Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Monday - May 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MTH-3   WIN (3/4/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/10/5)-(3/4/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/10/5)-(3/4/10/5)-(3/4/10/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (1/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/4)-(6/9/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/9/4)-(6/9/4)-(6/9/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-7   WIN (5/1/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/9)-(5/1/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/9)-(5/1/7/9)-(5/1/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/6/8)-(7/2/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   05/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NO FAKE Mar03 Feb02 Dec01 Nov04   (delgado jose)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00    
TABOR TIME Apr17 Apr06 Jan26 Dec23 Nov18 (crook-demasi)ARROYO S 124 5.00    
WINE GODDESS May14 Apr29 Apr16 Apr02 Mar11 (hamilton steph)TORRES JOMAR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHAT'S GOOD Apr06 Mar17 Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 121 2.00    
SCR  CALMING SEA Apr06 Feb16 Jan19 Jan01 Nov11 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00    
SPUNFORFUN Apr05 Mar15 Jan26 Nov25 Nov05 (suarez wlaimar)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  JUDGEMENT TIME May11 Nov23 Oct12 Sep16 Aug18 (thompson glen)IORIO MELISSA 116 8.00    
HOLY BERRIES May18 Apr02 Mar26 Feb28 Jan09 (gonzalez )CAMACHO JR 119 12.00    
SCR  LA SIERVA C May18 Apr05 Mar18 Feb21 Jan30 (gonzalez )BOCACHICA J 112 4.00    
 
MTH-2   05/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL TEKILERO Apr07 Mar10 Feb16     (hernandez jo)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.00    
LAKE CHAPALA Mar03 Jul08       (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
MITHRIDATES May17 Apr21 Oct19 Oct04 Aug24 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 117 10.00    
DUDEWITHANAME Aug13 Jun10 May05     (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 119 6.00    
SCALLYWAG (GB) Apr28 Apr12 Mar22     (gallegos jos)MENESES MARCOS 119 1.50 64% 0.60    
JOEL'S BOY Apr12 Mar15       (penaloza )MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 15.00    
NIGHT MONKEY         (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 3.50 7% 13.50    
 
MTH-3   05/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIEF ENGINEER Dec13 Aug20 Aug04 Jul09 Jun30 (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00    
SCR  C C GOLDRUSH Nov12 Oct10 Sep16 Jul23 Jun06 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.50    
GROUP TICKET Apr20 Mar23 Feb25 Jan10 Dec27 (sweezey ke)ARROYO S 117 4.50 47% 1.10    
NATURAL STAR Feb10 Jan24 Dec29 Nov24 Oct28 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 17% 4.70    
ATTACHED Jun03 Apr28 Sep25     (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
RUN DIEM Z Apr04 Sep18 Aug16 Aug04 Jun15 (handal ra)VARGAS A 119 10.00    
BARGAINING POWER May12 May05 Apr04 Mar21 Feb17 (serey mar)BOCACHICA J 114 6.00    
SCR  DANCE WITH ME BABE Mar22 Feb18 Dec03 Nov10 Oct06 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 116 15.00    
MEROKEE Apr26 Apr12 Mar10 Feb10 Jan13 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 114 8.00    
10  MR. HOUGHTON Apr21 Mar16 Feb22 Jul30 Jul09 (perkins j)IORIO MELISSA 116 4.50 9% 10.60    
 
MTH-4   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEM LABINE May16 Apr27 Apr11 Feb19 Feb09 (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 1.40 45% 1.20    
CHIQUIRIN Apr28 Apr05 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 (hernandez enri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
SHANGHAI WARRIOR Nov02 Oct25 Aug12 Jul30 Jul14 (grullo)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 12.00    
GIVE IT A GO May12 Apr15 Mar11 Feb27 Jan31 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
FACE ABARRIO May20 Apr12 Mar22 Mar07 Feb25 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 124 2.50 24% 3.30    
NOTION TO TAPIT May19 May12 Apr13 Mar23 Feb14 (serey mario )ARROYO S 121 8.00 8% 11.10    
MOCEPHUS May19 May12 Apr13 Jan31 Dec29 (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 111 10.00    
 
