Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - March 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/7)-(6/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/7)-(6/4/5/1)-(3/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/1)-(3/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/1)-(3/5/9)-(2/6/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (3/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/9)-(3/5/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/9)-(3/5/2/9)-(3/5/2/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/9)-(2/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/9)-(2/6/4/3)-(4/3/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/3)-(4/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/3)-(4/3/2/5)-(7/11/4/12/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/5)-(7/11/4/12/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/5)-(7/11/4/12/6)-(3/5/2/10/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-8   WIN (7/11/4/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/11/4/12/6)-(7/11/4/12/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/11/4/12/6)-(7/11/4/12/6)-(7/11/4/12/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/11/4/12/6)-(3/5/2/10/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-9   WIN (3/5/2/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/10/1)-(3/5/2/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/10/1)-(3/5/2/10/1)-(3/5/2/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP ATTITUDE Feb23 Apr22 Apr01 Feb25 Dec10 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 10% 9.40    
2  CALIFORNIA DIVA Dec02 Oct22 Sep16     (fales matt)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00    
3  MARK OF VICTORY Nov10 Aug30 Aug16 Jul29 Jul15 (lund va)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
4  SWEET AND EZ Feb19 Sep17       (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
5  NORTHERN LINCHPIN Feb22 Dec03 Nov19 Oct21 Sep16 (essex charles)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50 10% 8.90    
6  DUKE GIRLS Feb22 Jan31 Dec05 Sep24 Jul29 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
7  TEXAS WENDY May05 Mar27 Feb02     (denny travi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALCULATED SPIN Feb26 Jan28 Jan07 Dec31 Dec16 (davis bob)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROYAL JOKER Feb26 May14 Mar26 Mar04 Feb20 (va)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
3  GOALINE Feb05         (belvoir v)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
4  KING ZOG Jan21 Dec30 Dec15 Dec08 Oct29 (bainum kelly)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
5  KNOCKOUT GUY Feb26 Dec11 Nov27 Nov12 Oct30 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00 12% 7.50    
6  WESTPORT CAPTAIN Dec01 Nov09 Aug13 Jun30 Apr04 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
7  DELTA DELTA Mar04 Feb19 Dec07 Nov18 Mar30 (toye joe)RADKE K 124 6.00    
8  DIVERSIFUL Sep16 Aug27 Jul22 Oct30 Sep21 (toye joe)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00    
 
TUP-5   03/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Cotton Fitzsimmons Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOW EXPECTATIONS Feb24 Jan27 Dec17 Nov18 Oct21 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ELOQUENT TRIBUTE by TAPIT)
2  WAR AT SEA Dec26 Nov04 Oct28 Sep30 Sep02 (ellis ronald )AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50 ★    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SERENE MELODY by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  FUERTEVENTURA Oct13 Aug05 Jun21 May29 Oct29 (thomas jonat)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of CASANOVA STRIKER by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  VITALE Jan11 Dec22 Dec01 Oct26 Aug30 (gangidino l)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 15.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of JABBER DABBER DOO by PLEASANT TAP)
5  SEA TO SUCCESS Feb27 Feb01 Dec20 Dec04 Nov14 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of MANAHATTA by OLD FASHIONED)
6  CREATIVE BID Feb20 Nov06 Oct04 Sep03 Oct05 (hernandez m)MORALES ROBERTO 120 15.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PELT by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
7  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Feb15 Jan05 Nov26 Oct15 Aug31 (evans justin)REYES R 120 6.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of RAINBOW VALE by MOSS VALE)
SCR  DIAMOND RIM Feb29 Feb15 Jan29 Dec20 Nov28 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 120 5.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NURSE DONNA by VINDICATION)
9  DESHAMBEAU Feb12 Dec09 Nov18 Oct29 Aug13 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEA out of ALIQUIPPA by NATIVE ALLIANCE)
 
TUP-6   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Oaks Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINK WHITNEY Feb11 Jan19 Dec02 Nov11 Oct07 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MADAME MAYRA by SCAT DADDY)
2  SAKURA BLOSSOM Feb11 Nov24 Oct15 Jul28 Jun29 (powell leonar)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MOTT N HESTER by SUPER SAVER)
3  POP CHART Feb26 Feb06 Dec10 Sep28 Sep11 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of BRILLIANT AUTUMN by YES IT'S TRUE)
4  ZORINA Feb26 Dec12 Sep10 Jul29   (moreno carlos)RADKE K 122 12.00 6% 15.70    
  (by ENTICED out of MAGDALENA'S MOMENT by HARBOR THE GOLD)
5  WHERE IS ZIZI Jan26 Dec10       (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of DON'T SELL by SQUARE EDDIE)
6  LADY MARY LOU Mar04         (campo stacy)PENA BRYAN 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CAROCUORE by TAPIT)
7  MADISON RAE Mar04 Jan13 Dec10 Nov03 Oct08 (miller pete)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.00    
  (by PAVEL out of TAFFETA by SOUTHERN RHYTHM)
 
