Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - August 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (2/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/8)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(3/4/2)-(3/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(3/6/7)-(1/5/9) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(1/5/9)-(4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (1/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/9)-(1/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/9)-(1/5/9)-(1/5/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(6/2/5)-(1/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOIA RARA Jul20 Jun25 May30 May12 Mar20 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.50    
2  TOUGH AS NAILS Jun24 May28 May07 Feb23 Dec20 (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
3  KITTEN'S TEMPER Jul11 May31 May04 Mar30 Mar06 (beck rowena)LEBRON VICTOR 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  HALCYON DAYS Jul15 Jul02 Jun01 May22 May04 (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 8.00    
5  OLD FASHIONED GIRL Jul11 Jun19 May31 Jan24 Dec30 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 119 5.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  STORY CHANNEL Jul15 Jul02 Jun19 Jun01 Dec11 (mond)FRANCA ERIELTUN 125 12.00    
SCR  GAMBI Jul24 Jun22 Jul29 Jul14 Jun29 (alessi ja)CORREA L 125 15.00    
8  KATE'S CONCERTO Jul20 Jul06 Jun19 May14 Apr27 (lucas way)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  KAYLEIGH'S KITTEN Jul15 Jun19 May31 Dec11 Nov27 (jackson jeffr)CANUTO THIAGO 119 15.00    
 
BTP-2   08/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEIDI'S SINATRA Jul04 Jun12 May17 Mar25 Mar18 (haehn r)OUZTS W 123 6.00    
2  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Oct30 Sep13 Jun07 May23 Apr13 (corriveau john)BUSH V 123 4.50    
3  FACTUM'S STAR Jul11 Jun19 May18 Feb17 Jan11 (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
4  DANCE MOVES Oct21 Aug11 Jul15 Jun22 May25 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  PALACE TEMPTATION Jul18 Feb28 Feb14 Jan30 Jan15 (chain pearl)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.50    
6  AINT NO BANDLEADER Jul26 Jul13 Jun12 May17 Mar30 (estvanko )CORREA L 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
BTP-3   08/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAMANS IMAGE Jul20 Jul03 Jun05 Dec30 Dec14 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 3.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LADY MONAVI by MONDAVI)
2  JUBILEE BEN PLAYIN May22 May04 Apr25     (adams l)SERPA ANGEL 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE PLAYER out of JUBILEE PARTNER by PARTNER'S HERO)
3  LESOTHO Jul03 Jun05 Aug12 Jul22   (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by MITOLE out of FEISTY TOMBOY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  IAMGOINGTOMAKEIT         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 4.50 29% 2.50    
  (by KLIMT out of BELLE DU SUD by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
5  LIGHTNING MELODY Jun30 Jun09 May26 Feb16 Feb03 (jones s)SOSA LAUREANO 124 3.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MUSIC THUNDER by CISCO ROAD)
 
BTP-4   08/02/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG SHORTS         (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 119 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of BUMPY RIDE by DIXIE UNION)
2  FAST LUCK         (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 119 6.00 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of FAIRWAY LUCK by UNION RAGS)
3  BUTTERMAKER         (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SPECIAL SMOKE by FREE HOUSE)
4  PROBATIONER Jul18 Jun14 Jun05 May26   (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 2.50    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of ON PROBATION by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  BAMBY BOOM Jul18         (alvarez nery)SOSA LAUREANO 119 4.50    
  (by KLIMT out of SACRED MOON by MALIBU MOON)
6  MIGHTY MO Jul17         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by TAPITURE out of GIGI JEAN by TEMPLE CITY)
7  LUKE'S LASSO         (short travis )JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00 7% 13.80    
  (by ACCELERATE out of QUEEN PRISCILLA by FLATTER)
 
