Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Wednesday - October 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DEL-1   WIN (7/8/2/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/9/11)-(7/8/2/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/9/11)-(7/8/2/9/11)-(7/8/2/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/2/9/11)-(3/6/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/9/11)-(3/6/1/4)-(14/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DEL-2   WIN (3/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/4)-(14/9/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/4)-(14/9/11)-(2/6/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-3   WIN (14/9/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (14/9/11)-(14/9/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (14/9/11)-(14/9/11)-(14/9/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (14/9/11)-(2/6/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (14/9/11)-(2/6/9/7)-(8/6/12/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-4   WIN (2/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/7)-(2/6/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/7)-(2/6/9/7)-(2/6/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/9/7)-(8/6/12/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/9/7)-(8/6/12/10)-(2/8/6/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
DEL-5   WIN (8/6/12/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/12/10)-(8/6/12/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/12/10)-(8/6/12/10)-(8/6/12/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/12/10)-(2/8/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/12/10)-(2/8/6/3)-(1/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-6   WIN (2/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/3)-(2/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/3)-(2/8/6/3)-(2/8/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/6/3)-(1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/3)-(1/3/7)-(3/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-7   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DEL-8   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL BUFFALO Sep09 Aug26 Jul22 Jul12 Jun01 (machado ant)VILLASMIL EDGAR 120 15.00    
2  NEW JERSEY HEIST Aug25 Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 May21 (margotta anthon)CENTENO E 120 4.00 8% 12.30    
3  SUN OF SILVER Aug26 Aug16 Dec07 Nov16 Sep29 (yovanovich dona)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
4  SETTE STELLE Sep19 Sep09 Aug26 Aug09 Jul21 (siculietano)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 114 8.00    
SCR  PRACTICALLYMINE Sep04 Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 Jun18 (truehart jenni)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
6  DISCREETLY THRIFTY Sep07 Feb01 Dec22 Dec07 Oct13 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
7  TAKEOVER KASH Sep16 Sep02 Apr05 Mar24 Mar05 (correa maxine)MARIN SAMUEL 123 5.00 52% 0.90    
8  LIOTTA Sep13 Aug25 Aug12 Jul23 Jul01 (woolley tim)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 10% 9.00    
9  UNXPECTED TIGER Aug26 Aug16 Jun23 Apr28 Apr16 (ochoa gerard)HIRALDO JOHN 120 10.00 6% 16.10    
10  FINN'S POINT Sep09 Aug26 Aug09 Jul26 Jul06 (strauss b)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
11  EL GRAN CUYAYA Aug26 Aug09 Jun28 May30 May20 (lake a)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-2   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASEY'S LAW Aug16 Jul20 Jun03 May13 Aug10 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
2  COLLECT REDEMPTION Aug23 Mar04 Feb10 Jan06 Dec10 (sepulveda carl)HIRALDO JOHN 120 2.50    
3  THE GREAT GAZOO Aug03 Jul15 Jun23 Jun03 May13 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  FUN AT THE FORT Sep10 Aug05 Jul09 Mar19 Mar01 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00 10% 9.00    
5  TUNA N STAMPS Sep21 Aug16 Jul21 Jun01 Mar19 (alvarado di)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 123 8.00    
6  HEXAGON (IRE) Aug30 Jul27 May14 Mar05 Nov20 (barboza )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
7  MY HANDSOME MAN Sep21 Sep06 Jul14 Jun21 May26 (ovando melv)VILLASMIL EDGAR 123 15.00    
8  DOUBLE O OTTO Sep09 Aug30 Aug10 Jul20 Jun24 (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 111 8.00    
 
DEL-3   10/04/2023 4950ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIGHTY MEISTER Sep06 Jul13 Oct09 Sep24 Sep04 (rawles alcina)MENA E 122 12.00    
SCR  GREAT IDEA Sep06 Aug04 Nov20 Oct29 Oct09 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00    
SCR  DEAR SANTA Aug17 Jul20 Jun16 Aug01   (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 10.00    
SCR  SWAN LAKE Aug23 Jun03 May06 Apr08 Mar26 (simoff andre)ARROYO S 121 10.00    
SCR  TUNE IN Oct03 Sep09 Aug05 Jun30 May17 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 124 10.00    
SCR  SOUPER ENERGIZER Sep02 Aug13 Jul28 Jul01 Jun11 (pantaleo josep)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
7  MY DANNY BOY Sep16 Aug16 Aug03 Jul15 Jun14 (strauss b)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
8  BLESSED ARION Aug17 Aug05 Sep29 Sep06 Jul27 (rawlings amanda)MONTERREY R 122 12.00    
9  YODEL E. A. WHO Sep09 Jul29 Jul08 Jun09 May25 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 10.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  REBEL POSSE Sep08 Aug10 Jul21 Jun24 May29 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50    
11  GREATHEART Sep02 Aug23 Jul23 Jun25 May14 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 124 12.00 7% 14.30    
12  LAUGHING BOY Sep06 Aug04 Jul02 Jun04 Apr30 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00    
SCR  MY BOY PADDY Aug19 Aug04 Jul14 Jun25 Feb02 (rivera justin)BEATO INOEL 124 15.00    
14  ADERO Aug22 Jul23 Jun18 May14 Mar11 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 119 5.00 42% 1.40    
 
