Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Thursday - October 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (6/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/2/4)-(6/1/3/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/3/4)-(10/4/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/4)-(10/4/7/1)-(11/10/8/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-2   WIN (10/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/7/1)-(10/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/4/7/1)-(10/4/7/1)-(10/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/4/7/1)-(11/10/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/4/7/1)-(11/10/8/1/2)-(4/1/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (11/10/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/10/8/1/2)-(11/10/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/10/8/1/2)-(11/10/8/1/2)-(11/10/8/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/10/8/1/2)-(4/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/10/8/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(10/8/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-4   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(10/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(10/8/5)-(9/10/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-5   WIN (10/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/8/5)-(10/8/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/8/5)-(10/8/5/7)-(10/8/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/8/5)-(9/10/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/8/5)-(9/10/2/5)-(8/1/3/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (9/10/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/2/5)-(9/10/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/2/5)-(9/10/2/1/5)-(9/10/2/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/10/2/5)-(8/1/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/10/2/5)-(8/1/3/9)-(6/5/8/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-7   WIN (8/1/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/9)-(8/1/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/9)-(8/1/3/9)-(8/1/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/3/9)-(6/5/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/9)-(6/5/8/7)-(4/8/9/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-8   WIN (6/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/7)-(6/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/7)-(6/5/8/7)-(6/5/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/8/7)-(4/8/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-9   WIN (4/8/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/9/1)-(4/8/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/9/1)-(4/8/9/1)-(4/8/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER BANDERAS         (calhoun wil)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 25% 2.90    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of C R VEXORA by GRAEME HALL)
PLUM WINE Aug06 Jul17 Jun25     (johnson b)POMPELL L 117 6.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MS. JEAN ELIZABETH by OLD FASHIONED)
BOLD CARLOS Jul20         (gelner jayde )RIVERA JOSEAN 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of SOHNI by COUNTRY DAY)
I NITA WARRIOR Aug19 Jul20       (reeves jeffe)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of ANITA BONITA by REDDING COLLIERY)
DADSAMUMBLER         (blanchet chris)FUSILIER C 120 15.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of HIGH HOPES PUNCH by TWO PUNCH SONNY)
SOUNDS LIKE POWER Oct06 Aug05 Jul08 Jun17   (gelner j)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by POWER JAM out of STREET SOUNDS by STREET CRY (IRE))
OTRA COSA Aug05 Jul20       (ali andrea )MELANCON JANSEN 120 10.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of JEMIMA'S PEARL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
COURT JESTER         (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 120 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PLAYFUL DANCER by FLARE DANCER)
CANAL ST. CUPID Oct13 Sep09       (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 120 15.00    
  (by CUPID out of BRONZE ABE by TWO PUNCH)
10  GLAMORDINI Oct12         (landry allen)MAGNON H 120 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of GLAMORIDE by IDE)
SCR  AUTUMN ROB Aug29 Jul20       (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of THESCREENISRED by VAN NISTELROOY)
SCR  FRUIT CUP Oct12 Aug29 Aug19     (garza joaquin)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of KILLERQUEEN by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
 
DED-2   10/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS RED BEL Oct07 Sep05 Feb25 Feb11 Jan16 (payne w)MELANCON G 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
BRAVE CITY GIRL Aug11 Jun29 Jun10 May28 Feb24 (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 114 15.00    
SCR  MISS JAMIE Aug28 Jul01 Jun11 Feb03 Dec29 (beavin judy)EDISON JOCELYN 112 20.00    
DOLLY'S GUITAR Oct12 Aug12 Jul20 Jun29 Jun17 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 117 4.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  MADISON'S SCREEN Oct12 Aug28 Jul14 Jun29 May25 (turner patti)ROMAN KEVIN 117 6.00    
SUZY DOLL'S READY Jul27 May21 Feb23 Dec09 Nov22 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 114 6.00    
LUCKYHOTSTUFF Sep15 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Jun19 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 6.00 10% 8.80    
SOPHIE'S PRAYER Jun10 May28 May13 Feb26 Jan12 (zenon shelton)ROSIER R 114 20.00    
DREAM TOWN Jun10 May14 Apr15 Mar05 Jan13 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 10.00    
10  ESSENTIAL BELLA Sep13 Sep02 Jul20 Jul12 Jul01 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 51% 1.00    
 
