Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Thursday - July 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-4   WIN (9/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $19.90 $11.90 149%
    EXA (9/6/8/4)-(9/6/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-6 $109.38 $85.38 356%
    DD (4/6/7/5)-(9/6/8/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00  4-8 $74.58 $42.58 133%
ELP-5   EXA (4/8/5/10/7)-(4/8/5/10/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-5 $85.40 $45.40 114%
    DD (9/6/8/4)-(4/8/5/10/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  8-4 $134.66 $94.66 237%
    PK3 (4/6/7/5)-(9/6/8/4)-(4/8/5/10/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00  4-8-4 $94.44 $54.44 136%
ELP-9   WIN (6/8/7/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $16.70 $6.70 67%
    EXA (6/8/7/9/10)-(6/8/7/2/9/10) 25 $2.00 $50.00  9-2 $89.82 $39.82 80%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:114 1:242   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  AIR OF DEFIANCE 9 8 3.2 3½ 11 13½ 15¾ (sharp joe)LEPAROUX R 123 3.00 39% 1.60 0.99 W
1  TIS CHARMING 1 1 52¾ 42 42 23½ 25¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 4.50 6.16  
4  ENOUGH ALREADY 4 9 89¼ 87¼ 84 45 38½ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00 24% 3.10 3.94 S
2  KENTUCKY GO GO 2 3 62¾ 62¼ 31 33½ 49½ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 15% 5.80 12.19  
7  BOYS CODE 7 6 76¾ 75¼ 52½ 56½ 516¾ (dutrow e)JUAREZ NIK 123 4.00 6.05  
8  GUCCI MAN 8 7 2nk 2½ 73½ 79½ 618½ (cast)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 12.00 5% 19.00 18.88  
3  FIXITWITHFORWARD 3 2 1nk 1½ 21 67½ 721½ (cook k)ELLIOTT JANE 123 20.00 5% 19.00 29.09  
6  WAR DEPT CALLING 6 4 42¼ 52¼ 63 812½ 856¼ (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 62.70  
5  ON MY HONOR 5 5 911¾ 919¼ 932 952½ 9100 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 123 12.00 18.28  
 
ELP-2   07/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:224 :464 :581     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PROWESS 2 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 1¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 9.07  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SWEET AUGUST LADY by CITY ZIP)
6  RUN ON STATES 6 4 2nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 12.47  
  (by YAUPON out of MONORAIL by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  SONIC SASS 8 1 31½ 3½   31½ 32 (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 119 3.50 34% 1.90 4.03 S
  (by YAUPON out of FEELING BOSSY by COURAGEOUS CAT)
5  RUNADHARA 5 5 41¾ 52½   63¾ 42¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 11.44  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ADHARA by PERRAULT (GB))
4  DUTCH GIRL 4 6 62¾ 63   74 52¾ (lynch bri)TORRES A 119 4.50 3.23  
  (by HOLY BULL out of LISTED by HOUSEBUSTER)
3  COLD CASE 3 7 84¼ 73½   53¾ 63¼ (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 23.16  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of BRIE'S SNOWFLAKE by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  CUE THE DRAMA 7 8 52¾ 41½   41¾ 73¾ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.00 21% 3.80 1.39  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of BREAKSHOT by LEMON DROP KID)
1  BEWITCHINGLY 1 3 73¾ 84½   88 810 (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 14.55  
  (by ALYDEED out of LADY TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
ELP-3   07/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($31.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ZOHERE 4 6 4¾ 11   12½ 14 (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 64% 0.60 1.74 W
3  SKYLER 3 3 2nk 31   22½ 24 (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00 2.51  
6  BEEVILLE 6 7 52¼ 52   32½ 35¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 10% 9.40 28.27 S
9  BEECHMONT 8 1 62¾ 41½   43 410½ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 6.45  
5  CLOCKING 5 8 83¾ 63½   66½ 511½ (simms jr)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
1  STINGRAY SHUFFLE 1 5 3½ 74½   79 616 (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 4.50 7.15  
7  BOTE 7 2 73¼ 87   811 716¼ (pomier chasey )ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00 5% 19.00 16.36  
2  SOCO AND LIME 2 4 1nk 21   54½ 816¼ (williamson b)GEROUX FLORENT 124 4.00 4.97  
SCR  UNCLE SHAW               (vaccarezza nicho)JUAREZ NIK 119 15.00    
SCR  WHEN SMOKEY SINGS               (amoss m)GRAHAM J 119 5.00    
 
