Handicappers' Racing Form

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Delta Downs
Thursday - October 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DED-1   Win (6/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-2   Win (10/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-3   Win (11/10/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
DED-4   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
DED-5   Win (10/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
DED-6   Win (9/10/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-7   Win (8/1/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-8   Win (6/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-9   Win (4/8/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
DED-1   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER BANDERAS         (calhoun willi)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 25% 2.90    
PLUM WINE Aug06 Jul17 Jun25     (johnson b)POMPELL L 117 6.00    
BOLD CARLOS Jul20         (gelner j)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
I NITA WARRIOR Aug19 Jul20       (reeves jeffery)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
DADSAMUMBLER         (blanchet chris)FUSILIER C 120 15.00    
SOUNDS LIKE POWER Oct06 Aug05 Jul08 Jun17   (gelner j)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
OTRA COSA Aug05 Jul20       (ali an)MELANCON JANSEN 120 10.00    
COURT JESTER         (calhoun william )THORNTON G 120 8.00    
CANAL ST. CUPID Oct13 Sep09       (delahoussaye glenn)ROSIER R 120 15.00    
10  GLAMORDINI Oct12         (landry r)MAGNON H 120 8.00    
SCR  AUTUMN ROB Aug29 Jul20       (delany sar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
SCR  FRUIT CUP Oct12 Aug29 Aug19     (garza e)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00    
 
DED-2   10/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS RED BEL Oct07 Sep05 Feb25 Feb11 Jan16 (payne w)MELANCON G 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
BRAVE CITY GIRL Aug11 Jun29 Jun10 May28 Feb24 (zenon she)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 114 15.00    
SCR  MISS JAMIE Aug28 Jul01 Jun11 Feb03 Dec29 (beavin judy)EDISON JOCELYN 112 20.00    
DOLLY'S GUITAR Oct12 Aug12 Jul20 Jun29 Jun17 (breaux samuel)MELANCON JANSEN 117 4.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  MADISON'S SCREEN Oct12 Aug28 Jul14 Jun29 May25 (turner patti)ROMAN KEVIN 117 6.00    
SUZY DOLL'S READY Jul27 May21 Feb23 Dec09 Nov22 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 114 6.00    
LUCKYHOTSTUFF Sep15 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Jun19 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 6.00 10% 8.80    
SOPHIE'S PRAYER Jun10 May28 May13 Feb26 Jan12 (zenon shelton)ROSIER R 114 20.00    
DREAM TOWN Jun10 May14 Apr15 Mar05 Jan13 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 10.00    
10  ESSENTIAL BELLA Sep13 Sep02 Jul20 Jul12 Jul01 (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 51% 1.00    
 
DED-3   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALPHIN Sep11 Aug14 Jul30 Jul02 Jun10 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 123 8.00 5% 17.60    
ST PIERRE Jun08 May25 May06 Apr21 Mar22 (stemmans donald)MELANCON G 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN CONFUSION Jul27 Jun30 Jun10 May25 Apr22 (chevis vincen)LEDET THEODRICK 123 12.00    
SMOOTH CUSTOM Jul28 May13 Jan21 Nov02 Oct07 (celestine cha)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 20.00    
ADDISONS WARRIOR Jul28 May22 Dec15 Oct22 Sep13 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 120 4.00    
UNCLE CHAN Aug05 Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 May25 (west henry)ALBERT S 118 15.00    
SCR  SAUCY ARGUMENT Jun29 Jun01 May18 Apr19 Mar08 (breaux samuel)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00    
CLEARLY A JET Aug29 Jul29 Jun19 May22 May06 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 7% 13.20    
BOSS MAN ZONG Jul28 Jul14 Jun30 May18 Apr19 (dison mark)STOKES A 123 12.00    
10  ASTROLOGY WONOWON Jul14 Jun29 Jun15 May25 May10 (granger randal)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 9% 10.30    
11  VALLEY MISCHIEF Aug05 Jul15       (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 123 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  FLATTERSOLUTION Aug10         (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00    
 
DED-4   10/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OIL MONEY Oct07 Jul07 Jun11 Mar26 Feb26 (arnett g)THORNTON G 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
SUPER OCHO (CHI) Feb25 Jan27 Jan07 Nov05 Oct01 (sanchez amado)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 15% 5.70    
MY PAL MATTIE Jun17 May29 Apr23 Mar05 Oct14 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 114 5.00    
TOPPER T Jul23 Jun24 May21 Mar29 Feb22 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 4.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  WILD BERT Oct07 May26 May06 Feb25 Jan27 (averett ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 15.00    
MIDNIGHT FIRE Feb25 Jan27 Dec10 Aug04 Jul21 (brinkman brett)NEGRON LUIS 117 6.00    
BLACK SWORD Aug05 Jun03 May06 Apr19 Feb04 (averett ronnie)VARGAS P 114 10.00    
SCR  AUTUMNS STRONG MAN Oct06 Aug24 Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 (husak j)MELANCON JANSEN 114 15.00    
 
