Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - April 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(6/7/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-2   WIN (6/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/8)-(7/4/1/6)-(2/8/6/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FON-3   WIN (7/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (2/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/5)-(2/8/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/5)-(2/8/6/5)-(2/8/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/3/9)-(5/2/4/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(7/1/8/3/5)-(10/8/7/5/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FON-6   WIN (7/1/8/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/3/5)-(7/1/8/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/3/5)-(7/1/8/3/5)-(7/1/8/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-7   WIN (10/8/7/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/7/5/3)-(10/8/7/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/7/5/3)-(10/8/7/5/3)-(10/8/7/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-8   WIN (9/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/2)-(9/8/6/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/2)-(9/8/6/4/2)-(9/8/6/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/8/6/2)-(5/3/9/7/6)-(7/6/9/1/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FON-9   WIN (5/3/9/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/9/7/6)-(5/3/9/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/9/7/6)-(5/3/9/7/6)-(5/3/9/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/9/7/6)-(7/6/9/1/3) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
FON-10   WIN (7/6/9/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/9/1/3)-(7/6/9/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/9/1/3)-(7/6/9/1/3)-(7/6/9/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ BRIGHTER Mar02 May14 Apr21 Apr02 Mar17 (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
2  LUCKWOULDHAVEIT Mar23 Mar02 May20 May05 Apr21 (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT Mar23 Mar02 Oct30 Oct29 Oct08 (lemburg mark)BACON W 120 15.00    
4  PAISANO JIM Mar23 Mar02 May20 May05 Apr22 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50    
5  EL ARE EM Mar17 Mar03 Oct29     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
6  P R WHY NOT Oct08 Jun04 May14 Apr02 Mar19 (rivera p)DELORME L 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-2   04/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ADDISYN K Mar22 Mar02 May20 Mar25 Mar03 (hines hanse)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
2  JOSIES SCORE Mar22 Mar02 Oct21 Jun15 May13 (stivers ryan)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
3  SING CHARMER SING Mar22 Mar16 Mar02 May20 May06 (compton jesse)BACON W 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
4  JUST LUCK Mar22 Mar02 May20 Apr28 Apr16 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00    
5  P R GIRLFRIEND Mar02 Feb17 Oct07 Jun04 Jun03 (zastrow cary)PICKNER XAVIER 120 12.00    
6  TELLITTOTHEJUDGE Mar22 Mar16 Feb17 Oct07 May20 (bliss dean)DELORME L 125 3.00 24% 3.20    
7  JOCOTE Mar16 Mar01 Oct21 May13 Apr15 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 23% 3.40    
8  ZIBBY TOO Mar22 Mar02 May20 May06 Apr16 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 14% 6.10    
 
FON-3   04/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE SON OF A CHIEF Feb17 Dec02 Nov08 Oct27 Mar25 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 14% 6.40    
2  DEANOS CAPE Mar01 Feb09 Jan27 Dec09 Nov29 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
3  BROADWAY PETE Mar16 Feb24 Oct27 Oct22 Sep30 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
4  TIMEHASCOME Mar15 Feb25 Feb17 Dec24 Nov25 (ramaekers eri)BACON W 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
5  AMERICAN SMOOTH Mar16 Feb16 Jan19 Jan06 Dec20 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
6  CAPTAIN SCOTTY Mar30 Mar16 Mar08 Feb24 Aug19 (bunn shawn)BETHKE A 125 6.00 9% 9.80    
7  SENOR JOBIM Feb28 Feb10 Jan31 Jan12 Dec16 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 125 4.50 19% 4.30    
8  RICKEY B Mar16 Feb24 Oct28 Oct22 Oct08 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
 
