Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Arapahoe Park
Sunday - October 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-4   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.60 $2.60 43%
ARP-6   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $4.60 $0.60 15%
ARP-7   EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-5 $44.60 $32.60 272%
ARP-8   WIN (7/10/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.20 $1.20 15%
    DD (1/3/5)-(7/10/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-1 $39.40 $15.40 64%

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNUSUAL WIN 8 2 11 11   12 1 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 6.70  
DAX A DREAMING 5 7 6 4   22 2 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 6.00 P
TIZKANDOIT 1 4 7 7   6 38 (rushton temp)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 48% 1.10 5.30 S
11  ORO 10 1 21 3   5 49 (jenkins re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 8.70  
NON TOXIC 3 3 5 53   45 510¼ (rust terr)IRONEYES R 119 8.00 29% 2.50 3.20  
STAYIN' OUT LATE 2 5 31 21   35 611¼ (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 124 6.00 42.30  
JUST N JACK 7 11 11 9   7 713½ (haar j)RAMOS B 122 6.00 5.20  
WOLFRAM 4 6 10 11   912¾ 817¼ (mitchell chr)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 10.00 5% 19.00 ######  
10  CHICKEN N BISCUIT 9 10 9 8   812¼ 917¾ (esquibel mark)LARSEN S 124 10.00 16.70  
12  SASSY B KEEN 11 8 42 6   1013¾ 1019¾ (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 4.70  
TIZ RED TIME 6 9 8 10   1116¾ 1125¼ (thompson gra)CARDENAS JACOB 124 8.00 17.70  
SCR  TIME TO SKIP TOWN               (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50    
 
ARP-3   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :464 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUROWENDI 2 3 32 3½   1 12 (gleason t)IRONEYES R 116 2.50 0.50  
T R'S FIRST 1 4 4 4   4 22 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 12% 7.40 3.30 P
SABRIA 3 1 1 1½   2 33 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 12% 7.60 5.30 S
JUST REMEMBER 4 2 2 2½   3 4 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 4.50 40% 1.50 3.40  
SCR  RAY AREWETHEREYET               (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
SCR  UNPLUCKED GEM               (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50    
SCR  WINZE               (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00    
 
ARP-4   10/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:22 :453 :58     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIUS 3 3 42 3   11 11 (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 50% 1.00 3.30 W
TULSA TIME 5 2 1nk 1½   21 21 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 2.50 1.50  
CRYSTAL BANDIT 1 4 53 55   44 3 (ortega joe)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 10.00 5.30  
THIRTYMINUTEMASS 4 6 68 69   67 4 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
MR NAVIGATOR 2 5 2nk 2½   34 5 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 18% 4.50 9.40  
ELIOT NESS 6 1 31 43   56 610 (ramaekers )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 3.00  
 
ARP-5   10/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUEZ 2 6 52 5   3½ 1nk (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 2.40  
OPTIMAL 4 4 42 4   2nk 2nk (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 8.00 6% 14.70 8.30 P
DANCE FOR RANSOM 5 5 1½ 1nk   1nk 3 (schindler je)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 5.30  
TAP THE BRAKES 1 7 7 6   42 4 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 4.10  
PREACHER 7 2 2½ 3.2   5 5 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 47% 1.10 9.00  
EL CAPRICHO 8 1 6 7   75 68 (stubblefi)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 6.40  
GREY POINT 6 3 31 2nk   63 7 (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 18% 4.40 3.50  
APOLLO BAY 3 8 811¾ 811¼   812 816¼ (ibanez alberto)ARANA JOSE 124 10.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
 
ARP-6   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :454 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JET STREAM 2 2 34 36   23 1½ (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 122 8.00 6% 14.40 1.30 W
  (by CONGRATS out of AVIATING by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
GRACEFULLYBROKE 4 1 2nk 13   13 2½ (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 116 2.50 1.40  
  (by APACHE PARK out of BROKEANLOVINGIT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
BRUTAL BUSINESS 1 3 1nk 23   38 314½ (rust terri)RAMOS B 122 4.50 50% 1.00 2.80 S
  (by DADS CAPS out of ORBITAL by FIRST DEFENCE)
TIZ GIGI 3 4 46 411   415 425½ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 7.00  
  (by APACHE PARK out of TIZ CABBAGE by TIZNOW)
SCR  LEAF OF WISDOM               (lavanway days)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50    
  (by THE BRAIN out of LOST MY LEAF by VALID WAGER)
 
ARP-7   10/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Mount Elbert Purse ($45K) 3UP C/G PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142 1:401   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLUSIONIST 3 3 3 42 5 3.2 11 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 25% 3.00 1.70 W
  (by EZ EFFORT out of PRETTY AMAZING by BENCHMARK)
TOMBI 5 5 5 32 3.2 1nk 21 (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 12.60 P
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of NTOMBI by QUIET AMERICAN)
QUICKTRIP VAN 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 4 3 (vicchrilli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 37% 1.70 1.60 S
  (by ZIP QUIK out of BLISSFUL TRIP by TRIPPI)
WHEELER DEALER 4 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 44 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 1.70  
  (by ZIP QUIK out of SHEETS by SCATMANDU)
WIN FOR FUN 2 4 4 5 4¼ 5 5 (rushton t)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 17.10  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of JUST FUNNIN' YA by CITY ZIP)
 
ARP-8   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOMANYNAMES 1 2 1½ 1   15 111½ (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 122 10.00 13% 6.60 3.60 W
OBSIDIAN GOLD 5 3 3½ 54   4 211½ (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 124 3.00 10.50  
OUR BUBBY BOY 4 1 2½ 4   36 312¼ (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 121 3.50 37% 1.70 1.40 S
COLONEL PUNCH 6 6 5 2   25 417 (lavanway day)NUNNALLY BLAKE 122 6.00 20.10  
10  MALIBU SANGRIA 7 4 4¾ 3   58 518¼ (rust terr)IRONEYES R 117 4.50 17% 5.00 2.40  
BEAUTIFUL JUDGE 2 5 6 67   610 619¾ (curran randy)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 6.00 14.00  
MORE THAN EASY 3 7 712¼ 79   710 720½ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
SCR  ALL ABOUT MISCHIEF               (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 119 8.00    
SCR  CHERRY RIVER               (oliver kim)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 2.50    
SCR  OLD FASHION TIME               (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 121 10.00    
SCR  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY               (stubblefield kenne)LARSEN S 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.