Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - July 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-3   WIN (12/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $11.78 $5.78 96%
    EXA (12/7/6)-(12/7/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  7-6 $89.32 $71.32 396%
    TRI (12/7/6)-(12/7/5/6)-(12/7/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00  7-6-12 $83.68 $74.68 830%
    SFT (12/7/6)-(12/7/5/6)-(12/7/5/6)-(12/7/5/6) 18 $0.10 $1.80  7-6-12-5 $36.34 $34.54 1919%
ELP-4   EXA (10/1/8/3/12)-(10/1/8/3/12) 20 $2.00 $40.00  10-12 $57.82 $17.82 45%
    TRI (10/1/8/3/12)-(10/1/8/3/12)-(10/1/8/3/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-12-8 $68.77 $38.77 129%
    SFT (10/1/8/3/12)-(10/1/8/3/12)-(10/1/8/3/12)-(10/1/8/3/12) 120 $0.10 $12.00  10-12-8-1 $119.21 $107.21 893%
    DD (12/7/6)-(10/1/8/3/12) 15 $2.00 $30.00  7-10 $38.84 $8.84 29%
ELP-7   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $4.56 $0.56 14%
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6-3 $11.90 $3.90 49%
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00  6-3-2 $22.23 $20.23 1012%
    DD (1/7)-(3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1-6 $12.52 $4.52 57%
ELP-9   EXA (3/5/11/7)-(3/5/11/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  11-7 $28.94 $4.94 21%
    TRI (3/5/11/7)-(3/5/11/7)-(3/5/11/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  11-7-5 $18.53 $6.53 54%
    SFT (3/5/11/7)-(3/5/11/7)-(3/5/11/7)-(3/5/11/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  11-7-5-3 $7.59 $5.19 216%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:22 :45 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOTTERY WIN 3 2 1nk 11   12½ 13¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.00 4.83  
4  SKYNET 4 6 62½ 31½   22½ 23¾ (barrett rod)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 20.00 15.91  
13  FLY J'S FUNTASTIC 10 7 85¼ 75½   57 37 (stinson will)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 8.00 5% 19.00 26.36 S
10  HARBE 8 9 72¾ 52½   45½ 47¾ (crichton ro)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 ★ 2.50  
15  BECK'S DREAMER 11 11 118¾ 97½   99¼ 59¼ (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 11.46  
2  REDEPOSIT 2 4 2nk 21   33½ 611¼ (foley greg)LANERIE J 124 4.50 32% 2.10 3.57  
5  DU MONDE 5 10 108¼ 107¾   78½ 711½ (hill f)BEJARANO R 114 30.00 73.47  
1  LEAN MUSIC MACHINE 1 5 97¾ 1111¼   1012¾ 815¼ (morey wil)LEPAROUX R 124 5.00 39% 1.60 4.31  
7  CHARLIE TOLU 6 3 41½ 64   68½ 917¼ (hancock l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 21.68  
8  HISTORIC 7 8 3½ 42½   89 1022¼ (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 19.54  
12  GOLD FACTOR 9 1 52 87   1114¾ 1128½ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 13.90  
SCR  LEVITATING               (amoss m)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
SCR  OX TAP               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 124 6.00    
SCR  TRACK RANGER               (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  UNCLE SHAW               (vaccarezza nic)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
 
ELP-2   07/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:114 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FLASH WEAR 3 2 31½ 51¾ 42 21½ 1½ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 4.00 3.43  
1  L. A. WOMAN 1 1 11 1nk 11 11½ 2½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 ★ 2.79 P
2  CUE THE DUCKBOATS 2 5 52 4¾ 21 31½ 34¼ (mott william)TORRES A 120 2.00 47% 1.10 1.55 S
4  ISLANDER 4 3 21 2nk 32 44½ 410¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 2.50 3.58  
5  PROMISEMEANEMPIRE 5 4 42 3½ 54 57 513¾ (moger jr)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.82  
SCR  COWGIRL CHIC               (reed eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00    
 
