Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - January 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(4/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(4/8/2/3)-(1/7/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/3)-(4/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/3)-(4/8/2/3)-(4/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/3)-(1/7/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2/3)-(1/7/4/3)-(2/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/3)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/3)-(2/1/5)-(2/5/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(2/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(2/5/6/4)-(8/7/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/4)-(8/7/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/4)-(8/7/4/2)-(8/4/2/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/4/2)-(8/4/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/2)-(8/4/2/5)-(3/11/5/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (8/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/2/5)-(3/11/5/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-8   WIN (3/11/5/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/11/5/1/2)-(3/11/5/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/11/5/1/2)-(3/11/5/1/2)-(3/11/5/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD MISSION Dec13 Nov17 Aug28 Aug01   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SOUNDBITE Dec14 Nov16 Oct10 Aug05 Jun28 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 2.00    
3  PARK AVENUE BETTY Dec15 Oct19 Aug24 Jul17 Jun06 (kimmel joh)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
4  SOLVE THE PUZZLE Nov16 Sep23 Aug09     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 8% 12.00    
5  YO LEVEN Dec11 Nov06 Oct16 Sep19 Aug18 (morey w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 3.00 64% 0.60    
SCR  SCARBOROUGH FAIR Dec27 Sep07 Aug11     (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00    
 
AQU-2   01/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLINGNESS Dec06         (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
2  ARCADIAN Dec06 Oct24       (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 13% 6.50    
3  I'M SOLO N IN LOVE Nov29 Oct11 Sep22 Aug21 Jul07 (rodrigue)VILLA FAVINHO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  DAYTONA MOONSHINE Nov15 Sep22       (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 30% 2.40    
5  DAMAGE Nov29 Oct27 Sep28     (miceli michael)COA J 120 10.00    
6  M G DASH Jan02 Nov27 Nov06 Oct04   (sacco gregory )CIVACI SAHIN 120 4.50    
7  WELL SUITED Nov14 Sep14 Aug31     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
8  BRODERICK Nov07 Oct24       (reynold)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 4.00 27% 2.80    
 
AQU-3   01/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHESALITTLE EDGY Dec12 Oct20 Sep29 Aug29 Jul28 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.40 54% 0.90    
SCR  MAGGIE T Jan01 Dec14 Nov07 Oct20 Sep13 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 1.40    
2  KILLY START Nov29 Oct20 Oct04 Aug17 Jul28 (abreu fernand)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00    
3  MY GIRL JAL Dec27 Dec13 Jun30 May11 Apr18 (legall )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MATTITUDE Dec28 Dec15 Nov29 Nov02 Oct12 (magana jos)RIVERA R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  JACKSON'S DIXIE Jan01 Dec14 Nov21 Nov07 Oct20 (samsundar ro)HARKIE K 123 8.00    
6  GRIDLOCK Oct12 Jul20 Jun28 Apr21 Mar01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00    
7  BRZINA Dec15 Dec06 Oct16 Sep21 Jul13 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 4.00 21% 3.90    
 
AQU-4   01/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  RIBBONSINHERHAIR Dec15 Oct26 Oct17 Oct02 Sep12 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  HOW SWEET SHE IS Dec29 Dec06 Nov01 Oct04 Aug16 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50    
2B  BELLE OF THE BALL Nov17 Nov09 Oct20 Aug17 Jun30 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  UNION SUIT Oct26 Oct04 Aug22 Jul27 Jun23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00    
3  LAST GLORY Dec15 Nov10 Oct24 Sep27 Jul14 (arenas m)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
4  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW Dec27 Dec01 Nov07 Sep15 Aug17 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
5  TIPSY RUNNER Nov28 Nov08 Oct03 Aug30 Jul18 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 12% 7.20    
6  COQUITO Nov18 Nov06 Sep09 Aug11 Jul17 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.50    
SCR  ROMAN GODDESS Dec29 Nov14 Oct20 Sep28 Sep02 (rodrigu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00    
 
