curt)MONTALVO C 124 3.00    
7  SIMONSITO Oct14 Sep16 Aug25 Jun29 Jun22 (velasquez )AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00 71% 0.40    
8  BEST CHOICE BABY Apr22 Nov07 Oct03 Sep06 Aug16 (wolf ashlee)REYES R 124 8.00 6% 15.20    
9  TRIBUNAL LOVE Oct13 Sep29 Sep16 Aug30 Jul19 (baze robert)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTOFQUEMADO Aug31 Aug04 Jul14 Jun28 Jun15 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 6.00 12% 7.40    
2  DAVID'S FAITH Sep25 Jul11 Jun23 Jun08 May26 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
3  THOMPSON Sep24 Apr27 Mar23 Feb11 Dec10 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 1.60 22% 3.60    
4  CHARLIE'S MAN Aug31 Aug23 Jul19 Jun28 Jun15 (tubbs scott)REYES R 124 8.00 17% 4.80    
5  WAR ON THE WEST Oct05 Sep06 Aug04 Jun01 May04 (chambers mi)KHELAWAN KERRON 121 4.00    
6  BENNY BUCKETS Sep08 Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 121 8.00 11% 7.80    
7  ZEN STATE Oct06 Jul28 May25 May04 Mar09 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 121 12.00    
8  HARBOR THUNDER Aug22 Jun30 May25 Mar27 Mar06 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
 
TUP-5   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Oct11 Oct04 Sep07 Aug25 Aug16 (bean a)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
2  CALIFORNIA SWING Sep25 Sep05 Aug10 Jul28 Jun27 (woolley be)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUMMER SHANDEE Oct14 Oct06 Sep29 Sep23 Sep07 (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 124 5.00 8% 12.00    
4  MARQUET MALICE Sep18 Sep05 Aug14 Aug08 Jul22 (rosales jo)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00    
5  STRYDER Oct04 Sep13 May11 Apr28 Apr20 (rojero c)REYES R 124 8.00    
6  ESTEEMED Oct25 Oct13 Oct05 Sep11 May11 (macvittie willia)MONTALVO C 124 15.00    
7  BEL RAGAZZO Jul14 Jun30 Jun01 May04 Apr24 (kereluk ed)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SURPRISE FASHION Oct14 Sep29 Sep23 Sep13 Aug30 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
9  EL TOMATE Sep21 Sep02 Aug22 Jul25 Jun23 (silva a)MOJICA O 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
TUP-6   11/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO IS PAVEL Oct04 Sep22 Aug25 Jun30 Nov24 (bean a)TOHILL S 121 5.00    
2  BIG MOONIE Oct16 Sep02 Mar18 Sep10 Jul16 (villamar candel)ARANA MINOR 121 10.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  WINSITWELL Oct11 Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 Jul25 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 3.50    
4  M K BIRTHDAY Sep01 Aug04       (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 121 10.00 13% 6.60    
5  DRIVE FOR SHOW Oct04 Sep13 Aug25 Jun29 Jun09 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
6  CHIRAG Sep15 Aug16 Jul07 Apr29   (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
7  LISA'S DOCTOR S Sep20 Jul25 Jul07 Jun09 May10 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 6.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  MOBLEY Sep14         (carlson a)REYES R 124 12.00    
9  BENNIGAN Sep19 Sep07 Aug08     (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 12.00    
10  PAISLEES PROMISE Oct12 Sep22 Aug04 Jul07 Jun23 (bean a)CRUZ M 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   11/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Aug18 Aug11 Jul21 Jun29 Jun15 (marin mar)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
2  PAT'S PADDOCK PICK Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 Jun16 May27 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  CRYPTO CONSPIRACY Oct06 Sep08 Aug17 Apr30 Apr15 (valerio raymond)CRUZ M 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
4  THIS IS A JOKE Sep14 Jun30 Jun13     (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 124 4.50    
5  JUSTIN AZTECA Sep28 Sep02 Aug24 Aug15 Aug01 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  QUINTECENTS Oct04 Sep20 Aug25 Jun14 May24 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 124 5.00    
7  WE GOT SWAG Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Aug31 Aug08 (velasquez)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00 6% 14.50    
8  MINNY SPEIGHTSTER Sep25 Aug27 Aug14 Jul25 Jul17 (silva pablo)MONTALVO C 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  THUSLY INSPIRED Oct18 Oct06 Sep07 Aug17 Jun29 (homer jason)REYES R 124 12.00    
10  CAP GREELEY Oct16 Oct02 Sep18     (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 121 10.00    
SCR  APLOMBADO Oct14 Oct06 Sep08 Aug25 Aug16 (torres-cas)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00    
SCR  QUEBECK (ARG) Oct01 Sep16 Aug11     (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
 
