Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Thursday - December 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   12/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONFLYER Nov06 Aug06       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 2.00    
1A  PLEASE BABY Oct23 Oct02 Sep03 Jul23 May27 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
DISTURBED Nov06 Oct28       (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
NARCISO DALI Nov20 Oct16 Sep29 Sep08 Aug27 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50    
WINNING CONNECTION Oct28 Oct02       (reynolds patri)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 8% 11.90    
WISECRAKEN Oct23 Sep25       (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
KAON Oct02 Sep03       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60 26% 2.90    
 
AQU-2   12/01/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRACTICALLYMINE Oct28         (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 8.00    
SCR  WEST STAR Nov17 Sep29       (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 119 8.00    
MULLINGAR Nov06 Sep24 Aug06 Jul23   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  WHENLOVETAKESOVER         (lakeman andrew)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
DON'T LET ME DOWN Nov06 Oct13 Aug14     (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
OUTLAW COUNTRY Oct28 Sep18       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 29% 2.50    
NIEUWENDYK Nov11 Aug31       (begg jam)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 3.50    
SCR  IRON MAN JIMMY Oct13 Aug31       (summers chad)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
 
AQU-3   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  HAGLER Sep24 Aug03 May26 Apr08 Feb06 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  JOEY LOOSE LIPS Oct16 Sep24 Aug19     (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
KING JAMES (IRE) Nov04 Jan08       (jerkens james)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
IKIGAI Oct16 Sep17 Aug25 Jul28 Jun10 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 18% 4.50    
FUNNY JOKE Oct08 Sep24 Aug28 Jul04 Jun05 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 13% 6.50    
MONEY MIKE Nov24 Nov17 Nov03 Oct15 Oct02 (cash l)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50    
COUSIN ANDREW Aug10 Jul28 Jun25 May27 May19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
AQU-4   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONDON GOLD Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 Jun04 May06 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
GRIS TORMENTA Nov04 Aug29 Jul17 Jun23 Jun05 (clarke dylan)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00    
SCR  MONSHUN Oct20 Sep22 Jul09 May30 Apr09 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  SWEET AS SUGAR Sep23 Aug15 Jul13 Jun14 May16 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Oct23 Aug28 Jun26 Jun03 Mar20 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
CARLY HUSTLE Aug29 Jul19 Jul06 Jun14 Jun03 (tos)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
TRIPLE P Nov08 Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 Jul13 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 12% 7.40    
MORE MANGO Oct13 Sep18 Jul29 Jul02 Jun17 (ferraro james )RICHARDS G 122 15.00    
GAME THEORY Nov04 Oct13 Sep16 Aug07 Jul09 (jone)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 10.00    
10  MEBS WEB Nov17 May19 Apr22 Mar27 Mar13 (avila c)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
 
AQU-5   12/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYTHISBETHEONE Nov13 Apr22 Mar19     (hennig ma)VARGAS A 121 10.00    
SENSE A GIANT Nov05 Oct06 Aug11 Jun30   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 1.40    
SALTY HEIR Nov11         (trites lan)SAMUEL L 121 20.00    
GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS Nov13 Sep13 Aug30 May28 Apr06 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.60 54% 0.90    
RED JET Nov13 Jun17 Jun02 May21 Apr29 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 121 30.00    
MAKART Nov13 Oct14 Aug05 Jul22 Jun18 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 121 3.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  A LISTER Nov06 Oct07 Sep24 May06 Apr22 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00    
REUNION TOUR Nov11 Oct06 Sep10 Aug18 Feb13 (ferraro james)OLVER MADISON 114 20.00 5% 17.50    
 
AQU-6   12/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARABELLAS GIRL Feb25 Jan28       (marti)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 10.00 8% 11.50    
CRYSTAL ORB Oct27 Sep28 Sep11 Jul24 Jul04 (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00    
SIMPLE SUGAR Nov10 Sep16 Jul04 Jun17 May29 (giglio gina)SAMUEL L 120 12.00    
SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN Jun25 May14       (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 41% 1.40    
HANDLE THE TRUTH Oct28 Sep18 Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 (meti)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 7% 14.00    
LEMON TAFFY Nov06 Oct07 Sep05 Aug17 Jul16 (henry neville)ADORNO ABNER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Nov12 Oct13 Sep12 Aug05 Jul17 (catalano l)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50    
MERGER OF EQUALS Nov10 Oct13 Sep19 Aug29 Jul13 (avila )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
PREDETERMINED Oct13 Jul08 May27 Apr28   (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
 
AQU-7   12/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER LINDA Sep24 Jul25 Jun24 May30   (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00    
BUSTIN BAY Oct23 Sep24 Sep02 Aug18 Jul15 (arriaga antoni)ADORNO ABNER 123 8.00 15% 5.60    
CARAGATE Oct30 Sep24 Aug18 Jul21 Jun24 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
GOLDEN ROCKET Oct20 Sep18 Aug18 Jul23 Jul03 (farro patricia)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 8% 10.90    
COURAGEOUS GIRL Nov13 Oct22 Jul21 Jun22 May22 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
BYHUBBYHELLOMONEY Oct15 Sep25 Jul22 Feb27 Feb06 (dunham g)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Nov04 Oct27 Oct09 Sep16 Aug13 (barrera oscar)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00    
SCR  PRETTY CLEVER Nov20 Sep25 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00    
SWEET MYSTERY Oct30 Oct09 Sep15 Aug13 Jul09 (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
AQU-8   12/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOODOOLAND Oct21 Sep11 Jul28 Jul01 Apr14 (mcgaughe)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.00    
SCR  COREY Oct29 Sep10 Aug14 Jul02 May21 (walder peter )ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 51% 1.00    
FAR AWAY LOVE (ARG) Oct27 Jul20       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.50    
MISSY GREER Oct02 Aug25 Jul30 May20 Mar23 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
TAP THE FAITH Oct27 Jul03 May07 Apr07   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
TONED UP Oct28 Sep05 Aug06 Jun24 May21 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00    
 
AQU-9   12/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R BOY CHEEKUM Nov20 Oct27 Oct13 Oct07 Sep20 (thompson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
SCR  EXXTOP Nov20 Oct23 Oct10 Sep27 Aug17 (thompson marcus)DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00    
2B  MR. BRIGGS Oct28 Oct06 Jan08     (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 5.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  WILL E SUTTON Nov12 Oct23 Oct13 Sep24 Aug31 (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 5.00    
FOREVER WICKED Nov12 Oct28 Oct13 Oct06 Sep04 (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50    
VOLIERO Nov05 Oct07 Jul22 Jun09 Apr24 (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
SPECTATORLESS Nov12 Oct23 Oct13 Sep24 Jul22 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 12.00    
DONTBELATE Oct28 Aug31 Jul15 Jun16 May01 (giangiulio m)HARKIE K 118 6.00    
THE MET Nov20 Nov09 Oct04 Sep18 Aug24 (englehart)VARGAS A 118 12.00 9% 10.70    
SUPER WICKED CHARM Nov18 Nov12 Oct21 Sep23 Sep02 (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 123 20.00 7% 13.70    
LOADED JOE Oct13 Aug18 Jul23 Jul01 May14 (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  RUSSIAN TO WIN Oct16 Sep24 Aug27 Jul23 Jun24 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.