Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Saturday - August 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-4   WIN (6/12/8/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $18.08 $8.08 81%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COLONEL CALIENTE 7 1 3½ 2nk   12 13 (maker j)JUAREZ NIK 119 6.00 6.36  
5  VALIANT HUMOR 5 4 41 41½   32 23 (cox h)LANERIE J 119 1.40 61% 0.60 0.90 P
4  MIDNIGHT VENGEANCE 4 3 2nk 1nk   22 33¾ (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 26.91 S
3  BECK'S DREAMER 3 5 1nk 3½   42¼ 45¾ (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 20.00 7% 12.60 18.02  
1  HEROIC ACT 1 7 63¼ 53   55¼ 58½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 3.31  
2  MAGNIFICENT RAGS 2 6 73¼ 74¾   66¼ 69¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 124 4.00 6.35  
6  SAINT SHANCE 6 2 51¼ 63¼   76¾ 716½ (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.50 11% 8.20 9.57  
 
ELP-2   08/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE GAL 1 5 43 31½   21 1nk (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 4.00 ★ 2.08  
7  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 7 6 77½ 64¼   42½ 2nk (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.00 2.50  
3  STREET PAINTER 3 3 11½ 11½   11 31 (shorter aaro)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 13.14 S
4  STARCOURT 4 1 53 51¾   31 45½ (roberson dennis)LANERIE J 124 12.00 22.70  
6  ARGAN 6 4 21½ 21½   62¾ 57¾ (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 ★ 3.42  
2  COASTLINE HOTTIE 2 2 32 41¾   52¾ 610 (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00 9.90  
5  GLOBAL ALLURE 5 7 65½ 74½   74¾ 715 (hartman chri)MONCADA IRVING 118 2.50 67% 0.50 4.80  
 
ELP-3   08/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NINE BALL 3 6 74¼ 53¾   3.2 1¾ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 4.00 2.91  
  (by HADIF out of PATCARR'S AVATAR by AVATAR)
8  INORDINARY 8 3 3.2 3.2   2nk 2¾ (sisterson ja)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00 39% 1.60 3.85 P
  (by LEXITONIAN out of TAPTAM by PLEASANT TAP)
5  STORMFORGED 5 4 42¼ 42¼   4¾ 3¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.50 7.56  
  (by VEKOMA out of CLAIRE LET IT BE by LIAM'S MAP)
1  TIME FOR MUSIC 1 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 42 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.00 22% 3.50 2.40  
  (by GILDED TIME out of LA DI DA LA DI DA by KEY TO CONTENT)
4  MAXXUS 4 9 84¾ 74¼   64¼ 57½ (moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.78  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SUPER DIVINE by DIVINE PARK)
7  BRICKLIN 7 2 2nk 2nk   51¾ 610 (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 16% 5.20 4.43  
  (by NYQUIST out of MAJESTIC VIXEN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
9  FRONTIER JUSTICE (IRE) 9 8 52¾ 64¼   78¼ 720½ (heath g)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 19.94  
  (by UNBRIDLED out of CARNATION (FR) by CARWHITE)
6  MONTALBANO 6 7 98¾ 911¾   912¾ 823¾ (seglin e)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 72.17  
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of LA RIGNANA by GALILEO (ARG))
2  THIRTY THIRTY 2 5 64¼ 86¾   811¼ 926¼ (holsapple hutch)MEZA JJ 119 20.00 5% 19.00 60.18  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of KALISPELL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
ELP-4   08/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAVING 1 3 41½ 41½   2nk 12½ (amoss m)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.04 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of POINT SYSTEM by BROKEN VOW)
11  KAYLA'S KOMET 10 4 31½ 3½   1nk 22½ (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 18.11  
  (by MITOLE out of MAGGIE'S MONARCH by TONALIST)
10  SISTER TROIENNE 9 10 63½ 64   43 36¼ (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 10.00 18.00  
  (by MUNNINGS out of DYNA PASSER by LEMON DROP KID)
8  RUNADHARA 7 6 75 74¼   63¾ 48¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 23% 3.40 15.30  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ADHARA by PERRAULT (GB))
3  LLAMP 2 1 1½ 2nk   32½ 59¾ (kenneally eddie)JUAREZ NIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.58  
  (by MITOLE out of MALIBU GEM by MALIBU MOON)
6  ELITE 5 2 2½ 1nk   53¼ 612 (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 30% 2.30 3.65  
  (by GOLDEN GEAR out of LADY THEODORA by MARI'S BOOK)
7  BROOKLINE 6 9 86½ 85¼   85¾ 712¾ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 12.00 45.82  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MIDNIGHT BALLET by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
12  FASHION DESIGNER 11 5 52½ 52   75¼ 814¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 23% 3.30 2.05  
  (by ISLAND WHIRL out of BEACH WALK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  RUNS ON DREAMS 8 7 97 99¼   98¼ 916 (devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 35.26  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of COWGIRL LUCKY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
5  SUGAR HILL 4 12 129¾ 109¼   1010¼ 1024 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 12.00 31.72  
  (by HERE WE COME out of SUM FEMME by SUMMING)
13  UNRELENTING 12 8 118¾ 1111¼   1112¼ 1127¾ (cowans willi)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 38.80  
  (by J. O. TOBIN out of NO PITY by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  SIRIUS PURSUIT 3 11 107¼ 1213¾   1214¾ 1235 (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00 ★ 5.40  
  (by KNICKS GO out of SEEKING A STAR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  ANNIE'S ALLIE               (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
  (by TACITUS out of TUFF BUT FAIR by VIOLENCE)
SCR  CAT SPRING               (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
  (by UPSTART out of AFTERNOON by STREET CRY)
 