DED-3   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALPHIN Sep11 Aug14 Jul30 Jul02 Jun10 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 123 8.00 5% 17.60    
ST PIERRE Jun08 May25 May06 Apr21 Mar22 (stemmans donald)MELANCON G 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN CONFUSION Jul27 Jun30 Jun10 May25 Apr22 (chevis vinc)LEDET THEODRICK 123 12.00    
SMOOTH CUSTOM Jul28 May13 Jan21 Nov02 Oct07 (celestine c)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 20.00    
ADDISONS WARRIOR Jul28 May22 Dec15 Oct22 Sep13 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 120 4.00    
UNCLE CHAN Aug05 Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 May25 (west henry)ALBERT S 118 15.00    
SCR  SAUCY ARGUMENT Jun29 Jun01 May18 Apr19 Mar08 (breaux samuel)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00    
CLEARLY A JET Aug29 Jul29 Jun19 May22 May06 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 7% 13.20    
BOSS MAN ZONG Jul28 Jul14 Jun30 May18 Apr19 (dison ma)STOKES A 123 12.00    
10  ASTROLOGY WONOWON Jul14 Jun29 Jun15 May25 May10 (granger rand)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 9% 10.30    
11  VALLEY MISCHIEF Aug05 Jul15       (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 123 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  FLATTERSOLUTION Aug10         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00    
 
DED-4   10/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OIL MONEY Oct07 Jul07 Jun11 Mar26 Feb26 (arnett g)THORNTON G 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
SUPER OCHO (CHI) Feb25 Jan27 Jan07 Nov05 Oct01 (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 15% 5.70    
MY PAL MATTIE Jun17 May29 Apr23 Mar05 Oct14 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 114 5.00    
TOPPER T Jul23 Jun24 May21 Mar29 Feb22 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 4.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  WILD BERT Oct07 May26 May06 Feb25 Jan27 (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 15.00    
MIDNIGHT FIRE Feb25 Jan27 Dec10 Aug04 Jul21 (brinkman brett)NEGRON LUIS 117 6.00    
BLACK SWORD Aug05 Jun03 May06 Apr19 Feb04 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 114 10.00    
SCR  AUTUMNS STRONG MAN Oct06 Aug24 Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 (husak gary )MELANCON JANSEN 114 15.00    
 
DED-5   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LULOS Jun16 May26 Oct14 Aug25 Jul21 (sturrock tom)MAGNON H 117 10.00    
SCR  BUTLER CABIN Sep23 Aug28 Jul29 Jul09 Jun11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.50    
SCR  BAY BE GONE Sep11 Jul17 Jul04 May28 Apr29 (garza joaquin )GREEN AUBRIE 114 10.00    
MOTAWAAFEQ Oct06 Sep09 Jul29 Jun16 May06 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 117 20.00    
CRIMSON STORM Sep10 Aug29 Aug04 Jul07 Jun11 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00 5% 18.90    
MAGNA COLORS Sep04 Jul08 Jun03 May06 Apr07 (nelson r)SUAREZ ANGEL 114 15.00    
COUSVINNYSACANUCK Aug12 Jul02 Jun18 May29 Sep10 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50    
KURT'S CHOICE Sep03 Aug10 Jul20 Jun28 Jun04 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 114 4.50 22% 3.60    
IMA BIG BOPPER Sep09 Jul17 Jul01 Jun10 May06 (payne w)MELANCON G 117 20.00    
10  CLARESTOWN Jul17 Jun11 May06 Apr14 Feb26 (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00 45% 1.20    
11  OPTIMAL TRIP Sep12 Aug13 May28 Apr27 Apr15 (rossi j)BOREL H 117 6.00    
 
