Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - July 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-4 $13.32 $1.32 11%
ELP-2   EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-2 $30.76 $12.76 71%
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-2-4 $81.36 $72.36 804%
    SFT (3/2/4)-(3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 18 $0.10 $1.80  3-2-4-6 $91.43 $89.63 4979%
ELP-4   WIN (5/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $17.18 $9.18 115%
ELP-6   EXA (7/8/1/5)-(7/8/6/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-6 $33.84 $1.84 6%
ELP-9   WIN (5/1/7/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $17.94 $7.94 79%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($23.75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SILENT BREEZE 5 1 51¾ 51¼   31 1½ (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 15% 5.80 2.06 W
4  PERSONAL JET 2 6 62¼ 61½   42 2½ (newton troy)MONCADA IRVING 114 2.50 50% 1.00 1.18 P
6  BOTE 4 5 3.2 2nk   2nk 32 (deville j)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 4.83  
5  CHASIN' CHAFFIN 3 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 44 (cunningha)BEALMEAR C 119 5.00 7.37  
8  ATOMIC SNOW 6 3 41¼ 41¼   53½ 512¼ (pittman bonn)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 12.00 11% 8.40 12.93  
3  PULASKI 1 4 1nk 3.2   65½ 617 (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 14.31  
SCR  CAUSE IMA BOSS               (pittman b)CAMACHO JR 119 20.00    
SCR  GOLDEN GOAL               (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00    
 
ELP-2   07/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:112 1:232   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DUKE OF DUVAL 3 3 53 2nk 11 12 14½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 2.00 42% 1.40 1.47 W
  (by ARROGATE out of CHAOTIC CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  START TO WIN 2 2 42 51¾ 21 22 24½ (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 18% 4.50 5.66 P
  (by UPSTART out of HEAVEN KNOWS WHAT by HOLY BULL)
4  MONEY MAN 4 7 74½ 62¾ 42 33 35½ (heath g)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 46.44 S
  (by DIALED IN out of ORO BLANCO by HOLD FOR GOLD)
6  MISTER BANDERAS 6 4 2½ 31 32 43½ 48¼ (medina ro)TORRES A 124 6.00 ★ 5.02  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of C R VEXORA by GRAEME HALL)
5  FLY GUY MICK 5 6 63½ 73¼ 53½ 54½ 58¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 4.50 2.94  
  (by MCKINZIE out of RISE ABOVE by VIOLENCE)
1  COLONEL CALIENTE 1 1 31½ 41¼ 74¾ 76 69 (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 6.93  
  (by ARMY MULE out of ONE HOT SENORITA by SHARP HUMOR)
7  WARTANK 7 5 1½ 1nk 63¾ 66 711½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 9.99  
  (by TAPIT out of UNENCHANTEDEVENING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  MAJOR LEAGUE               (johnston la)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of ALPHA KITTEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
ELP-3   07/13/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($106K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:112 1:344   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TAPIT SHOES 3 3 41½ 42 42 31½ 12 (moger jr)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.00 ★ 7.33  
2  NOISES OFF 2 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 22 (lobo paul)TORRES A 122 4.50 3.04  
5  DEGREE OF RISK 4 4 52½ 53 53 43½ 35 (ramsey nolan)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00 5% 19.00 4.81 S
1  ST. ARMANDS KEY 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 45½ (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.00 60% 0.70 1.20  
6  AH JEEZ 5 5 31½ 31½ 31½ 53¾ 514½ (o'neill doug)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 3.55  
SCR  TALL BOY               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122 3.50    
 
ELP-4   07/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:234 :462 1:102 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CRITICAL THREAT 3 2 31½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 11¾ (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 123 10.00 17% 4.90 7.59 W
2  ICEATUDE 2 1 41½ 51¾ 32 31 21¾ (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.50 3.82  
5  SENSICAL 5 4 1½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 32¾ (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 123 3.50 37% 1.70 3.78 S
9  W W CRAZY 8 8 52 41¼ 42¼ 42½ 45½ (calhoun william)LANERIE J 123 8.00 4.40  
4  SITTIN ON GO 4 3 62¼ 62¾ 53¾ 54 55¾ (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 123 6.00 5.27  
1  COACH CAMPBELL 1 6 84¾ 74¼ 65¾ 65 68½ (miller kenny)MCKEE J 123 4.00 20% 4.00 3.84  
8  MR. PETERKIN 7 7 74¼ 85¼ 78¼ 78 720¾ (norris mike)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00 52.75  
7  SOUTHERN SUNSET 6 5 2½ 3.2 8100 8100 8100 (moquett r)BEALMEAR C 123 8.00 5% 19.00 8.08  
SCR  KHOZY MY BOY               (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 15.00    
 