ELP-5   08/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($38.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:22 :443 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BAD BEAT BRIAN 5 2 32½ 32½   31 11½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 1.00 57% 0.80 0.74 W
7  CANE CREEK ROAD 6 3 21 21½   1nk 21½ (williams matt)JUAREZ NIK 122 8.00 7% 13.40 3.83 P
3  READY TO ROLL (IRE) 3 9 65 65   42 31½ (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 40.50  
9  SIR PISTOLERO 7 5 76½ 76½   63¾ 41¾ (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 5% 19.00 6.64  
2  PRETTY FAST 2 6 44 43½   53½ 52¼ (foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
10  MO HAIR SAM 8 8 86¾ 87½   74¼ 65¾ (hancock john)MONCADA IRVING 118 30.00 29.33  
5  SENSICAL 4 4 54 53½   84¾ 76 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 12.00 11% 8.40 17.19  
11  INTO THE SUNRISE 9 1 11 11½   2nk 86 (cross ke)RODRIGUEZ A 122 12.00 16.59  
1  FEATHERS ROAD 1 7 98¼ 99   96¼ 96½ (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 5.00 10.02  
SCR  MAGIC CASTLE               (diodoro robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00    
SCR  METALLIC MAN               (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
 
ELP-6   08/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($106K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ALMOSTGONE ROCKET 1 1 1½ 11½   11½ 11 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.40 65% 0.50 0.25 W
4  COPPER EM 2 2 2½ 21½   21½ 21 (jacobson dav)TORRES A 123 20.00 7.89  
5  LADY MOSCATO 3 3 31 31½   32½ 36 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 8% 10.80 3.81 S
6  POPPERINA 4 4 43 44½   46½ 415½ (moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 6% 16.80 9.69  
SCR  FIBBER               (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 121 1.80    
SCR  MARMALADE SKYE               (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 4.50    
SCR  MISS ARLINGTON               (williamson bri)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 30.00    
 
