Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Saturday - August 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (5/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/4)-(5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/4)-(5/3)-(8/1/7/2/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
ELP-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/3)-(8/1/7/2/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(8/1/7/2/4)-(6/12/8/1/3) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
ELP-3   WIN (8/1/7/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/2/4)-(8/1/7/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/2/4)-(8/1/7/2/4)-(8/1/7/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/7/2/4)-(6/12/8/1/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/2/4)-(6/12/8/1/3)-(6/5/7/2/9) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
ELP-4   WIN (6/12/8/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/12/8/1/3)-(6/12/8/1/3/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (6/12/8/1/3)-(6/12/8/1/3/4)-(6/12/8/1/3/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (6/12/8/1/3)-(6/5/7/2/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/12/8/1/3)-(6/5/7/2/9)-(2/5/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
ELP-5   WIN (6/5/7/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/2/9)-(6/5/7/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/2/9)-(6/5/7/2/9)-(6/5/7/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/7/2/9)-(2/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/2/9)-(2/5/6)-(7/2/3/4/12) 75 $0.50 $225 
ELP-6   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(7/2/3/4/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(7/2/3/4/12)-(8/2/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
ELP-7   WIN (7/2/3/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/4/12)-(7/2/3/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/4/12)-(7/2/3/4/12)-(7/2/3/4/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/3/4/12)-(8/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/4/12)-(8/2/7)-(7/8/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ELP-8   WIN (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/7)-(8/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/7)-(8/2/7)-(8/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/7)-(7/8/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ELP-9   WIN (7/8/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/10/11)-(7/8/10/11/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/10/11)-(7/8/10/11/5)-(7/8/10/11/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   08/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEROIC ACT Aug01         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
2  MAGNIFICENT RAGS Jul14 Nov14 Oct31 Sep15 Aug03 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 124 4.00    
3  BECK'S DREAMER Jul20         (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 20.00 7% 12.60    
4  MIDNIGHT VENGEANCE Apr08 Feb23 Jan16 Nov24 Oct13 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  VALIANT HUMOR Jul06 Jun07 May18 Apr12 Feb15 (cox h)LANERIE J 119 1.40 61% 0.60    
6  SAINT SHANCE Aug01 Mar27       (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.50 11% 8.20    
7  COLONEL CALIENTE Jul13 Jun07 May16 Feb12 Dec28 (maker j)JUAREZ NIK 119 6.00    
 
ELP-2   08/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE GAL Jun22 Jun04 May01 Mar30 Mar09 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 4.00 ★    
2  COASTLINE HOTTIE Aug11 Jun22 Mar31 Mar06 Feb13 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 6.00    
3  STREET PAINTER Jul14 Jun04 May01 Apr24 Mar15 (shorter aaro)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  STARCOURT Aug02 Jul04 Apr29 Apr11 Mar17 (roberson dennis)LANERIE J 124 12.00    
5  GLOBAL ALLURE Apr25 Mar21 Mar09 Feb07 Nov13 (hartman chri)MONCADA IRVING 118 2.50 67% 0.50    
6  ARGAN Jun22 May08 Mar14 Jan15 Dec13 (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 ★    
7  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES Aug08 Jun18 May29 Mar29 Feb28 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.00    
 
ELP-3   08/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME FOR MUSIC         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by GILDED TIME out of LA DI DA LA DI DA by KEY TO CONTENT)
2  THIRTY THIRTY         (holsapple hutch)MEZA JJ 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of KALISPELL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  NINE BALL         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 4.00    
  (by HADIF out of PATCARR'S AVATAR by AVATAR)
4  MAXXUS         (moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SUPER DIVINE by DIVINE PARK)
5  STORMFORGED         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.50    
  (by VEKOMA out of CLAIRE LET IT BE by LIAM'S MAP)
6  MONTALBANO Jul19         (seglin e)GRAHAM J 119 30.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of LA RIGNANA by GALILEO (ARG))
7  BRICKLIN         (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 16% 5.20    
  (by NYQUIST out of MAJESTIC VIXEN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
8  INORDINARY Aug05 Jun13 May16     (sisterson ja)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00 39% 1.60    
  (by LEXITONIAN out of TAPTAM by PLEASANT TAP)
9  FRONTIER JUSTICE (IRE)         (heath g)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED out of CARNATION (FR) by CARWHITE)
 
ELP-4   08/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAVING         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of POINT SYSTEM by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  CAT SPRING         (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
  (by UPSTART out of AFTERNOON by STREET CRY)
3  LLAMP         (kenneally eddie)JUAREZ NIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of MALIBU GEM by MALIBU MOON)
4  SIRIUS PURSUIT         (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00 ★    
  (by KNICKS GO out of SEEKING A STAR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
5  SUGAR HILL         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 12.00    
  (by HERE WE COME out of SUM FEMME by SUMMING)
6  ELITE         (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 30% 2.30    
  (by GOLDEN GEAR out of LADY THEODORA by MARI'S BOOK)
7  BROOKLINE         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MIDNIGHT BALLET by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
8  RUNADHARA Jul03         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 23% 3.40    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ADHARA by PERRAULT (GB))
9  RUNS ON DREAMS         (devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of COWGIRL LUCKY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
10  SISTER TROIENNE         (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DYNA PASSER by LEMON DROP KID)
11  KAYLA'S KOMET         (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00    
  (by MITOLE out of MAGGIE'S MONARCH by TONALIST)
12  FASHION DESIGNER         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by ISLAND WHIRL out of BEACH WALK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
13  UNRELENTING         (cowans willi)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
  (by J. O. TOBIN out of NO PITY by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  ANNIE'S ALLIE         (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
  (by TACITUS out of TUFF BUT FAIR by VIOLENCE)
 