FON-4   04/06/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAIN JOEY Mar30 Mar16 Feb24 Feb09 Jan06 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
2  GETCHA Mar23 Mar15 Feb09 Jan06 Dec18 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  OUTLAW X. Mar23 Mar16 Feb18 Feb09 Dec07 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00    
4  OH BE ONE Mar16 Mar01 Oct01 Sep08 Sep02 (bunn shawn)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
5  NATE'S REVENGE Mar15 Feb18 Dec29 Dec14 Nov24 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  U S NAVY CROSS Mar23 Mar15 Jan20 Dec18 Dec02 (lemburg mark)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 12% 7.30    
7  R T'S IRON MAN Mar17 Mar08 Feb23 Jan25 Dec30 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
8  PAYNTER'S BOY Mar23 Mar16 Oct21 Oct08 Sep03 (rushton templ)BACON W 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
FON-5   04/06/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOILED BRAT Mar30 Mar15 Mar03 Sep13 Aug30 (bethke a)DELORME L 125 15.00    
2  DONNA LIRICA Dec12 Nov20 Oct31 Sep14 Aug06 (stivers ryan)BETHKE A 125 3.00 16% 5.30    
3  FESSY Mar15 Mar02 Feb17 Feb01 Nov17 (martinez kelli)HAAR NATHAN 121 8.00 ★    
4  WHERESTHECARTGIRL Mar25 Mar12 Feb15 Dec28 Nov21 (lemburg mark)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 5% 19.00    
5  REASON WHY         (gourneau jerr)BACON W 120 4.00 58% 0.70    
6  FEELSSOGOODINLOVE Mar03 Feb17 May20 May13 Apr02 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
7  WUMPMUG Mar03 Feb18 Oct28 Oct22 Oct01 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
8  CZECHITOUT Mar22 Mar10 Dec08 Nov10 Oct22 (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00    
9  ATHENIAN PRINCESS Mar15 Mar01 Feb17 Oct28 Oct21 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 ★    
 
FON-6   04/06/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELTICS WILDCAT Mar24 Mar10 Aug05 Jul19 Jul08 (donlin larry)BETHKE A 125 4.00 15% 5.50    
2  NEBRASKA RED Mar24 Mar10 Jun04 Jun03 May19 (mcclain stan)PICKNER XAVIER 120 20.00    
3  D'WILD MUFFIN Mar24 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec28 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 8% 11.00    
4  MENDHAM MILL Feb18 Jul07 Jun14 Apr01 Feb03 (wise jason)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00    
5  ALWAYS A TIZ Mar10 Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep23 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  OVER EXPOSED Apr14 Mar10 Oct03 Aug22 Aug09 (rushton templ)BACON W 120 15.00    
7  RED RED WINE (ARG) Mar23 Mar02 Feb17 Jul05 Jun08 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
8  FASHION FACT Mar24 Mar10 Feb24 Jun03 May19 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 3.50 13% 6.90    
9  SUNSHINE EMILY Mar17 Mar01 Feb24 Sep23 Sep08 (bunn shawn)DELORME L 125 15.00    
 
FON-7   04/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAITIN' ON A WOMAN Feb22 Feb01 Dec06 Aug03 Jun22 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 125 2.50    
2  CHIEF TY HE Mar08 Oct30 Oct29 Oct08 May14 (hemmer terrel)BACON W 120 10.00    
3  BRICKBAT Mar23 Mar15 Sep10 Aug25 Aug07 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ACE GILFORD Mar15 Mar08 Feb17 Jul01 Jun04 (martinez kelli)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
5  DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR Oct22 Oct08 Jul03 Jun19 May20 (hawley joe)PICKNER XAVIER 120 15.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  COWORKER Mar24 Mar15 Mar01 May19 May13 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
7  ORCADIAN STORM Mar24 Sep18 Aug28 Aug14 Jul25 (sanderson)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00 10% 9.20    
8  LIBERTARIAN Mar16 Mar02 Oct27 Oct21 Oct07 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 6.00 18% 4.40    
9  HOT STOVE LEAGUE Aug13 Jul10 May28 Apr15 Mar11 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00    
10  BIG BIZ Mar24 Mar02 Oct29 Oct01 Sep10 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 5.00 43% 1.30    
 
