Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (4/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/1)-(4/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/1)-(4/2/3/1)-(4/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/3/1)-(7/1/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/1)-(7/1/3/6)-(5/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-2   WIN (7/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/6)-(5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/6)-(5/3/1)-(9/7/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(9/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(9/7/1/4)-(8/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-4   WIN (9/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/4)-(9/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/4)-(9/7/1/4)-(9/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/1/4)-(8/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/1/4)-(8/6/5)-(1/5/3/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-5   WIN (8/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/5)-(8/6/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5)-(8/6/5/1/4)-(8/6/5/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/6/5)-(1/5/3/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5)-(1/5/3/8/7)-(7/5/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-6   WIN (1/5/3/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/8/7)-(1/5/3/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/8/7)-(1/5/3/8/7)-(1/5/3/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/3/8/7)-(7/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/8/7)-(7/5/2/3)-(3/10/7/9/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-7   WIN (7/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/3)-(3/10/7/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/3)-(3/10/7/9/2)-(1/4/7/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-8   WIN (3/10/7/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/7/9/2)-(3/10/7/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/7/9/2)-(3/10/7/9/2)-(3/10/7/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/7/9/2)-(1/4/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-9   WIN (1/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/5/8)-(1/4/7/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   11/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NONSTOP VINO Oct16 Sep24 Jul20 Jun18 Jun01 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  KITTEN GLOVES Sep12 Aug03       (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  OAKS STREET         (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 8% 12.10    
4  WANNA GO HOME Oct16 Sep24 Sep15 Aug11 Jun16 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  LA PRESUMIDA Oct07         (seglin e)MEZA JJ 119 15.00    
6  BECTIVE ABBEY Sep28         (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119 3.00    
7  LOVELY SUMMER Sep17         (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00    
 
CD-2   11/02/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 2 ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSEQUENTIAL Oct18 Sep17 Aug09     (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  FEDERAL AGENT Oct10 Sep17 Aug19 Jul19   (barnett bobby)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
3  HOT ICE Sep06         (arnold george )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 17% 5.00    
4  HERBS BOLT Sep26 Sep13 Aug08     (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
5  GOSH SAKES Sep03 Jul16       (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
6  ONE TOUGH ROAD         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SEAL BAY Sep12 Aug02 Jun29     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.20 30% 2.40    
 
CD-3   11/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IL CAVALLINO Sep09 Aug01 Jun26 May24 Apr25 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 12% 7.40    
2  LINEBACKER Sep14 Aug18 Mar07 Jan04 Nov28 (blair jordan)TORRES A 120 2.50    
3  YOU BELONG HERE Sep28 Aug11 Jun14 May26 Apr19 (garcia ge)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00 23% 3.30    
4  BRAVE BLEND Oct22 Sep20 Aug04 Jul04 May29 (sweezey ken)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
5  ATTERSEE Sep21         (block chris)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 34% 2.00    
6  SOUTH BEND TOM Apr06 Jan20 Dec19 Nov20 Nov01 (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
 
CD-4   11/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA ALDEN Oct02 Sep18 Aug14 Jan01 Oct31 (kerrick l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MIDNIGHT VENGEANCE Oct07 Sep14 Aug23 Apr08 Feb23 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
3  WARTANK Oct07 Sep14 Aug08 Jul13 Jun15 (cunningham j)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00    
4  AUBREY'S MAX         (kerric)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JUST CALL RIP Oct09         (reed r)MCKEE J 120 8.00    
6  AERATE Sep12 Jul24 Jul17 Jun27 May18 (kantarmaci m)TORRES A 120 6.00    
7  THE CHALK Oct24 Sep21 Aug17 Aug01 Jun20 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  THE REINBOW FACTOR Jun27 Jun06       (thompson micha)ASHTON GAVIN 120 12.00    
9  WHERE Y'AT Sep25 Aug11 Jul14 Jun07 May17 (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50 40% 1.50    
10  FREE ADVICE Sep14 Jan18 Jan04 Dec01 Nov14 (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
SCR  ANDO Mar28 Feb12       (gutierrez f)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00    
 
