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Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Sunday - July 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

ELP-3			WIN	(12/7/6)						3	$2.00	$6.00	7		$11.78			$5.78				96%
			EXA	(12/7/6)-(12/7/5/6)						9	$2.00	$18.00	7-6		$89.32			$71.32				396%
			TRI	(12/7/6)-(12/7/5/6)-(12/7/5/6)						18	$0.50	$9.00	7-6-12		$83.68			$74.68				830%
			SFT	(12/7/6)-(12/7/5/6)-(12/7/5/6)-(12/7/5/6)						18	$0.10	$1.80	7-6-12-5		$36.34			$34.54				1919%
ELP-4			EXA	(10/1/8/3/12)-(10/1/8/3/12)						20	$2.00	$40.00	10-12		$57.82			$17.82				45%
			TRI	(10/1/8/3/12)-(10/1/8/3/12)-(10/1/8/3/12)						60	$0.50	$30.00	10-12-8		$68.77			$38.77				129%
			SFT	(10/1/8/3/12)-(10/1/8/3/12)-(10/1/8/3/12)-(10/1/8/3/12)						120	$0.10	$12.00	10-12-8-1		$119.21			$107.21				893%
			DD	(12/7/6)-(10/1/8/3/12)						15	$2.00	$30.00	7-10		$38.84			$8.84				29%
ELP-7			WIN	(3/6)						2	$2.00	$4.00	6		$4.56			$0.56				14%
			EXA	(3/6)-(3/6/2)						4	$2.00	$8.00	6-3		$11.90			$3.90				49%
			TRI	(3/6)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2)						4	$0.50	$2.00	6-3-2		$22.23			$20.23				1012%
			DD	(1/7)-(3/6)						4	$2.00	$8.00	1-6		$12.52			$4.52				57%
ELP-9			EXA	(3/5/11/7)-(3/5/11/7)						12	$2.00	$24.00	11-7		$28.94			$4.94				21%
			TRI	(3/5/11/7)-(3/5/11/7)-(3/5/11/7)						24	$0.50	$12.00	11-7-5		$18.53			$6.53				54%
			SFT	(3/5/11/7)-(3/5/11/7)-(3/5/11/7)-(3/5/11/7)						24	$0.10	$2.40	11-7-5-3		$7.59			$5.19				216%

Simulator Race results


ELP-1			07/20/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	MUDDY	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($37.5K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	LOTTERY WIN									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119						4.00						4.83
4	SKYNET									(barrett rod)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119						20.00						15.91
13	FLY J'S FUNTASTIC									(stinson will)BARBOSA CARLOS 124						8.00		5%		19.00		26.36	S
10	HARBE									(crichton ro)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						6.00		★				2.50
15	BECK'S DREAMER									(romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 119						15.00						11.46
2	REDEPOSIT									(foley greg)LANERIE J 124						4.50		32%		2.10		3.57
5	DU MONDE									(hill f)BEJARANO R 114						30.00						73.47
1	LEAN MUSIC MACHINE									(morey wil)LEPAROUX R 124						5.00		39%		1.60		4.31
7	CHARLIE TOLU									(hancock l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						15.00		5%		19.00		21.68
8	HISTORIC									(moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 119						12.00						19.54
12	GOLD FACTOR									(pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119						10.00						13.90
SCR	LEVITATING									(amoss m)GRAHAM J 119						8.00
SCR	OX TAP									(o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 124						6.00
SCR	TRACK RANGER									(tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119						15.00
SCR	UNCLE SHAW									(vaccarezza nic)MACHADO LUAN 119						15.00

ELP-2			07/20/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC10	MUDDY	Allowance					Purse ($102K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	FLASH WEAR									(vance d)LANERIE J 118						4.00						3.43
1	L. A. WOMAN									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124						3.00		★				2.79	P
2	CUE THE DUCKBOATS									(mott william)TORRES A 120						2.00		47%		1.10		1.55	S
4	ISLANDER									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124						2.50						3.58
5	PROMISEMEANEMPIRE									(moger jr)BEJARANO R 124						8.00		5%		19.00		7.82
SCR	COWGIRL CHIC									(reed eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118						12.00

