Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - October 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HE GOTS TO GO         (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 6.00 ★    
2  JOHN PHILIP         (dacosta j)CORREA L 122 10.00 ★    
3  R CARDINAL PRINCE         (dacosta jason)FELICIANO R 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
4  AGNELLO'S DREAM Aug23 Jul14 Jun29     (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
5  OUTSLEWTHEM Oct20         (gorostieta c)HALDAR J 122 3.50 ★    
6  WARHORSE WEST Oct14 Sep24       (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 3.00    
 
MVR-2   10/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME STEEL Sep13 Aug31 Aug18 Feb22 Feb01 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 ★    
2  REINSURE Sep28 Aug18 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  GONE ASTRAY KISS Sep30 Sep17 Sep04 Aug28 Aug14 (zook w)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 10% 8.80    
4  CAPTAIN CHOLO Sep28 Sep11 Apr04 Feb28 Jan26 (erwin andrew)ROSARIO L 124 10.00    
5  EL CARDINAL Oct04 Sep16 Sep01 Aug02 Jun28 (cline robert)HALDAR J 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
6  CADILLAC RIDE Sep08 Aug24 Jun25 Jun08 May11 (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 121 15.00    
7  GOTIGER SPECIAL Sep28 Aug15 Jul25 Jul11 Jun07 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   10/27/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONKY TONK HERO Sep02 Aug24 Aug05 Jul12 Jul05 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 ★    
2  PIT BOSS Oct15 Sep24 Aug19 Aug06 Jul28 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
3  TEAM HUCKY Oct13 Sep21 Aug13 Jul06 Jun20 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 10.00    
4  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Sep22 Jun25 May07     (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
5  CANDY EXCHANGE Oct14 Sep21 Aug31 Aug17 Jul26 (romero oscar)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 ★    
6  ROYAL DRAGOON Aug04 Jul13 Jun07 May03 Apr11 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 12.00    
7  LAUTREC Oct14 Sep14 Aug17 Jul25 Jul13 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 11% 7.70    
8  OAKS HONEY Oct14 Sep29 Sep05 Aug02 Jun22 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00    
9  UPTOWN Aug13 Jul05 Jun03 May02   (waltz brian)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
 
MVR-4   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMES MISTER Sep13 Aug25 Jul28 Jul05 Jun22 (galloway kha)HALDAR J 124 3.50    
2  WISE KHOZAN Oct06 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
3  ALL STAR JUSTICE Oct12 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 18% 4.40    
4  EXONERATED PREZ Sep28 Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 Jul25 (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 126 6.00    
5  SEMI CHARMED DAY Sep25 Aug27 Aug20 Aug08 Jul16 (anderson su)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 10.00 15% 5.80    
6  POWERFUL MOON Sep27 Sep13 Aug22 Aug04 Jul14 (ray kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 ★    
7  UNCAPTURED PULSE Oct14 Sep28 Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 2.00 19% 4.40    
 
MVR-5   10/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALTARREVENGE Oct05 Sep13 Aug16 Jul28 Jul04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  GLIDING ALONE Sep28 Sep14 Jul20     (erwin andrew)ROSARIO L 124 20.00    
3  LONTANI Oct11 Sep22 Aug02     (smith larry)MAYTA J 124 3.00    
4  SUPER VISION Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 Jul26 Jul11 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 5% 17.20    
5  KING ANDRES Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 Aug15 Jul14 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 6% 15.30    
6  FRED'S COUNTRY BOY Sep20 Aug10 Jul20 Jun28 Jun08 (ruberto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 7% 14.00    
7  VALEROSO Sep13 Jul31 Jun28 Jun13 Jun02 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
8  WILLY'S CASTLE Oct04 Sep22 Sep12 Aug25 Jan14 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
9  JURISDICTION Sep30 Sep21 Aug23 Jul17 Jun23 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 10% 8.70    
10  CONDUCIVE Oct05 Sep14 Sep06 Aug21 Jul11 (langley j)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICAL MAN Oct03 Sep14 Aug30 Aug10 Jun22 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 4.50 ★    
2  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY Jun16 May16 Apr16 Mar05   (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 6.00 17% 4.70    
3  FARMHAND Oct11 Aug08 Jul25 Jun22 Apr26 (bird danny)AVILES YAN 116 15.00    
SCR  ATOMIC TONE Oct12 Sep15 Jul01     (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 1.80 49% 1.10    
5  DRIFTER Oct03 Aug31 Aug15 Feb11 Jan09 (pu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 5.00 ★    
6  T MONEY Oct14 Sep21 Aug28 Jul31 Jul24 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.00    
7  WIMOWEH Oct06         (gorostieta )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 6% 15.00    
8  ENJOYMENT Oct05 Sep06 Aug11 Jul20 Jun21 (gorost)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-7   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VASARIANO Oct14 Sep28 Aug25 Aug18 Jun24 (cash norman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 4.00 ★    
2  MASTER Oct06 Sep15 Aug29 Aug18 Jun29 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 20.00    
3  STRIKE A BEAT Oct14 Sep19 Jun22 May31 May10 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 10% 9.20    
4  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Oct06 Sep21 Sep01 Jul13 Jun22 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 116 6.00    
5  KAELY'S BROTHER Sep22 Jan30       (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 121 2.00 19% 4.20    
6  UNCLEJACKOMO Oct03 Sep15 Aug29 Aug18 Jul19 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00    
7  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Oct06 Sep21 Aug16 Jun13 Mar18 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 6% 16.00    
8  ALEBRIJE Oct06 Sep18 Sep01 Aug15 Jul12 (lopez elias)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
MVR-8   10/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMUDGE THE CAT Sep27 Sep14 Aug30 Jul27 Jul13 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
2  KHOPILOT Oct05 Jul29 Jul15 Jun12 Apr07 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 123 12.00 6% 15.40    
3  RESERVATION Oct12 Sep27 May13 Mar11 Feb13 (urieta johan)TAPARA BRANDON 123 20.00    
4  STAR ENTERTAINER Oct12 Sep17 Aug27 Jul31   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 51% 1.00    
5  BUILT LIKE TARZAN Oct14 Sep21 Sep14 Aug30 Aug17 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00    
6  ROCKY'S EXPRESS Oct14         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 4.00 11% 8.30    
7  BARONNE Sep21 May26 Apr20 Mar16 Feb19 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 2.50 9% 10.40    
8  OXBOW'S RIDE         (bird dann)CORREA L 123 20.00    
9  EL TIZ         (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.