DED-6   10/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUITAR SLIM Jul23 Jun12 May29 May14 Feb04 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 112 4.50    
DOCTOR LEO Aug21 Jul29 Jun25 Jun11 May06 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
JIMMIE'S HALO Aug21 Aug12 Jul13 Feb10 Dec02 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00    
INTO WISHING Aug27 Aug05 Jul17 Jun11 May07 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00    
FLASHY PREMO Oct14 Aug10 Jul20 Jun23 May15 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
JOEY'S GAME Oct07 Aug21 Aug12 Jun22 May19 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 114 12.00    
HEZA PICKLE Oct06 Sep11 Aug14 Jul08 Jun08 (turner patti)THORNTON G 117 10.00    
BAYOU JAM Aug11 Jul08 Jun09 May13 Apr26 (fuselier jonah)ROSIER R 117 8.00    
OAK HILL LG Oct14 Sep02 Jul15 Jun12 May27 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.00 70% 0.40    
10  CITY PARK Jun03 Apr12 Feb25 Jan07 Dec10 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
DED-7   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH VALOR Sep23 Aug25 Jun19 May22 Jan21 (arnett g)THORNTON G 117 6.00 22% 3.50    
SMOKY TOPAZ Jun29 Jun09 May20 Apr22 Feb10 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 117 12.00    
SUPER WISE Sep03 Aug16 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 (scherer gary)FUSILIER C 117 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  BURNING LEAVES Sep04 Aug26 Aug06 Jul12 Jun28 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
ONCE UPON A DREAM Sep01 Aug20 Aug07 Jul15 May21 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 114 8.00    
DAVIDIC LINE Sep23 Sep10 Aug19 Jul16 Jun12 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00    
EYE DEE KAY Jul27 Jul14 Jun15 Jun02 May05 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 117 15.00    
MOSQUITO FLEET Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
DRIED PEPPER Aug14 Jul23 Jun19 Feb15 Jan11 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00 5% 17.80    
10  VITALE Aug30 Aug06 Jul20 Jun21 May21 (clay pat)ALBERT S 112 5.00    
 
DED-8   10/26/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAHUILLA Mar10 Feb15 Nov19 Oct29 Oct21 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 12.00    
TIZ MY PLAN Sep11 Aug20 Apr07 Sep03 Aug09 (beene lind)ALBERT S 112 20.00    
LA VILLANA Oct07 Sep12 Jun09 May11 Mar24 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 117 15.00    
SCR  BOARDWALK QUEEN Sep02 Jul27 Nov24 Oct30 Sep25 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 114 5.00    
RING TWICE Sep08 Apr08 Mar25 Feb19 Feb05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 2.50 15% 5.50    
MALIBU TOAST Oct07 Jun23 Apr28 Mar24 Feb25 (noel dane)ROSIER R 114 3.50 56% 0.80    
QUEEN OF THE MOON Aug03 Jul07 Jun23 Jun04 May14 (antwine)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
LAST OF THE NILE Oct07 Jul08 Jun02 May11 Apr27 (castille carrol)MELANCON G 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
CINCY'S ANNA Oct07 Aug12 May20 Apr15 Mar24 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 4.00    
 
DED-9   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAILEYS BRO         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MISTER DANCE out of BAILEYS LOVER by SILENT PLEASURE)
BRILLIANT SPIN         (gelner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of THE TEA CUPS by HARD SPUN)
SPIDERS REVENGE Jan28         (rangel raul)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHERRYS GAL by NAVARRO)
TIZ DONEGAL Sep02 Jul22       (noel dane)POMPELL L 120 1.40 42% 1.40    
  (by TIZNOW out of MINERALOGIST by MINESHAFT)
ALL COUNTRY Aug10 Jul21 Jun24 May12 Apr07 (west henry)STOKES A 117 20.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of ALL HER DUE by DEVIL HIS DUE)
RAMBO'S RETURN         (clay pat)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of JAUNT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
MR MIDWAY Oct19 Sep15       (courville )MARQUEZ L 120 10.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of INCLINATION by VICTORY GALLOP)
DR. SNYDER Aug10 Jun17 May04 Mar24 Feb26 (landry r)THORNTON G 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by NO NEVER NO MORE out of FLYING K C by TALE OF THE CAT)
MONOLITH Sep11 Aug06 Jul22 Jun02   (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 4.50 7% 13.20    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of BRILLIANT AUDREY by TALE OF THE CAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.