Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Tuesday - December 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCIPALITY Nov23 Oct21 Sep29 Sep08 Aug25 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 119 6.00 ★    
2  ALPHA SIXTY SIX Nov09 Oct07 Sep09 Aug24 Jul21 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 17% 5.00    
3  EASY STRIDE Jan26         (gonzalez c)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  AMERICAN FORCES Nov16 Oct26 Oct03 Sep18 Sep04 (pattershall ma)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  TURNS Nov09 Oct18 Sep21 Aug26 Aug03 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 119 3.00 ★    
6  BOSSY CAT Nov18 Nov04 Oct21 Aug17 Jul28 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
7  PEAKY BLINKERS Nov23 Nov09 Sep01 Aug17 Aug03 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 12.00    
 
PEN-2   12/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOSSY MADRINA Nov22 Nov02 Oct18 Sep02 Aug10 (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 122 15.00    
2  GOLDEN LAW Nov25 Oct14 Sep21 Aug10 Jul01 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
SCR  PAPI'S BABY GIRL Sep23 Sep16 Sep01 Aug11 Jun30 (johnston rob)CORA D 122 6.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  TRIXIE'S TIME Sep23 Sep17 Sep08 Jul27   (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 20.00 ★    
5  ELITE SPEED Oct12 Aug11 Jul14     (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 ★    
6  SICK PACK SARA Nov18 Oct22 Sep18 Aug13 Jul17 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.00 ★    
7  KIRBY Nov22 Oct27 Oct14 Oct01 Sep16 (neilson wa)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 10.00    
8  SHACKLEFORD COUNTY Nov12 Aug21 Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 (gonzalez cl)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 2.50 61% 0.60    
 
PEN-3   12/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASHTAG WINNING Nov18 Oct25 Oct04 Sep08 Aug18 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 ★    
2  HOT N SPICY LOVE Nov02 Oct19 Sep24 Aug26 Aug05 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
3  EXCURSION Nov28 Oct31 Oct05 Sep20 Sep12 (ramirez silvi)RIVERA D 120 15.00    
4  ACE NINE NINE Nov14 Aug17 Jul15 Jun17 May26 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 4.50 46% 1.20    
5  JUMPSTER Nov15 Oct25 Oct10 Sep26 Sep07 (sells ra)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
SCR  COUSTEAU Nov18 Sep04 Jul04 Jun04 Apr07 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 6% 15.20    
7  TRIPLE A. PLUS Nov02 Oct14 May27 May06 Apr07 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 8% 11.30    
8  BOURBON CURRENCY Nov04 Oct11 Sep25 Aug20 Jul29 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
SCR  FIRE DOWN BELOW Nov23 Oct25 Aug27 Jul16 May26 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
10  BOURBON FRONTIER Nov18 Aug14 Jun25 May28 May08 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
SCR  PLAMEN Apr03 Jan30       (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 3.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  GOODLUCKCHUCK Nov05 Sep24 Aug27 Jul20 Jun15 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   12/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALENTINA'S CUPID Nov09 Oct11 Sep23 Aug25 Aug10 (albright r)CORA D 122 5.00 ★    
2  TALENTED TAPPER Nov09 Oct26 Oct05 Sep23 Sep08 (harigeorgiou )TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00    
3  GONE DREAMING Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 Sep14 Aug24 (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.00 43% 1.40    
SCR  FRED'S SHEILA Sep14 Aug10 Jul15 Jun30 Jun15 (harigeorgiou kons)LLOYD W 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
5  TALKS IN HER SLEEP Nov05 Sep22 Sep02 Aug04 Jun22 (neilson wall)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 8% 11.10    
6  SIMPLE JUSTICE Nov09 Oct11 Sep23 Aug19 Jul21 (mick r)AGUILAR M 121 10.00    
7  PARABLE Nov09 Oct26 Sep23 Sep08 Sep01 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MEEMOO Nov09 Oct11 Sep23 Jun23 Jun09 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00    
 