MTH-5   05/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE THERE May12 Apr21 Mar16 Dec23 Nov22 (abreu jorge )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 4.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TIN TYPE GAL by TAPIT)
SCR  CLINTON         (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 123 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FRONT PAGE STORY by WAR FRONT)
EDITOR'S CHOICE Dec16 Jul14 Jun03 May21 Nov13 (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 123 10.00    
  (by EDITORIAL out of OUT OF NOWHERE by GIROLAMO)
BIG Z OG Aug22         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TERFAASHAH by DAAHER)
SCR  PAXSATIONAL Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 May28 Jan06 (barker ed)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BROWSE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BETTA GO GO GO May10 Apr19 Mar08 Jan17 Dec21 (barker edward )CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 60% 0.70    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LIVIA B QUICK by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
TRUE FAITH Apr25 Feb19       (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of DON'TFORGETABOUTME by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  GOVERNOR DUTTON         (pompay terri)ARROYO S 119 12.00    
  (by ENTICED out of YOU WISH by BODEMEISTER)
DITHER Apr28 Sep08 Aug31 Aug04 Mar25 (pompay terri)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of DILLY by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  CONFISCATED Apr30         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 4.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of ASPIRING by SEEKING THE GOLD)
 
MTH-6   05/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Apr21 Mar07 Feb02 Jan11 Dec22 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
SHADY MUNNI Apr07 Mar06 Nov24 Oct14 Sep30 (ness jamie)TORRES JOMAR 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  CENTAVO May18 May04 Apr26 Mar30 Mar22 (chatterpa)BOCACHICA J 116 10.00    
SCR  NAMESAKE May04 Apr06 Mar14 Feb17 Dec17 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 6.00    
CO CONSPIRATOR May11 Apr25 Mar30 Mar10 Mar02 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 121 12.00    
CANADIAN PHAROAH May05 Apr19 Mar23 Mar08 Feb02 (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
RHUMJAR Apr24 Mar12 Feb23 Jan09 Dec13 (gonzalez a)BRAVO J 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-7   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC8 SLOPPY Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIZ ROMANTIC Apr27 Mar02 Jan04 Dec09 Nov18 (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  NANTASKET BEACH Apr11 Feb14 Jul23 May31 Apr27 (breen j)BRAVO J 119 5.00    
SCR  FOOD BANK HELPER Apr27 Mar20 Feb28 Sep04 Jul30 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 116 30.00    
RECKLESS PLACE Apr27 Mar27 Mar06 Feb03 Jan19 (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 30.00    
TIDAL FORCES Apr20 Mar30 Feb25 Jan28 Nov19 (abreu fernan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE May01 Mar30 Jan26 Dec08 Nov29 (delgado jose)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.50    
AMERICAN UNITY Mar30 Feb24 Jan20 Dec30 Dec13 (ness jamie)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00 17% 4.90    
FIGHTERTOWN Apr20 Feb18 Jan28 Dec15 Oct11 (schultz l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 10.00    
GILDED AGE May04 Mar20 Mar14 Feb15 Jan20 (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  LE GRIFFON Apr07 Oct12 Sep17 Jul14 May27 (suarez wlaim)MENESES MARCOS 116 15.00    
SCR  MT SURIBACHI May11 Nov08 Oct17 Oct10 Sep18 (smylie timothy)MOYA F 116 30.00    
 
MTH-8   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Mr. Prospector Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUMP N RUN Apr20 Mar15 Jan30 Dec06 Oct17 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 4.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of TRISH'S WISH by SMOKE GLACKEN)
COUNTERSPY Apr16 Mar20 Mar04 Feb07 Jan30 (mosco robert)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SIMPLIFY by PULPIT)
LITTLE VIC Mar23 Feb10 Sep03 Jul29 Jul01 (suarez wlaimar)OLIVERO A 118 4.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ROCK AND GLORY by ROCK HARD TEN)
HURRICANE J Feb24 Dec23 Nov19 Apr07 Feb25 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of PANTANAL by CONGRATS)
MACHEN'S RIDGE May03 Apr20 Apr04 Mar29 Feb23 (ovando mel)COLINA ALEJANDRO 118 30.00    
  (by MACHEN out of LEGENDARY RIDGE by CACTUS RIDGE)
KHOZEIRESS Jan20 Dec09 Nov11 Oct22 Aug13 (pompay terri)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of BRIDLED HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
DEAN DELIVERS Mar24 Feb24 Dec09 Oct21 Jul29 (allard)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of SLICK AND TRUE by YES IT'S TRUE)
HOLLYWOOD JET Feb19 Nov18 Nov01 Sep25 Jul26 (gonzalez-mili)OCASIO M 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of TRAVELATOR by A. P JET)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.