Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - March 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(6/3/1)-(8/5/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(8/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(8/5/1/2)-(5/2/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/2)-(8/5/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/2)-(8/5/1/2/6)-(8/5/1/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/1/2)-(5/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/2)-(5/2/10)-(4/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/2/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/10)-(5/2/10/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/10)-(5/2/10/4/7)-(5/2/10/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/10)-(4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/10)-(4/5/7)-(6/8/4/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(6/8/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(6/8/4/9)-(2/4/3/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/8/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/9)-(6/8/4/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/9)-(6/8/4/9/10)-(6/8/4/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/4/9)-(2/4/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/9)-(2/4/3/1/5)-(5/1/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/4/3/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/1/5)-(2/4/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/1/5)-(2/4/3/1/5)-(2/4/3/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/3/1/5)-(5/1/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/1/5)-(5/1/4/2)-(2/8/6/9/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/2)-(2/8/6/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/8/6/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/9/4)-(2/8/6/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/9/4)-(2/8/6/9/4)-(2/8/6/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/16/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR JACK Mar02 Feb21 Jan26 Jan10 Jan05 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 118 2.50 49% 1.00    
2  STRONGER TOGETHER Feb16 Feb02 Jan03 Nov24 Nov03 (campbell joel)CASTANON L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  GHOSTSTRYDER Feb16 Jan10 Dec13 Nov22 Mar31 (perkinson c)VILLASMIL EDGAR 118 8.00    
4  AWESOME PRINCE Feb24 Mar22 Mar12 Feb24   (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  COLLECT REDEMPTION Mar06 Feb03 Jan06 Dec15 Nov24 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 10.00    
6  JAY'S DELIGHT Mar02 Feb21 Feb07 Jan21 Dec31 (richards ren)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.00    
SCR  ESTILO MAGICO Mar02 Feb17 Jan12 Apr15 Mar22 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 118 2.00    
 
TAM-2   03/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTY QUICK Jan31 Jul16 May25 Apr28 Dec16 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00 16% 5.30    
2  ZIP CODE ENVY Feb16 Jan28 Dec20 Dec09 Oct11 (campbell jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.50    
3  DREAMING IN STYLE Feb18 Oct01 Sep09     (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 2.50 17% 4.80    
4  TONE ELISE Feb25 Dec29 Dec09 Nov02 Sep24 (duffy)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
5  MOON ROSE Feb16 Jan31 Jan03 Dec20 Oct06 (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 20.00    
6  ALEXA'S DREAM Jan31 Jan21 Dec09 Nov25 Oct14 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 39% 1.60    
SCR  WILD ARMY BRAT Feb16 Feb03 Dec06 Oct06 Aug04 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 10.00    
 
TAM-3   03/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP IT UP Feb10 Dec22 Oct28 Oct12 Jul27 (carvajal lui)BATISTA A 119 6.00 5% 17.50    
2  ANADOR (FR) Feb25 Jan31 Jul01 Jun03 May05 (dini mike)CENTENO E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  GRAY VIXEN Feb25 Feb01 Dec20 Oct26 Oct10 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
4  AMPLIO ESQUEMA Jan26 Nov04 Oct14 Sep02 Aug19 (potts wayne)CASTANON L 119 10.00    
5  LALOBA FEROZ Feb16 Nov24 Oct20 Aug19 Jun16 (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
6  AFTER A FEW Feb25 Jan26 Jan05 Dec20 Oct21 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 119 12.00 ★    
7  BOCA Feb25 Feb11 Jan26 Dec29 Nov13 (falk jacquelin)MBATHA LUCKY 112 30.00    
8  CUPID'S STRIKE Feb25 Jan31 Nov18 Oct15 Oct07 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
9  VELOCISSIMA Mar02 Feb16 Oct13 Sep24 Aug24 (romero rafae)ARROYO S 119 30.00    
SCR  ARIANA VALENTINA Feb24 Jan31 Jan21 Dec09 Oct20 (aguayo ramon)SPIETH S 119 10.00    
 
TAM-4   03/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUSTRIAN KITTY Mar02 Feb18 Jan07 Nov17   (minguet r)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 5.00    
2  AIN'T NONCENTS Feb18 Jan21 Dec24 Aug24 Aug18 (gardea abr)URDANETA J 125 6.00 31% 2.20    
3  MONEYSLOT Feb28 Feb07 Jan13 Dec08 Oct05 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
4  STAR OF SARAH Feb03 Jan14 Dec09 Mar01   (lilly p)IORIO MELISSA 116 8.00 ★    
5  UNIFIEDS PRINCESS Feb18 Feb07 Jan14 Dec13 Dec06 (gonzalez jav)MORELOS E 125 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  RAICHU Mar02 Feb07 Jan07 Aug25 Jul20 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 12.00    
7  BET THE HOWES Feb18 Jan21 Aug18 Jun22 May27 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 125 4.00 ★    
8  AGUA ROJA Feb25 Feb03 Dec30     (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 125 30.00    
9  WOW LADY Feb18 Jan21 Jan14 Dec30 Dec09 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 125 30.00    
10  GRANIA         (cudworth paul)COTTO L 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE RAIN IS COMING Feb07 Jan10 Dec09     (marrero n)HERRERA R 125 10.00    
SCR  TEA'S DREAM Mar03 Feb14 Dec15 Nov25 Jun30 (wasiluk peter )CEDENO CAROL 125 12.00    
 