ELP-7   08/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:214 :453 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDISPUTABLE 1 5 42½ 53½   1½ 1½ (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00 7.02  
7  FADE TO GOLD 7 6 52¾ 43   61¾ 2½ (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 46% 1.20 1.75 P
12  TOAST THE STAR 11 8 85¼ 96¼   93½ 3½ (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 5% 19.00 29.78 S
2  PEDITAL 2 10 107¾ 108¼   82 4¾ (hamm timothy)TORRES A 119 4.50 9% 10.00 3.43  
9  SUPER PACHI 8 3 31 32   2½ 51¼ (anderson cori)CANUTO THIAGO 119 8.00 10.44  
10  OH MY DARLING 9 7 96¼ 86¼   51¾ 62¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 7.86  
5  MY LADY SCARLETT 5 9 74¼ 64½   72 75 (casse w)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 14.55  
13  FRONT RUNNIN 12 2 1nk 2nk   4¾ 89¼ (deville carl )MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 30.64  
3  DOT YOUR EYES 3 4 2nk 1nk   3½ 99¼ (hancock jo)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00 5% 19.00 23.61  
11  CHIQUITA'S WAY 10 1 63¾ 74¾   105½ 109½ (laureano gle)MONCADA IRVING 119 30.00 37.94  
4  BAYTOWN MUNNY 4 12 117¾ 118½   118½ 1114½ (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 119 15.00 5% 19.00 21.28  
6  LADY MIDSHIPMAN 6 11 1212¾ 1215½   1213½ 1224½ (casse nor)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 15.81  
SCR  BEE TOO SWEET               (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SCR  SONIC ROCKETTE               (sweezey kent)ELLIOTT JANE 119 12.00    
SCR  TROPICAL NIGHT               (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
SCR  VELCAMP               (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50    
 
ELP-8   08/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($104K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:10     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CAT ON TIME 6 2 2½ 2nk   11½ 1nk (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80 64% 0.60 0.66 W
6  HAILSTORM 4 6 62¾ 41¾   21½ 2nk (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 15.00 20.07  
7  PERFECT FORCE 5 1 41½ 31½   33½ 34¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.44 S
2  MIACOMET 2 5 31½ 62   54 47½ (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 8.00 9% 10.40 6.03  
1  LUNAR MODULE 1 4 51¾ 51¾   44 510¼ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 7.34  
4  FORT SAM 3 3 1½ 1nk   65½ 616 (fawkes david)TORRES A 122 4.00 4.47  
SCR  SHAN               (moger jr)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 12.00    
SCR  ZAMBEZI               (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 4.50    
 
ELP-9   08/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:213 :443 :561     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DEBT FREE 5 2 43 42   1½ 1½ (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 44% 1.30 1.67 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BREAK EVEN by COUNTRY DAY)
9  LADY IVA 7 7 32 32   2½ 2½ (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 11.48  
  (by UNCLE MO out of IVA by SCAT DADDY)
5  LOTS OF KISSES 3 5 75½ 64   32 31 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 ★ 5.43 S
  (by IMPROBABLE out of AGAVE KISS by LION HEART)
8  LUCY MCGEE 6 8 54 53   43 44½ (lovell miche)TORRES A 118 2.00 33% 2.00 2.18  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIZANILLUSION by TIZWAY)
3  KITTENS STORMY GAL 1 10 108¾ 107   76½ 57¾ (bindner m)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 26.37  
  (by GET STORMY out of KITTEN'S SLEW by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  SEVENON 2 6 98¼ 96½   97½ 610½ (holsappl)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00 15.04  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of Y SEVEN by GILDED TIME)
11  PURPLE AND GOLD 9 1 2½ 21   65½ 710¾ (esquivel jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00 33.14  
  (by ECHO TOWN out of COUNTRY CAFE by LION HEART)
10  NORTHERN VOYAGE 8 9 85¾ 85½   87½ 812½ (eurton pete)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.25  
  (by MCKINZIE out of TAPANY by TAPIT)
12  WELL AWARE 10 4 64 75   109 913 (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 24.95  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of INSIDE STORY by ALTERNATION)
6  COLLECTED MIST 4 3 1½ 11   54½ 1013 (monday ke)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00 28.84  
  (by COLLECTED out of ILLUMINATOR by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  CONTEMPLATE               (harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANOTHER THINK by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  MISS MUNNY BAGS               (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MALIBU KASH by MALIBU MOON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.