TUP-8   11/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hank Mills Jr. Overnight Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EXXEL Sep21 Sep05 Aug11 Jul03 Jun07 (gutierr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of LEMON DROP BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
2  ARMA D'ORO Oct13 Aug31 Aug11 Jul21 Jun16 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by VIOLENCE out of GOLD DUST LADY by CHAPEL ROYAL)
3  COASTAL JAZZ Sep29 Sep15 Jul28 Jul14 Jun29 (evans just)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 10.00 16% 5.20    
  (by COAST GUARD out of JASMINE'S MELODY by ARTAX)
SCR  TONY'S TAPIT Sep21 Aug25 Aug11 Jul03 Jun16 (gu)DA FAUSTO 124 1.40    
  (by TONALIST out of AUTUMN WEDDING by RUNAWAY GROOM)
5  OHHH DADDY May19 May11 Mar22 Feb22 Jan19 (rojero lu)VALENZUELA A 120 20.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of WEDDING IN SORANO by PIONEERING)
6  COASTAL KID Oct06 Sep15 Jul28 Jul21 Jun23 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 122 10.00 13% 6.70    
  (by COAST GUARD out of CREME by SOMERSHAM)
7  TENTH STREET DON Sep21 Sep02 Aug24 Jul28 Jun09 (lund valori)CARMONA SERAFIN 124 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MAJESTIC MARQUET by PROUD ACCOLADE)
8  REDLINE Sep20 Aug24 Jul28 Jul07 Jun30 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 4.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of GUADALUPE HIGH by CUVEE)
SCR  QUEENS EFFORT Nov13 Aug17 Aug04 May12 Apr23 (fig)VALENZUELA RAUL 120 30.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of QUEEN KATE by IRON CAT)
10  CHUCKANUT BAY Sep23 Aug25 Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 (rosales jor)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ABRAAJ out of ZENOVIT by PRIVATE GOLD)
SCR  READS PET ZENON Nov12 Oct11 Sep26 Sep12 Aug17 (rojero c)REYES R 120 20.00    
  (by FUSAICHI ZENON out of SASSY SILK PET by SLEW'S POT OF GOLD)
 
TUP-9   11/14/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREWY Sep08 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun21 (birdwell )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  UNIFIED A. P. Oct12 Sep15 Sep08 Aug08 Dec16 (freeman edw)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 5.00    
3  LUNAR UNIT Aug22 Jul18 Jun24 May04 Apr10 (vitali j)VERGARA P 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
4  FOREST ACCLAMATION Sep08 Aug23 Jul14 Jul03 Jun22 (fearon john)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 15.00    
5  BIG JOLT Sep15 Sep06 Aug16 Aug04 Jul27 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  DELUSIONAL DREAM Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 Jul14 Jun29 (woolley be)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 6.00    
7  NOBLE TESS Sep18 Aug22 Jul14 Jun29 May03 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 47% 1.10    
8  WARRIOR LADY Sep29 Aug08 Jul05 May24 Apr07 (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 122 3.50    
9  SMOOCHING Oct20 Sep29 Sep07 Aug04 Jun25 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.50 11% 7.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.