ELP-3			07/20/2025		3630ft	DIRT	RC2	GOOD	Mdn Opt Clm ($50K)					Purse ($44K)			2		F		PT- 1:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	VICTOR HELP ME									(torres c)RODRIGUEZ A 119						8.00		19%		4.20		4.89	W
6	TACTICAL COMMAND									(troiani nicc)TORRES A 119						12.00		8%		11.50		10.93	P
12	I'VE GOT THE HONEY									(casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119						2.50		40%		1.50		1.11	S
5	CREVALLA DE VIL									(casse mark)VAZQUEZ A 119						6.00		★				4.64
10	NONSTOP VINO									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119						10.00						7.60
9	UNDISPUTABLE									(stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119						5.00						5.62
3	MESCOOL									(torres marcelino)MEZA JJ 119						30.00						23.55
SCR	CAROL'S MELODY									(ennis john)BEJARANO R 119						10.00
SCR	DRAGON NAVY									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119						3.00
SCR	FETCHMYDIAMONDS									(catalano wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						4.50
SCR	GIVEMETHEBEAT									(hancock joh)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						8.00
SCR	RATHER LATE									(hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 119						10.00
SCR	SABLE									(torres marcelino)BEJARANO R 119						30.00
SCR	SHE'S HONED IN									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						10.00

ELP-4			07/20/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	GOOD	Claiming ($40K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
10	GOLDEN GLIDER									(jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122						5.00		46%		1.20		2.99	W
12	WHAT'S UP DOC									(mott riley)MACHADO LUAN 122						12.00		5%		19.00		8.66	P
8	MENA									(blair jordan)TORRES A 122						8.00		9%		10.00		3.83	S
1	AMERICAN LAW									(morse l)LANERIE J 122						8.00		10%		8.80		8.04
6	INEXORABLE									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122						12.00						26.41
7	ONTHESTAGE									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122						8.00						14.59
11	LUCKY JEREMY									(maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 122						8.00						6.62
3	QUALITY CHIC									(cook jason )GUTIERREZ MARIO 122						4.50		6%		15.30		4.95
9	HAYES STRIKE									(ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 122						10.00						10.07
5	ALEJANDRO									(cash l)MORALES EDGAR 122						20.00						18.63
SCR	TIGER MOON									(atras rob)SAEZ GABRIEL 122						10.00
SCR	UNDERHILL'S TAB									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122						10.00

ELP-5			07/20/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC5	GOOD	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($100K)			2		F		PT- 2:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	TO A FLAME									(arnold geor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						5.00		★				3.60
		(by SILVER HAWK out of MOTH by GALILEO (ARG))
1	UNDERCOVER AGENT									(casse mark)TORRES A 119						3.50		19%		4.30		4.29	P
		(by GIROLAMO out of UNBRIDLED STAR by UNBRIDLED)
5	AMES									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						12.00						1.87
		(by RUNHAPPY out of ATTEMPT TO NAME by CONSOLIDATOR)
3	COSMO FRIDAY									(o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119						12.00		5%		19.00		11.81
		(by HARD SPUN out of SHEAR CLASS by CURLIN)
10	BEACH BALLAD									(maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 119						4.50		49%		1.00		3.05
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of SOCIETY'S SONG by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
9	MENKAURE									(walden willi)GEROUX FLORENT 119						12.00						8.13
		(by CITY OF LIGHT out of LADY PHAROAH by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
4	GUCCI GAMMY									(brown paul )GUTIERREZ MARIO 119						30.00						40.02
		(by VOLATILE out of DUPLICATE by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
SCR	ATI GIRL									(hamm timothy)TORRES A 119						15.00
		(by NYQUIST out of HEAVENLY SCAT by SCAT DADDY)
SCR	BETSY									(kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 119						8.00
		(by CONSTITUTION out of ANOTHER BROAD by INCLUDE)
SCR	GREATEST									(casse mark)VAZQUEZ A 119						4.00
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of GRATEFUL by HARD SPUN)
SCR	JUNO PALACE									(donjuan ser)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119						30.00
		(by COLLECTED out of GITTEL by BERNSTEIN)
SCR	LOVELY GREY									(danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						20.00
		(by VEKOMA out of KNIGHTWITHPUTNAM by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR	SONO BELLA									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						8.00
		(by MORNING BOB out of KENDA by BODEMEISTER)
SCR	SOUNDSMISCHIEVOUS									(hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 119						30.00
		(by AUDIBLE out of RI N GINGER by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)

ELP-6			07/20/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC10	GOOD	Allowance					Purse ($102K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	DAVID OF ATHENS									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						2.50		46%		1.20		1.16	W
8	FIRST PLAYER									(mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 123						12.00						12.75
5	DIVE BOMBER									(lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 123						3.50						2.98
7	FURIOUS ANGER									(romans dale)LANERIE J 123						12.00		5%		19.00		5.93
2	U DEVIL YOU									(ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						3.00		★				2.53
SCR	ALSTON									(eurton peter)BEJARANO R 123						12.00
SCR	GEARING UP									(arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 120						5.00
SCR	SUN THUNDER									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 123						10.00

