Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - January 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (2/3/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/9/7)-(2/3/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/9/7)-(2/3/9/7)-(2/3/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/9/7)-(1/8/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/9/7)-(1/8/5/4)-(8/2/10/16/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/4)-(1/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/4)-(1/8/5/4)-(1/8/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/5/4)-(8/2/10/16/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5/4)-(8/2/10/16/6)-(9/5/7/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-3   WIN (8/2/10/16/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/10/16/6)-(8/2/10/16/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/10/16/6)-(8/2/10/16/6)-(8/2/10/16/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/10/16/6)-(9/5/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/10/16/6)-(9/5/7/3)-(8/1/5/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-4   WIN (9/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/7/3)-(9/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/7/3)-(9/5/7/3)-(9/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/7/3)-(8/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/5/7/3)-(8/1/5/6)-(6/2/3/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-5   WIN (8/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/6)-(8/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/6)-(8/1/5/6)-(8/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/6)-(6/2/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/6)-(6/2/3/5)-(12/2/15/6/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-6   WIN (6/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/3/5)-(12/2/15/6/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/5)-(12/2/15/6/11)-(8/6/1/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-7   WIN (12/2/15/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/2/15/6/11)-(12/2/15/6/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/2/15/6/11)-(12/2/15/6/11)-(12/2/15/6/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/2/15/6/11)-(8/6/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (8/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/2)-(8/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/2)-(8/6/1/2)-(8/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DANCIN WITH ANGELS Nov22 Nov07 Sep11 Aug11 Jun21 (brinkman bre)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 12.00    
2  RELEASE MCCRAKEN Nov23 Sep28 Sep04 Jun30 Feb25 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 1.80 37% 1.70    
3  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Jun21 May18 Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
4  PESO IN MY POCKET Jan01 Dec05 Sep11 Aug14 Jun11 (munoz yovani)TORRES A 121 10.00    
5  SUMMER IN AIKEN Dec20 Nov21 Oct24 Sep18 Jul20 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 121 20.00    
6  UNCLE BERLEY Jan10 Dec29 Nov15 Sep29 Sep12 (dorochenko ge)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00    
7  INDIA INK (ARG) Dec29 Dec13 Oct10 Sep04 Jul11 (sanchez j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUPREMELY Dec28 Dec06 Nov16 Oct16 Sep12 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 20.00    
9  ONASA Dec26 Dec13 Oct03 Aug29 Jul17 (ladner cha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 16% 5.10    
 
FG-2   01/19/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEF'S MACHINE Dec28 Dec13 Nov22 Aug03 Jul19 (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  SHORTLIST Dec28 May23 Apr27 Apr17 Mar22 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 20.00    
SCR  MAX PANDOWDY Dec28 Oct30 Sep26 Aug19 Jun03 (hirdes john)ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 30.00    
4  HALEYS SAILOR Dec13 Nov24 Sep23 Aug07 Mar14 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DESOTO'S WAR Dec27 Dec05 Nov01 Oct09 Jul04 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 5.00 13% 6.80    
6  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Dec28 Dec19 Dec05 Nov23 Oct30 (govea ces)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50    
7  HE GOTS TO GO Dec28 Nov22 Sep18 Aug21 Jul15 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.00    
8  COOL QUARTET Dec28 Sep29 Sep15 Aug18 Jul20 (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00 21% 3.80    
9  FABLED RULER Dec28 Dec19 Dec05 Oct12 Sep26 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 121 8.00    
 
FG-3   01/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHANNEL WON Sep19 Jul07 May25 Feb02 Jan11 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 121 4.00    
2  MESA SPIRIT Dec29 Dec13 Jul13 Jun14 May16 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 6.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  APPEAL DENIED Dec29 Nov14 Oct09 Jul15 Dec01 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00    
SCR  SAINT CHARLES Dec29 Nov15 Sep28 Sep05 Aug10 (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00    
5  ATRAS Dec29 Dec06 Nov16 Nov07 Sep25 (hewitt micha)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 20.00    
6  FORTUITY Dec16 Nov24 Oct25 Aug02 Jul04 (breaux samue)TORRES A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PREMIUM Dec29 Dec05 Oct23 Sep11 Jul30 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 121 20.00    
8  X J RASCAL (IRE) Dec03 Nov05 Oct09 Sep04 Aug13 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 28% 2.60    
9  WE MISS ARLINGTON Dec26 Dec16 Dec06 Oct19 Sep19 (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00    
10  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Jan15 Nov27 Nov10 Oct06 Oct02 (ramirez-r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50 11% 7.90    
SCR  CYCLONE ATTACK Oct03 Aug29 Jul28 May25 Nov14 (childers )HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
SCR  MUSICAL SPELL Sep26 Sep02 Aug16 Jul18 Jun21 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
13  SHUT UP MAN Jan03 Dec16 Nov09 Sep26 Sep14 (jeansonne justi)MCMAHON J 121 10.00    
SCR  UNIFIED REPORT Sep25 Aug01 Jul11 Jun11 May04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00    
SCR  CAZADERO Nov07 Sep25 Aug21 Jul09 Jun21 (hewitt micha)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00    
16  FIT TO FLY Dec06 Sep26 Aug29 Aug01 Jul07 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00 8% 11.90    
 
FG-4   01/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S A FINE BABY Sep14 Jul22       (foster jo)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
2  MAGNOLIA WEST Nov28 Sep26 Sep14 Aug13 Jul22 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00    
3  LONE WARRIOR Dec14 Oct11 Aug03 Jun29 Jun01 (briley lonni)MAGNON H 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GIFT GIVER Dec19 Oct11 Aug31 Aug10   (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
5  HE'S LATE AGAIN Jan02         (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  STAR ROCK STAR Dec29 Dec14       (castille carro)THORNTON G 119 8.00    
7  HESPER Dec19 Nov23       (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 3.50 21% 3.90    
8  JOSH G Dec19 Nov05 Aug31 Aug10   (west g)MCMAHON J 119 20.00    
9  ACKNOWLEDGE Dec13 Nov23 Oct25     (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 30% 2.40    
 
