Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - April 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(6/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(6/1/5/3)-(2/6/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/3)-(2/6/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/3)-(2/6/8/3)-(6/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/8/3)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/3)-(6/2/1)-(2/4/5/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(2/4/5/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(2/4/5/1/3)-(7/4/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/4/5/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/1/3)-(2/4/5/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/1/3)-(2/4/5/1/3)-(2/4/5/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/5/1/3)-(7/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/1/3)-(7/4/9)-(2/5/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/9)-(7/4/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/9)-(7/4/9/8)-(7/4/9/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/9)-(2/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9)-(2/5/4/6)-(2/1/3/7/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6/8)-(2/5/4/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/4/6)-(2/1/3/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/1/3/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/7/11)-(2/1/3/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/7/11)-(2/1/3/7/11)-(2/1/3/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUNDTOBEOK Mar22 Feb29 Nov03 Oct18 Sep30 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
2  STEPHANIE MY LOVE Mar22 Mar06 Jan25 Dec30 Dec01 (kravets bru)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
3  VICTORY ROYALE Mar22 Feb28 Feb03 Jan03 Nov12 (delong ben)HO WESLEY 124 5.00    
4  MAGIC GLASS Mar22 Dec27 Nov21 Oct18 Aug30 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  RIVER REWARDS RVF Mar06 Jan18 Dec13 Nov22 Oct26 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 5.00    
6  CASTLE REVIEW Feb29 Dec12 Nov15 Aug16 Jun26 (shuler jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00 12% 7.40    
7  WINDSOR'S PLAY Mar20 Mar02 Feb21 Feb08 Jan18 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
 
CT-2   04/12/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVETHEBAND Mar28 Mar08 Jan25 Jan10 May11 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 3.00 24% 3.30    
2  EVANESCO Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Jan12 Dec14 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00    
3  DR RENDEZVOUS Mar20 Feb28 Nov25 Jul15 Jul01 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BORN TO SIN Mar29 Mar07 Feb23 Feb01 Dec14 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00    
5  WYSOQUIET Mar29 Mar07 Feb17 Jan24 Dec30 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
6  AREYOUGONNAKISSME Mar29 Mar08 Feb01 Dec14 Mar10 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
7  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Mar21 Feb09 Feb03 Jan10 Dec13 (adorno jea)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
8  IRISH FLIGHT Mar01 Feb03 Jan04 Nov24 Nov11 (espinosa victor )ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
 
CT-3   04/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAYINYOURLANE Jul13 Jun10 May18 Apr29 Mar24 (binning matth)ADAMS L 117 10.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of INFRACTION by TAPIT)
2  RAMSEY Mar14 Feb09 Jan26 Jan10 Oct31 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 1.40 48% 1.10    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of UNDO by FLATTER)
3  DOWSING ROD Mar30 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Jan11 (butts e)LARROSA G 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of FINAL HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  WELL SPOTTED Feb17 Feb01       (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of JUST LOVELY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  RUN ROCKY RUN Feb28 Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 Nov10 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of LA TINA by LABEEB (GB))
6  PROSPECTIVE LOVE Feb16         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SIX TONSAFUN by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  TECH DUINN Oct20 Sep14 Jul14 Jun16 May12 (venham d)CHILO MAXIMO 116 30.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SEAHAG by CASHEL CASTLE)
8  SHARP STYLE Mar16 Feb28 Feb16 Dec14 Nov22 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 6% 17.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
CT-4   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROWWOOD Mar21 Feb21 Jan10 Nov03 Aug19 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 2.50 14% 6.30    
2  MISS LAUREN Mar14 Feb24 Feb07 Jan03 Dec08 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
3  EMBERLY Mar30 Mar15 Mar08 Feb28 Feb21 (ramos agost)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00    
4  PRINCESS HALO Mar21 Feb29 Feb01 Jan10 Dec07 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
5  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Mar21 Mar01 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00    
6  SNEAKY LYNK Mar21 Mar09 Feb21 Feb09 Jan31 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Apr05 Mar14 Mar01 Feb09 Jan31 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 20.00    
 
