Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - October 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/2/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/9)-(7/2/6/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/9)-(7/2/6/4/9)-(7/2/6/4/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (7/2/6/9)-(4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/9)-(4/3/7)-(1/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(1/2/6)-(3/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(3/5/1)-(3/4/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(3/4/5/2)-(2/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/5/2)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/2)-(2/6/1)-(5/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(5/2/3)-(6/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS EM Sep17 Aug26 Nov21 Oct29 Oct05 (yoder d)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of RECORD HIGH by TOUCH GOLD)
2  COWGIRL SARA         (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 12.00 27% 2.70    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
3  BROKEN A Sep17         (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
  (by DRILL out of BOSSY BIRD by SUMMER BIRD)
4  BOLD RUBY Aug26 Aug07 Jul01 May08 Apr24 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 ★    
  (by BOLD RED out of O. T. HUGHES by HENNY HUGHES)
5  THELMA LUCILLE Sep17 Aug15 Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 3.50    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
6  CANELA FINA Sep17 Aug26 Aug07 Jul24 Jul01 (lopez j)PILARES P 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
7  DRILLS WILD BRAT         (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 44% 1.30    
  (by DRILL out of WILD N BRATTY by OFFLEE WILD)
8  RON DAH LOU Aug26 Aug07       (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00    
  (by CORFU out of WINNERCOASTTOCOAST by SUPER SAVER)
9  LOTS OF SASS Sep17 Feb19       (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of SASSY OMBRE by OLD FORESTER)
 
TDN-2   10/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET BELEN Sep11 Aug28 Aug20 Jul30 Jul22 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 8.00    
2  PERPETUAL PRAISE Sep13 Aug14 Jul25 Jun22 May16 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 ★    
3  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 2.50 7% 12.70    
4  INCESSANT Sep04 Aug14 Jul22 Oct01 Sep06 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 68% 0.50    
5  ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA Jul25 Jul10 Dec04 Nov21 Nov08 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 5.00    
6  BLUE SAGE (IRE) Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 Jul08 Jun13 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 123 20.00    
7  MISS OVER THERE Aug21 Jul24 Jun08 May27 May04 (manning richard )VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   10/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVENUE TRAIN Sep17 Sep10 Sep02 Aug14 Jul29 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 1.80 57% 0.70    
2  QUICKSTYLE Sep11 Aug12 Jul29 Jul11 Jun19 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 12.00 17% 4.80    
3  POSITIVELY Sep11 Sep03 Aug19 Jul22 Jul03 (sweeting craig)PEREZ A 119 3.00    
4  SO TEMPTING Sep11 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 May23 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
5  BATTLE TESTED Aug24 Aug01 Jun23 Mar16   (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00    
6  LIME TREE Sep11 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jul11 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   10/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE THAN GOOD Sep19 Sep10 Aug15 Jun24 Jun05 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  FROSTY PAWS Mar26 Feb26 Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
3  STELLARS IN CHARGE Sep01 Aug02 Jul26 Jul06 May31 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 117 1.80 56% 0.80    
4  PRACTICAL MAN Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 4.00    
5  LAUDA SPEED Aug26 Aug05 Jul09 Jun03 Apr25 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 13% 7.00    
6  ESTILO FAVORITO Sep10 Aug26 Mar25 Mar05 Feb24 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00    
 
TDN-5   10/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABA LOOEY Sep10 Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 Jun26 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.00    
2  MUCHO PRIMO Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 Jul18 Jun26 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOLDEN MONEY Sep04 Aug12 Jul18 Jul04 Jun11 (poole m)HOUGHTON D 121 2.50 34% 2.00    
4  POWERFUL PHIL Sep10 Aug21 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Sep17 Aug27 Aug12 Jul18 Nov06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 5.00 9% 10.70    
6  ACCURATE Sep10 Aug12 Jul18 Jan24 Dec19 (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 119 15.00    
7  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul18 Jul02 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00    
8  ATTACK ANGLE Aug29 Aug12 Jul18 Jul03 Jun05 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   10/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTENING LOTTIE Sep02 Aug22 Jul30 Jul18 Jul09 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 20.00 9% 10.00    
2  WHISKEY DIAMOND Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 Jul15 Jun19 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 123 1.60 52% 0.90    
3  I'M JAC'D Sep03 Aug22 Aug14 Jul25 Jul09 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 6.00    
4  MY TWO JAKES Sep11 Aug12 Jul25 Jul09 Jun18 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
5  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Sep11 Aug22 Jul30 Jul03 Jun10 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50    
6  NATIONAL DIAMOND Sep11 Aug31 Aug22 Jul12 Jun28 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 115 2.00 10% 9.00    
 
TDN-7   10/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTALIA Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Mar15 Aug15 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 121 2.50    
2  MALI BALI Sep12 Sep03 Aug22 Jul23 Jun24 (morales saul )BRACHO A 119 5.00 11% 7.80    
3  PANOLA Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 (canegata james)DIAZ I 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  LUNA PRIMAVERA Sep12 Aug22 Jul22 Jun10 May20 (a)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 115 8.00    
5  CHANGE THE PLAY Jun01 Apr27 Mar09     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 55% 0.80    
SCR  QADIRA Sep12 Aug19 Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 4.00    
 
TDN-8   10/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIME TO SHOOT Sep11 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 Oct13 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 119 10.00    
2  GOING IN STYLE Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 Jul24 Jun22 (bailey ricar)HALDAR J 119 15.00    
3  CHANNEL FURY Aug20 Aug01 Jun27 Jun12 May20 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  PETINGAS TWIN Aug23 Jul21 Jun19 Jun07 May18 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50    
5  WILLISTON WAY Sep11 Aug18 Aug04 Jul02 May27 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 24% 3.10    
6  DEVIL'S TOWER Sep12 Aug13 Jul23 Jul07 Jun07 (he)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
7  RAINBOW'S PRIDE Aug20 May23 May07 Apr03 Mar06 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.