PEN-5   12/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOMMY THE TORCH Nov22 Oct30 Aug27 Aug13 Jul26 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 12% 7.20    
2  LITTLE DEMON Nov05 Oct10 Sep23 Aug20 Jul28 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
SCR  CLEMENZA Nov15 Oct12 Sep09 Aug03 Jun28 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  LOST IN NEWYORK Jul06 Jun17 May13 Mar02 Feb16 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 119 5.00    
5  ANNAMATED MOON Nov08 Sep16 Aug24 Jul29 Jul07 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 28% 2.50    
6  HEIR PORT Nov20 Oct22 Oct11 Sep11 Aug24 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 2.50 ★    
7  MARTINKELLY Nov08 Oct25 Sep14 Aug19 Aug04 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
 
PEN-6   12/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST GOT STARTED Jul08 Jun04       (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00    
2  NECCO Nov15 Oct21 Oct07 Sep10 Aug04 (murtough st)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
3  LILTONYTWOPHONES Oct22 Oct06 Sep24 Aug27 Aug05 (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
4  SUNSHINE JACK Oct21         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 5.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  HE'SAREARVIEWTOWN Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 Aug26 May08 (simon linda)CORA D 124 20.00    
6  SUMMER MIST         (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 123 10.00 ★    
7  RAY OF LIGHT Oct14 Sep21 Aug31     (bracho sherene)BRACHO A 123 8.00    
8  LA PAZ Nov15 Oct05 Sep08 Aug18   (smith r)WHITNEY G 123 6.00 16% 5.10    
9  MOON WARRIOR Nov18 Oct13 Feb25     (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00    
SCR  STRAWBERRY CONE Nov02 Oct05 May23 Apr05   (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   12/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIAH ALYVIA         (gallimore tre)PEREZ M 124 8.00 ★    
2  MIMI'S GOLD Nov01 Oct21       (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00    
SCR  MARIMBA Nov16 Nov04 Oct18 Oct01 Sep16 (maroun d)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
4  CEREAL I D Nov16 Oct05 Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 (boyer j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
5  MYRA FLEENER Nov13 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Sep03 (maymo jorge )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.00 ★    
6  PERFECT MOVE Nov04 Sep14 Sep04 Aug13 Jul04 (nunley randy)WHITNEY G 123 30.00    
7  DON'T TALK Nov01 Jul24 May21     (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
8  PLATINUM PROMISE Nov01 Oct04       (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 5% 17.50    
9  MISCHIEF MELODY Nov16 Oct18 Oct04 Sep23 Sep08 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 8.00    
SCR  AWESOME TAP Nov01 Jun09 May21 May11 Apr21 (nunley rand)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 50.00    
SCR  BET ON DRAMA Nov21 Nov02 Oct26 Sep21 Jul16 (flores-coba)RAMOS C 119 4.00 19% 4.40    
 
PEN-8   12/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIAMI MUMBLES Jun24 Jun15 May19 Mar30 Mar09 (johnston rob)CORA D 124 3.00 59% 0.70    
2  EDICT (ARG) Nov18 Nov04 Oct21 Sep29 Sep09 (graci kimbe)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 11% 8.20    
3  ALL TACKED UP Oct18 Aug26 Jul15 Jun15 May20 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
SCR  TAINO Oct28 Oct15 Sep30 Jul13 Jun21 (iannotti i)CHIAPPE R 124 15.00    
5  BANANAS ON FIRE         (gonzalez cl)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 5.00    
SCR  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Nov04 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 (martin r)LLOYD W 124 50.00 5% 19.00    
7  DIAMOND SETTER Nov23 Oct28 Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00 5% 19.00    
8  DEVOTED KITTEN Nov18 Oct21 Oct05 Sep01 Aug21 (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  BLOOD MOON Nov23 Nov07 Oct19 Sep17 Aug21 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00    
10  SACRED MOUNTAIN Nov23 Aug31 Jul27 Jun30 Jun15 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.