CT-5   04/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRS. SPEAKER Mar15 Feb16 Jan25 Jan11 Nov30 (comi ra)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 6.00 8% 10.80    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of STRUT THE COURSE by STRUT THE STAGE)
2  LADY FREE WILL Mar27 Dec02 Nov08 Oct18 Sep23 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of TRAIL TRICK by HAT TRICK (JPN))
3  DEBT RELIEF Mar27 Mar02 Jan26 Jan03 Nov30 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TIZ A BRITE MISS by HIGH BRITE)
4  LITTLE BABY GIRL Feb09 Jan27 Dec23 Oct29 Oct12 (hillegass alex)RIOS-CONDE A 124 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by OXBOW out of VUEMONT by A.P. INDY)
5  GOTHAM GRAY Mar22 Mar06 Feb15 Dec15 Oct26 (delong ben)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
  (by FROSTED out of JEANNE'S HONOR by HONOUR AND GLORY)
SCR  MALTESE ROSE Mar22 Feb15 Nov24     (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MALTESE GOOGOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  MAKAAN Feb09 Dec15 Nov24 Aug26 Aug02 (soldo e)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
  (by MORNING LINE out of LOTSA NOODLES by MASS MEDIA)
8  P B FOXY Apr04 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep14 (venham d)CHILO MAXIMO 116 20.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of POSEIDON'S BLUFF by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
9  AVALANCHE IS COMIN Mar22 Mar01 Feb15 Dec15 Nov21 (rofe jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
10  KATIE'S CHECKRIDE Oct26 Aug30 Jul28 Jul07 Mar31 (cruz jesus)HO WESLEY 124 3.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of AURORA'S RIDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  REES Feb23 Jan13 Nov05 Oct13 Sep01 (hillegass alexa)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
  (by OXBOW out of CHEEKY CHARM by A.P. INDY)
 
CT-6   04/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CURLIN'S THRILL Mar22 Mar01 Feb09 Dec16 Dec08 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00    
2  ANTIPOISON Mar22 Mar09 Feb24 Dec22 Dec10 (maldonado joe)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 6.00    
3  LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE Mar22 Mar09 Feb25 Jan27 Dec29 (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
4  POLAR WIND Mar22 Mar01 Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
5  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Mar30 Mar13 Feb15 Jan31 Jan04 (delong ben)HO WESLEY 124 6.00    
6  CAPE LOOKOUT Mar23 Mar02 Jan25 Dec13 Nov26 (schottroffe edwa)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
7  MARK DID IT Mar20 Feb23 Feb07 Jan18 Dec08 (adorno jea)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 66% 0.50    
8  TOP OF THE MINT Apr06 Feb09 Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00 ★    
9  TRANSFER THE FUNDS Mar30 Feb17 Feb10 Jan05 Dec22 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  ONLY GET'N BETTER Mar30 Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00    
 
CT-7   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK DADDY Mar13 Feb23 Feb14 Jan31 Jan05 (spriggs tos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
2  JAYJAYDEE Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Jan31 Nov30 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 36% 1.80    
3  JUNGLE BEAST Mar22 Dec07 Nov18 Oct14 Sep22 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
4  ZEN MASTER Feb16 Jan26 Dec13 Nov18 Oct28 (murdoc)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50 7% 13.00    
5  TWO BIT KID Mar20 Mar01 Feb15 Feb06 Jan15 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
6  RIDICULOUS Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 Jan10 Dec08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Mar20 Feb23 Feb07 Jan18 Dec29 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
8  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Mar22 Mar09 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 117 3.50 ★    
9  KENNY HAD A NOTION Mar16 Mar01 Feb16 Jan26 Dec13 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.00    
 
CT-8   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL THUNDER Mar21 Feb29 Feb10 Jan24 Jan03 (keller christ)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 2.50 27% 2.60    
2  WELLING Mar20 May20 May05 Apr21 Apr08 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
3  NEVER CHANGE Mar21 Feb23 Jan27 Oct12 Oct04 (figgins o)BOCACHICA J 117 3.00 8% 11.40    
4  GANDY DANCING Mar22 Feb29 Feb01 Dec17 Nov25 (stites w)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
5  MR HOOVER Mar28 Dec13 Nov15 Nov01 Oct11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00    
6  JAMMIN STILL Mar22 Feb29 Feb16 Oct12 Sep22 (caison l)MAWING A 122 10.00    
7  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Mar20 Feb28 Feb14 Feb07 Jan18 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Mar21 Feb29 Feb08 Dec08 Sep14 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 15.00    
SCR  BLAMEITONTHEFUN Mar28 Feb14 Dec13 Nov12 Oct18 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
10  MYSTIC POINT Mar21 Aug17 Jul28 Jun20 May18 (stites fli)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 20.00    
11  MAILMAN'S A FLYER Jun23 Mar31 Mar12 Feb26 Feb18 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.