FG-5   01/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANN ALEE Oct17 Sep25 Aug18 Aug04 Jul07 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  WAY TO BE MARIE Dec28 Nov08 Jun01 May03 Mar21 (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80    
SCR  SABALENKA Oct13 Aug29 Aug08 Nov24 Oct15 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
SCR  SWEET ALYSSA Jan09 Oct29 Oct07 Aug29 Jul28 (husak gar)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
5  JOCASTA Dec22 Nov23 Oct30 Sep28 Aug17 (scherer ga)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00 5% 18.60    
6  CAIRO DREAM Dec28 Dec08 Nov10 Sep12   (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  THEREARENORULES Nov10 Oct04 Jul31 Jun10 Oct31 (schultz lind)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
8  AUTISM COMMUNITY Dec21 Nov08 Aug27 Aug10 Jun20 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 120 4.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  FEDERALISM Nov28 Oct20 Jul07 Jul23   (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 5.00    
10  MERCY WARREN Nov27 Nov08 Sep15 Jun06 Feb09 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
11  SANDRA D Nov30 Nov09 Sep28 Aug30 Aug10 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00    
 
FG-6   01/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE SONG         (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of MUSIC NOTE by A.P. INDY)
2  QUEEN JUBILEE Dec29 Nov30 Oct27 Sep22   (beckman whit)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of PARTY STARTER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  PRETTY SASSY Nov24         (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of PRETTY CITY DANCER by TAPIT)
4  UNDISPUTED VICTORY Dec12         (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of VICTORY ON TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
5  HEART'S COMPASS Nov23 Sep08 Aug03     (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SAILOR'S VALENTINE by MIZZEN MAST)
6  OUR SHENANIGAN Nov30 Oct25 Sep06 Aug11   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CLAUDETTE NONSTOP by THE FACTOR)
7  GIN RUN Jan04 Dec13       (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 20.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of TANQURETTE by STREET BOSS)
8  RUBY'S GHOST Dec28         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of TALE FOR RUBY by TALE OF EKATI)
 
FG-7   01/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONI'S INFERNO Dec27 Nov29 Nov06 Aug23 Jul06 (breaux samue)TORRES A 125 12.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of TONI'S DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
2  STAR STAR STAR Dec08 Aug28 Dec09     (duhon o)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of HAPPY CHOICE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  DOOLGAROUX Nov28 Apr24 Mar22 Mar08   (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 12.00    
  (by ENTICED out of TENSAS IDEA by IDE)
4  WHO IS CHIEF Dec08 Nov28 Jun20 May10 Apr17 (mouton chadwick)MCMAHON J 125 30.00    
  (by DAAHER out of INDIAN WIND by EUGENE'S THIRD SON)
SCR  EMILY'S BOY Dec08 May08 Apr05 Mar16 Feb13 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 125 8.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of EMILY JO by TIAGO)
6  SOUTHSCAPE Dec27 Nov14       (wilson shane)CANNON DECLAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of ON HER TERMS by MIZZEN MAST)
7  DOGWOOD CROSSING Jan02 Oct07 Sep10 Aug07   (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 117 6.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of DOGWOOD TRAIL by AWESOME OF COURSE)
8  GEM OF A STORM Jan02         (west patric)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 12.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of GEM OF SOUL by CRIMSON TIDE)
9  BOB'S CHANNEL         (david sam )HERNANDEZ J 117 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of HOT TEMPO by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
SCR  CHASTE ONE Dec08 Sep09 Aug05 Jul23 Jun26 (sharp j)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 30.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of SHARP AND CRAFTY by CRAFTY FRIEND)
11  ISLAND CABANA Nov29 Nov06 Oct11 Aug28 Jun15 (pish dann)HERNANDEZ J 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of FOLLY ISLAND by LONE STAR SPECIAL)
12  NAVARRIAN Dec08 Jun20 May22 May02 Mar23 (felks jose)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of TO COMMERCIAL by CAT THIEF)
SCR  CUNIMBUS Nov29 Nov06 Jul25 Jun20 May10 (briley lonnie)FUSILIER C 125 6.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BRIDARIA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
14  MISTERHOLYROLLER Dec08 Nov14 May02 Apr17 Mar16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 12.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of WILD RANGER by U S RANGER)
15  SIPPIN ON GIN Dec14         (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00 6% 15.20    
  (by MR. MONEY out of HIGH ON GIN by FURY KAPCORI)
16  REGATTA BAY Dec27 Dec08 May02 Apr05 Mar16 (broussard jer)MORALES EDGAR 125 20.00    
  (by DAAHER out of LITTLE BUTTERCUP by LABEEB (GB))
 
FG-8   01/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($58K) 3 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY WITH FIRE Nov30         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 11% 8.00    
2  PRIMA BELLA Dec21 Nov29 Oct12     (brinkman b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAD ABOUT MARIE Sep28 Sep05 Jul29 Jun28   (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
4  ANONIMA Dec20 Nov21 Nov02     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
SCR  DREXEL HILL Jan18 Dec21 Nov09 Oct05 Sep15 (beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 119 4.50    
6  CALIFORNIA SUNSET Dec21 Oct27 Sep22     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
7  CHATTANOOGA CREW Sep14 Aug04 Jul06     (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
8  WHATA MOON Dec21 Nov21       (gelner j)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 39% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.