Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - May 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MTH-2   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MTH-3   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-4   WIN (8/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/7)-(8/4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/7)-(8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-5   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (4/1/6/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/2/5)-(4/1/6/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/2/5)-(4/1/6/2/5)-(4/1/6/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-7   WIN (14/5/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (14/5/13)-(14/5/13) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (14/5/13)-(14/5/13)-(14/5/13) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-8   WIN (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/8)-(7/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/8)-(7/3/8)-(7/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-9   WIN (4/10/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/1/3)-(4/10/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/1/3)-(4/10/1/3)-(4/10/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-10   WIN (1/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   05/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RASCALLY REBEL Apr26 Apr19 Apr06 Mar15 Feb24 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 15.00    
2  IMPETUD Apr10 Mar20 Feb20 Dec26 Dec04 (gonzalez clau)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
3  GRATED COCONUT Apr05 Mar22 Feb21 Feb09 Dec31 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 3.50 ★    
4  AGARRAMESIPUEDES Mar30 Feb11 Jan05 Dec10 Nov26 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 121 3.00    
5  DENYING Apr21 Apr10 Mar30 Feb24 Feb16 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
6  UNION LIGHTS Apr20 Apr07 Mar21 Mar08 Feb18 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 116 2.00 66% 0.50    
7  THAT SUN OF A GUN Mar16 Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 Dec24 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 116 8.00 ★    
 
MTH-2   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TEJOTA Apr26 Apr04 Mar14 Feb14 Dec01 (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 121 2.00    
2  APOLLO CODE Apr13 Dec31 Aug12 Jul16   (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 117 3.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  MEROKEE Apr26 Apr12 Mar10 Feb10 Jan13 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 116 4.50    
SCR  GOLDEN PURCHASE Apr19 Mar17 Feb29 Feb11 Jan18 (jones edu)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 8.00    
5  BARGAINING POWER May05 Apr04 Mar21 Feb17 Feb03 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 116 1.80    
6  EL DE LEO Mar24 Mar03 Dec24 Nov26 Nov05 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00 ★    
 
MTH-3   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH TONE Oct09 Sep11 Aug26 Aug16 Jul14 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 119 2.50 ★    
2  MOCEPHUS Apr13 Jan31 Dec29 Dec09 Dec01 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 9% 10.00    
3  NOTION TO TAPIT Apr13 Mar23 Feb14 Jan05 Nov29 (serey mario )ARROYO S 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNDER THE GUN Apr12 Mar03 Feb16 Jan28 Dec17 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 1.80 62% 0.60    
5  CRAFTY DON Jan31 Jan01 Nov29 Oct25 Sep26 (perez ruperto )CORREA JULIO 124 6.00    
6  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL Nov20 Nov09 Oct06 Sep03 Aug25 (milne joan)OLVER MADISON 124 15.00    
7  SAPONARA Apr30 Apr10 Mar05 Feb12 Jan24 (perez ruperto)RIVERA D 124 12.00    
 
MTH-4   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUNDO MIX Apr17 Mar27 Mar04 Feb21 Jan31 (cole-davis tin)MARIN SAMUEL 122 15.00    
2  AUSTIN FROM BOSTON May05 Apr20 Apr06 Feb03 Oct21 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
3  PRACTICAL COACH Apr23 Apr10 Mar11 Feb27 Feb05 (ramirez sil)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00 ★    
4  EBBEN Feb27 Nov20 Oct18 Sep04 Jul26 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  BY ITS ABSENCE Apr07 Mar29 Mar22 Feb23 Feb15 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 121 8.00    
6  SPOTTED BULL Apr22 Mar16 Jan25 Dec15 Oct28 (ward dan)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00    
7  TURNSANDCONDITIONS Aug04 Jun11 May28 Apr14 Mar19 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MOTION TO STRIKE Apr13 Jan25 Dec30 Nov18 Oct06 (falcone robert)RENDON JAIRO 121 5.00 56% 0.80    
9  AFTERNOON HEAT Apr07 Mar15 Feb17 Jan21 Dec31 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.50    
SCR  MOUNT TRAVERS Apr27 Mar09 Feb25 Jan28 Jan18 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 116 5.00    
 
MTH-5   05/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD MEDICATION Apr14 Feb23 Jan27 Jan13 Jan05 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 116 6.00 24% 3.10    
2  COUNTRY MILES Oct06 Sep09 Aug27 Aug18 Jul14 (sweezey ke)ARROYO S 121 4.50    
3  PORCH SWING May03 Apr19 Apr07 Mar22 Mar09 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  SUPERSTITIEUX Apr13 Apr04 Mar22 Feb21 Feb03 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50    
5  HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP Apr19 Mar30 Mar13 Feb23 Feb09 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.50    
6  GIVE IT A GO Apr15 Mar11 Feb27 Jan31 Jan08 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  CANDY KINGDOM Apr21 Jul27 Jul15 Jun24 Jun18 (foglia )GONZALEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
 
MTH-6   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($68.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M ON FIRE Apr19 Oct13 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 5.00 19% 4.20    
2  JOEBOY'S JEDI Jul23 Jun03       (spina charles)IORIO MELISSA 112 15.00 9% 9.70    
3  HELLO POP Nov20 Sep04 Aug27 Jul23 Jul16 (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 12.00    
4  SHIP TO SHORE (IRE) Mar16 Jan06 Dec09 Sep09 Jul30 (owens edd)VARGAS A 117 0.80 32% 2.20    
5  CASSATION Sep04 Aug27 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 (velazquez dani)MOYA F 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUNSHINE CHARLIE Apr22 Jan15 Oct13 Sep04 Jul16 (ward dan)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 15% 5.70    
7  ALPHA COMPANY Nov01 Oct06 Aug27 Jul08 Jun10 (huston k)CENTENO E 121 10.00    
8  JUST COMPLY Dec01 Oct06 Aug27 Jul29 Jul08 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 121 10.00    
9  CASH KID Oct13 Sep09 Aug27 Jul23 Jul01 (sweezey ke)ARROYO S 121 15.00    
 
