Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - October 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-1   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.20  
ARP-2   Win (3/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
ARP-3   Win (3/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $5.80  
ARP-4   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
ARP-5   Win (5/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $9.40  
ARP-6   Win (4/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $10.40  
ARP-7   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $3.60  
ARP-8   Win (6/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $24.20 $24.20 16.20

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   10/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:122     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD TO COME BY 5 4 4 4   3 1nk (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 1.60  
HOWBEIT 7 1 6 5   4 2nk (kemper kerr)IRONEYES R 119 4.50 6.40 P
KAELY'S BROTHER 6 7 7 67   22 3 (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.50 29% 2.50 8.00 S
JUST PLAIN ORNERY 3 2 1nk 1½   12 4 (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 26.20  
BRICKBAT 1 5 5 79   6 57 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 124 8.00 9% 10.00 6.90  
NEEDABETTERJOCK 4 3 2nk 2½   5 6 (scudder j)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 6.00 27% 2.60 8.60  
TUFF WILLY TE 2 6 35 3   7 710¾ (parsons rile)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 2.00 1.90  
 
ARP-2   10/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMY D 3 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 1¼ (hibdon mark)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.00 42% 1.40 3.10 W
QUALITY BOW 7 5 5 54   32 2¼ (chavez veronica)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 11% 8.30 5.90 P
LADY ATHENA 6 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 3 (williams de)IRONEYES R 117 2.50 2.10  
SATIN HEART 1 3 4¼ 43   44 4 (scudder j)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 6.00 18% 4.70 5.50  
HEAR ME ROAR 5 4 3.2 3   55 5 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 4.00 3.90  
GUARDING ELK CAMP 8 6 8 77   7 6 (leon alexis)ARANA MINOR 124 4.50 13.10  
SPECIAL TWIST 4 8 6 65   68 7 (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
OUR CLOVER GAL 2 7 7 8   812½ 814 (ibanez alberto)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00 20.10  
 
ARP-3   10/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRANNIGAN 7 2 5 21   2nk 12 (lavanway dayson)CARDOSO DAVID 124 5.00 1.90  
LOOKIN FOR LOKI 1 4 21 3   1nk 22 (kemper kerr)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 28% 2.50 6.60 P
SHAKINTHEMONARCHY 2 3 31 4   4 3 (hibdon mark)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.50 7% 12.40 1.70 S
SYNNIN AND WINNIN 3 5 4 5   53 4 (mitchell chris)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.00 36% 1.80 6.00  
OBVIOUSLY TOO 5 6 6 64   64 56 (schindler jeff)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 10.30  
DIVINE TASK 4 1 11 11   32 69 (hall monk)CARILLO DANIEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
DANCIN ROCKET 6 7 7 710   711 717¾ (lemburg mark)RAMOS B 124 4.50 11.00  
 
ARP-4   10/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREAM PUFF REAPER 2 2 13 13   1 1 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.00 33% 2.00 1.30 W
LITTLE MORE LOVE 3 4 23 33   2 2 (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 27.20  
KONA KINLEY 5 6 68 6   5 3 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 122 3.50 5.60  
MOR FOXY 6 1 55 44   4 4 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.50 2.90  
COLLIER 1 5 3 23   3 5 (rushton temp)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 11% 7.80 6.30  
SWEET SLEW 4 3 4 5   6 6 (arceo salvador)CARDOSO DAVID 124 5.00 14% 6.00 3.30  
SCR  MS BUMBLEBEE               (rushton ste)IRONEYES R 116 2.50    
 
ARP-5   10/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :453 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD CRUSHER 6 3 11 12   12 1 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 3.70  
JAMES'S MOONSHINE 1 6 54 55   4 2 (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 6.30  
OREGON COUNTY 4 1 21 3   32 3 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.00 7% 13.40 1.20 S
ROCHESTER'S FINEST 5 2 32 22   22 42 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 124 2.50 44% 1.30 5.40  
BIG BIZ 3 4 4 4   5 52 (haar robert)IRONEYES R 119 4.50 19% 4.20 5.70  
RIVERSPORT 2 7 78 611   6 616¼ (ibanez alberto)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 82.70  
MUSKET POWDER 7 5 65 712   710¾ 717½ (scudder j)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
 
ARP-6   10/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:14 1:271   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT DOWN 3 4 2 23 2nk 14 12 (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 4.20  
BLUEGRASS BREEZE 4 1 3 38 34 24 22 (curran randy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 49% 1.00 1.00 P
ROSIE'S BOY 1 7 711 716 610½ 5 3 (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 5.00 11% 8.40 10.30 S
FLY NIGHTLY 7 3 610 512 5 4 4 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 13% 7.00 4.20  
EMPEROR'S CHOICE 2 5 1 13 1nk 36 5 (leon alexis)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
FLOOR IT 6 6 44 48 46 611½ 614¼ (arceo salvad)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 8.10  
SHARP AZ NAILS 5 2 55 614 716½ 719½ 737¼ (thompson gr)IRONEYES R 119 4.50 8.00  
 
ARP-7   10/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Lassie Purse ($45.5K) 2 F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIENDLY SPIRIT 3 5 4 4   13 18 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 0.80  
LADY ADMIRAL 5 3 1nk 2nk   33 28 (vicchrilli r)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 120 3.50 28% 2.50 3.60 P
STOLEN FUNDS 1 1 3½ 1nk   4 3 (rushton ste)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 12.80  
GOLDEN BEAUTY 6 2 2nk 3.2   23 4 (martinez o )IRONEYES R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
SAHARA KARA 2 4 54 5   5 515¼ (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.00 32% 2.10 2.60  
ALLIYAS CREATION 4 6 66 6   612¼ 624¼ (martinez a)RAMOS B 120 6.00 14.10  
 
ARP-8   10/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :461 :594     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARLY APRIL 4 9 8 7   43 1nk (mckinney kyndr)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 15.00 13% 6.80 11.10 W
TAP THE HEART 7 1 3½ 1½   12 2nk (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 2.60  
KID BIZ 3 8 9 8   55 3¾ (arceo salvador)RAMOS B 124 6.00 35.40  
LOW DOSE 6 4 2½ 3½   22 4 (mitchell chris)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 63% 0.60 7.70  
10  PRINCESSOFCHITOWN 9 6 4 4   6 5 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 6.40  
RETRO RITA 5 3 1½ 2½   32 67 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 2.30  
NEW YEARS LOVE 1 7 7 9   7 7 (jenkins l)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
CAJUN TRINITY 8 2 64 66   810¼ 816 (vargas c)BACHICHA ELIJAH 124 8.00 25.90  
12  TOTHEMOONANDBACK 10 5 5 5   913¼ 925¾ (lavanway dayson)LARSEN S 124 10.00 15.70  
MY MEADOW 2 10 1017¾ 1016¼   1021¼ 1046 (hall monk)IRONEYES R 121 8.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
SCR  BEHOLD THAT WORD               (rushton ste)IRONEYES R 116 12.00    
SCR  DESERT PEPPER               (marquez jose )VORRATH VALENTE 124 15.00    
 
ARP-9   10/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Laddie Purse ($30K) 2 C/G PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:002     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOSARI 2 1 12 12   14 1 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.00 58% 0.70   W
KING OF SWING 4 2 22 22   24 2 (parsons riley)GONZALEZ PEDRO 120 8.00    
ROMANS WORD 1 3 33 35   310 324 (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.00 13% 6.50   S
ROMAN EYES 3 4 44 45   413 429¾ (rushton ste)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.