TUP-7   03/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Turf Paradise Derby Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEZE 'EM Mar05         (martinez esteba)CORBETT W 122 4.50    
  (by FROSTED out of SWEET TREAT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  LAST CALL LONDON Feb11 Jan13 Dec17 Nov03 Sep08 (miller pete)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50 17% 4.70    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ZO LO'S LOV by EMPIRE WAY)
3  NORWEGIAN CALLUM Dec12         (cappell)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 25% 3.10    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SARAH CATALDO by SMARTY JONES)
4  E J WON THE CUP Feb23 Jan06 Nov23 Nov11 Oct21 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FIRSTHAND REPORT by BLAME)
5  GENERAL CROOK Feb22 Nov28 Sep17 Aug18 Jul30 (kereluk edward)MAWING A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
6  FERRARI RED Feb22 Oct14 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 (martinez a)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 15.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of COOPER'S KEEPER by TEMPLE CITY)
SCR  ARIZONA DAVIN Feb15 Jan05       (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SWISSARELLA by SWISS YODELER)
8  MEEKING Feb16 Jan28 Jan07     (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of PIONEER PRINCESS by PIONEERING)
 
TUP-8   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Phoenix Gold Cup Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCIPE CARLO Feb18 Jan29 Jan13 Dec10 Nov18 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00    
  (by COIL out of PRINCESS EZRA by RAHY)
2  KINGDOM HEART Feb18 Jan29 Nov25 Oct09 Sep17 (cerin vladim)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TAKE CHARGE CARD by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
3  EXXEL Feb27 Jan29 Jan05 Dec16 Nov24 (lund valori)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 20.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of LEMON DROP BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
4  TONY'S TAPIT Feb15 Jan29 Dec20 Feb18 Feb04 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 8.00 17% 5.00    
  (by TONALIST out of AUTUMN WEDDING by RUNAWAY GROOM)
5  PRAYER OF JABEZ Feb20 Jan29 Jan05 Nov28 Oct27 (kereluk edwar)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 12.00    
  (by STANFORD out of ALWAZABRIDESMAID by KAFWAIN)
6  MOOSE MITCHELL Jan13 Nov18 Nov05 Sep22 Aug26 (papaprodromo)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of SUNRISE AVENUE by CITY ZIP)
7  TULANE TRYST Feb27 Feb15 Jan29 Nov28 Oct27 (hernandez m)MORALES ROBERTO 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DESIRE STREET by CONGRATS)
8  HIGHLAND GHOST Feb11 Apr23 Mar12 Feb18 Jan20 (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of WEE HIGHLAND LASS by INCLUDE)
9  LOVE MY JIMMY Feb13 Jan29 Dec04 Nov14 Sep16 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 120 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of CLEMENCY by LIL E. TEE)
10  HOWBEIT Jan12 Dec23 Nov11 Aug26 Jul22 (evans justin)REYES R 120 15.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of EMERLAUDE by EL CORREDOR)
11  MINISTER OF SOUL Feb27 Jan29 Jan05 Dec20 Nov28 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 18% 4.60    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of SENSITIVE SOUL by BERNSTEIN)
12  TRUTH SEEKER Feb15 Jan29 Nov28 Oct21 Oct01 (barraza rafael )CORBETT W 124 4.50 6% 14.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FOR ROYALTY by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
TUP-9   03/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Queen Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN GOPHER Feb19 Nov18 Nov02 Sep03 Aug24 (silva g)BRAVO MISAEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of NO RETREAT by HYPERBOREAN)
2  ASCENDANCY Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 Jun02 May20 (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of TENSAS PUNCH by WAR FRONT)
3  YANKEE DOLLAR Feb19 Dec23 Dec02 Nov18 Oct05 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of RED NECK SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  DELUSIVELY Feb19 Nov24 Apr29 Mar26 Feb11 (baze robert)CRUZ M 120 15.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of NICKSAPPEALINGLADY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  PEPPER MILL Feb19 Feb01 Dec20 Nov28 Nov13 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
6  LOANA Feb18 Nov21 Oct07 Sep04 Aug12 (hone bart)CORBETT W 120 8.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SARAHLINE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
7  FREE AND HUMBLE Feb10 Nov11 Oct01 Sep09 Aug12 (miller pete)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 5.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of HELP THE CHILDREN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  STRESSED Feb16 Jan19 Oct27 Oct06 Aug12 (evans justin)REYES R 120 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SPRING ZAPPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
9  LOVE TANK Feb18 Dec19 Nov28 Sep24 Aug18 (dennison h)TOHILL S 120 6.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of PERICHOLE by FAHIM)
10  GRACE PERIOD (FR) Mar01 Jan15 Nov26 Oct28   (powell leonar)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of GOOD BUSINESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.