ELP-3   07/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC2 GOOD Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:221 :461 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VICTOR HELP ME 4 2 1½ 1nk   12½ 11¼ (torres c)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 19% 4.20 4.89 W
6  TACTICAL COMMAND 3 5 77 75¾   32½ 21¼ (troiani nicc)TORRES A 119 12.00 8% 11.50 10.93 P
12  I'VE GOT THE HONEY 7 6 53½ 32   43½ 34¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 40% 1.50 1.11 S
5  CREVALLA DE VIL 2 7 63½ 42¼   22½ 44½ (casse mark)VAZQUEZ A 119 6.00 ★ 4.64  
10  NONSTOP VINO 6 4 2½ 2nk   54 510½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 7.60  
9  UNDISPUTABLE 5 3 42 52¼   66½ 611½ (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00 5.62  
3  MESCOOL 1 1 31½ 63¼   78½ 717 (torres marcelino)MEZA JJ 119 30.00 23.55  
SCR  CAROL'S MELODY               (ennis john)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
SCR  DRAGON NAVY               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00    
SCR  FETCHMYDIAMONDS               (catalano wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.50    
SCR  GIVEMETHEBEAT               (hancock joh)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
SCR  RATHER LATE               (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
SCR  SABLE               (torres marcelino)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SCR  SHE'S HONED IN               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
 
ELP-4   07/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:234 :461 1:102 1:232   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GOLDEN GLIDER 8 5 2½ 2½ 1½ 12 11¾ (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 5.00 46% 1.20 2.99 W
12  WHAT'S UP DOC 10 10 55 66¾ 67 55 21¾ (mott riley)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.66 P
8  MENA 6 3 43 33 32½ 22 33 (blair jordan)TORRES A 122 8.00 9% 10.00 3.83 S
1  AMERICAN LAW 1 1 32½ 43 44 43 44 (morse l)LANERIE J 122 8.00 10% 8.80 8.04  
6  INEXORABLE 4 6 75½ 56½ 57 65½ 54¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 12.00 26.41  
7  ONTHESTAGE 5 9 99 1011½ 89¼ 78 65 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 8.00 14.59  
11  LUCKY JEREMY 9 2 1½ 1½ 2½ 32 76¾ (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 6.62  
3  QUALITY CHIC 2 4 65½ 76¾ 79 88¼ 87 (cook jason )GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.50 6% 15.30 4.95  
9  HAYES STRIKE 7 8 86 88¾ 910¾ 911¼ 916½ (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 122 10.00 10.07  
5  ALEJANDRO 3 7 109¼ 911¼ 1011¼ 1012¾ 1018½ (cash l)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 18.63  
SCR  TIGER MOON               (atras rob)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 10.00    
SCR  UNDERHILL'S TAB               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 10.00    
 
ELP-5   07/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:131 1:261   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TO A FLAME 2 3 42 41½ 2nk 2½ 1½ (arnold geor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 5.00 ★ 3.60  
  (by SILVER HAWK out of MOTH by GALILEO (ARG))
1  UNDERCOVER AGENT 1 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 1½ 2½ (casse mark)TORRES A 119 3.50 19% 4.30 4.29 P
  (by GIROLAMO out of UNBRIDLED STAR by UNBRIDLED)
5  AMES 5 4 2nk 2½ 31 33½ 35¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 1.87  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ATTEMPT TO NAME by CONSOLIDATOR)
3  COSMO FRIDAY 3 7 76¾ 73¼ 65¾ 47½ 413¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.81  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SHEAR CLASS by CURLIN)
10  BEACH BALLAD 7 6 31 31½ 54¾ 610½ 517 (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 49% 1.00 3.05  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SOCIETY'S SONG by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
9  MENKAURE 6 5 63¼ 63¼ 44½ 59 617¼ (walden willi)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00 8.13  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LADY PHAROAH by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
4  GUCCI GAMMY 4 2 53 53 711¾ 722½ 767½ (brown paul )GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 30.00 40.02  
  (by VOLATILE out of DUPLICATE by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
SCR  ATI GIRL               (hamm timothy)TORRES A 119 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of HEAVENLY SCAT by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  BETSY               (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ANOTHER BROAD by INCLUDE)
SCR  GREATEST               (casse mark)VAZQUEZ A 119 4.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GRATEFUL by HARD SPUN)
SCR  JUNO PALACE               (donjuan ser)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of GITTEL by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  LOVELY GREY               (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of KNIGHTWITHPUTNAM by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  SONO BELLA               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
  (by MORNING BOB out of KENDA by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  SOUNDSMISCHIEVOUS               (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of RI N GINGER by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
 
ELP-6   07/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:102 1:223   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAVID OF ATHENS 1 1 11 1nk 11½ 14½ 17¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 46% 1.20 1.16 W
8  FIRST PLAYER 5 3 42 43½ 43 34½ 27¼ (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 123 12.00 12.75  
5  DIVE BOMBER 3 2 21 31½ 31½ 24½ 38 (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.50 2.98  
7  FURIOUS ANGER 4 5 54 55½ 55½ 510 413 (romans dale)LANERIE J 123 12.00 5% 19.00 5.93  
2  U DEVIL YOU 2 4 31½ 2nk 21½ 46 516 (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 ★ 2.53  
SCR  ALSTON               (eurton peter)BEJARANO R 123 12.00    
SCR  GEARING UP               (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00    
SCR  SUN THUNDER               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00    
 