FON-8   04/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAFAEL'S SURPRISE Mar24 Mar09 Feb24 Feb17 Dec14 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00    
2  OPTIMAL Sep10 Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 Jul02 (rushton templ)BACON W 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SCREENPLAY Mar23 Mar15 Mar01 Oct21 Oct07 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
4  PARLAY PETE Mar23 Feb24 Feb02 Nov24 Oct13 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 ★    
5  TOUGH COMPANY Mar17 Feb24 Sep15 Sep03 Aug04 (drake dean)BETHKE A 125 12.00    
6  SISAWAY NOW Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Jul14 Jun03 (compton jesse)DELORME L 125 4.00 18% 4.50    
7  ZOE'S PAPA CEE Mar16 Feb24 Oct09 Sep25 Sep10 (bumgardner j)PICKNER XAVIER 120 20.00    
8  REVIVAL Dec11 Nov06 Sep11 Aug12 Jul13 (gonzalez v)RAMOS B 125 6.00 25% 2.90    
9  PREACHER Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Feb17 Jan04 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
FON-9   04/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Dowd Mile Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKEN AND SHIMMY Mar16 Feb02 Jan19 Jan05 Oct25 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 120 12.00    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of NANO'S CROWN by BIG DRAMA)
2  PRAYFORPEACE Mar16 Mar01 Feb04 Nov03 Oct14 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 122 5.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of STAR PEARL by TAPIT)
3  SLIM SLOW SLIDER Mar23 Jan20 Dec22 Nov24 Oct21 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.00 11% 8.00    
  (by VANCOUVER out of ENTICE by LURE)
4  TIME MACHINE Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Jan19 Oct28 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 120 8.00    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of EMMA'S ENCORE by CONGRATS)
5  ITS A WRAP Mar23 Mar09 Dec20 Dec08 Oct13 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of IN KELLY'S DEFENSE by FIRST DEFENCE)
6  FORCED RANKING Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Dec29 Nov26 (condon schuyl)BACON W 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MASTERY out of MARKET MAGIC by AFTER MARKET)
7  COLLUSIONIST Feb27 Oct01 Sep10 Aug20 Jul22 (houghton bryan)RAMOS B 120 12.00 7% 12.40    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of PRETTY AMAZING by BENCHMARK)
8  CELERITY Mar17 Mar03 Feb18 Dec14 Nov16 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 15.00    
  (by CITY ZIP out of ALPINE GARDEN by LEMON DROP KID)
9  MO SUMMER Mar16 Feb24 Oct22 May14 Apr22 (anderson dav)BETHKE A 120 6.00 10% 8.70    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of RANSKA by UNCLE MO)
 
FON-10   04/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR SHANE Mar17 Mar03 Feb17 Sep10 Aug26 (bunn shawn)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 5% 19.00    
2  JAMES'S MOONSHINE Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Feb17 Dec16 (schindler kyle)DELORME L 125 12.00    
3  TOO LATE Aug21 Aug14 Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LEVEL Mar16 Feb24 Oct08 Sep30 Sep02 (thompson grady)MARTINEZ R 125 20.00    
5  ASTERN BANKER Mar16 Feb24 Feb08 Dec19 Nov17 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00    
6  RIVERSPORT Mar16 Oct27 Oct08 Aug26 Aug13 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 6.00 23% 3.30    
7  BUMPER POOL Mar16 Feb25 Feb17 Oct07 Sep30 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 2.50 33% 2.00    
8  GERDY'S BOY Oct28 May20 Apr28 Apr08 Mar26 (rivera grego)PICKNER XAVIER 120 15.00    
9  MOJITO Mar23 Mar03 Aug05 Jul09 May29 (compton jesse)BACON W 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
10  CHILLY WILLIS Mar08 May12       (drake dean)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.