CD-5   11/02/2025 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU'RE SO VAIN Aug29         (cruz jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00 ★    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LOOK AT ME by FAIR AMERICAN)
2  SOMERVILLE Oct04 Dec06 Nov08     (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of PATRONA MARGARITA by SPECIAL RATE)
3  POLLINATOR Aug28         (blair jordan)TORRES A 121 15.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STOUPINATOR by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  MCKINZIE'S GLORY Sep25 Aug29 Jul24 Nov29 Oct27 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 ★    
  (by MCKINZIE out of GLORY by KNIGHT)
5  RODINA Aug27 Jul09 Aug02     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EMMA SPENCER by ZAMINDAR)
6  EMMY BLUE Oct06 Sep07 Aug10     (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 12% 7.60    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BLUE HEART by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  EL ZAIN Oct09 Sep19 Aug30 Feb02 Jan05 (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CENTRE COURT by SMART STRIKE)
8  WEIGHTED AVERAGE Oct09 Sep04 Jan09 Nov14 Sep15 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.40 62% 0.60    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CHARREADA by KITTEN'S JOY)
9  SMOKIN HOT BLONDE Oct23 Sep19 Aug14 Nov23 Nov02 (kelley a)MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BIRDLOVER by BYRON)
SCR  THE PALACE GIRL (GER) Oct23         (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.00    
  (by AREION out of TRES MAGNIFIQUE by HE'S HAD ENOUGH)
11  POVERTY WITH AVIEW Oct06 Sep15 Aug30 Aug07 Jul08 (lejzerowicz jo)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 20.00    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of INTEREST by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
CD-6   11/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATLANTIC DANCER Sep19 Aug16 Jul26 Jun26 Mar14 (cook b)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
2  TIS CHARMING Sep11 Jul03 Jun08 Apr12 Mar01 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 5.00    
3  FARM TEAM Sep13 Jul26 Jun15 May10 Apr11 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 9% 9.60    
4  CANNON Sep19 Aug22 Jun21 May24 May03 (roberson denni)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00    
5  PURSE THIEF Sep19 Aug01 Jul12 Jun18 Jun06 (foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 4.00 13% 6.80    
6  TOTAL HEART Oct15 Mar01 Oct18 Aug27 Jul27 (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 115 8.00    
7  CLEAR ECHO Oct11 Sep20 Sep03 Aug07 Jul19 (shorter a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  WIND RIDER Mar29 Feb22 Jan30 Jan04 Nov23 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 8% 11.70    
9  MIDNIGHT BOSS Oct11 Sep19 Aug18 Jul12 Jun19 (cunningham j)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
 
CD-7   11/02/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OHOOPEE Apr13         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.50    
2  CALL ME ANGEL Oct03 Aug29       (fawkes dav)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 7% 13.00    
3  LITTLE SAM'S Oct23 Sep08 Aug26 Jul28 Jun16 (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  DOS AMORES Oct02 Aug28 Aug06 Jul24 Jul03 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 20.00    
5  ASHKENAZI Oct10 Aug26 Jul29 May25 Apr10 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 32% 2.10    
6  CHIQUITA'S WAY Oct15 Sep08 Aug23 May15 Apr23 (l)DE CRUZ 118 30.00    
7  AGUA FRESCA Sep18 Sep06       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  AYE BAY BAY Oct01 Sep04 Aug16     (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
9  GLANCING MY WAY Sep22 Sep01 Jul18     (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
 
CD-8   11/02/2025 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOW OF FORCE Sep28 Aug22 Jul26 Jun28 Jun01 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
2  WAKAN Oct11 Sep21 Mar29 Mar01 Jan25 (torres marceli)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MONTADOR Oct04 Aug28 Jul24 Aug24   (stidham mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  ENTERDADRAGON Oct04 May09 Mar29 Mar01 Feb01 (damato philip)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
5  MAUI STRONG Oct05 Aug09 Jul04 Jun07 May03 (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50    
6  AMBITION Sep04 Aug16 Jun28 May26 Mar28 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 20.00    
7  BLAST FURNACE Oct08 Sep07 Aug08 Jun29 May30 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 6% 16.20    
8  FORT THOMAS Oct11 Sep04 Aug17 Jun13 May18 (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00    
9  FREDO Sep13 Aug27 Jul17 Jun19 May22 (sano anto)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  GLOBAL ASSET Aug25 Jun14       (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 28% 2.50    
11  MAXIMUM PROMISE Sep25 Aug30 May03 Mar22 Feb22 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 15.00    
12  JOHNY'S RENDEZVOUS Oct11 Aug28 Aug08 Jul04 Jun08 (bauer a)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
SCR  MIDNITE IN FINLEY Oct01 Sep11 Aug05 Jun21 Jun01 (ewing mic)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00    
SCR  CARCANO Oct04 Aug23 Jul20 Jun30 May31 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
SCR  ROCKY JOY Oct04 Sep10 Jul03 Jun01 Apr19 (lobo h)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
SCR  THE HIDDEN CHAMBER Oct01 Aug31 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
 
CD-9   11/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOBALIST Sep25 Sep11 Jun26 Apr24   (sweezey ken)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 62% 0.60    
2  NASH POTATOES Oct09 Sep10 Aug09 May15 Apr12 (newton troy)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00    
3  BOSSOFMI         (morse l)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00    
4  WHITE WHALE Sep21 Aug17 Jun06 Apr25 Mar09 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 11% 7.70    
5  STUDENY Jul06 Jun12 May24 Apr26 Apr13 (vance d)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00 ★    
6  GALANTINI Sep21 Sep07 Aug01 Jul05 Dec14 (foster eric)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00    
7  THIRTEEN G'S Jun15 May24 Apr19 Mar29   (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  FLICK (GB) Sep14 Aug01 Jul12 Jun05 Apr17 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  IFYOUNEEDMECALLME Sep13         (cook jason )GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 20.00    
10  GAME AND SMART Sep21         (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.