TAM-5   03/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STARTUP MENTALITY (IRE) Dec23 Nov11 Jul22     (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 0.80    
2  DAMASO Feb25 Jan21 Sep01 Jul16 Jun25 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
3  LADY FIREFOOT Aug20 Dec02 Oct21 Sep22 Aug19 (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
4  ROYALTY INTEREST (FR) Feb10 Jun02 Mar11     (brown ch)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 66% 0.50    
5  EVITA Jan21 Jan03 Sep07 Aug09 Jun24 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 6.00 8% 11.00    
6  FOREVER ROSE (GER) Jan05 Dec08 Oct05     (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 120 12.00    
7  LADY THOR Feb10 Jan26 Jan05 Nov17 Aug26 (dini mike)CASTANON L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-6   03/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY LANCER Feb24 Jan12 Dec16 Nov01 Oct18 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 123 12.00    
2  LOVIELEE Jan06 Dec26 Aug31 Aug17 Aug04 (gardea abr)URDANETA J 123 30.00    
3  FAST COREY Nov22 Oct18 Oct07 Sep15 Jul16 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 123 8.00    
4  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Mar02 Feb16 Jan11 Dec10 Nov19 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  WHATCHAMACALL Feb16 Jan24 Dec12 Oct31 Oct18 (rivera )ALMEDINA MARANGELYS 113 30.00    
6  WHATS GOIN ON Feb24 Dec26 Nov04 May05 Apr14 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 123 3.50 65% 0.50    
7  EILAT Feb24 Jan20 Dec26 Nov10 Sep23 (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 123 12.00    
8  BINGO STAR Feb24 Jan28 Jan12 Dec16 Nov10 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 123 5.00 6% 15.40    
9  WIN DIXIE RONNIE Mar02 Jan28 Dec22 Oct13 Sep08 (carrascojr )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  MUDSHAFT Jan21 Jan07 Oct21 Oct06 Aug27 (williams )MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 5.00 ★    
11  DANCE STEP Mar02 Feb09 Jan20 Jan06 Dec23 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 123 8.00    
SCR  RITAAN Feb24 Feb09 Jan20 Jan06 Dec16 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 116 15.00    
SCR  SENA THE DUCHESS Dec06 Aug30 Aug15 Feb24 Jan22 (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
 
TAM-7   03/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BIG CALICO Feb23 Feb11 Jan24 Jan07 Dec16 (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 6.00 6% 17.20    
2  HUMBLE WARRIOR Mar01 Feb14 Jan06 Nov16 Oct10 (granitz anth)MENESES MARCOS 118 8.00 48% 1.10    
3  THAT SUN OF A GUN Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 Dec24 Oct19 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 111 6.00 7% 12.80    
4  CORONOVA Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 Dec31 Nov24 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 4.50 10% 9.10    
5  TORO FORWARD Mar01 Feb14 Jan05 Dec13 Oct11 (aguayo ramon)SPIETH S 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIG LOUIE Mar02 Feb17 Feb03 Jan21 Jan06 (marino gary)FUENTES MARIO 118 10.00    
7  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Feb28 Feb11 Jan26 Oct25 Oct11 (marino gary)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
8  LAPINSKI UNION Feb14 Jan05 Dec13 Nov24 Oct13 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
9  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Feb23 Jan21 Dec30 Nov24 Oct16 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 4.00    
10  KING MIANO Feb28 Feb11 Jan24 Dec30 Dec09 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 122 8.00    
 
TAM-8   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RITABOOK Feb24 Jan19 Jan10 Dec20 Nov25 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 4.00 25% 3.10    
2  D' TIGER LILY Jun16 Oct05 Aug20 Jul30 Jun18 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SASSY CHARLEE Feb11 Dec20 Nov29 Sep25 Apr19 (o'connell kat)SOSA LAUREANO 120 2.50    
4  PRETTY'N AWESOME Feb24 Feb03 Dec31 Jul29 Jul14 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
5  SEA ART Jan21 Dec20 Sep17 Aug31 Aug09 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 30% 2.40    
6  KIKILOVE Feb07 Jan21 Dec31 Nov25 Aug27 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
SCR  NICE BABY Feb16 Jan24 Dec29 Dec06 Sep24 (rodriguez darie)CENTENO E 122 10.00    
8  SPEIGHTFUL SIS Feb16 Jan19 Sep17 Jul01 Jun02 (richards ren)MENESES MARCOS 122 5.00    
9  MORENA DANCER Mar03 Feb18 Feb09 Dec31 Dec22 (marrero nest)ARROYO S 118 20.00    
 
TAM-9   03/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILE BRYAN Mar03 Feb04 Jan19 Aug26 Aug18 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 112 10.00    
2  HARPOON HARRY Feb16 Jan27 Jan03 Aug26 Aug06 (bennett s)FERRER C 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  TAP EM Mar03 Jan24 Dec27 Dec20 Dec03 (rivera xavier)ALVARADO JR 119 15.00    
4  RECYCLE Feb28 Dec24 Dec08 Sep21 Jul24 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  ON THE ENGINE Feb25 Jan13 Nov19 Oct27 Sep22 (carrascojr )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 4.00    
6  VELOCE Feb10 Jan27 Dec22 Nov22 Oct16 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 6.00 8% 11.40    
7  BIG RED ROCKS Feb04 Nov29 Oct13 Aug26 Aug11 (wilson tony)SOSA LAUREANO 119 30.00    
8  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Feb19 Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 Dec13 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
9  GUNSLINGER (IRE) Feb24 Feb10 Dec30 Dec01 Nov12 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 5.00 5% 17.30    
10  OHANA EMPIRE Feb16 May29 Mar31 Mar04 Feb12 (cudw)MCINTOSH J 112 30.00    
SCR  KLICKITAT Feb22 Jan28 Nov30 Nov12 Oct06 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00    
SCR  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Jan26 Dec08 Nov29 Oct13 Sep09 (delgado h)FERRER C 119 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.