Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - October 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-5   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $11.80 $5.80 97%
ARP-6   EXA (3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-3 $33.20 $9.20 38%
ARP-8   EXA (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-1 $86.00 $62.00 258%
    TRI (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00  6-1-4 $261.40 $213.40 445%
    PK3 (3/7/2/5)-(3/7/1/4)-(3/6/4/1) 64 $2.00 $128  2-3-ALL $209.60 $81.60 64%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-5   10/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :463 :60     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CINCO GAL 2 1 13 12   12 13 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.90 W
1  STAND BY TIME 1 4 33½ 53¼   22 23 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 8.00 8.10  
3  MAYA D 3 2 23 32   43 34¾ (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.00 54% 0.80 3.10 S
4  SKYLAR'S FIRE 4 3 55½ 43   33 45¼ (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 3.60  
6  JUST A SEC 6 5 43½ 22   55 510¼ (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 3.50 18% 4.50 3.50  
5  IMA HAPPY DANCER 5 6 67½ 67¼   611 618¾ (rushton stet)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 4.50 2.50  
 
ARP-6   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SEA BREEZE BOY 2 1 11 11½   13 12¾ (lavanway days)CARDOSO DAVID 124 5.00 15% 5.60 2.20 W
3  OUR BUBBY BOY 3 2 21 21½   23 22¾ (rushton s)IRONEYES R 116 3.50 37% 1.70 5.40 P
1  PROOF OF PURCHASE 1 4 45 55   36 38¼ (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 122 10.00 9.60  
6  JUST N JACK 6 5 67½ 67   58 49½ (haar j)RAMOS B 122 8.00 10.70  
4  DAX A DREAMING 4 6 78 78½   68½ 512 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 4.50 4.90  
5  COLONEL PUNCH 5 7 55½ 44   47 612¼ (lavanway d)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
7  OBSIDIAN GOLD 7 3 31 33   710 716¼ (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 124 2.50 27% 2.80 4.70  
 
ARP-7   10/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SUEZ 3 1 21 22   11 1¾ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 35% 1.80 3.00 W
1  RANDOM AFFAIR 1 4 44½ 33½   31 2¾ (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 12% 7.30 8.00 P
2  RIVERSPORT 2 5 65 54   43 33½ (ibanez alberto)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 5.50  
5  PAYNTER'S BOY 5 7 77 65   53½ 43½ (rushton te)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 4.00  
7  TOOTHLESS WONDER 7 3 11 12   21 57½ (scudder rick)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 4.50 17% 4.80 4.10  
4  BRON AND THE BROW 4 6 55 75¼   67½ 612¾ (childs russe)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
6  FUNNY ACTOR 6 2 32½ 44   79½ 716 (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 124 10.00 9.90  
 
ARP-8   10/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Columbine Purse ($38.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:113 1:40   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TENNESSEE MOON 6 3 11 11 12 15 17¾ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.00 15% 5.70 1.20 W
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
1  LOVELY LOLA 1 1 66½ 59½ 45 25 27¾ (ortega joe)RAMOS B 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.80 P
  (by FLATTER out of ROYALTY by BIRDSTONE)
4  LORRAINE'S LEGACY 4 6 54½ 610½ 55¼ 38 316 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 7% 13.20 6.00 S
  (by INCLUDE out of LOVING LORRAINE by BERNSTEIN)
2  BEHOLD THAT WORD 2 2 711½ 718½ 610¼ 412 418¼ (rushton s)IRONEYES R 124 5.00 18.90  
  (by BEHOLD DE BUY out of FINAL WORD by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
5  BRASHANKNOWIT 5 7 41½ 21 22 517 540½ (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 6.40  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of BOLD BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
9  THUNDERS ROCKNROLL 7 4 21 44½ 716¼ 637 6100 (kenney rya)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 5.20  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of THUNDER AND HONEY by THUNDER GULCH)
3  SILVER LIGHTENING 3 5 31 33 35 7100 7100 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00 50% 1.00 3.20  
  (by UNION RAGS out of COME FOLLOW ME by FOXTRAIL)
SCR  VIRTUALLY               (rushton stetson)HARR KELSI 124 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of UNOSTRIKE by MACHO UNO)
SCR  ZIPPIN PIPPIN               (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of PROUD DAME by PROUD ACCOLADE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.