Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - April 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(4/3/6)-(4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TUP-4   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(4)-(5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TUP-5   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/5/6/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4)-(5/2)-(8/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/7/1)-(5/2/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/2)-(8/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(8/6)-(3/4/2/8) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-7   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/7/3)-(8/6/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/6)-(3/4/2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TUP-8   WIN (3/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/8)-(3/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/8)-(3/4/2/8)-(3/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   04/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONELY PRIVATE Mar21 Feb27 Jan18 Jan03 Nov21 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 60% 0.70    
2  PERFECT FANNY Apr04 Feb27 Jan18 Dec14 Aug24 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
SCR  MARKET KING Sep12 Aug22 Jun21 Mar23 Mar08 (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00    
4  TIM'S BUDDY Apr04 Mar18 Feb19 Jan31 Jan12 (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 2.50 ★    
5  J T'S A. T. M. Apr04 Mar20 Mar08 Feb25 Feb04 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00 9% 9.90    
6  KELLER'S GOLD Mar26 Feb27 Jan31 Jan10 Dec03 (moreno ca)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
 
TUP-4   04/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALEX'S DREAM Apr05 Mar28 Mar13 Feb19 Jan24 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 4.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  WHEREDIDITGO Mar20 Mar12 Jan21     (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 113 5.00    
3  WINTER SOLDIER Apr05 Feb18 Feb06     (essex charles)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  SUPER CREATIVE Apr05 Mar13 Feb19 Jan24 Jan07 (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
5  DEPUTY KNIGHT Apr05 Mar13 Feb19 Dec17 Nov30 (o'brie)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 12.00    
6  CLASS COMPOUNDS Apr05 Mar28       (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 7% 13.60    
7  GABE'S MONSTER Apr05 Mar28 Mar13 Jan24 Jan07 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
 
TUP-5   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWN PROSECUTOR Apr03         (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00    
2  BIG WAY Apr03         (bratcher ryan)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 6.00    
3  GRANITIANSEVENSIX         (rollins scott)ANAYA V 121 8.00 ★    
4  REGULATION DAZED Apr12 Mar17 Jan29 Jan07 Nov27 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 72% 0.40    
5  J C'S A LEGEND Sep18 Aug07 Jul17     (peacock shane)ZUNINO L 121 3.50 ★    
6  REKLEINING         (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 ★    
7  KNOCKOUT GUY Mar29 Mar06 Feb16 Jan31 Dec20 (fearon johnathon)HARVEY B 121 15.00    
8  SCOPELLO Apr11 Mar25 Feb26     (mc)DA FAUSTO 121 4.00    
 
TUP-6   04/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Apr12 Apr05 Mar21 Mar04 Feb13 (matt l)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 ★    
2  VICTORY BOULEVARD Apr15 Mar27 Feb28 Feb04 Oct26 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
3  ESTEEMED Apr15 Mar28 Mar12 Jan22 Dec12 (hernandez migue)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
4  MY BOY LOLLIPOP Feb14 Feb06 Jan09 Nov29 Nov07 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
5  BOTTLE OF SMOKE Apr10 Mar17 Mar03 Feb10 Feb04 (fergus)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 2.50 57% 0.80    
6  TALKIN MALICE Apr15 Mar27 Mar06 Feb13 Jan25 (mc)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
7  HELLO HANDSOME Apr11 Mar13 Feb28 Jan25 Jan03 (breashear b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   04/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEL RAGAZZO Apr03 Mar07 Feb21 Feb01 Jan11 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
2  GHOSTER Apr12 Jan27 Oct19 Sep20 Jul24 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
3  EXECUTIVE ACTION Mar15 Feb27 Jan30 Dec28 Dec08 (peacock shane)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 ★    
4  MANFORALLSEASONS Apr12 Mar12 Feb01 Jan24 Dec17 (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 122 15.00    
5  ETU BABOU Apr03 Mar01 Jan23 Jan14 Dec17 (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
6  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Apr11 Mar05 Feb15 Jan12 Dec20 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
7  LIGHTNING STAR Apr12 Mar13 Jan11 Dec20 Nov23 (simpson shanno)ANAYA V 122 10.00 ★    
8  TOIL AND TROUBLE Apr05 Mar21 Feb27 Feb07 Jan24 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
TUP-8   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY NOW Apr17 Mar18 Aug06 Jul09 Jun27 (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
2  ALLEVA Apr11 Mar27 Feb27 Feb13 Jan26 (evans )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 3.00 6% 14.90    
3  PRAYER OF JABEZ Apr15 Mar26 Mar08 Feb19 Jan07 (kereluk edwar)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  BEDROCK (GB) Apr17 Mar27 Mar11 Feb18 Nov28 (ch)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
5  GRAZEN SUN Apr11 Mar19 Feb20 Feb03 Jan20 (peacock s)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
6  RONAMO Mar14 Feb28 Jan28 Jan10 Nov29 (barraza raf)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
7  ROSE GIRL Jun26 Jun03       (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 111 12.00    
8  SO CAL MEMORY Jan22 Nov08 Oct25 Aug03 Apr24 (monteverde a)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 20.00 5% 18.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.