MTH-7   05/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  READY TO FLY Apr26 Jan24 Dec23 Dec01 Sep04 (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50    
SCR  FERAL'S JOY Sep09 Jul08 Jun17 May07 Apr15 (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 121 6.00    
SCR  FRONTLINE WARRIOR Apr13 Jan06 Nov19 Oct12 Sep03 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 5.00    
SCR  BASSANIO (GB) Apr20 Oct21 Sep02 Aug02 Jun25 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 124 6.00    
5  LANDBISCUIT Apr26 Oct28 Oct06 Sep02 Aug25 (brown r)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00 31% 2.30    
6  ROSE COLLECTOR Apr26 Mar09 Sep10 Aug06   (sweezey ken)JARA FERNANDO 117 12.00    
SCR  OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE Apr20 Mar30 May13 Nov19 Sep24 (crook-demasi)ARROYO S 121 20.00    
SCR  A WESTERN YARN Sep09 Jul24 May20 Mar11 Jan08 (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 6.00    
9  WAITLIST Apr12 Mar09 Feb03     (pletcher a)BRAVO J 117 3.50    
SCR  STARSTRUCK NOTION Apr26 Oct14 Sep03 Jul23 Jun18 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 12.00    
11  CASSIUS Apr05 Mar09 Feb17 Jan04 Dec01 (hernandez )MENDOZA JHONATAN 117 30.00    
SCR  FRIZZANTE Apr21 Mar27 Mar06 Feb10 Jan12 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 117 8.00    
13  RAPTURE BAY Apr12 Mar02 Feb10 Jan06 Dec17 (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
14  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Apr26 Mar22 Mar09 Jan27 Dec29 (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 5.00 32% 2.20    
 
MTH-8   05/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Serena's Song Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAVERSE Mar30 Feb03 May27 Apr21 Mar17 (mott riley)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CHASTISE by BLAME)
SCR  CHEETARA (CHI) Mar09 Nov03 Jul26 Jul08 May20 (pletcher a)BRAVO J 118 8.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of FRESCURA TOTAL by THUNDER GULCH)
3  KATHLEEN O. Mar17 Feb21 May06 Apr02 Feb18 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 34% 2.00    
  (by UPSTART out of QUAVER by BLAME)
4  FROSTY O TOOLE Apr04 Feb17 Jan07 Dec15 Oct27 (dini mike)CENTENO E 118 5.00    
  (by FROSTED out of O' TOOLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  BEACH DAZE Apr22 Mar13 Feb28 Nov06 Oct24 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 118 15.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of YSABELL T. by GATORS N BEARS)
SCR  SUNSET LOUISE Apr21 Oct29 Aug09 Jul16 Jun16 (levine bruce)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ASH ZEE by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  OCCULT Oct28 Sep23 Jul29 Jun09 Apr08 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 0.80 38% 1.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAGICAL FEELING by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  VENTI VALENTINE Mar24 Feb17 Dec28 Dec02 Oct29 (abreu jorge )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of GLORY GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
MTH-9   05/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED WIND Dec10 Nov25 Nov02 Oct06 Sep17 (gonzalez cla)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50 9% 9.70    
SCR  SONET'S NAME Feb23 Feb07 Jan08 Dec03 Nov16 (coletti edw)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00    
3  NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) Feb24 Jan26 Jan05 Nov22 Nov05 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  THUNDER BUGGY Mar08 Feb23 Jan05 Dec10 Nov05 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 121 8.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  ANADOR (FR) Apr13 Mar16 Feb25 Jan31 Jul01 (dini mike)CENTENO E 122 3.00    
6  MY MASTERPIECE Nov08 Sep14 Aug30 Aug03 Jul13 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 119 20.00    
SCR  GOLD RUSH KIZZIE Jul30 Jun07 Oct21 Sep30 Sep23 (hawthorne )ROWLAND MADELINE 121 5.00    
8  COOL FRONT Mar15 May14 May06 Apr14 Mar25 (potts wayne)MOYA F 121 8.00    
SCR  NICOLAR Dec13 Nov29 Nov17 Oct14 Sep17 (mcmahon i)JUAREZ NIK 121 6.00    
10  ANOTHERDAYGONEBY Apr24 Mar23 Mar08 Feb14 Dec24 (sacco gre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
11  VEGAS WEEKEND Apr04 Mar22 Feb24 Feb02 Jan04 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 116 5.00    
 
MTH-10   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN DAY Feb24 Dec30 Dec16 Dec06 Sep28 (schistl rafae)JARA FERNANDO 123 6.00 30% 2.40    
2  LOVE HOPE FAITH Apr27 Mar31 Nov12 Sep30   (david carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50    
3  FUJI FIRE Apr25 Apr11 Mar22 Jan18   (david car)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  TIMO Apr05 Feb28 Jan24 Dec16 Oct22 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 118 5.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  CROWN THAT SAINT Apr21 Mar28 Mar14 Feb25 Feb02 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 119 3.00    
6  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT Mar29 Mar16 Feb16 Dec28 Nov18 (margotta antho)MOYA F 119 4.50    
7  TUFNEL Apr14 Feb17 Mar26     (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
8  MICRO BREWSKY Jul08 Jun10       (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.