Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - March 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-4   Win (6/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-5   Win (3/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (2/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (4/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (7/11/4/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-9   Win (3/5/2/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-3   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP ATTITUDE Feb23 Apr22 Apr01 Feb25 Dec10 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 10% 9.40    
CALIFORNIA DIVA Dec02 Oct22 Sep16     (fales matt)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00    
MARK OF VICTORY Nov10 Aug30 Aug16 Jul29 Jul15 (lund valo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
SWEET AND EZ Feb19 Sep17       (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
NORTHERN LINCHPIN Feb22 Dec03 Nov19 Oct21 Sep16 (essex charles)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50 10% 8.90    
DUKE GIRLS Feb22 Jan31 Dec05 Sep24 Jul29 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
TEXAS WENDY May05 Mar27 Feb02     (denny travis)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALCULATED SPIN Feb26 Jan28 Jan07 Dec31 Dec16 (davis c)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROYAL JOKER Feb26 May14 Mar26 Mar04 Feb20 (vale)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
GOALINE Feb05         (belvoir van)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
KING ZOG Jan21 Dec30 Dec15 Dec08 Oct29 (bainum kelly)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
KNOCKOUT GUY Feb26 Dec11 Nov27 Nov12 Oct30 (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00 12% 7.50    
WESTPORT CAPTAIN Dec01 Nov09 Aug13 Jun30 Apr04 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
DELTA DELTA Mar04 Feb19 Dec07 Nov18 Mar30 (toye joe)RADKE K 124 6.00    
DIVERSIFUL Sep16 Aug27 Jul22 Oct30 Sep21 (toye joe)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00    
 
TUP-5   03/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Cotton Fitzsimmons Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOW EXPECTATIONS Feb24 Jan27 Dec17 Nov18 Oct21 (garcia antoni)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 5.00    
WAR AT SEA Dec26 Nov04 Oct28 Sep30 Sep02 (ellis w)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50    
FUERTEVENTURA Oct13 Aug05 Jun21 May29 Oct29 (thomas jonatha)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  VITALE Jan11 Dec22 Dec01 Oct26 Aug30 (gangidino lis)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 15.00    
SEA TO SUCCESS Feb27 Feb01 Dec20 Dec04 Nov14 (martinez es)VALENZUELA A 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
CREATIVE BID Feb20 Nov06 Oct04 Sep03 Oct05 (hernandez mig)MORALES ROBERTO 120 15.00    
PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Feb15 Jan05 Nov26 Oct15 Aug31 (evans justin)REYES R 120 6.00    
SCR  DIAMOND RIM Feb29 Feb15 Jan29 Dec20 Nov28 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 120 5.00    
DESHAMBEAU Feb12 Dec09 Nov18 Oct29 Aug13 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Oaks Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 7:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINK WHITNEY Feb11 Jan19 Dec02 Nov11 Oct07 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50    
SAKURA BLOSSOM Feb11 Nov24 Oct15 Jul28 Jun29 (powell leonard)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
POP CHART Feb26 Feb06 Dec10 Sep28 Sep11 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ZORINA Feb26 Dec12 Sep10 Jul29   (moreno carlos)RADKE K 122 12.00 6% 15.70    
WHERE IS ZIZI Jan26 Dec10       (garcia antoni)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 5.00    
LADY MARY LOU Mar04         (campo stacy)PENA BRYAN 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
MADISON RAE Mar04 Jan13 Dec10 Nov03 Oct08 (miller peter)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.00    
 
TUP-7   03/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Turf Paradise Derby Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 7:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEZE 'EM Mar05         (martinez esteban)CORBETT W 122 4.50    
LAST CALL LONDON Feb11 Jan13 Dec17 Nov03 Sep08 (miller peter)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50 17% 4.70    
NORWEGIAN CALLUM Dec12         (cappelluc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 25% 3.10    
E J WON THE CUP Feb23 Jan06 Nov23 Nov11 Oct21 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
GENERAL CROOK Feb22 Nov28 Sep17 Aug18 Jul30 (kereluk edward)MAWING A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
FERRARI RED Feb22 Oct14 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 (martinez a)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 15.00    
SCR  ARIZONA DAVIN Feb15 Jan05       (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00    
MEEKING Feb16 Jan28 Jan07     (mclean bill)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
 
TUP-8   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Phoenix Gold Cup Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCIPE CARLO Feb18 Jan29 Jan13 Dec10 Nov18 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00    
KINGDOM HEART Feb18 Jan29 Nov25 Oct09 Sep17 (cerin vladimir)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 8.00    
EXXEL Feb27 Jan29 Jan05 Dec16 Nov24 (lund valorie)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 20.00    
TONY'S TAPIT Feb15 Jan29 Dec20 Feb18 Feb04 (silv)DA FAUSTO 120 8.00 17% 5.00    
PRAYER OF JABEZ Feb20 Jan29 Jan05 Nov28 Oct27 (kereluk edward)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 12.00    
MOOSE MITCHELL Jan13 Nov18 Nov05 Sep22 Aug26 (papaprodromou )CONTRERAS LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
TULANE TRYST Feb27 Feb15 Jan29 Nov28 Oct27 (hernandez mig)MORALES ROBERTO 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
HIGHLAND GHOST Feb11 Apr23 Mar12 Feb18 Jan20 (jauregui j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
LOVE MY JIMMY Feb13 Jan29 Dec04 Nov14 Sep16 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 120 20.00    
10  HOWBEIT Jan12 Dec23 Nov11 Aug26 Jul22 (evans justin)REYES R 120 15.00    
11  MINISTER OF SOUL Feb27 Jan29 Jan05 Dec20 Nov28 (martinez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 18% 4.60    
12  TRUTH SEEKER Feb15 Jan29 Nov28 Oct21 Oct01 (barraza s)CORBETT W 124 4.50 6% 14.50    
 
TUP-9   03/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Queen Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN GOPHER Feb19 Nov18 Nov02 Sep03 Aug24 (silva gab)BRAVO MISAEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
ASCENDANCY Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 Jun02 May20 (jauregui j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
YANKEE DOLLAR Feb19 Dec23 Dec02 Nov18 Oct05 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 36% 1.80    
DELUSIVELY Feb19 Nov24 Apr29 Mar26 Feb11 (baze robert)CRUZ M 120 15.00    
PEPPER MILL Feb19 Feb01 Dec20 Nov28 Nov13 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
LOANA Feb18 Nov21 Oct07 Sep04 Aug12 (hone bart)CORBETT W 120 8.00    
FREE AND HUMBLE Feb10 Nov11 Oct01 Sep09 Aug12 (miller peter)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 5.00    
STRESSED Feb16 Jan19 Oct27 Oct06 Aug12 (evans justin)REYES R 120 8.00    
LOVE TANK Feb18 Dec19 Nov28 Sep24 Aug18 (dennison h)TOHILL S 120 6.00    
10  GRACE PERIOD (FR) Mar01 Jan15 Nov26 Oct28   (powell leonard)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.