Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Monday - January 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4/7)-(1/2/6/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/6/4)-(1/6/4/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/4)-(1/6/4/7/5)-(1/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/6/4/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/7/5)-(1/6/4/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/7/5)-(1/6/4/7/5)-(1/6/4/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/4/7/5)-(1/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/7/5)-(1/5/7)-(2/3/5/6/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-3   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/3/4)-(1/5/7/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(2/3/5/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7)-(2/3/5/6/4)-(2/1/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (2/3/5/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/6/4)-(2/3/5/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/6/4)-(2/3/5/6/4)-(2/3/5/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/5/6/4)-(2/1/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/6/4)-(2/1/7/8)-(5/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8/6)-(2/1/7/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/7/8)-(5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/8)-(5/3/2)-(5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-6   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2/1/6)-(5/3/2/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(5/8)-(5/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8)-(5/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/8)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FG-8   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7/1/4)-(5/2/7/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BET ON BOURBON Jan05 Dec18 Nov26 Aug27 Jul20 (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
2  CANDY'S PRIDE Dec26 Nov25 Sep25 Aug16 Jul17 (wilson sha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 15% 5.90    
3  CHARLIE'S PEAK Dec29 Dec10 Nov07 Aug08 Jun04 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 12.00    
4  GILDED APPLE Dec04 Nov16 Oct29 Oct06 Aug20 (demouchet )ALBERT S 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  AMERICAN REBEL Dec17 Nov16 Oct21 Aug11 Jul13 (zenon shelto)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00    
6  ENDURING PEACE Dec29 Dec10 Nov16 Oct27 Oct06 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 10% 8.70    
7  KASEN'S SISTER Dec29 Nov09 Oct21 Aug12 Jul22 (leblanc jeanne)HEBERT J 121 8.00 ★    
8  COMMERCIAL FLASH Dec29 Dec04 Mar11 Jan27   (hodges e)GRAHAM J 121 2.50    
 
FG-2   01/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHER NOTE Dec02 Mar18 Feb24 Feb04 Jan20 (marechal merlin)RIQUELME J 125 6.00 29% 2.40    
2  LITTLE FAIRY Dec19 Nov27 Sep17 Aug21   (dorochenko)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.50    
3  SWEETASBAILY Dec22         (husak j)SMITH R 125 6.00    
4  MARIA GONE WILD Jan07 Dec21 Mar26 Mar18 Feb23 (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 125 4.00 12% 7.50    
5  CORONA DEL MAR Dec03 Oct22 Sep26 Aug29 Aug15 (broussard jarmon)MURRAY M 117 6.00 9% 10.10    
6  KEEP LEFT Dec23 Dec03 Nov12 Oct15 Oct01 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 6.00 16% 5.40    
7  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Dec31 Dec15 Nov25 Sep16 Sep03 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 117 3.00 9% 9.90    
 
FG-3   01/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MORE LAUGH Dec22 Oct18 Sep26 Jan23   (zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
2  BALI DOVE (FR) Dec22 Jul20 May29     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 6.00    
3  WAR ENSIGN Mar10 Feb24       (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 125 6.00 ★    
4  CARNELIAN Jul20 Feb19       (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.00 ★    
5  CHROME RACER Mar10 Jan22       (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.00 16% 5.50    
6  DUXONTHEPOND Feb06         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 125 8.00    
7  JACKIE FLASH Jan06 Dec15 Sep27 Sep07 Jul28 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 125 8.00 10% 8.90    
8  TERRANOVA Dec22 Nov18 Jan07     (williamson bria)COHEN DAVID 125 12.00    
 
FG-4   01/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINE COTTON Dec19 Oct15 Sep25 Jul17 Jun23 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50    
2  NON VIOLENCE Dec22         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
3  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE Nov25         (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  JUDY'S WAY Dec22 Nov12 Oct09 Sep25 Aug10 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 120 4.50 6% 16.40    
5  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR Jan01 Dec17 Nov26 Nov04 Oct06 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 11% 7.90    
6  ZING Nov03 Sep16 Aug06 Jul01 Jun11 (flint s)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 7% 12.90    
 
