Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(2/4/6)-(1/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(1/5/2/7)-(1/6/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/7)-(1/6/8/3)-(3/4/8/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/3)-(3/4/8/1)-(3/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8/1)-(3/1/8)-(6/7/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/8)-(3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8)-(6/7/3/8)-(5/3/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/8)-(5/3/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/7)-(5/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/7)-(5/3/8/7)-(5/3/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL PAPA May25 Apr13 Apr04 Feb22 Feb01 (tomlinson e)BUSH V 121 6.00    
SCR  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE May19 Apr27 Feb23 Jan12 Sep20 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  MANY ROSES May27 May06 Apr11 Mar25 Feb26 (axmaker cody )CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  SUGGESTED May25 May13 May04 Mar18 Feb02 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 121 4.50    
5  D'MONEY HONEY Jun01 May18 Apr27 Mar22 Mar01 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 1.60 17% 4.80    
 
BTP-2   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACTISIMFLASHY Jun02 May25 May11 Mar23 Mar02 (antonuik )CORREA L 115 4.00    
2  NEXT GENERATION Sep12 Aug10 Jul20 May10 Feb19 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 121 2.50 58% 0.70    
3  CARLY'S FLIGHT Jun08 Dec07 Nov19 Oct25   (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 12.00    
4  SPARKLING JEWEL Jun02 Apr27 Mar23 Oct29 Sep15 (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 115 1.80 15% 5.60    
5  MAYBE FRANKY Jun07 May11 Sep27 Aug26 Aug04 (adams l)REYES R 121 6.00    
6  THE LAST APPLE Jun07 Dec03 Oct31 Oct10 Sep27 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERPA May20 May06       (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by RACE DAY out of NORTHERN EXCURSION by CORONADO'S QUEST)
2  YANIRA May20 Sep03       (lynch a)MCKEE J 114 2.50 10% 9.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BOAT'S GHOST by SILVER GHOST)
3  UTOPIAN TREASURE Jun08 May27 May06 Apr19 Feb22 (morelos mateo)COLON H 119 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SEEKING ATLANTIS by SEEKING THE GOLD)
4  ROCKY'S EXPRESS Nov29 Oct27 Oct14     (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 125 3.50    
  (by IN SUMMATION out of MILTOS EXPRESS by NOTEBOOK)
5  SOUTHERN HEMI         (huffman pat)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.50 29% 2.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of JORDY'S READY by MORE THAN READY)
6  A. P. AVATAR Jun03 May26 May08 Jan21 Nov21 (pinzon maria)MARCANO Y 114 5.00    
  (by KEEP ME INFORMED out of SEDECREM by HENNY HUGHES)
7  EL MIC TIESUN Jun02 May20 May12 Apr28 Apr12 (mardif ja)CORREA L 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJOR DUOMO out of PRIMARY RAINBOWS by PRIMARY SUSPECT)
 
BTP-4   06/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYNTED May31 Dec28 Nov02 Oct11 Sep14 (cannon s)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  PEPE TONO May24 May05 Mar16 Feb24 Dec21 (silva pabl)LEON A 123 12.00    
3  LUCKYINKENTUCKY May18 May04 Mar09 Feb22 Dec01 (brafford c)MCKEE J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  FATHER PATRICK Jun08 May18 Apr29 Apr13 Apr05 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 118 8.00    
5  FULCO May18 May08 Mar18 Feb09 Jan11 (esquivel )CORREA L 123 2.50    
6  DOWN HOME KITTEN May25 May04 Mar24 Mar04 Feb04 (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 5.00 11% 8.00    
7  BOLD ADVENTURE May18 Feb09 Jan18 Dec14 Nov16 (peterson anne)CANUTO THIAGO 123 6.00    
8  EL CHEAPO Mar24 Mar04 Feb18 Feb04 Jan11 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 123 8.00 5% 17.30    
 
