Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - April 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-5   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (5/8/3/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-8   Win (7/3/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-9   Win (7/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-3   04/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPALA Oct21 Sep30 Aug27 Aug05   (lund valo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 10.00    
GOLDEN AFFAIR Jul22 Jul09       (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 121 6.00    
A LOT OF VERVE         (toye joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
FREEZE 'EM Mar14 Mar05       (martinez esteban)CORBETT W 121 1.00 57% 0.80    
DAVID'S FAITH Mar26 Mar12 Feb05 Nov13   (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
HOLD YOUR APPLAUSE Mar16 Feb23 Jan27 Jan13 Dec16 (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 8.00    
RECKLESS WARRIOR         (denny travis)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   04/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANNAHAZA HETTY Feb26 Jan15 Dec29 Nov19 Sep16 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
COASTLINE HOTTIE Feb27 Feb01 Mar26 Mar11 Feb21 (sepi)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00    
MANHATTAN CHERRY Feb29 Feb01 Dec04 Nov21 Sep02 (woolley benni)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 10.00 14% 6.00    
GO GO SADIE Mar26 Feb27 Feb01 Feb07 Dec14 (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 122 4.00    
COCKTAIL SLIPPERS Mar18 Feb27 Sep04 Jul23 Jun24 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
BIG BEAUTY Mar19 Feb06 Jan29 Dec19 Apr09 (evans justin)REYES R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
RUBY RAY Mar11 Jan31 Nov25 Mar12 Feb20 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 17% 4.70    
 
TUP-5   04/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET SHADOW Mar11 Nov24 Mar11 Feb11 Jan28 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
SINGLE LADY Mar11 Feb13 Feb01 Sep25 Aug14 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
LOCK IT DOWN Feb29 Oct07 Sep09 Aug24 Jul27 (martinez es)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00    
DIRT FLIRT Mar25 Mar06 Feb26 Feb07 Dec11 (silva jr)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 2.50 13% 6.40    
FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR) Mar11 Feb19 Dec30 Nov24 Oct27 (evans justin)REYES R 122 6.00    
DELUSIVELY Mar14 Feb19 Nov24 Apr29 Mar26 (baze robert)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
 
TUP-6   04/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 6:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER RUSS         (kenney ryan)RADKE K 121 5.00    
DESERT GAL         (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 121 5.00    
SCR  HARBOR LASS Mar20 Feb24 Feb04     (perez ser)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 15.00    
MY BELLA FOR LISA Mar13         (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 121 3.50 12% 7.50    
EZ ALL THE WAY Mar19         (martinez esteb)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 4.00 7% 12.70    
MUSICAL DIVA Mar13 Feb21 Jan29 Nov09 Oct12 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 60% 0.70    
SHIRLEY SINGS         (eikleberry k)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 5.00    
 
TUP-7   04/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKSMAN ON TARGET Mar18 Mar05 Feb21 Oct13 Oct06 (bean a)PENA BRYAN 124 20.00    
HONKY TONK HERO Mar18 Oct31 Oct08 Sep10 Jul23 (wolf ashlee)CRUZ M 124 12.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  BEAT THE HEAT Mar13 Feb22 Jan29 Aug24 Aug09 (perren a)CORBETT W 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
EMPEROR'S CHOICE Mar18 Mar05 Feb12 Jan30 Jan19 (leon alexis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
ELUSIVE LOVE Mar19 Feb28 Jan30 May05 Apr08 (ortiz sr)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
UPO Mar18 Feb28 Oct14 Sep09 Aug19 (hedg)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 6% 16.40    
SMOOTH PAPA Mar25 Mar13 Feb12 Jan31 Dec04 (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00    
TIGER BY HIS TAIL Mar19 Oct11 Sep04 Aug19 Jul29 (barrio serg)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00 14% 6.30    
BRANNIGAN Mar19 Feb28 Feb15 Feb03 Jan21 (perez ser)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
10  ITS BIG Mar18 Mar27 Mar06 Feb13 Jan25 (christian b)IRONEYES R 119 20.00    
SCR  HIGH PRESS Mar09 Jan21 Dec31 Dec16 Sep23 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50    
 
TUP-8   04/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOKER MATT Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 Feb06 Nov21 (bourdieu martin)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
HORSE DOCTOR Mar13 Mar01 Feb17 Jan05 Nov23 (perez s)PENA BRYAN 124 3.50    
SPEEDING STYLE Mar13 Feb28 Jan20 Dec10 Oct30 (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  STAND TO Feb29 Feb06 Jan13 Dec10 Nov24 (matt l)RADKE K 122 20.00    
LIE AND DENY Mar13 Feb19 Sep09 Aug13 Jul09 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00    
BRAVO KOLT Oct28 Oct22 Oct07 Sep02 Aug21 (johnson dua)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00    
LAUNCHED Mar21 Feb29 Dec15 Jul23 Jul02 (silva jr)REYES R 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  EL CHUMELITO Jan26 Dec18 Dec04 Oct29 Oct13 (homer jason)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00    
THIRSTY Mar12 Feb13 Jan31 Dec06 Nov22 (barrio sergi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  PUSH THROUGH Feb28 Feb07 Jan31 Dec20 Oct25 (silva jr)MORALES ROBERTO 122 6.00 12% 7.70    
 
TUP-9   04/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARICOPA COUNTY Mar12 Apr22 Mar06 Feb25 Dec13 (grissom w)MAWING A 122 20.00    
J C'S A LEGEND Mar19 Feb27 Feb06 Nov24 Nov05 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
LIMITED HEATWAVE Mar12 Feb20 Dec02 Nov04 Oct01 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 5.00    
INCREDIBE MO Mar19 Feb27 Feb03 Jan05 Oct13 (whitehouse wi)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 20.00    
ORTH Mar06 Feb12 Feb01 Dec04 Nov06 (barraza rafael)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  I AM FREAKY FAST Mar21 Feb22 Apr04 Mar11 Feb18 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
LEGALLY REDDY Mar20 Feb15 Dec04 Nov14 Oct29 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
FIREMAN DAN Mar09 Jun16 May26 Apr29 Mar11 (wallace jerry)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00    
LUKA GRAZIE Mar05 Jan14 Dec26 Nov17 Oct27 (homer jason)RADKE K 122 3.00 7% 12.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.