FG-5   01/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOX OF PICTURES Dec04 Jun14 May22 Mar17 Feb06 (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.50 12% 7.60    
2  G'S SQUEEZE Dec01 Aug06 Jun16 Apr21 Mar03 (broberg k)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  LAKE MARIE Nov18 Sep18 Jul08 Jun24 May04 (hargrave k)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
4  IRONIT Dec04 Nov02 Aug26 Jul08 Jun19 (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 12.00    
SCR  SPECIAL CONNECTION Dec01 Aug20 Aug05 Jun23 Jun01 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
6  SHE'S GONE D'WILD Dec10 Nov18 Oct07 Jun04 May06 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 ★    
7  BASALT STREET Dec26 Nov27 Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 11% 7.80    
8  HALF KOO KOO Jan01 May11 Apr15     (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 8% 11.40    
 
FG-6   01/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTER JOHN Aug12 Jul22 May07 Apr24 Apr03 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 ★    
2  HIGHER STANDARD Dec22 Nov12 Sep25 Sep03 Aug10 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
3  UPHOLD THE LAW Aug17 Jan02       (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  RUSSIAN TANK Oct25 Sep06 Jul20 Jul12 Jun13 (dorochenko genna)RIQUELME J 120 20.00    
5  OMAHA RED Dec22 Nov06 Oct15 Sep29 Sep10 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
6  BROKEN RIB Dec10 Nov23 Oct17 Sep16 Aug04 (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 4.00 ★    
7  AWE SHACKLE Sep04 Jun06 May15 Jan29 Jan02 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
 
FG-7   01/16/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA PERLA NERA Nov04 Sep23       (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ANTONIA AUTUMN by BERNSTEIN)
2  AUDACIOUSNESS Oct16 Sep14 Aug06 Jul04   (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of STRIKING IMPACT by SMART STRIKE)
3  PAINT ME PERFECT Oct14 Sep18       (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of KABELLA by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  GOLDEN STAR Nov12         (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LAKE SEBAGO by MUNNINGS)
5  GIRL NAMED CHARLIE Oct30 Aug28 Jul31     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 10% 9.40    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DYNARAMA by DYNAFORMER)
6  DON'T GO CHANGING Sep08 Aug14       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of LOVE THEWAY YOUARE by ARCH)
7  BEST PERFORMER Dec09 Oct16       (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 4.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of KINSLEY by PULPIT)
8  JUST SAY SO Sep14 Jul31       (kenneally e)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SAY (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
SCR  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Dec09 Aug14       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BAHATI by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
SCR  SOULTITLESREADY Dec09 Oct12       (stewart d)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SOUL TITLE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR  CUSHEE Dec09         (stidham michael)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of LIFE WELL LIVED by TIZNOW)
SCR  FLOWERDEW Dec01 Oct22 Sep23 Sep01 Jul31 (margolis stephe)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MARRAKESH EXPRESS by UNION RAGS)
SCR  DESERT TEMPEST Oct15 Sep01       (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 10% 9.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of STORMY B by CHEROKEE RUN)
SCR  BOLTORO Dec14 Oct14 Sep08 Jul04   (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 9% 9.80    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ELANDESS by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  ACTING Sep10 Jul22       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MOANIN (FR) by MEDICEAN (GB))
SCR  CERCHI Dec09 Sep27       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of QUIET HOUR by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
FG-8   01/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIT A SHUCK Dec23 Sep26 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 (hatcher nath)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 6.00 ★    
2  RISKTAKER Jan01 Dec11 Aug28 Aug09 Jun16 (zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 120 2.00 27% 2.80    
3  LANDRY AND LUCAS Dec20 Nov26 Oct27 Jul25 Jun26 (lara jorge)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 12.00    
4  OAK HILL MO Jan04 Oct28 Oct19     (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 125 6.00 ★    
5  MR. CROMWELL         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 117 3.00 43% 1.30    
6  DIGNIFIED N KRAFTY Dec16 Nov27 Oct22 Oct05 Aug26 (morrell cynthia)MURRAY M 125 12.00    
7  PARTY LITTLE BOY         (pennino frank)RIQUELME J 125 12.00 7% 13.10    
8  IRON FORTUNE Apr13 Mar17 Feb20     (zenon charles)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 12.00    
SCR  WILD FIST Jan07 Dec08 Nov27 Aug18 Jun24 (peterson)LOPEZ CARLOS 125 20.00    
10  MINE YOUR BIZ Dec16 Nov27 Aug26     (peterson j)ALBERT S 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.