Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - October 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $15.40  
ARP-3   Win (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $3.00  
ARP-4   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
ARP-5   Win (7/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $6.80  
ARP-6   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 0.60
ARP-7   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
ARP-8   Win (7/10/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNUSUAL WIN 8 2 11 11   12 1 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 6.70  
DAX A DREAMING 5 7 6 4   22 2 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 6.00 P
TIZKANDOIT 1 4 7 7   6 38 (rushton temple)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 48% 1.10 5.30 S
11  ORO 10 1 21 3   5 49 (jenkins reed)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 8.70  
NON TOXIC 3 3 5 53   45 510¼ (rust terri)IRONEYES R 119 8.00 29% 2.50 3.20  
STAYIN' OUT LATE 2 5 31 21   35 611¼ (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 124 6.00 42.30  
JUST N JACK 7 11 11 9   7 713½ (haar j)RAMOS B 122 6.00 5.20  
WOLFRAM 4 6 10 11   912¾ 817¼ (mitchell chris)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 10.00 5% 19.00 ######  
10  CHICKEN N BISCUIT 9 10 9 8   812¼ 917¾ (esquibel mark)LARSEN S 124 10.00 16.70  
12  SASSY B KEEN 11 8 42 6   1013¾ 1019¾ (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 4.70  
TIZ RED TIME 6 9 8 10   1116¾ 1125¼ (thompson grady)CARDENAS JACOB 124 8.00 17.70  
SCR  TIME TO SKIP TOWN               (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50    
 
ARP-3   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :464 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUROWENDI 2 3 32 3½   1 12 (gleason tyr)IRONEYES R 116 2.50 0.50  
T R'S FIRST 1 4 4 4   4 22 (hibdon n)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 12% 7.40 3.30 P
SABRIA 3 1 1 1½   2 33 (arceo salva)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 12% 7.60 5.30 S
JUST REMEMBER 4 2 2 2½   3 4 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 4.50 40% 1.50 3.40  
SCR  RAY AREWETHEREYET               (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
SCR  UNPLUCKED GEM               (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50    
SCR  WINZE               (rushton stac)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00    
 
ARP-4   10/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:22 :453 :58     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIUS 3 3 42 3   11 11 (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 50% 1.00 3.30 W
TULSA TIME 5 2 1nk 1½   21 21 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 2.50 1.50  
CRYSTAL BANDIT 1 4 53 55   44 3 (ortega joe)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 10.00 5.30  
THIRTYMINUTEMASS 4 6 68 69   67 4 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
MR NAVIGATOR 2 5 2nk 2½   34 5 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 18% 4.50 9.40  
ELIOT NESS 6 1 31 43   56 610 (ramaekers er)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 3.00  
 
ARP-5   10/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUEZ 2 6 52 5   3½ 1nk (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 2.40  
OPTIMAL 4 4 42 4   2nk 2nk (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 8.00 6% 14.70 8.30 P
DANCE FOR RANSOM 5 5 1½ 1nk   1nk 3 (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 5.30  
TAP THE BRAKES 1 7 7 6   42 4 (arceo salva)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 4.10  
PREACHER 7 2 2½ 3.2   5 5 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 47% 1.10 9.00  
EL CAPRICHO 8 1 6 7   75 68 (stubblefiel)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 6.40  
GREY POINT 6 3 31 2nk   63 7 (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 18% 4.40 3.50  
APOLLO BAY 3 8 811¾ 811¼   812 816¼ (ibanez alberto)ARANA JOSE 124 10.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
 
ARP-6   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :454 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JET STREAM 2 2 34 36   23 1½ (rushton sta)MEDINA ANGEL 122 8.00 6% 14.40 1.30 W
GRACEFULLYBROKE 4 1 2nk 13   13 2½ (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 116 2.50 1.40  
BRUTAL BUSINESS 1 3 1nk 23   38 314½ (rust terri)RAMOS B 122 4.50 50% 1.00 2.80 S
TIZ GIGI 3 4 46 411   415 425½ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 7.00  
SCR  LEAF OF WISDOM               (lavanway dayson)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50    
 
ARP-7   10/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Mount Elbert Purse ($45K) 3UP C/G PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142 1:401   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLUSIONIST 3 3 3 42 5 3.2 11 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 25% 3.00 1.70 W
TOMBI 5 5 5 32 3.2 1nk 21 (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 12.60 P
QUICKTRIP VAN 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 4 3 (vicchrilli r)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 37% 1.70 1.60 S
WHEELER DEALER 4 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 44 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 1.70  
WIN FOR FUN 2 4 4 5 4¼ 5 5 (rushton tem)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 17.10  
 
ARP-8   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOMANYNAMES 1 2 1½ 1   15 111½ (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 122 10.00 13% 6.60 3.60 W
OBSIDIAN GOLD 5 3 3½ 54   4 211½ (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 124 3.00 10.50  
OUR BUBBY BOY 4 1 2½ 4   36 312¼ (rushton ste)MEDINA ANGEL 121 3.50 37% 1.70 1.40 S
COLONEL PUNCH 6 6 5 2   25 417 (lavanway dayso)NUNNALLY BLAKE 122 6.00 20.10  
10  MALIBU SANGRIA 7 4 4¾ 3   58 518¼ (rust terri)IRONEYES R 117 4.50 17% 5.00 2.40  
BEAUTIFUL JUDGE 2 5 6 67   610 619¾ (curran randy)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 6.00 14.00  
MORE THAN EASY 3 7 712¼ 79   710 720½ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
SCR  ALL ABOUT MISCHIEF               (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 119 8.00    
SCR  CHERRY RIVER               (oliver kim)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 2.50    
SCR  OLD FASHION TIME               (rushton ste)MEDINA ANGEL 121 10.00    
SCR  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY               (stubblefield kenneth)LARSEN S 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.