ELP-4   07/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($104K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:084     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GOODASIWONSWAS 6 5 42½ 2½   1½ 1¼ (quartarolo ant)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 19% 4.30 8.95 W
6  CLASSIC LEGACY 4 2 74 72¾   32½ 2¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 20% 4.10 4.67 P
2  PRINCE OF POWER 2 4 1½ 1½   2½ 31½ (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 6.00 4.28  
1  TWO EAGLES RIVER 1 7 52½ 52   53 43 (blair jor)TORRES A 122 8.00 3.31  
9  COACH JIMI D 7 3 63½ 3½   43 58¼ (divito p)MOJICA O 122 3.50 27% 2.70 2.02  
7  LOUISIANA JESS 5 1 31 41   66 613 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 8.29  
4  AMERICAN XPERIMENT 3 6 2½ 62¼   79 719¼ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 11% 8.00 12.10  
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE               (atras rob)TORRES A 122 8.00    
SCR  CAT ON TIME               (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80    
 
ELP-5   07/03/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:11 1:231   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WHAPPEN 4 9 85¼ 95¼ 83¾ 72¾ 1¼ (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 60% 0.70 2.21 W
5  MUSTANG LADY 5 7 95¼ 74¼ 52¼ 41¼ 2¼ (newton troy)MONCADA IRVING 118 8.00 8% 11.80 18.02 P
1  LADY BLAKE 1 3 53 63¼ 62¼ 61¾ 3¾ (wojczyns)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 14.78  
8  EXINGTON 8 10 63½ 53 3.2 2nk 4¾ (walsh brendan )SHEEHY DANNY 118 6.00 10% 8.70 5.05  
9  BEACH BUNNY 9 5 11 1½ 2nk 1nk 51 (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 123 10.00 9.28  
7  ANIMAL FRIES 7 1 21 2½ 1nk 3.2 62 (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 5% 19.00 8.78  
3  PURRING 3 2 31½ 31½ 41¾ 51¾ 72¼ (pomier ch)LEPAROUX R 123 12.00 12.54  
2  TACO CAT BACKWARDS 2 8 106¼ 107¾ 106 94½ 82¼ (troiani nicco)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 20.58  
6  PRINCESS BUTTERCUP 6 4 75 84¾ 94 83 92¼ (shaffer sarah )ELLIOTT JANE 123 10.00 12.70  
11  PULA 10 6 41½ 41½ 72¾ 1012½ 1023 (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 3.00 3.39  
SCR  MINT DRIVEN               (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-6   07/03/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:12 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TROJAN PRIDE 10 8 109 109½ 104¾ 42½ 11½ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 10.00 6.71  
9  MIDNIGHT SURVIVOR 9 9 86 86 73 52¾ 21½ (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.89 P
2  HELM PLACE 2 1 21 2½ 1nk 1nk 32 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 14% 6.10 2.13 S
7  TIMBOS TANGLER 7 3 42 31½ 2nk 2nk 42¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 19.48  
3  DISCOMBOBULAATOR 3 6 32 42½ 41½ 32 52¾ (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.44  
6  TURNBUCKLE 6 7 75½ 75½ 93¼ 86¼ 64½ (hancock dana)TORRES A 118 8.00 6.20  
5  PROBABLY 5 5 53 53 52 64¾ 76¼ (oliver victor)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 36% 1.80 6.13  
4  JACK RABBIT 4 10 97½ 97½ 83¼ 75¾ 87¼ (williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 20.00 22.71 DH
8  COCKTAILSNKRINGLE 8 4 63½ 63 62½ 97¼ 87¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00 23% 3.40 5.05 DH
1  GOLD GUNNER 1 2 11 1½ 31 108¼ 1015¼ (pomier ch)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 24.59  
 
ELP-7   07/03/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:104 1:334   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  QUATROCENTO 3 4 44½ 32½ 31½ 11 14¾ (gutierrez)LEPAROUX R 123 3.00 21% 3.80 0.98 W
2  CIRO DI MARZIO 2 3 34 43 42½ 33 24¾ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 123 3.50 5.21  
1  ROCKY JOY 1 1 23 21½ 2½ 21 36¾ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00 40% 1.50 5.31 S
4  MY BOY TONY 4 10 55½ 85 84¾ 55 46¾ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 123 4.50 8% 11.30 7.72  
10  SALTED CARMEL 10 7 76 53½ 52½ 44½ 58¾ (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 125 12.00 12.09  
8  BROWN LIQUOR MAN 8 9 97½ 75 74¼ 65½ 610 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 5% 19.00 9.33  
7  ZARTOWNIS 7 8 108½ 108 108¾ 98 712¼ (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 123 10.00 42.61  
6  BILLY THE GREEK 6 6 87 95½ 95¾ 108½ 813¼ (chavez manue)BARBOSA CARLOS 123 15.00 5% 19.00 52.93  
9  BIG HAMMER 9 5 65½ 64 64 86½ 914¼ (wismer glenn)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 20.00 20.05  
5  PUBLICITY 5 2 13 11½ 1½ 76½ 1016¾ (londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 20.00 82.58  
 