AQU-5   01/10/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JULITA         (duggan dav)RIVERA R 120 4.50    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of FIRST SALUTE by MIDSHIPMAN)
2  WILLFUL MAMA Dec01 Nov02 Sep13 Aug22   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 38% 1.60    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  CARA'S DREAMWEAVER Dec01 Nov03 Sep13 Aug14 Jul05 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
4  GIULIANA'S DREAM         (engleha)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of BULLISH SENTIMENT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  ROYAL BOBBIE         (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SHAYNA LADY by AMERICAN LION)
6  TOWER TWENTY TWO Dec07 Nov09 Sep13     (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 7% 14.30    
  (by CONNECT out of TOWER SMASH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  BANK ON BEBE Nov16         (davis ro)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of RAFFIE'S BEBE by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
8  SOHO NIGHTS         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of CONSCRIPTION by WAR FRONT)
 
AQU-6   01/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELAWARE DEVIL         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of AKRONISM by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  MAGNUM'S MICROBRST         (donk david)RIVERA R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of MATTY'S MAGNUM by EVEN THE SCORE)
3  TASTE OF DIAMONDS         (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ELUSIVE CHAMPAGNE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  HOME WRECKER Jul04         (rodriguez rudy )VIVES SOFIA 120 4.00 14% 6.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SHOPPERS RETURN by PUT IT BACK)
5  MY DAUGHTERS' GIFT Dec12         (pringle edmund)BROWN DALTON 120 30.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of IN CONTEMPT by ICE BOX)
6  MOONLIT DRIVE         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BY THE MOON by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  WOULDJA COULDJA Nov25         (moore michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of GOODONEHONEY by GREAT NOTION)
8  MORE THAN GRACE Nov08         (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TRACE OF GRACE by PETIONVILLE)
 
AQU-7   01/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARAMANGA (IRE) Dec08 Nov23 Oct11 Aug22 Jul28 (de hor)RIVERA R 123 4.00    
1A  BAD LARRY Dec08 Nov19 Oct25 Sep29 Aug29 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 4.00    
2  MYSTIC NIGHT Dec15 Nov23 Nov08 Oct18 Sep13 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  MR. SWAGGER Jan02 Dec15 Nov23 Nov02 Oct03 (rodriguez rudy )VIVES SOFIA 123 6.00    
4  DEBATE Nov13 Oct12 Sep20 Aug24 Aug01 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 12% 7.20    
5  CHEEKY TICO Jul28 Jul19 Jun29 Jun16 May25 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  HE'S GOT THIS Jan03 Nov08 Oct26 Oct10 Sep13 (abreu fernando)CIVACI SAHIN 121 3.00    
7  FIRST GLIMPSE Nov24 Oct19 Oct03 Sep13 Jul19 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50    
8  FLAT OUT FLYING Nov24 Nov08 Oct17 Sep23 Aug27 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
AQU-8   01/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MOSIENKO Dec12 Nov07 Oct06 Sep26 Jul14 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Jan02 Dec14 Nov21 Nov05 Oct21 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 123 10.00    
2  LATEST EDITION Nov14 Nov07 Oct10 Sep13 Aug08 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  AL'S RUBY Dec07 Apr06       (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
4  MISS LAO Dec12 Nov07 Oct17 Aug30 Aug01 (lalman d)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
5  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Nov21 Mar30 Jan19 Dec31 Dec08 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 7% 14.10    
6  QUEENS MASTERPIECE Oct16 Aug28 May27 Apr12 Jan19 (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00    
7  TRUE EMPRESS Nov05 Sep17 Aug28 Jul22 Jun15 (martin carlos)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00    
8  MAGGY'S PALACE Dec12 Nov07 Oct20 Aug25 Aug07 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
9  FOXY CARA Nov21 Oct20 Sep26 Aug18 Aug02 (friedma)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00    
SCR  A MAIZE ZING DOTIE Nov21 Sep19 Aug18 Jul22 Jun17 (englehart chris)VIVES SOFIA 123 15.00    
11  MY MAGIC WAND Nov22 Sep27 Aug02     (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.