DEL-4   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VELVET GHOST Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 Jul27 Jun04 (corrales jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00    
2  AMERICAN PATROL May02 Apr14 Mar18 Jan04 Nov07 (lynch catha)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  INSTIGATED Sep20 Sep01 Aug17 Aug02 Jul06 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 124 4.50    
4  TINY TIN Sep20 Sep01 Aug17 Aug09 Jul12 (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
5  AHSAD Sep27 Sep16 Sep01 Aug10 Jul10 (kirby t)CEDENO CAROL 124 8.00    
6  NEVER CHANGE Sep08 Aug17 Aug12 Aug02 Jul14 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
7  MUNDO MIX Sep16 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jun23 (gayle webs)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  GREAT FACES Sep07 Aug17 Aug04 Jun23 Jun09 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 124 3.50    
9  COOL COMEDIAN Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 Jul12 Jun20 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 8% 11.50    
 
DEL-5   10/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPOTTED BULL Sep09 Aug17 Aug05 Jul15 Jul07 (sanchez-salomon)CRUZ M 123 10.00    
2  SOVEREIGN OF SPEED Sep08 Sep01 Aug19 Aug04 Jul02 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 15.00    
3  KITCHEN FIRE Sep09 Aug27 Aug04 Jun09 Apr15 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 5.00    
SCR  PORTAL ONE Jul24 Jul05 Jun06 May10 Apr25 (truehart jen)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 15.00    
SCR  EXACTING May05 Apr22 Feb10 Jan14 Dec17 (carrascojr vic)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00    
6  WILD BEHAVIOR Aug27 Jul15 Jul01 Jun15 May12 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 121 8.00 34% 1.90    
7  LORD BERRIER Sep06 Aug12 Jul06 Jun15 May06 (de ka)MARIN A 123 12.00    
8  SALTO DE TIGRE Aug18 Aug02 Jul20 Jun18 Jun09 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
9  EVEN THUNDER Sep13 Aug12 Jul14 Jun01 May12 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 15.00    
10  BAZOO Aug31 Aug05 Jul05 Jun15 May27 (patterson kevin)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  FIRST RULE Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul14 Jun23 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 121 8.00    
12  NOTTOWAY Sep14 Sep06 Aug04 Jul03 Dec09 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 6% 17.00    
 
DEL-6   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MAN VITO Sep08 Aug02 Jul06 Jun14 Apr28 (rigattieri joh)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00    
2  POLTERER Sep08 Aug26 Jul21 Jul06 Jun23 (compton greg)MENA E 122 6.00 39% 1.60    
3  AIN'T WASTING TIME Aug16 Jul15 Jun09 May27 Jan07 (alvarado di)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 120 4.50 8% 11.40    
4  BOBBY G Aug02 Jul22 Jun09 May12 May06 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 120 3.50    
5  SPEARGUN Sep16 Aug05 Jun17 May13 Jan05 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50    
6  WHAT DOES IT TAKE Sep10 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 May27 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00 9% 9.90    
7  GOLDEN GULLEY Jun09 May27 Apr01 Dec16 Nov26 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00    
8  IT'S SIZZLING TIME Sep03 Aug20 Jun07 Apr29 Apr07 (smith valrie)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 6.00 15% 5.60    
 
DEL-7   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S HER TIME Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 May27 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
2  MY MAGGIE MOO Sep15 Jul15 May13 Apr23 Mar29 (farro patricia)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50    
3  PEPPERMINT CLASS Sep15 Aug24 Jul15 Jun22 Mar10 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
4  MAKEMEBELIEVE Sep15 Jul22 May07 Feb23 Nov26 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00    
5  VODKATINI Sep15 Jun15 May04 Apr13 Mar31 (gorham michael )MENA E 120 8.00    
6  KIZZY Sep09 Aug31 Jun17 May21 May05 (mcgoey moni)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00 ★    
7  MIDNIGHT HEIRESS Sep10 Aug11 Jun17 May27 Apr07 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BELLA PALOMA Aug24 Aug10 Jul22 Jul05 Jun03 (rubley kelly)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 10.00    
 
DEL-8   10/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO STYLISH Aug19 Jun28 Jun09 May25 Feb11 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
SCR  MY BOSS Sep15 Sep02 Aug18 Jul13 Jun18 (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 8.00    
3  CHILD PROOF Sep02 Aug09 Jul14 Jun30 Jun01 (arriagada juan)HIRALDO JOHN 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
4  SCOREBOARD LILY Sep22 Aug31 Jul26 Jul12 Jun30 (kravets bruc)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00    
5  SANSA ARIEL Sep14 Sep01 Jul19 Jun24 May25 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 122 6.00 8% 11.40    
6  CHEM MAJOR Sep15 Aug12 Jul23 Jul01 Apr28 (carrascoj)CARRASCO R 123 3.00 10% 8.90    
7  LUNITA Sep08 Aug12 Jul26 Jun30 Jun17 (machado a)RODRIGUEZ A 122 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.