Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - March 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(1/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/5/2)-(1/3/6/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(8/6)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-3   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/3/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/3/5/4)-(8/6/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5/7)-(1/3/4/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-5   WIN (1/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/5)-(1/8/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5)-(1/8/5/7/6)-(1/8/5/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5)-(7/5/3/8)-(2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-6   WIN (7/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/8)-(7/5/3/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/8)-(7/5/3/8/4)-(7/5/3/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-7   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FON-8   WIN (5/9/4/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/3/2)-(5/9/4/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/3/2)-(5/9/4/3/2)-(5/9/4/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/9/4/3/2)-(8/6/2/3/5)-(2/3/6/10/8) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FON-9   WIN (8/6/2/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/3/5)-(8/6/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/3/5)-(8/6/2/3/5)-(8/6/2/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/2/3/5)-(2/3/6/10/8) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
FON-10   WIN (2/3/6/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/10/8)-(2/3/6/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/10/8)-(2/3/6/10/8)-(2/3/6/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CORRENTE DE OURO Feb28 Feb10 Jan11 Nov22 Oct07 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BULL RING Mar12 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug01 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  HESACALENDARBOY Mar12 Feb18 Jan11 Dec28 Nov30 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 23% 3.40    
4  GENOMIC Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 Dec10 Nov19 (ecoffey g)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  ASHWINS ORB Feb26 Feb12 Nov27 Nov15 Oct26 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.80 ★    
6  KEARNEY Feb26 Feb10 Dec01 Nov15 Nov01 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
7  LEVEL Feb19 Aug01 Jul19 Jun18 May23 (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00    
 
FON-2   03/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OGA BEAR Mar11 Feb23 Jan27 Jan13 Dec27 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 56% 0.80    
2  WYOMING CONQUEST Oct04 Sep10 Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 (chavez ve)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 ★    
3  WRATH Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Jun04 May21 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  CLEARLY MAD Feb18 Oct02 Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00    
5  CANDENZA Mar04 Feb10 Dec28 Dec03 Nov12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 ★    
6  SAMS TIME Mar04 Feb18 Aug13 Jul29 Jun05 (martinez ke)MORALES ROBERTO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-3   03/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILLI STARR Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 Aug21 Jul24 (radford raymo)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
2  MANHATTAN LEGACY Dec31 Dec11       (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 5.00    
3  JACK'S PARTY GIRL Sep29 Sep16 Aug15 Jul25 Jul03 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 ★    
4  FASHION FACT Feb26 Feb10 Sep26 Sep16 Aug19 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 2.50 ★    
5  SENTIMENTAL CROSS Feb18 Sep27 Sep11 Aug20 Jul23 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 ★    
6  JAZZ BRUNCH Sep16 Aug20 Aug05 Jul10 Jun26 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 13% 6.90    
7  NEBRASKA RED Mar05 Feb18 Feb10 Jul24 Jun19 (mcclain stanley)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50    
8  G KATE Mar03 Feb11 Sep06 Aug22 Aug07 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00 52% 0.90    
 
FON-4   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALEB ON THE GO Mar05 Feb17 Jun17 May14 Apr24 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  MYSTERIOUS TALE Mar04         (lemburg mark)BETHKE A 125 8.00    
3  WILLIE THE MAN Mar04 Feb24 Feb15 Jan20 Dec21 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 18% 4.70    
4  GOD'S PICK Sep25 Aug29 Aug12 Jul31 Jul22 (foley p)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 4.00 7% 12.70    
5  KNIGHTED Mar04 Oct02 Sep20 Sep06 Aug29 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 12.00 7% 13.10    
6  BROADWAY Mar04 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul29 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00    
7  ORDER OF THE DAY Oct02 Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 Jun25 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 5.00 ★    
 
FON-5   03/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYWHEEL EFFECT         (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 54% 0.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MAGICALLY by MR. GREELEY)
2  PALACEDANCER Sep26 Aug21 Jul10 Jun24   (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00    
  (by PALACE out of DILLY'S DANCER by EDDINGTON)
3  NOBLE PRESENT Jan21 Jan04 Dec09 Dec03 Nov17 (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of FORT CARILLON by RUNAWAY GROOM)
4  DIXIE TRIXIE Feb11 Sep24 Sep12 Sep05 May28 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
  (by DIXIE BANNER out of BOTY'S BANANA by BANANAS)
5  EXODUS AND HOPE Sep15 Sep08 Aug28 Aug14 Jul14 (stankey janna)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLD FOR CASH out of HORSE TRICKS by BUDDHA)
6  STREET RINGER Mar04 Feb12 Oct02 Sep03 Aug01 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 ★    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FREEDOM RINGS by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  EUROWENDI Nov25         (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 125 3.50 ★    
  (by EUROEARS out of ME N WENDI by DANTON)
8  FEELSSOGOODINLOVE Feb18 Sep24 Sep18 Aug01 Jul17 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 17% 5.00    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of RHYTHMOS by AENEAS)
9  PIE ALA MODE Mar04 Jun11       (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
  (by BAY OF BISCAY out of PIES JET by PIES PROSPECT)
SCR  QUALITY BOW Feb02 Jan19       (castillo jose )MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
  (by OXBOW out of Q BEE by QUALITY ROAD)
 
