Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - December 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $13.40  
TUP-4   Win (3/6/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TUP-5   Win (4/2/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 1.40
TUP-6   Win (3/11/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 5.40
TUP-7   Win (1/8/2/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $9.40 $9.40  
TUP-8   Win (7/8/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $10.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:214 :444 :57     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNRIVALED QUEEN 1 3 2nk 1nk   12 1 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 5.70  
SAVONA (IRE) 5 1 43 4   44 2 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 1.80 38% 1.60 0.70 P
BOLD INTENTION 2 2 1nk 2nk   22 3 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 22% 3.50 5.40 S
CURLIN'S LIL GAL 4 4 3 3   3 4 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 2.50 1.80  
MISCHIEVOUS EMMA 3 5 5 5   5 511½ (woolley b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
 
TUP-4   12/17/2024 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:111     1:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODI ZAFA 3 3 4 32   21 1 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 121 2.50 71% 0.40 1.50 W
MIDNIGHT APPROVAL 2 4 5 45   3 2 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 4.50 10.30  
DESERT BREEZE 6 2 1 1½   11 3 (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 121 5.00 8% 11.80 2.20 S
DARK PASSENGER 9 6 6 56   43 44 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 121 12.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
ROADSWITCHER 4 8 811¼ 89   66 5 (sepich f)CORBETT W 121 10.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
GONE GREY 7 5 2 2½   5 6 (gleason tim )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 6.00 4.60  
AMERICAN TANGO 8 7 7 7   710 710¼ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 20.00 74.10  
BY DECREED 5 9 923¼ 921   913 811½ (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 121 3.50 5.10  
FLEET NEILINA 1 1 3 6   811½ 911¾ (lund valorie)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 20.00 55.90  
 
TUP-5   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LOT OF VERVE 7 6 55 5   21 1 (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 10.00 5% 19.00 3.70 W
MT. ZEROR 2 3 44 44   3 2 (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 119 5.00 3.60  
JUSTIN AZTECA 3 2 34 34   4 3 (lund valorie)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 2.50 58% 0.70 1.50 S
SOUTH COAST ROUTE 5 7 66 6   5 4 ( )ROJAS EDUARD 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
DIAMOND RAPPER 4 1 12 1   11 5 (fournier ir)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 24.50  
ARTETA 6 5 7 7   78 6 (silva juan )ULLOA JOAN 121 12.00 4.90  
COLONEL PUNCH 1 4 22 2   65 710¾ (lavanway dayson)MONTALVO C 121 6.00 13% 6.70 13.90  
SCR  CHIRAG               (woolley benni)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
SCR  SHUDDER               (barraza s)MAWING A 121 3.50    
 
TUP-6   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
See original race card.
:214 :441 :56     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY SMILE 3 1 1½ 1   1 1 (lund valorie)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.00 55% 0.80 5.70 W
NEW EVERY MORNING 1 2 2½ 2   2 2 (rosales jorg)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 10.00 8% 11.20 4.00 P
SIR FLATTER 6 8 104 7   58 3 ( )ROJAS EDUARD 122 20.00 7.00  
LIE AND DENY 4 11 6 46   3 4 (evans justin)MOJICA O 122 4.50 3.00  
11  ROLL DEM BONES 10 4 5 35   4 5 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 5.00 16% 5.30 4.10  
10  SHIP IT RED 9 7 8 68   69 68 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 10.80  
ALABAMA SLAMMER 5 3 42 8   811½ 711¼ (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 117 5.00 10.70  
12  TRIBAL IMPACT 11 6 7 9   911¾ 811½ (wisdom anne)REYES R 122 15.00 16.50  
D K'S CROWN 8 5 94 1010¼   711 911¾ (garcia v)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
BRANNIGAN 7 10 11 1112¾   1014¼ 1014 (lavanway da)IRONEYES R 122 20.00 99.40  
EPIC DRAMA 2 9 32 5   1115¼ 1117¼ (uranga jesu)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 57.50  
SCR  CODE CHARLIE               (garcia f)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
 
TUP-7   12/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:104 1:224   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATHENS MOON 4 4 7 65 6 21 1¾ (ferguson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 12.00 5% 17.90 3.70 W
LUCKY CODE 7 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 2¾ (freeman scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00 25.00  
UNCHARTED 9 6 4 42 41 3 3 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.50 9.80  
BEARINGS 2 9 96 97 9 94 4 (evans justin)MOJICA O 124 3.00 14% 6.00 1.60  
CANDY'S CHROME 1 10 10 8 5 5 54 (barraza s)MAWING A 122 5.00 38% 1.60 7.20  
THREEBROTHERS 3 3 5 75 8 4 65 (silva juan )ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
SAN ANDRES 6 5 6 5 7 7 76 (perkinson cc)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 10.00 12.60  
LEGALLY REDDY 8 7 32 2½ 2½ 84 8 (silva jr)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00 20% 4.00 5.10  
SWAMPDRAINER 5 2 2 31 3½ 6 98 (silva ga)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 12.00 61.80  
10  PUBLIC APPEARANCE 10 8 85 10 1025¼ 1024 1052½ (toye joe)CRUZ M 119 6.00 36.00  
SCR  PACIFIC THEATER               (rarick wade)VERGARA P 119 5.00    
SCR  SYNTACTIC               (bean robert )AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00    
 
TUP-8   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:214 :443 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY DANCER 9 3 6 6   6 1¼ (lund valorie)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 5.00 4.00  
MINISTER OF SOUL 7 4 4 3½   2nk 2¼ (martinez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 67% 0.50 3.80 P
ULTIMATE 4 10 5 5   1nk 3¼ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50 1.40  
PACO'S PICO 1 9 8 8   8 4 (fales matt)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 20.00  
STONE CARVER 2 1 1nk 2nk   3½ 5 (anderson gonza)HUGHES RASHEED 124 8.00 37.80  
COOL PAPA G 8 11 7 7   9 6 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 7% 14.00 2.80  
10  SOL DEL SUR 10 7 11 1110¾   11 78 (homer jason)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 57.10  
SCRATCHY APACHE 5 5 9 10   7 8 (lavanway dayso)MARTIN A 124 20.00 87.30  
11  SLEW'S BAK 11 6 10 9   10 99 (brown jared)MOJICA O 124 10.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
SECOND NATURE 6 8 3.2 1nk   42 1011½ ( )ROJAS EDUARD 124 20.00 75.00  
HALF RIGHT 3 2 2nk 4¾   5 1114½ (uranga jesu)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 34.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.