Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - December 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/6/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(3/6/9/4)-(4/2/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (3/6/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/4)-(3/6/9/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/4)-(3/6/9/5/4)-(3/6/9/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/9/4)-(4/2/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/9/4)-(4/2/9/7)-(3/11/1/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-5   WIN (4/2/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/7)-(4/2/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/9/7)-(4/2/9/7)-(4/2/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/9/7)-(3/11/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/9/7)-(3/11/1/9)-(1/8/2/4/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (3/11/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/11/1/9)-(3/11/1/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/11/1/9)-(3/11/1/5/9)-(3/11/1/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/11/1/9)-(1/8/2/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/11/1/9)-(1/8/2/4/3)-(7/8/11/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/8/2/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/4/3)-(1/8/2/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/4/3)-(1/8/2/4/3)-(1/8/2/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/2/4/3)-(7/8/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (7/8/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/11/10)-(7/8/11/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/11/10)-(7/8/11/10/1)-(7/8/11/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNRIVALED QUEEN Nov30 Nov13 Sep09 Aug10 Jul13 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00    
2  BOLD INTENTION Nov12 Aug16 Apr15 Mar28 Feb26 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA Feb05 Oct21 Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CURLIN'S LIL GAL Nov12 Aug24 Jul27 Jun15 May20 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 2.50    
5  SAVONA (IRE) Nov12 Sep26 Aug29 Aug18 Jul13 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
 
TUP-4   12/17/2024 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLEET NEILINA Nov13 Sep28 Sep02 Aug24   (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 20.00    
2  MIDNIGHT APPROVAL Nov25 Aug11 Jul13     (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 4.50    
3  BODI ZAFA Aug04 Jul07       (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 121 2.50 71% 0.40    
4  ROADSWITCHER Dec04 Oct12 Sep14     (sepich f)CORBETT W 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BY DECREED Nov25 Nov13 Sep02 Aug11 Jul14 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 121 3.50 ★    
6  DESERT BREEZE Nov25 Apr11       (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 121 5.00 8% 11.80    
7  GONE GREY Dec04 Oct20 Sep14     (gleason ti)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 6.00    
8  AMERICAN TANGO Nov25 Oct26 Oct06     (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 20.00    
9  DARK PASSENGER Oct27         (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHUDDER Nov13 Sep29 Sep08 Jun01 Mar12 (barraza s)MAWING A 121 3.50    
2  COLONEL PUNCH Nov30 Oct27 Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 (lavanway dayson)MONTALVO C 121 6.00 13% 6.70    
3  MT. ZEROR Oct10 Sep23 Aug06 Jul01 Apr28 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 5.00    
4  JUSTIN AZTECA Nov26 Nov14 Sep28 Sep02 Aug24 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 2.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  CHIRAG Dec03 Nov14 Sep15 Aug16 Jul07 (woolley ben)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
6  DIAMOND RAPPER Dec11 Oct24 Oct16 Sep05 May01 (fournier )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
7  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Apr22 Apr15 Mar26 Mar05 Feb13 (f)ROJAS EDUARD 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ARTETA Oct18 Sep18 Sep02 Aug18 Jul07 (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 121 12.00    
9  A LOT OF VERVE Dec05 Nov21 Sep08 Aug24 Aug11 (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW EVERY MORNING Dec03 Nov12 Oct14 Oct06 Sep29 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 10.00 8% 11.20    
2  EPIC DRAMA Nov03 Aug17 Jul21 Jun29 Jun09 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00    
3  LUCKY SMILE Nov25 Nov12 Sep26 Sep05 Aug10 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  CODE CHARLIE Oct04 Jul03 Jun23 Jun01 May04 (garcia f)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
5  LIE AND DENY Dec04 Nov12 Oct04 Sep13 Aug25 (evans justin)MOJICA O 122 4.50 ★    
6  ALABAMA SLAMMER Nov27 Nov05 Oct29 Sep29 Sep17 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 117 5.00    
7  SIR FLATTER Nov26 Nov13 Sep26 Sep07 Aug24 (v)ROJAS EDUARD 122 20.00    
8  BRANNIGAN Nov30 Nov15 Oct26 Oct18 Oct06 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 122 20.00    
9  D K'S CROWN Dec03 Nov12 Sep08 Jul21 Jul12 (garcia)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  SHIP IT RED Nov30 Jun30 May25 Apr04 Mar13 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
11  ROLL DEM BONES Dec03 Nov25 Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
12  TRIBAL IMPACT Dec03 Aug30 Aug17 Aug04 Jul19 (wisdom anne)REYES R 122 15.00    
 
TUP-7   12/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY'S CHROME Nov27 Nov11 Oct02 Sep13   (barraza s)MAWING A 122 5.00 38% 1.60    
2  BEARINGS Nov20 Sep27 Aug07 Mar02 Jan26 (evans justin)MOJICA O 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
3  THREEBROTHERS Nov27 Oct06 Apr27 Mar30 Mar09 (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ATHENS MOON Nov27 Nov17 Oct18 Sep29 Sep13 (ferguso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 12.00 5% 17.90    
5  SWAMPDRAINER Nov27 Nov18 Sep25 Sep05 Aug11 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 12.00    
6  SAN ANDRES Nov27 Oct18 Sep28 Sep14 Aug17 (perkinson c)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 10.00    
7  LUCKY CODE Nov27 Sep06 Aug25 Aug11 Jul26 (freeman sc)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00    
8  LEGALLY REDDY Nov27 Sep25 Sep01 Aug10 Jul11 (silva jose )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
9  UNCHARTED Nov29 Nov11 Oct13 Jul04 Jun15 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.50    
10  PUBLIC APPEARANCE Sep15 Aug31 Aug24 Jun15   (toye joe)CRUZ M 119 6.00    
SCR  SYNTACTIC Dec05 Nov19 Sep22 Sep06 Aug16 (bean rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00    
SCR  PACIFIC THEATER Nov06 Oct17 Oct05 Sep21 Aug22 (rarick wade)VERGARA P 119 5.00    
 
TUP-8   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACO'S PICO Mar01 Feb02 Jan21 Jan05 Dec09 (fales matt)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 ★    
2  STONE CARVER Oct27 Oct13 Sep21 Jul24 Jul10 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 124 8.00    
3  HALF RIGHT Jan29 Dec12 Sep25 Sep10 Aug19 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
4  ULTIMATE Sep06 Jul21 Jun07 May24 Apr21 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50    
5  SCRATCHY APACHE Dec04 Nov26 Jun23 May12 Sep17 (lavanway day)MARTIN A 124 20.00    
6  SECOND NATURE Nov01 Sep22 Sep01 Aug17 Jul13 (t)ROJAS EDUARD 124 20.00    
7  MINISTER OF SOUL Nov18 Sep02 Aug08 Jul03 Jun16 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 67% 0.50    
8  COOL PAPA G Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 May18 Apr08 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 7% 14.00    
9  HAPPY DANCER Dec02 Nov29 Nov18 Sep21 Sep02 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 5.00    
10  SOL DEL SUR Nov19 Oct14 Sep23 Sep09 Jun08 (homer jaso)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  SLEW'S BAK Nov18 Sep24 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 (brown jared)MOJICA O 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.