Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-3   TRI (8/7/6/3/5)-(8/7/6/3/5)-(8/7/6/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-6-3 $32.28 $2.28 8%
CD-7   WIN (4/8/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $12.72 $4.72 59%
CD-8   EXA (9/8/7)-(9/8/3/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-3 $35.88 $11.88 50%
    TRI (9/8/7)-(9/8/3/7/1)-(9/8/3/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-3-1 $65.47 $47.47 264%
    DD (4/8/1/9)-(9/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-7 $29.76 $17.76 148%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:112 1:232   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AIR OF DEFIANCE 6 4 2nk 1½ 1½ 13 13½ (sharp joe)LEPAROUX R 122 2.50 ★ 0.65  
1  DADDY JUSTIFY 1 1 62½ 41 42½ 23 23½ (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 5.00 9.15  
5  PAYNTER'S CANVAS 5 2 94½ 62¼ 53½ 45 36 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 122 20.00 ######  
4  AGENT CREED 4 3 32 52 2½ 33 48¼ (troiani nicco)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 6% 15.90 37.67  
2  EMBER 2 10 118 116¼ 98½ 78¼ 58¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 12.00 27% 2.70 19.34  
7  PROVEN HOPE 7 7 52¼ 3½ 32 56 69¾ (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 3.00 40% 1.50 6.07  
3  MISSION MIKE 3 6 105 94¼ 77 68 711¼ (cahill steven )MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 20.19  
12  SITTIN ON GO 11 11 84 72¾ 66 810¼ 816¾ (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 14.64  
11  SUCCESSION GOLD 10 9 72½ 105¼ 1011½ 1016¼ 929¾ (orantes jo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 30.00 75.20  
10  NOAHS ARK (IRE) 9 8 42¼ 83¼ 87½ 914¼ 1039¾ (norris mike)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 30.00 5% 19.00 64.38  
9  SYNTHESIS 8 5 1nk 2½ 1115½ 1134¼ 11100 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 5.88  
SCR  NIKOLAOU               (dixon jr)CEDILLO ABEL 122 20.00    
 
CD-2   09/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:132 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ULTIMATE STRIKE 5 5 63¼ 62¼ 61¾ 11½ 16 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 26% 2.90 0.89 W
3  JOHNSON 3 4 42 41¼ 3½ 21½ 26 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 2.95  
5  ROMANTIC LEAD 4 6 52¼ 51¼ 51¼ 44½ 39 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 122 8.00 15% 5.70 22.54 S
2  TIS CHARMING 2 2 3½ 3.2 2½ 55 49 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00 6.13  
1  SHORTSTOP 1 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 32½ 59½ (cook k)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 20% 3.90 5.09  
9  DANCING NOAH 6 3 2½ 2nk 4¾ 66 616 (taylor bren)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 8.00 10.77  
SCR  ENOUGH ALREADY               (parker donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00    
SCR  PUBLICITY               (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 122 5.00    
SCR  SCUBA               (green troy)CANUTO THIAGO 122 20.00    
 
CD-3   09/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:102 1:224   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  COLONIAL ROSE 8 5 41½ 43 21 1½ 15¾ (casse w)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 38% 1.60 0.78 W
6  MISS ELLARY 6 2 11 11½ 11 2½ 25¾ (deiter kel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 13% 6.80 8.46 P
3  COLORMECAIRO 3 3 73¼ 53½ 44½ 35 39¾ (shirer a)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 8% 11.70 9.82 S
1  WITS AND WAGERS 1 8 85¼ 75 77 56½ 410¼ (sweezey j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 15.46  
4  LADY LALA 4 6 62¾ 64 66 68 512½ (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 23.57  
2  MAD ABOUT MARIE 2 1 31½ 31½ 33 45½ 615 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 6.00 4.90  
9  RANDO 9 9 95¾ 96 87 79½ 715¾ (warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 118 15.00 18.68  
5  FOURFIFTYSEVEN 5 7 52½ 85½ 910 912½ 820¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 39.70  
7  SHE'S NOT A JOKE 7 4 21 21½ 55 89½ 924 (williams )TORRES A 122 4.00 19% 4.30 8.16  
 
CD-4   09/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:222 :46 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ON TIME GIRL 6 7 2nk 1nk   12½ 14 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 28% 2.50 2.22 W
1  BOOM BOOM BELL 1 3 41½ 41½   22½ 24 (lynch e)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 49.88  
4  SUGAREE (IRE) 3 2 85½ 74   44½ 36 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 10.11  
5  CINNAMON SUGAR (IRE) 4 1 64½ 53   56 47½ (hancock a)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 28.59  
2  TIZIANNA 2 9 97½ 94¾   67½ 58 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 5% 19.00 25.21  
6  MIA'S GO 5 8 75 84½   78½ 611 (rivera ne)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00 42.44  
8  MAGIC SEEKER 7 6 1nk 2nk   34 712 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 20.00 74.93  
10  TENNESSEE BELLE 9 4 53½ 63½   89 815 (ortiz john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 32% 2.10 0.56  
9  CHAMPAGNE CANDICE 8 5 3½ 31   99 919¾ (von donn)ROCCO S 122 8.00 17% 5.00 20.82  
SCR  STORM CLOUD RISING               (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   09/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:121 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THEISMANN 8 6 2½ 21 21 1nk 1½ (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5.15  
6  BEYOND STOKED 5 4 55 54½ 53 42 2½ (lynch bri)TORRES A 122 12.00 35% 1.80 10.84 P
2  ENGLISH CHUNNEL 1 1 44 44 42½ 31 3½ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 5.15 S
9  NOT FALLING BACK 7 5 1½ 11 11 2nk 42 (block chris)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 9.96  
8  DEPICTION 6 10 98 97½ 94¾ 53 52¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 ★ 2.33  
5  OSCAR SEASON 4 3 66 65½ 74 63¼ 64 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 37% 1.70 2.90  
13  BOLD DISCOVERY 11 11 109 107½ 84½ 85¼ 74¼ (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 64.47  
4  FIDGET 3 2 32½ 32½ 31½ 73¾ 85¾ (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00 13.39  
12  OCEAN POINTE 10 8 119 1110 107¼ 107¼ 96 (estvanko r)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 20.00 80.82  
11  IN A JAM 9 9 76½ 76½ 63 95¼ 109½ (danner doug)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 5% 19.00 32.11  
3  AUTHENTIC GALLOP 2 7 87½ 87 117¾ 119¼ 1112 (amoss tho)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 34.50  
SCR  MONEY SUPPLY               (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50    
SCR  SUMMER IN ADRIANE               (maker mic)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 10.00    
 
