Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - September 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(3/6/5)-(6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(6/5)-(2/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(2/1/4)-(5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(5/4)-(4/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(4/2/1)-(6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(6/3)-(3/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARAMEL CORN Aug15 Aug03 Jul18 Jun07 Nov12 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.00    
2  SAMMY DA BULL Jul31 Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 May16 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 15% 5.70    
3  PLATE IT UP Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Jun26 Jun01 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00    
4  SERVE REVENGE COLD Aug15 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Mar27 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 59% 0.70    
5  PRECIOUS JULES Aug22 Jul13 Jun14 May20 May08 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
6  DEER CREEK ROAD Aug15 Jul31 Jun10 May15 Apr27 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   09/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYING BALL Aug30 Jul27 Jul13 Jul04 Jun07 (suarez javie)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00    
2  SEASONS END Aug10 Jul12 Jun20 Oct14 Aug15 (mavec kat)GONZALES J 114 12.00    
3  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 Jun27 Jun06 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 45% 1.20    
4  ANIMO ROBERTO Aug24 Aug10 Jul22 Jun27 May31 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 110 5.00    
5  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Aug23 Jul27 Jul10 Jun15 May29 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.00 11% 8.30    
6  RED COMET Aug24 Aug14 Jul31 Jul13 Jul05 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
TDN-3   09/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSTUME JEWELRY Aug14 Jul26 May25 May16 May06 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.00    
2  SURE FIRE READY Aug15 Jul17 Jun27 May23 May06 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 ★    
3  BAREFOOT BEACH Aug14 Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 May24 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 4.50    
4  CITY SIGNS Aug16 Jul19 Jul04 Jun06 May22 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
5  HIGH CUPPER Aug08 Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 May29 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Aug17 Aug03 Jul06 May30 Feb15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 71% 0.40    
 
TDN-4   09/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUGER Jul31 Jul12 Jun24 Jun15 Jun01 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50 17% 5.00    
2  HOLY SAINT Aug21 Aug03 Jul03 Jun15 May08 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  BROTHER SKYE Aug22 Aug03 Jul17 Jun05 May16 (langley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
4  OTIS OTIS OTIS Aug21 Jul26 Jul04 Jun05 May23 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 13% 6.80    
5  ICON Jul31 Jul12 Jun24 Jun05 May20 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00    
6  THE COOKIE MAN Jul31 Jun24 Jun01 May21 May08 (rivera nesto)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00    
 
TDN-5   09/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASTY LADY Aug17 Aug16 Aug03 Apr01 Mar13 (genovese richard )VELEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  COMMAND STRIKE Jul25 Jun26 Jun07 May15 Sep07 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
3  PULPIT'S PURRFECT Aug17 Jul25 Jun26 Jun07 May15 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00    
4  PASSIONFORTREASURE Aug17 Jul25 Jul12 Jun07 May15 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 15% 5.70    
5  POETIC VERSE Aug06 Jul25 Jul05 May10 Apr27 (gorham m)PEREZ E 121 1.80 55% 0.80    
6  MOBIL LADY Jun23 May20 Apr27 Dec30 Nov28 (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00    
 
TDN-6   09/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Michael Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINE ME UP BABY Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun02 Apr27 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 5.00 9% 10.30    
  (by KANTHAROS out of THUS by TIZNOW)
2  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Aug12 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 May30 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 20% 3.90    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
3  TIVIS Jun02 May20 Apr11 Nov21 Oct29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.50    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PRESELI'S PULPIT by PULPIT)
4  MIDNIGHT IN OHIO Aug22 Jul17 May10 Apr24 Jul05 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 2.50 38% 1.70    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of TO BE DETERMINED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  KICHI KITSU Aug02 May30 Apr27 Mar23 Feb23 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
6  SQUID Aug17 Jul25 Jun27 Jun02 May13 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MISS KEW by CATIENUS)
7  DIAMONDS N DEW Aug24 Jul25 Jun15 May25 May10 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 121 8.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of GOT BLING by LANGFUHR)
 
TDN-7   09/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KRAZY HAWK Aug10 Jul11 Nov13 Oct18 Oct05 (cady khalil)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
2  FAST CALL Aug15 Jul11 Aug18 Aug09 Jul25 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
3  LAND REMEMBERED Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 Dec29 Dec07 (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 33% 2.10    
4  THE EQUINEST Aug31 Aug14 Jul24 Jul11 Jun13 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 3.50    
5  MINDSHIP Q Aug21 Aug09 Jul31 Jul17 Jun27 (londono odin)HALDAR J 121 4.50    
6  SMUDGE THE CAT Aug15 Jul24 Jul03 Jun13 May20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
TDN-8   09/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIPLEY EFFECT Aug24 Aug07 Jul11 Jun14 May20 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 2.00    
2  MORE MUCHO Aug14 Jul04 Jun10 May06 Apr07 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 123 8.00    
3  GRAY ROYALITY Aug23 Jul17 Jun24 May22 May10 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 39% 1.60    
4  QUARANTINA Aug22 Jul25 Jun21 Feb20 Jan24 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 15% 5.80    
5  LEWD Aug29 Aug07 Jul20 Jun21 Jun06 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
6  BLAZING ZENNA Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 May22 May09 (mahan p)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.