BTP-5   06/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOURIST CAT May31 May20       (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOURIST out of FASHION FUR by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  DOM GERVASIO May25 Apr16 Mar24 Feb01 Dec21 (wong jonathan)REYES R 125 2.50    
  (by ASTERN out of DONA TIZ by TIZNOW)
3  ERASMUS May20 Mar25       (drury thoma)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.00 53% 0.90    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LAUDEMIO by PULPIT)
4  FLYING HOUDINI Apr29         (chain pear)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 5.00 17% 4.70    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
5  CANTSTOPTHEFUN May20         (shifflett ch)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 20.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of FUNSHINEINMYPOCKET by INVASOR (ARG))
6  DESERT HIGHWAY Jun03 May20 Apr29 Apr01   (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DESERT GAZELLE by SMART STRIKE)
7  POGOERIACH May31 Jun01       (o'donnell marcus)OUZTS W 125 15.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of FLOWERY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  SCHOOLMASTER (GER) May31 May20 Apr07 Mar03 Dec02 (manning joh)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SHIORI by TWIRLING CANDY)
 
BTP-6   06/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOPHISTICATED May25 May12 Apr05 Feb08 Jan06 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  MAGESTAL BASTIDA May25 May12 Mar27 Oct22 Oct06 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 20.00    
3  YOUDEVILYOUCECILIA May25 May12 Apr06 Mar18 Jan06 (short tho)CORREA L 123 3.50 34% 1.90    
4  FABIOLA PRINCESS May20 Dec21 Nov22 Oct06 Sep14 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 4.50    
SCR  ZERO CLICK May26 May06 Apr18 Mar18 Mar04 (langemeier jo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00    
SCR  KAIYAS SONG Jun03 May17 Mar11 Dec28 Nov10 (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 123 6.00    
7  SISTER JUSTICE Jun10 Nov21 Nov08 Oct18 Sep29 (thompson dan)MARCANO Y 118 20.00    
8  TIZ BIZ May27 Apr29 Sep16 Sep02 Aug23 (brafford c)MCKEE J 123 8.00 7% 13.30    
 
BTP-7   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIKIO Feb23 Jan07 Dec13 Nov29 Oct14 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 123 3.50    
2  ANDY WALKS WITH ME Jun10 May24 May11 Apr29 Apr02 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 12.00    
3  LIMITED D'ORO Jun03 May04 Apr18 Dec28 Nov27 (pinzon maria)ARAGON ROLANDO 117 5.00 8% 11.00    
4  KING T'CHALLA May26 May18 May05 Nov07 Oct26 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 15.00    
SCR  BAILEY COFFEE Jun02 May19 Apr19 Feb23 Feb15 (si)DA FAUSTO 123 12.00    
6  PAID TWICE Jun02 Feb08 Dec29 Dec07 Nov13 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 125 2.50 52% 0.90    
7  ANGUSONIC Feb03 Nov30 Oct16 Aug31 Aug07 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 123 4.50 16% 5.10    
8  CALL ME GUSTO May22 Jul05 Jun23 Mar12 Feb11 (huffman pat)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COMMUNICATION FAIL May19 Mar08 Feb02 Jan20 Dec30 (silva pabl)LEON A 123 10.00    
 
BTP-8   06/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROONER May31 Oct22 Sep18 Aug19 Jul10 (jazdzewski jon)MCKEE J 125 4.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of YODEL by INDYGO SHINER)
2  RURAL Apr28 Feb22 Jan19 Dec29 Nov30 (preston rand)CALLEJA ANDRES 120 12.00    
  (by ELNAAWI out of COUNTRY SUNSHINE by IRON (FR))
3  ROENICK Jun05 May21 Apr27 Apr01 Mar11 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 3.50 25% 3.10    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SEE ROCK CITY by TAPIT)
4  RIDGERUNNER May20 May04       (mardif ja)CORREA L 125 20.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of HARD LIFE by ROCK HARD TEN)
5  SAILOR'S CHANCE May30 May09 Feb17 Feb04 Jan07 (haehn r)OUZTS W 119 4.50 38% 1.60    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of EXCEPTIONAL CHANCE by AMERICAN CHANCE)
SCR  PITAGORE Jun07 May20       (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 2.50    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of PITAMAKAN by DANZIG)
7  ALY STONE Jun03 Mar07 Feb15     (holton rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of GINGER STONE by ELITE SQUADRON)
8  LEAD ACTOR May20 May06 Apr28 Apr01 Mar11 (quezada ino)JIMENEZ J 125 10.00 12% 7.10    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of IMPOSING GRACE by EMPIRE MAKER)
9  THE POINT ROAD May31 May06 Apr30 Apr05 Mar24 (bush s)BUSH V 125 15.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of COME OUT AND PLAY by PUT IT BACK)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.