BTP-5   08/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Jul17 Jul05 May15 May03 Nov24 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  STRIDE Feb15 Jan18 Dec22 Sep23 Aug04 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.00    
2  AZURE SKY Jul17 Jun27 May29 May15 Apr20 (mendieta )CORREA L 123 20.00    
SCR  MOMS MOON Jul13 Jun13 Oct09 Aug27 Jul19 (arnold george)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50    
SCR  LIAM THE BRAVE Jun21 May12 Apr11 Mar21 Feb22 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 15.00    
5  CASUAL ATTIRE Jun22 May29 Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 8.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  DRIFTWOOD Jun27 May30 Mar16 Feb22 Jan26 (kordenbrock m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50    
SCR  JURA Jun21 Feb03 Dec20 Dec07 Oct24 (meah m)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.50    
8  FROSTY THE SOLDIER Jul17 Jun27 Jun15 May17 Apr10 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 20.00    
9  COYOTE ROAD Jul10 Jun05 May18 Apr12 Jan05 (williams colb)LEBRON VICTOR 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  SWAYBACK JACK Jul13 Jun08 May23 May10 Apr26 (nocero ca)CORREA L 118 10.00    
 
BTP-6   08/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TICKET Jul18 Jun27 Jun14 Jun05 May15 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.50    
2  DISCO MUSIC Jul05 Jun27 May15 Oct06 Sep29 (helmbrecht william)BUSH V 125 5.00    
3  SQUEAKY CLEAN Jun27 May24 Nov27 Oct06 May18 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 3.00 ★    
4  DOUBLE AGENT Jul06 Jun20 May30 May13 Apr23 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 120 1.80 74% 0.40    
5  R CLIFFHANGER Dec13 Nov22 Oct24 Oct06 Sep29 (melancon paul)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   08/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASON A. P. Jul25 Jul03 Jun19 May18 Dec29 (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 125 2.00    
2  SILENT CHAOS Jun14 Oct07 Sep20 Aug29 Aug01 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 3.50 23% 3.40    
3  ELI Jul18 Jul03 Jun14 May17 May02 (hernandez debbie)MURGIA A 125 4.50    
4  DAWN WEST Jul03 Jun13 May30 Feb28 Feb11 (ocasio osv)BATISTA X 125 5.00    
5  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Jul03 Jun14 May17 Apr24 Apr03 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOOD IDEA Jul14 Jun17 Nov26 Nov06 Oct11 (fletcher kevi)SOSA LAUREANO 125 4.00 41% 1.40    
 
BTP-8   08/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLORMECAIRO Jul11 Jun08 May08 Mar28   (morey william)SOSA LAUREANO 119 4.50 46% 1.20    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of WATERCOLORS by THEATRICAL (IRE))
SCR  CAT'S SYMPHONY Jul11 Jun04 May04 Apr13 Feb14 (oliver victor)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CATRAGEOUS by D. J. CAT)
SCR  MUCHO MACHO CHICK Jul20 Mar14 Feb22 Jan04 Dec07 (toye kara)BEALMEAR C 120 12.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of IVANKA by FARMA WAY)
SCR  OGEMA BAY Jul20 Dec30 Nov08 Sep02 Apr01 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MADAME DU LAC by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  NATIVITY Jul20 Jun21 Sep20 Aug10   (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FASHION WEEK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  GUINEVERE Jun09 Apr05 Feb21     (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  MINT DRIVEN         (rider m)LEZCANO ABEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of KISSABLE by KISSIN KRIS)
8  STAGFLATION Jul12 Jun12 May23 Apr18 Mar14 (baker james)ACHARD ALEX 125 15.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of REAL POINT by POINT OF ENTRY)
SCR  WHY WASTE WORDS Jul14 Jun26 Jun04 Apr21 Dec15 (wilkes r)ELLIOTT JANE 125 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of THE ROAD NOT TAKEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  JOYFUL CROWN (IRE) Jul11         (ramos rafa)BATISTA X 119 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  OUR AMERICAN GIRL         (peach a)OUZTS W 119 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SILVER LANTANA by BADGE OF SILVER)
SCR  ADELLEGATOR May31 Mar23 Dec02 Oct27 Sep13 (hernandez)CORREA L 119 20.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILVER FERN by BERNARDINI)
SCR  FOREVER HOPEFUL Oct12 Sep16       (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 119 15.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of MY HOPEFUL HEART by STRONG HOPE)
14  LEAFLET Jul20 Jun01 Nov30 Nov03 Sep22 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 6.00    
  (by BLAME out of LONG LEAF by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.