ELP-8   07/03/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($102K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:22 :441 1:08     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BIG BOAT 5 4 2nk 2nk   11 16 (divito p)MOJICA O 120 12.00 17.69  
5  MCKINZIE STREET 4 3 1nk 1nk   21 26 (davis chri)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 ★ 7.61 P
7  FACT 6 7 94 105¾   67 37¾ (walden wi)TORRES A 122 2.50 43% 1.30 1.18 S
11  COMES A TIME 9 1 31½ 31   34 48 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00 8.61  
13  HYMN (IRE) 11 5 73¼ 43   55½ 59¾ (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 10.82  
12  SINISTER SMILE 10 6 104 73¾   45 69¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 27.02  
4  FAUST 3 10 83½ 94¾   88½ 711½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.50 28% 2.50 8.26  
9  STIGLETS 7 8 63¼ 84¼   77½ 812½ (damato phili)TORRES A 120 8.00 10.56  
3  KALAHARI DREAMS 2 9 52¼ 53½   99 914¼ (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.54  
1  STRUMMIN 1 11 119 119¾   1011½ 1014¾ (hancock a)LANERIE J 120 30.00 45.33  
10  MY OWN 8 2 42 63¾   1112 1117 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00 82.75  
SCR  BERMUDA BLITZ               (hernandez arma)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 30.00    
SCR  RUN BENJI RUN               (jura)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 20.00    
 
ELP-9   07/03/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:123 1:241   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HUMBLED 9 5 74 74¼ 61¾ 31 11¾ (medina robert)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.35 W
  (by WAR OF WILL out of COLINA VERDE by KNOW HEIGHTS)
2  SPEED SHOPPER 2 8 84½ 84¾ 93½ 63 21¾ (walden wi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00 ★ 3.66 P
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FAST RETAILING by MALIBU MOON)
1  MARCINKOWSKI 1 7 94½ 118¼ 3½ 1nk 32¼ (lovell miche)TORRES A 118 12.00 16.64  
  (by BLAME out of VERDURA by SMART STRIKE)
4  LADY LILYLOU 4 4 31½ 32 51¾ 41½ 43¼ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 8.29  
  (by UNCLE MO out of TERRIFIC TREASURE by STREET CRY)
3  BEE CAT 3 1 1½ 11 1nk 2nk 53½ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 20.88  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of EVIL KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  SAUCIER 6 2 42 52½ 72¼ 93½ 64½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 45% 1.20 4.08  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DOWN IN FRONT by WAR FRONT)
7  LES IS BEST 7 9 106½ 96¾ 104½ 105½ 74½ (foster er)TORRES A 118 12.00 10% 8.90 13.12  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of UNFOLD THE ROSE by CATIENUS)
10  MACLEAN'S LULLABY 10 6 63½ 64 83¼ 73¼ 85 (matejka )RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 5% 19.00 29.96  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JOYFUL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  MCLAUGHLIN 5 3 2½ 21 2nk 52 95¾ (davis chr)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 18.77  
  (by UNCLE MO out of ITSAGIANTCAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  ABILITY 11 11 117½ 107¼ 114½ 117½ 108 (wojczynski j)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 20.00 47.10  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of PERFECT AGILITY by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
12  STAR BLESSING (IRE) 12 10 52½ 42 4¾ 83¼ 1110¾ (catalano wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 11.67  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of LIKE A STAR by LIKE A SOLDIER)
8  CIRQUE LODGE 8 12 128 129¼ 126 128½ 1213½ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.00 21% 3.90 3.58  
  (by JUSTIFY out of SMART SHOPPING by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  DEAR SCARLETT               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 30.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BUTTERNUT BLOOMERS by CURLIN)
SCR  GOOD GOING               (devaux cheri)TORRES A 118 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOOD DEED by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  HI'IAKA               (salas felipe)ACHARD ALEX 124 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUA MULAN by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  UNMERITED FAVOR               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of GOING FOR BROKE by BLAME)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.