ELP-7			07/20/2025		3630ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($50K)					Purse ($104K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	COPPER EM									(jacobson dav)TORRES A 122						15.00		12%		7.10		1.28	W
3	NIKI NINE DOORS									(davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 122						1.60		64%		0.60		1.42	P
2	BIRDIE ROSE									(salas marceli)MORALES EDGAR 122						30.00		★				24.01	S
8	JUST AN OPINION									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122						20.00						8.48
1	SECRET STATEMENT									(baker james)MONCADA IRVING 117						15.00						3.61
SCR	DALA									(harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 124						1.80
SCR	KRISPY RICE									(walsh ryan )GUTIERREZ MARIO 122						20.00
SCR	MEAN EILEEN									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						5.00
SCR	MIDNIGHT GRIND									(ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117						20.00
SCR	NUMERO SEIS									(sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122						12.00

ELP-8			07/20/2025		4290ft	DIRT	RC11	FAST	Jeff Hall Memorial					Purse ($150K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	BANISHING									(jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126						2.00		33%		2.00		0.87	W
		(by GHOSTZAPPER out of DOWAGER by A.P. INDY)
4	BOOTH									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 126						3.00		33%		2.10		4.29	P
		(by MITOLE out of SOPHIA'S SONG by BELLAMY ROAD)
8	HERE MI SONG									(stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 122						30.00						9.08
		(by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MI VIERA by DEHERE)
2	DURANTE									(jacobson dav)TORRES A 126						5.00		11%		7.70		8.80
		(by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SEAHAWK GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
10	THREE TECHNIQUE									(cook b)BEJARANO R 122						30.00						19.97
		(by MR SPEAKER out of NITE IN ROME by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5	BANJO CHRIS									(wismer s)SAEZ GABRIEL 122						30.00						27.40
		(by CONSTITUTION out of STORMY GIGI by STORM BOOT)
11	CHAMPLIN									(foley gre)LEPAROUX R 122						8.00		5%		19.00		4.57
		(by RANSOM THE MOON out of NOW I KNOW by PURE PRIZE)
9	RYVIT									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122						20.00						36.79
		(by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SHE IS BEDAZZLING by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR	KAVOD									(sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 124						30.00
		(by LEA out of WEEKEND CONNECTION by PULPIT)
SCR	NASH									(cox h)MACHADO LUAN 122						3.50
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SARA LOUISE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR	PRINCE OF POWER									(esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122						30.00
		(by RUNHAPPY out of DEMIGODDESS by FIRST DUDE)

ELP-9			07/20/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($100K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	GRAYLEIGH									(mitchell anthony)BEJARANO R 118						10.00		6%		15.90		2.57	W
		(by TIZ THE LAW out of WELL MONIED by MARIA'S MON)
7	PRETTY TAPIT									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118						10.00		5%		18.00		8.73	P
		(by TAPIT out of PRETTY AT WAR by WAR FRONT)
5	PLOT									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118						5.00		29%		2.40		2.00	S
		(by BLAME out of SCAPE by WAR FRONT)
3	UNMERITED FAVOR									(mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118						6.00		38%		1.60		4.47
		(by SUMMER FRONT out of GOING FOR BROKE by BLAME)
10	SUNSHINE DAYDREAM									(mott william)TORRES A 118						12.00						8.97
		(by VALET DE PIED (FR) out of STOWESHOE by FLATTER)
1	DODECAHEDRON									(maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 118						12.00						31.80
		(by SUMMER FRONT out of PI D by CIRCUMFERENCE (IRE))
2	DANCING DRUMS									(mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118						12.00						4.46
		(by MCKINZIE out of FANCY AND FLASHY by ZENSATIONAL)
SCR	BOUJEE BEACH									(miller peter)GEROUX FLORENT 118						15.00
		(by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of DYNA'S DESTINY by DYNAFORMER)
SCR	MILDRED PIERCE									(toner j)GRAHAM J 124						6.00
		(by UNCLE MO out of WAR FLAG by WAR FRONT)
SCR	POVERTY WITH AVIEW									(gorder kellyn)DOYLE SOPHIE 118						20.00
		(by INSTILLED REGARD out of INTEREST by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR	RUNNING GAME									(sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						3.00
		(by I AM THE GAME out of RUNABOUT by OXBOW)
SCR	TRAIL OF ROSES									(mott riley)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						15.00
		(by TRAIL CITY out of ROSIANO by RUBIANO)
SCR	TRICKY KITTY									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						8.00
		(by KITTEN'S JOY out of HULDA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.