ELP-5   08/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($38.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEATHERS ROAD Jul12 Apr24 Mar15 Feb14 Feb03 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 5.00    
2  PRETTY FAST Aug14 Jul26 Jul05 May28 Mar15 (foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  READY TO ROLL (IRE) May16 Mar13 Feb07 Jan24 Dec13 (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
SCR  MAGIC CASTLE Jul03 May03 Apr14 Apr01 Jan15 (diodoro robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00    
5  SENSICAL Jul13 Jun14 May18 Apr28 Mar22 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 12.00 11% 8.40    
6  BAD BEAT BRIAN Aug10 Jun27 Apr30 Dec13 Nov15 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 1.00 57% 0.80    
7  CANE CREEK ROAD Jul06 Jun13 Apr27 Apr04 Mar08 (williams matt)JUAREZ NIK 122 8.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  METALLIC MAN Aug02 Jul05 Jun16 May25 Apr24 (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
9  SIR PISTOLERO Jul12 Jun16 Apr30 Apr09 Feb14 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MO HAIR SAM Jul06 May18 Apr06 Mar22 Mar07 (hancock a)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
11  INTO THE SUNRISE Aug08 Jul14 Jun24 Jun04 May08 (cross ke)RODRIGUEZ A 122 12.00    
 
ELP-6   08/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($106K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIBBER Jul21 Feb01 Dec21 Nov25 Oct19 (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 121 1.80    
2  ALMOSTGONE ROCKET Jun27 May04 Mar29 Jun06 May03 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.40 65% 0.50    
SCR  MARMALADE SKYE May24 Apr30 Mar20 Feb24 Feb12 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 4.50    
4  COPPER EM Jul20 Jun25 May11 Mar14 Jan17 (jacobson dav)TORRES A 123 20.00    
5  LADY MOSCATO Apr26 Mar29 Feb23 Jan25 Dec22 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 8% 10.80    
6  POPPERINA Jul21 Jun15 May01 Apr19 Mar29 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  MISS ARLINGTON Aug03 Jun27 May26 Feb23 Jan03 (williamson bri)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 30.00    
 
ELP-7   08/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDISPUTABLE Jul20 Jun29       (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00    
2  PEDITAL         (hamm timothy)TORRES A 119 4.50 9% 10.00    
3  DOT YOUR EYES         (hancock jo)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BAYTOWN MUNNY         (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY LADY SCARLETT         (casse w)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00    
6  LADY MIDSHIPMAN         (casse nor)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00    
7  FADE TO GOLD         (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  BEE TOO SWEET         (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
9  SUPER PACHI Jun18 Jun05 May15 Apr23   (anderson cori)CANUTO THIAGO 119 8.00    
10  OH MY DARLING         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
11  CHIQUITA'S WAY May15 Apr23       (laureano gle)MONCADA IRVING 119 30.00    
12  TOAST THE STAR         (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
13  FRONT RUNNIN         (deville j)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
SCR  VELCAMP         (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50    
SCR  SONIC ROCKETTE         (sweezey kent)ELLIOTT JANE 119 12.00    
SCR  TROPICAL NIGHT         (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
 
ELP-8   08/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($104K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNAR MODULE Jun27 May11 Mar09 Feb01 Dec15 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
2  MIACOMET Jul14 Jun19 May29 May16 Mar08 (esquivel gustavo)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  ZAMBEZI Aug02 Jun28 May26 Apr25 Mar29 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 4.50    
4  FORT SAM Jul21 Jun26 Apr29 Mar19 Jul28 (fawkes david)TORRES A 122 4.00    
SCR  SHAN Aug04 Jul08 Jun11 May18 May03 (moger jr)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 12.00    
6  HAILSTORM May01 Mar14 Feb16 Jan04 Dec01 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 15.00    
7  PERFECT FORCE May17 May03 Mar30 Mar21 Mar02 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  CAT ON TIME Aug02 Jun12 May23 May01 Apr19 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80 64% 0.60    
 
ELP-9   08/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS MUNNY BAGS         (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MALIBU KASH by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  CONTEMPLATE Sep20 Aug25       (harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANOTHER THINK by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  KITTENS STORMY GAL Oct19 Sep11       (bindner m)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of KITTEN'S SLEW by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  SEVENON Aug04 Oct23 Sep29     (holsapple hutch)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of Y SEVEN by GILDED TIME)
5  LOTS OF KISSES         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 ★    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of AGAVE KISS by LION HEART)
6  COLLECTED MIST Aug07 Jul05       (monday ke)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of ILLUMINATOR by MALIBU MOON)
7  DEBT FREE Jul14 May15 Apr07 Mar01   (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BREAK EVEN by COUNTRY DAY)
8  LUCY MCGEE Jul14 Jun25 Jun07 May15 Jul22 (lovell miche)TORRES A 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIZANILLUSION by TIZWAY)
9  LADY IVA         (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of IVA by SCAT DADDY)
10  NORTHERN VOYAGE Oct27 Sep20 Aug03     (eurton pete)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of TAPANY by TAPIT)
11  PURPLE AND GOLD Jul05 Jun11 May24 Oct27 Sep13 (esquivel jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of COUNTRY CAFE by LION HEART)
12  WELL AWARE Apr29 Mar26 Aug04 Jun24   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of INSIDE STORY by ALTERNATION)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.