Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - October 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-5   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 5.80
ARP-6   Win (3/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  
ARP-7   Win (3/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
ARP-8   Win (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-5   10/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :463 :60     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINCO GAL 2 1 13 12   12 13 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.90 W
STAND BY TIME 1 4 3 5   22 23 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 8.00 8.10  
MAYA D 3 2 23 32   43 3 (martinez a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.00 54% 0.80 3.10 S
SKYLAR'S FIRE 4 3 5 43   33 4 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 3.60  
JUST A SEC 6 5 4 22   55 510¼ (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 3.50 18% 4.50 3.50  
IMA HAPPY DANCER 5 6 6 6   611 618¾ (rushton stetso)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 4.50 2.50  
 
ARP-6   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA BREEZE BOY 2 1 11 1   13 1 (lavanway dayson)CARDOSO DAVID 124 5.00 15% 5.60 2.20 W
OUR BUBBY BOY 3 2 21 2   23 2 (rushton ste)IRONEYES R 116 3.50 37% 1.70 5.40 P
PROOF OF PURCHASE 1 4 45 55   36 3 (rushton sta)MEDINA ANGEL 122 10.00 9.60  
JUST N JACK 6 5 6 67   58 4 (haar j)RAMOS B 122 8.00 10.70  
DAX A DREAMING 4 6 78 7   6 512 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 4.50 4.90  
COLONEL PUNCH 5 7 5 44   47 612¼ (lavanway day)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
OBSIDIAN GOLD 7 3 31 33   710 716¼ (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 124 2.50 27% 2.80 4.70  
 
ARP-7   10/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUEZ 3 1 21 22   11 1¾ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 35% 1.80 3.00 W
RANDOM AFFAIR 1 4 4 3   31 2¾ (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 12% 7.30 8.00 P
RIVERSPORT 2 5 65 54   43 3 (ibanez alberto)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 5.50  
PAYNTER'S BOY 5 7 77 65   5 4 (rushton temp)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 4.00  
TOOTHLESS WONDER 7 3 11 12   21 5 (scudder j)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 4.50 17% 4.80 4.10  
BRON AND THE BROW 4 6 55 7   6 612¾ (childs russell)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
FUNNY ACTOR 6 2 3 44   7 716 (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 124 10.00 9.90  
 
ARP-8   10/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Columbine Purse ($38.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:113 1:40   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENNESSEE MOON 6 3 11 11 12 15 1 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.00 15% 5.70 1.20 W
LOVELY LOLA 1 1 6 5 45 25 2 (ortega joe)RAMOS B 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.80 P
LORRAINE'S LEGACY 4 6 5 610½ 5 38 316 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 7% 13.20 6.00 S
BEHOLD THAT WORD 2 2 711½ 718½ 610¼ 412 418¼ (rushton ste)IRONEYES R 124 5.00 18.90  
BRASHANKNOWIT 5 7 4 21 22 517 540½ (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 6.40  
THUNDERS ROCKNROLL 7 4 21 4 716¼ 637 6100 (kenney ryan)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 5.20  
SILVER LIGHTENING 3 5 31 33 35 7100 7100 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00 50% 1.00 3.20  
SCR  VIRTUALLY               (rushton stetson)HARR KELSI 124 10.00    
SCR  ZIPPIN PIPPIN               (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.