Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - December 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (6/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-3   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (1/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-5   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (1/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (5/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (9/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-2   12/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL OCHO May12 Apr20 Mar28 Mar15 Sep03 (dominguez)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00    
JACOB YEN Nov18 Sep14 Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 (monteverde a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
DIAMOND RAPPER Oct24 Oct16 Sep05 May01   (fournier ir)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
WHO IS PAVEL Nov27 Nov14 Oct04 Sep22 Aug25 (bean a)MOJICA O 121 6.00    
RENEW Dec02 May02 Apr15 Apr04 Mar19 (kato akifum)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 11% 8.40    
LUTHER PASS Nov11 Aug24 Aug04 Jun13 May17 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
K R RULES Sep06 Aug11 Jul03 Jun15 Jun01 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
TUP-3   12/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOY IN GRACE Nov25 Sep29 Sep22 Sep07 Aug31 (brown r)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Nov20 Sep13 Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 (tubbs scott)REYES R 122 10.00    
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Nov21 Nov11 Sep13 Aug30 Aug23 (ferguson cu)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
WILLING TO BURN Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 Jun22 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
TEAM CONCEPT Nov30 Oct06 Sep08 Apr09 Feb25 (evans justin)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND Nov21 Sep23 Jul30 Jul15 Jun25 (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 122 3.50    
CIDSTAYINURLAINE Nov25 Nov11 Oct09 Sep26 Sep17 (evans jus)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00    
 
TUP-4   12/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FURTHER EVIDENCE Nov20 Nov11 Sep25 Aug17 Jul14 (martinez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 62% 0.60    
CALORESE Aug31 Aug24 Jul26 Jul13 Jun01 (evans justin)TOHILL S 121 5.00    
FAST CHAZ Nov29 Oct05 Sep02 Aug15 Jul20 (evans justin)MOJICA O 121 3.50 7% 13.00    
ROCKY TOP MISCHIEF Jul03 Feb24       (diod)DA FAUSTO 121 4.50    
DRIVE TRAIN Nov20 Nov11 Aug31 Aug24 Aug02 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 121 12.00 5% 18.60    
PATRIOT HILLS Jun28 May26 May05 Mar21 Feb18 (diodoro robert)HUGHES RASHEED 121 4.00    
DAGGER RANCH Nov20 Oct13 Jul20 Aug05   (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 5% 18.60    
DINERO DE LA CASA Nov29 Jun23 Jun02 May12 Mar22 (evans justin)CORBETT W 121 10.00    
 
TUP-5   12/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROME'S BEST COPY Nov27 Nov12 Sep15 Sep08 Aug18 (birdwell tena)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
BIKINI NATION Nov27 Oct07 Sep29 Sep22 Sep08 (gibson f)REYES R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PURRFECT MOON Nov12 Sep14 Aug24 Aug11 Jul13 (silva ga)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 12.00    
FAST TRACK Nov27 Nov12 Oct04 Sep08 Jul09 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
INFINITE LOVE Nov29 Nov12 Sep15 Sep06 Aug23 (silva-martinez alexi)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
EM N HOLL'S FIESTA Nov29 Nov12 Oct12 Sep08 Sep01 (ortiz isa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00    
CAN'T WANT THAT Nov27 Sep20 Aug18 Aug03 Jun16 (lavanway dayso)MARTIN A 119 5.00    
SCR  LIBBY'S GAMBIT Nov29 Nov12 Sep06 Aug23 Aug16 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
 
TUP-6   12/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL JAZZ Nov14 Sep29 Sep15 Jul28 Jul14 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  B MINOR Nov19 Oct17 Aug09 Jul24 May25 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
SMUGGLER'S RUN Oct06 Sep13 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (schnell don)REYES R 122 5.00    
JIN TONG Dec02 Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 Jul03 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 4.00    
EXXEL Nov19 Sep21 Sep05 Aug11 Jul03 (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
ROCKIN THE DAD BOD Dec02 Sep28 Sep16 Aug23 Jul14 (ortiz isaiah)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
YOU'RE THE CAUSE Sep15 Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 (van debbie)TOHILL S 122 10.00    
PEACEFUL WATERS Aug17 Jun07 Mar23 Jan29 Dec30 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 8% 12.20    
 
TUP-7   12/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M NOBLE Dec03 Sep15 Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
FLY NIGHTLY Nov30 Oct26 Oct11 Sep28 Sep05 (gangidino lisa)MAWING A 124 6.00 8% 11.00    
ITS A BOY Jul15 Jun18 Jun04 Apr27 Apr13 (sanderson br)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMER SHANDEE Nov30 Nov14 Oct14 Oct06 Sep29 (perez hilario)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 5.00    
BENDETTIJOE Nov25 Nov11 Sep26 Aug15 May28 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00 51% 0.90    
HARD LOVE Nov26 Oct14 Sep22 Aug26 Jul15 (lawrence )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Nov26 Nov12 Sep01 Jan26 Oct29 (ferguson cu)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
SCR  SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE) Nov26 Nov12 Sep05 Aug11 Jul28 (baze robert)REYES R 124 4.00    
MOVE OVER (GB) Nov30 Sep15 Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 (toye joe)KRIGGER K 124 6.00    
 
TUP-8   12/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD SHELDON Sep08 Aug17 Jul07 Jun01 Apr13 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
FANTASTIC DAY Nov03 Oct14 Sep15 Sep07 Aug25 (rodriguez franci)REYES R 124 5.00    
KYSTONE Oct13 Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 Jul12 (hedge ri)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 20.00    
MR. WHO Sep30 Sep14 Aug23 Apr11 Mar28 (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
TENTH STREET DON Nov14 Sep21 Sep02 Aug24 Jul28 (lund valorie)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 8.00    
EL ALTO HOMBRE Nov26 Oct14 Sep23 Aug31 Jul27 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
RONAMO Nov18 Sep28 Sep11 Jun16 Apr23 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
MONGOLIAN MEMORY Nov18 Sep07 Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
PRISONER Nov19 Sep29 Sep08 Aug17 Jun23 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 4.00 73% 0.40    
SCR  CHUCKANUT BAY Nov14 Sep23 Aug25 Aug09 Jul20 (rosales jorge)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.