ELP-7   07/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($104K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COPPER EM 4 5 42 41½   31½ 1nk (jacobson dav)TORRES A 122 15.00 12% 7.10 1.28 W
3  NIKI NINE DOORS 3 2 3½ 2nk   11 2nk (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 64% 0.60 1.42 P
2  BIRDIE ROSE 2 1 1nk 1nk   21 31 (salas marceli)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 ★ 24.01 S
8  JUST AN OPINION 5 4 52¼ 51¾   52 42½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 20.00 8.48  
1  SECRET STATEMENT 1 3 2nk 3½   42 55 (baker james)MONCADA IRVING 117 15.00 3.61  
SCR  DALA               (harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 124 1.80    
SCR  KRISPY RICE               (walsh ryan )GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 20.00    
SCR  MEAN EILEEN               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT GRIND               (ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 20.00    
SCR  NUMERO SEIS               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
 
ELP-8   07/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jeff Hall Memorial Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:084     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BANISHING 2 6 41¼ 51¼   32½ 1hd (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.00 33% 2.00 0.87 W
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DOWAGER by A.P. INDY)
4  BOOTH 3 2 2nk 1nk   12 2hd (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 126 3.00 33% 2.10 4.29 P
  (by MITOLE out of SOPHIA'S SONG by BELLAMY ROAD)
8  HERE MI SONG 5 3 31 3½   22 31¾ (stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 9.08  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MI VIERA by DEHERE)
2  DURANTE 1 4 51¼ 41   43 42¾ (jacobson dav)TORRES A 126 5.00 11% 7.70 8.80  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SEAHAWK GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
10  THREE TECHNIQUE 7 7 74¾ 74¼   76 54½ (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 19.97  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of NITE IN ROME by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  BANJO CHRIS 4 5 62¾ 62¼   65½ 64¾ (wismer s)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 30.00 27.40  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of STORMY GIGI by STORM BOOT)
11  CHAMPLIN 8 1 1nk 2nk   54 711 (foley gre)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.57  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of NOW I KNOW by PURE PRIZE)
9  RYVIT 6 8 85¼ 84¾   87½ 811½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 20.00 36.79  
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SHE IS BEDAZZLING by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  KAVOD               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 124 30.00    
  (by LEA out of WEEKEND CONNECTION by PULPIT)
SCR  NASH               (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SARA LOUISE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  PRINCE OF POWER               (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 30.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEMIGODDESS by FIRST DUDE)
 
ELP-9   07/20/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:114 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  GRAYLEIGH 7 3 21 2½ 11 11 11¾ (mitchell anthony)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 6% 15.90 2.57 W
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of WELL MONIED by MARIA'S MON)
7  PRETTY TAPIT 5 5 52¾ 31 21 21 21¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 5% 18.00 8.73 P
  (by TAPIT out of PRETTY AT WAR by WAR FRONT)
5  PLOT 4 7 66¾ 66½ 57½ 38 311¼ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 29% 2.40 2.00 S
  (by BLAME out of SCAPE by WAR FRONT)
3  UNMERITED FAVOR 3 2 42½ 42½ 67½ 69 413¾ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 6.00 38% 1.60 4.47  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of GOING FOR BROKE by BLAME)
10  SUNSHINE DAYDREAM 6 4 31 53 46 48 514¾ (mott william)TORRES A 118 12.00 8.97  
  (by VALET DE PIED (FR) out of STOWESHOE by FLATTER)
1  DODECAHEDRON 1 1 11 1½ 33 58½ 623¾ (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 31.80  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of PI D by CIRCUMFERENCE (IRE))
2  DANCING DRUMS 2 6 79¼ 77 77¾ 711½ 724 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 4.46  
  (by MCKINZIE out of FANCY AND FLASHY by ZENSATIONAL)
SCR  BOUJEE BEACH               (miller peter)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of DYNA'S DESTINY by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  MILDRED PIERCE               (toner j)GRAHAM J 124 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of WAR FLAG by WAR FRONT)
SCR  POVERTY WITH AVIEW               (gorder kellyn)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 20.00    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of INTEREST by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  RUNNING GAME               (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00    
  (by I AM THE GAME out of RUNABOUT by OXBOW)
SCR  TRAIL OF ROSES               (mott riley)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
  (by TRAIL CITY out of ROSIANO by RUBIANO)
SCR  TRICKY KITTY               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HULDA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.