CD-6   09/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  A FINE CHARDONNAY 2 4 45 56   32½ 12 (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 45.87  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ANDELE by LUCKY SO N' SO)
6  GLAM SLAM 5 1 33½ 23   22½ 22 (servis c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 30% 2.40 2.68 P
  (by HIGH COTTON out of GLAMALERT by VINDICATION)
4  SOLEMN VOW 3 2 11 13   12½ 32 (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 24% 3.10 2.63 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of RAINIER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
1  LIL TIPSY 1 5 76½ 68   57 46¼ (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 24% 3.20 6.89  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of NOT SWAYED by HONOR CODE)
11  MEASURE 10 11 1112¼ 1012¼   810¼ 57½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 ★ 13.01  
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of FATEER by ESKENDEREYA)
12  LADY REVENGE 11 6 108¾ 79   69 68 (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 10.00 10.88  
  (by VIOLENCE out of MIA TIA by EQUIANO (FR))
8  TOUCH OF AN ANGEL 7 10 87 35   46 78¾ (damato philip)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.58  
  (by TAPIT out of BELLE LAURA by MUCHO MACHO MAN)
10  ACQUAZURRA 9 9 97¼ 99¼   79¼ 810 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 22.01  
  (by GIRVIN out of CARA SORELLA by BROTHER DEREK)
7  DANCEWHENYOUCAN 6 7 55½ 1113¼   1013¾ 916 (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 25.94  
  (by KNOWN AGENDA out of DANCE THEWAYYOUARE by MINESHAFT)
9  SUGAR DOLL 8 8 65½ 89¼   1113¾ 1018¾ (lynch bri)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.01  
  (by WESTERN FAME out of SINCERELY SWEET by SKYWALKER)
5  LEGIT CHICK 4 3 21 45   912¼ 1119½ (dunn stephen)TORRES A 119 20.00 50.60  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of STRUT THE CANARY by MINESHAFT)
SCR  BARACCA               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of SHOP AGAIN by WILD AGAIN)
SCR  BONNE SANTE               (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of SOCIAL MATRIX by JIMMY CREED)
SCR  JOKE MAKER               (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SWAN OF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  MIDNIGHT FLIGHT               (ortiz al)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of DISTINGUISHED LADY by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  OF ALL THINGS               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of JO MARIE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
CD-7   09/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERSEY PEARL 1 3 11 1½   11½ 11¾ (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.36 W
2  EASY RED 2 9 31 42   31½ 21¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 3.70  
3  MARMALADE SKYE 3 8 42 31   21½ 32 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 ★ 5.74 S
8  LEGADEMA 8 2 95 74½   56 48¼ (bauer philip )ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 11% 8.30 7.16  
4  FIBBER 4 5 21 2½   45½ 510 (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 38% 1.60 4.23  
7  LADY MOSCATO 7 10 74 64   66½ 610¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 10.00 31.64  
10  NON VIOLENCE 10 4 105¼ 85   78 711¾ (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 20.00 10.69  
5  TAPIT QUICK 5 7 52½ 53   88½ 814¼ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 5.79  
6  PISTOL 6 6 63½ 107½   1011 914¼ (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 15.47  
9  COPPER EM 9 1 84½ 96½   910½ 1015¼ (jacobson dav)TORRES A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 16.66  
 
CD-8   09/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHOW TIME 6 5 32 3½   1nk 1½ (casse w)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 9% 9.80 2.22 W
3  AMERICAN XPERIMENT 3 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 2½ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 ★ 6.07 P
1  MIDNIGHT PRANKS 1 8 85 64   52¾ 33¼ (wiggins lon)LANERIE J 121 5.00 ★ 9.65 S
10  GUANARE 9 3 53½ 53   63¼ 45 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 6.00 3.52  
4  NABOKOV 4 9 42½ 41   31½ 55¾ (foster eric)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 12.00 30.16  
5  LIGHTNING STRUCK 5 4 64 76½   76¼ 610 (diodoro robert)CEDILLO ABEL 121 5.00 24.93  
2  MUMAYAZ 2 2 1½ 1nk   42½ 710 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 11.25  
8  PURE PANIC 7 6 74 86¾   97¾ 813¼ (dutrow ric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 20% 4.00 7.54  
9  TOP GUN TOMMY 8 7 95½ 98¼   87¾ 913½ (jacobson dav)TORRES A 121 4.00 28% 2.60 4.66  
SCR  PRINCIP               (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.