Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Wednesday - December 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-5   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.40 $1.40 23%
    DD (1/3/7/5)-(1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-1 $20.10 $8.10 68%

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   12/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:221 :443 1:091     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUTHER PASS 6 3 42 31   11 1 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 36% 1.80 2.60 W
WHO IS PAVEL 4 4 3 21   21 2 (bean a)MOJICA O 121 6.00 1.60  
RENEW 5 5 5 54   4 3 (kato akif)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 11% 8.40 4.90 S
JACOB YEN 2 6 6 67   6 412¼ (monteverde)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
DIAMOND RAPPER 3 1 1½ 11   34 513½ (fournier )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 30.90  
K R RULES 7 2 2½ 42   5 614¾ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.00 33% 2.00 1.90  
EL OCHO 1 7 78 714   716½ 725½ (domingu)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00 63.70  
 
TUP-3   12/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:11 1:231   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND 5 1 11 1 11 13 1 (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 122 3.50 3.20  
TEAM CONCEPT 4 4 5 5 44 34 2 (evans justin)MOJICA O 122 2.50 1.10  
JOY IN GRACE 1 3 32 3 3 4 33 (brown r)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 23% 3.40 3.80 S
CIDSTAYINURLAINE 6 2 21 2 21 23 44 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 6.20  
WILLING TO BURN 3 5 42 4 57 5 5 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 4.50 27% 2.70 4.60  
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV 2 6 64 6 610 620½ 623½ (ferguson )VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 5% 19.00 25.70  
SCR  WARREN'S MEMORABLE               (tubbs scott)REYES R 122 10.00    
 
TUP-4   12/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:10 1:222   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FURTHER EVIDENCE 1 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 14 1 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 62% 0.60 2.50 W
DAGGER RANCH 6 6 5 43 3 34 2 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 5% 18.60 1.90 P
CALORESE 2 5 6 6 4 48 313¾ (evans justin)TOHILL S 121 5.00 26.70  
PATRIOT HILLS 5 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 24 416¾ (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 121 4.00 4.30  
DRIVE TRAIN 4 4 7 711 611½ 618½ 523 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 121 12.00 5% 18.60 14.40  
FAST CHAZ 3 1 31 3 58 517 626 (evans justin)MOJICA O 121 3.50 7% 13.00 2.40  
DINERO DE LA CASA 7 7 41 5 711¾ 725½ 739¾ (evans justin)CORBETT W 121 10.00 14.10  
SCR  ROCKY TOP MISCHIEF               (di)DA FAUSTO 121 4.50    
 
TUP-5   12/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROME'S BEST COPY 1 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 1¼ (birdwell te)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 3.50 39% 1.60 2.70 W
EM N HOLL'S FIESTA 5 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2¼ (ortiz i)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 0.90  
INFINITE LOVE 4 6 6 6   6 3 (silva-martinez ale)MOJICA O 122 6.00 8.90  
FAST TRACK 3 4 42 4   5 4 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 25% 3.00 3.80  
BIKINI NATION 2 5 5 5   4 5 (gibson howard )REYES R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 32.80  
CAN'T WANT THAT 6 2 3½ 3.2   32 6 (lavanway day)MARTIN A 119 5.00 5.90  
SCR  LIBBY'S GAMBIT               (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
SCR  PURRFECT MOON               (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 12.00    
 
TUP-6   12/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:081     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL JAZZ 1 2 11 11   1 11 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 3.00 43% 1.30 0.90 W
JIN TONG 3 6 54 42   2 21 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 4.00 4.70  
EXXEL 4 4 43 5   34 3 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50 27% 2.70 4.00 S
YOU'RE THE CAUSE 6 7 7 7   48 4 (van debbie)TOHILL S 122 10.00 47.40  
SMUGGLER'S RUN 2 3 21 21   58 512 (schnell don)REYES R 122 5.00 12.00  
ROCKIN THE DAD BOD 5 1 65 6   7 613 (ortiz isai)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 16.70  
PEACEFUL WATERS 7 5 32 31   6 714¾ (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 8% 12.20 3.40  
SCR  B MINOR               (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
 
TUP-7   12/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:114 1:233   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M NOBLE 1 2 1 11 1½ 12 1 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 6.00 2.50  
BENDETTIJOE 5 1 2 21 2½ 22 2 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00 51% 0.90 1.50 P
ITS A BOY 3 3 3 42 3 3 3 (sanderson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 19.60 S
HARD LOVE 6 4 43 3 4 4 4 (lawrenc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 8% 11.80 25.90  
SUMMER SHANDEE 4 5 5 5 5 55 58 (perez hilar)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 5.00 1.40  
FLY NIGHTLY 2 6 67 6 6 65 6 (gangidino lisa)MAWING A 124 6.00 8% 11.00 9.00  
SCR  MOVE OVER (GB)               (toye joe)KRIGGER K 124 6.00    
SCR  SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE)               (baze robert)REYES R 124 4.00    
SCR  THIRTY SECONDS OUT               (ferguson )VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
 
TUP-8   12/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:214 :434 1:082     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRISONER 9 1 11 1   1 1 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 4.00 73% 0.40 0.30 W
LORD SHELDON 1 8 8 7   68 2 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 9.40  
EL ALTO HOMBRE 6 3 33 35   35 3 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 27.00 S
TENTH STREET DON 5 7 66 6   5 4 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 8.00 33.70  
MONGOLIAN MEMORY 8 2 44 4   46 5 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 8.00 10.70  
MR. WHO 4 4 21 2   2 64 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
RONAMO 7 5 76 810¾   711 7 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 5.00 10.20  
FANTASTIC DAY 2 9 911½ 912¼   911¼ 8 (rodriguez fran)REYES R 124 5.00 8.70  
KYSTONE 3 6 5 5   811 9 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 20.00 46.00  
SCR  CHUCKANUT BAY               (rosales jor)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.