DED-5   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LULOS Jun16 May26 Oct14 Aug25 Jul21 (sturrock tommy)MAGNON H 117 10.00    
SCR  BUTLER CABIN Sep23 Aug28 Jul29 Jul09 Jun11 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.50    
SCR  BAY BE GONE Sep11 Jul17 Jul04 May28 Apr29 (garza e)GREEN AUBRIE 114 10.00    
MOTAWAAFEQ Oct06 Sep09 Jul29 Jun16 May06 (escobar alis)MARQUEZ L 117 20.00    
CRIMSON STORM Sep10 Aug29 Aug04 Jul07 Jun11 (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00 5% 18.90    
MAGNA COLORS Sep04 Jul08 Jun03 May06 Apr07 (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 114 15.00    
COUSVINNYSACANUCK Aug12 Jul02 Jun18 May29 Sep10 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50    
KURT'S CHOICE Sep03 Aug10 Jul20 Jun28 Jun04 (berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 114 4.50 22% 3.60    
IMA BIG BOPPER Sep09 Jul17 Jul01 Jun10 May06 (payne w)MELANCON G 117 20.00    
10  CLARESTOWN Jul17 Jun11 May06 Apr14 Feb26 (schwandt emile)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00 45% 1.20    
11  OPTIMAL TRIP Sep12 Aug13 May28 Apr27 Apr15 (rossi j)BOREL H 117 6.00    
 
DED-6   10/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUITAR SLIM Jul23 Jun12 May29 May14 Feb04 (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 112 4.50    
DOCTOR LEO Aug21 Jul29 Jun25 Jun11 May06 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
JIMMIE'S HALO Aug21 Aug12 Jul13 Feb10 Dec02 (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00    
INTO WISHING Aug27 Aug05 Jul17 Jun11 May07 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00    
FLASHY PREMO Oct14 Aug10 Jul20 Jun23 May15 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
JOEY'S GAME Oct07 Aug21 Aug12 Jun22 May19 (mojica a)NIEVES EMANUEL 114 12.00    
HEZA PICKLE Oct06 Sep11 Aug14 Jul08 Jun08 (turner patti)THORNTON G 117 10.00    
BAYOU JAM Aug11 Jul08 Jun09 May13 Apr26 (fuselier jonah)ROSIER R 117 8.00    
OAK HILL LG Oct14 Sep02 Jul15 Jun12 May27 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.00 70% 0.40    
10  CITY PARK Jun03 Apr12 Feb25 Jan07 Dec10 (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 117 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
DED-7   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH VALOR Sep23 Aug25 Jun19 May22 Jan21 (arnett g)THORNTON G 117 6.00 22% 3.50    
SMOKY TOPAZ Jun29 Jun09 May20 Apr22 Feb10 (degeyter rand)MELANCON JANSEN 117 12.00    
SUPER WISE Sep03 Aug16 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 (scherer gary)FUSILIER C 117 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  BURNING LEAVES Sep04 Aug26 Aug06 Jul12 Jun28 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
ONCE UPON A DREAM Sep01 Aug20 Aug07 Jul15 May21 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 114 8.00    
DAVIDIC LINE Sep23 Sep10 Aug19 Jul16 Jun12 (arnett g)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00    
EYE DEE KAY Jul27 Jul14 Jun15 Jun02 May05 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 117 15.00    
MOSQUITO FLEET Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
DRIED PEPPER Aug14 Jul23 Jun19 Feb15 Jan11 (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00 5% 17.80    
10  VITALE Aug30 Aug06 Jul20 Jun21 May21 (clay pat)ALBERT S 112 5.00    
 
DED-8   10/26/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAHUILLA Mar10 Feb15 Nov19 Oct29 Oct21 (romero ger)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 12.00    
TIZ MY PLAN Sep11 Aug20 Apr07 Sep03 Aug09 (beene linda)ALBERT S 112 20.00    
LA VILLANA Oct07 Sep12 Jun09 May11 Mar24 (escobar alis)MARQUEZ L 117 15.00    
SCR  BOARDWALK QUEEN Sep02 Jul27 Nov24 Oct30 Sep25 (berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 114 5.00    
RING TWICE Sep08 Apr08 Mar25 Feb19 Feb05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 2.50 15% 5.50    
MALIBU TOAST Oct07 Jun23 Apr28 Mar24 Feb25 (noel dane)ROSIER R 114 3.50 56% 0.80    
QUEEN OF THE MOON Aug03 Jul07 Jun23 Jun04 May14 (antwine m)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
LAST OF THE NILE Oct07 Jul08 Jun02 May11 Apr27 (castille carrol)MELANCON G 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
CINCY'S ANNA Oct07 Aug12 May20 Apr15 Mar24 (breaux samuel)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 4.00    
 
DED-9   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAILEYS BRO         (lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
BRILLIANT SPIN         (gelner s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
SPIDERS REVENGE Jan28         (rangel raul)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00    
TIZ DONEGAL Sep02 Jul22       (noel dane)POMPELL L 120 1.40 42% 1.40    
ALL COUNTRY Aug10 Jul21 Jun24 May12 Apr07 (west henry)STOKES A 117 20.00    
RAMBO'S RETURN         (clay pat)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
MR MIDWAY Oct19 Sep15       (courville ri)MARQUEZ L 120 10.00    
DR. SNYDER Aug10 Jun17 May04 Mar24 Feb26 (landry ray)THORNTON G 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
MONOLITH Sep11 Aug06 Jul22 Jun02   (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 4.50 7% 13.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.