FON-6   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FRIENDOFTHECOURT Mar10 Feb22 Jan25 Jan13 Dec14 (ducheneaux jam)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00    
2  PRAIRIE SQUALL Mar04 Feb18 Feb11 Dec14 Nov23 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00    
3  FAYETTE WARRIOR Mar05 Feb19 Oct01 Sep19 Sep05 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 2.50 11% 8.30    
4  OPTIMAL Oct03 Sep20 Aug23 Jul26 Jul18 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 ★    
5  THORNISH Mar04 Feb19 Aug07 Jul25 Jul05 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 12% 7.10    
6  BIG BIZ Oct04 Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 Aug07 (haar j)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
7  SANCOCHO (MEX) Mar05 Feb19 Feb10 Jan23 Jan08 (castillo sa)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00 37% 1.70    
8  PODEROSO EQUS Mar05 Oct02 Sep19 Sep11 Aug23 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 7% 12.60    
 
FON-7   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND DESIGN Mar12 Feb25 Dec19 Sep30 Sep18 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50 30% 2.40    
2  STEPHEN'S ANSWER Mar04 Feb17 Jan25 Nov30 Nov19 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  SHWEET PERSUASION Mar04 Feb18 Oct29 Oct14 Oct02 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00    
4  PARALISSFRMANALYSS Feb25 Jan06 Oct14 Sep11 Aug27 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 ★    
SCR  ONE SON OF A CHIEF Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 Jul16 Jun26 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BARSTOW Mar04 Feb12 Jan14 Jan05 Dec07 (condon schu)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 ★    
7  GAINER Aug18 Jul28 Jul09 Jun09 May28 (stankey jann)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
8  STAGE DOOR Mar04 Feb18 Nov06 Oct22 Oct02 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
 
FON-8   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST RIGHT MIKE Feb25 Feb11 Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00    
2  FLY FIRST CLASS Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Sep04 Jul25 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00 7% 12.50    
3  RECORDER Feb25 Sep24 Jul23 Jun27 Jun13 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 8% 11.90    
4  BLABIMIR Mar04 Feb18 Jun10 May30 May20 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 12% 7.40    
5  CAESARTHERULER Mar04 Feb11 Oct02 Sep23 Aug21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.40 32% 2.10    
6  MORO CHARLIE Mar04 Oct03 Sep20 Aug23 Jul19 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
7  HUNK OF A HIT Mar03 Sep25 Sep18 Jun13 May30 (crabtree jason)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
8  TIGER THE MAN Mar04 Oct04 Sep20 Aug29 Aug02 (roberts m)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
9  SUEZ Mar04 Feb12 Dec10 Nov05 Oct12 (chavez juan)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
FON-9   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Tondi Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID'S INHERITANCE Mar04 Sep10 Aug27 Aug17 Jul02 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DRACKEN by MILLENNIUM ALLSTAR)
1A  NORTH ARM BAY Sep10 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 Jun18 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 122 15.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of PROMISE ME MORE by MORE PLEASURE)
2  SARCASTIC TONE Mar04 Feb15 Jan26 Jan12 Dec20 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
  (by TONALIST out of SARCASTIC by SMART ALEC)
3  RICKEY B Mar04 Feb18 Aug20 Jul13 Jun18 (donlin d)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00 6% 14.70    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of MADOFFWITHTHEMONEY by TRIBAL RULE)
4  BROADWAY PETE Mar04 Feb18 Oct02 Aug28 Aug13 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
  (by HELLO BROADWAY out of TCHOPITIOULAS by WOODMAN)
5  BRAINSTORM Feb18 Nov08 Sep29 Sep08 Jun28 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 120 8.00 6% 17.10    
  (by TAPIT out of BOOK REVIEW by HALF A YEAR)
6  MEDICINE TAIL Mar04 Sep21 Aug09 Jul27 Jun10 (anderson c)RAMOS B 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LEH SHE RUN by PULPIT)
7  ROME Dec27 Dec16 Sep14 Aug14 Jul30 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of GRACER by EXCHANGE RATE)
8  SCOOTER'S BOY Mar04 Feb18 Feb11 Aug30 Aug01 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 6.00 25% 2.90    
  (by FLATTER out of EK HASEENA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
9  PREACHER Mar04 Feb11 Oct01 Sep20 Aug30 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 120 20.00    
  (by FURY KAPCORI out of RELIGIOUS TYPE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
FON-10   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICKLES N ME Mar05 Feb17 Jun18 Jun11 May28 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00    
2  LITTLE BITOTHUNDER Mar05 Feb17 Jun11 Apr22 Mar27 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  JUDGE'S BRIBE Mar05 Feb19 May14 Apr22 Mar27 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 17% 5.00    
4  REPORT TO DUTY Mar05 Feb17 Jun19 May20 Apr29 (musquiz j)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
5  J TRAIN Feb17 Jun11 May28 Apr29 Apr09 (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
6  BARTENDERS MISTAKE Mar04 Jun11 May20 Apr30 Apr10 (moss deb)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 14% 6.10    
7  MR. BIG SHOT Mar05 Feb18 Jun18 Jun10 May30 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 20.00    
8  WANT TO BE COWBOY Mar05 Feb17 Apr30 Apr24 Mar26 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  B T'S BAD BOY Feb19 May14 Feb27     (hall l)BETHKE A 125 6.00    
10  NAME THE PRICE Mar05 Feb17 Apr30 Mar26 Mar12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 13% 6.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.