Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Saturday - July 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (2/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $15.08 $7.08 89%
    EXA (2/7/1/8)-(2/7/1/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-2 $54.26 $30.26 126%
ELP-2   WIN (2/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $28.24 $20.24 253%
    EXA (2/8/5/6)-(2/8/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-8 $154.42 $130.42 543%
    DD (2/7/1/8)-(2/8/5/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-5 $157.92 $125.92 394%
ELP-3   DD (2/8/5/6)-(10/9/7/8/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-10 $130.78 $90.78 227%
    PK3 (2/7/1/8)-(2/8/5/6)-(10/9/7/8/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00  7-5-10 $154.08 $114.08 285%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($37.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STAY FOR THE BOOM 7 3 52½ 31½   21 1½ (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 5.00 25% 3.00 6.54 W
2  COMPRESSED 2 1 11 1½   11 2½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.00 26% 2.80 2.55 P
6  DR FENN 6 5 21 2½   31 34 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 10.55  
4  BAGG O TIME 4 7 76 76½   66½ 48¼ (vance d)LANERIE J 119 3.50 2.56  
5  RED SPEEDO 5 4 42 54   55 58¼ (hancock john)TORRES A 119 4.50 4.96  
1  ALL HONORS 1 2 31 42   44 610 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 18% 4.50 14.52  
8  MONTALBANO 8 8 810½ 812   812½ 715¾ (seglin lu)BEALMEAR C 119 20.00 5% 19.00 37.92  
3  ABDICATE (IRE) 3 6 63 65½   710½ 817 (wojczyns)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 4.77  
 
ELP-2   07/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:213 :443 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COLORMECAIRO 5 5 55½ 53   31 1¾ (shirer a)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 17% 4.70 13.12 W
8  BROOKLYNN DREW 8 1 32½ 3½   1nk 2¾ (contreras cip)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 18% 4.50 2.71 P
7  MOMBAYLA 7 8 710 67   63¼ 32 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 122 4.50 4.20  
4  HELEN'S LITTLE SIS 4 2 43 41½   41¼ 42 (casse mark)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 1.69  
2  READYTORISKITALL 2 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 55¾ (foster er)TORRES A 118 5.00 26% 2.90 8.28  
1  SPOTAWAY 1 4 1½ 2nk   53¼ 67¾ (rouck l)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 11.14  
3  SWEET STAR 3 7 68 78   77¼ 79¾ (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 14.83  
6  I'M A COOKIE LOVER 6 6 810 811   89¼ 814 (kerrick )RODRIGUEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 17.14  
 
ELP-3   07/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLOCKER SPECIAL 8 2 32½ 3.2   1½ 11½ (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 43% 1.30 1.94 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CHIDING by BLAME)
5  LA NORME DE JOUR 3 6 43 51¼   31½ 21½ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 15.00 14.18  
  (by BY MY STANDARDS out of LA BELLE DE JOUR by STRONG MANDATE)
9  THE STANDARD 7 5 2nk 2nk   2½ 33 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00 30% 2.30 2.69 S
  (by AMERICAN STANDARD out of JAMARA by J. O. TOBIN)
8  LAND OF THE FREE 6 4 1nk 1nk   43 410¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00 3.44  
  (by TRIBAL RULE out of ROSES 'N RAINBOWS by COMMENDABLE)
3  FREE CHOICE 2 3 53¼ 41¼   55½ 510¼ (seglin lu)BEALMEAR C 119 30.00 63.65  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of RUBELLITE by MORE THAN READY)
7  FEDERAL AGENT 5 9 86¼ 63¼   78½ 614½ (cox brad )TORRES A 119 5.00 6% 17.10 6.81  
  (by CURLIN out of GWENJINSKY by SEATTLE DANCER)
6  ROGUISHNESS 4 8 96½ 85¾   68½ 715¾ (devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 9.89  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DAISY by BLAME)
11  WICKED GUN 9 1 75¾ 74¾   89½ 816¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00 19.76  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MAYBE WICKED by MIZZEN MAST)
1  RIP CORD 1 7 65¾ 97¾   916 940 (nicholl sebast)JUAREZ NIK 119 20.00 5% 19.00 35.35  
  (by MASS MARKET out of SILLY REMARK by REGAL REMARK)
SCR  MUMDOGGIE               (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of MISS BEATRICE by LIAM'S MAP)
SCR  NINE BALL               (mott riley)TORRES A 119 10.00    
  (by HADIF out of PATCARR'S AVATAR by AVATAR)
 
ELP-4   07/19/2025 6600ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:133 1:39   2:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HEY BOSS 2 33½ 33 33½ 3½ 11½ 13¾ (amoss m)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 4.71  
6  WRITE OFF JERRY 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 21½ 23¾ (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 125 3.00 39% 1.60 3.26 P
7  SEVEN WONDERS 4 46½ 47 45½ 43 44½ 36½ (eurton peter)BEJARANO R 123 1.00 1.20  
3  DOMINGO 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 33 48½ (oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 20% 4.00 1.86  
SCR  ATLANTIC DANCER               (cook jason )GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 15.00    
SCR  FORT THOMAS               (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00    
SCR  THE HIDDEN CHAMBER               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
 
ELP-5   07/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($23.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ST. ALBANS RAID 2 4 42 41½   13 13¼ (shirer ma)TORRES A 119 5.00 ★ 2.06  
2  MISS MAKENNA 1 2 2nk 2½   23 23¼ (house gary)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 20.00 23.30  
8  DARING HOPE 6 7 64¼ 53½   44½ 35 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 124 4.00 9% 10.00 2.77 S
6  DINAHS GIRL 4 5 54 64½   58 410¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 68% 0.50 2.00  
5  ECHO VISION 3 1 1nk 1½   34 515½ (foster eric)MONCADA IRVING 114 12.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
10  SUMMER ADI 7 3 31 31½   610 622½ (mcvickers lama)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 30.00 13.84  
7  MILVEN 5 6 75¼ 77   712½ 723¼ (french r)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 12.00 11.43  
SCR  CRACKLE (GB)               (holsapple hutch)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
SCR  ESCOVEDO               (rivelli larry)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00    
SCR  MARY MOONGLOW               (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50    
SCR  STATLER INN               (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.