ELP-5   07/13/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:211 :442 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ARGOS 5 6 54½ 42¾   31 1½ (mott riley)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 25.00 9.39  
  (by NYQUIST out of ATHENIAN by ACCLAMATION)
9  ZEUS'S ECHO 7 2 21 2nk   1nk 2½ (davis christop)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 8.45  
  (by BY MY STANDARDS out of REVEILLE'S ECHO by WAR FRONT)
10  EQUATOR 8 4 76 75¼   64 34¾ (harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.08 S
  (by BODEMEISTER out of SURGING STORM by STORM CREEK)
8  BIGGIEBIGGIEBIGGIE 6 5 33 32½   43 44¾ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 39% 1.60 3.72  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WILD ABOUT STAR by STAR GUITAR)
5  BARSTOOL 3 1 11 1nk   2nk 55¾ (vasque)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 109 15.00 8% 11.30 8.35  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of HOLLYWOOD HOOPLA by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
2  KHETAM 1 7 66 65¼   53½ 66¼ (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 119 25.00 13.38  
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of ELSAABIQAAT by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
3  GELATO 2 9 910½ 911¼   76½ 78½ (casse mar)TORRES A 119 4.50 30% 2.30 3.21  
  (by DANCE BRIGHTLY out of LAYREEBELLE by TALE OF THE CAT)
6  WAY BEYOND 4 8 88 87¼   87½ 812¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 ★ 6.14  
  (by ORDWAY (BRZ) out of BEYOND A DOUBT by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
12  POINT BARROW 9 3 44 53¾   97¾ 916 (murphy co)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 19.71  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of OUTRAGEOUS MISS by BERNARDINI)
SCR  EASY MUNNINGS               (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of AT EASE by CYCLOTRON)
SCR  FUZZY STARE               (ward wesley )DESORMEAUX J 119 2.50    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of BISTRO MONCUR by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  TWIRLING RIDGE               (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MACKENZIE CAPRI by ESKENDEREYA)
 
ELP-6   07/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($23.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:113 1:243   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BAOBAB 7 7 74¾ 62¼ 42 32 11½ (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 2.50 51% 1.00 1.58 W
6  ROCKET NIGHT 6 6 53 41¼ 2nk 21½ 21½ (newton troy)TORRES A 124 6.00 ★ 10.24 P
4  GOOD NEWS ROCKET 4 4 3½ 3.2 1nk 11½ 31¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 11.45  
2  STRATEGIST 2 2 41½ 51¼ 54 54 42½ (romero gregor)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 4.06  
1  BIGWRIGDUDE 1 1 2nk 2nk 31½ 42 52½ (burchell greg)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.84  
5  BLAKELY'S BOY 5 5 88¼ 85 66 65½ 64 (nesbitt amy)MCKEE J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 50.90  
8  HALFWAY TEMPTED 8 9 911¼ 97 98 78 710 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 5.00 23% 3.30 3.59  
9  STRAIGHTAWAY 9 8 64½ 72½ 87 89 812 (baker james)MONCADA IRVING 113 8.00 9.88  
3  SILVER SCREEN 3 3 1nk 1nk 76½ 911½ 933 (deville carl)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 20.00 58.44  
 
ELP-7   07/13/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:102 1:223   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PARIS SURPRISE 2 1 11 1½ 1nk 11 1½ (ramsey nolan)TORRES A 124 2.00 65% 0.50 1.66 W
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of WARM WATER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  TIMAYYYY 5 4 32 31 3½ 21 2½ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 ★ 3.62 P
  (by WAR FRONT out of BLACK DYNAMITE by MORE THAN READY)
2  MR BOBO 1 6 63½ 62½ 52¼ 41½ 31 (o'dwyer jeremia)LANERIE J 124 20.00 23.85  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of LADY JUNE BUG by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  WESTERN RUN (IRE) 4 3 42 41½ 4¾ 31 41 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 4.00 5.23  
  (by JUSTIFY out of RUN OF THE RIVER by TAPIT)
7  FREE SPIN 6 5 53 51½ 72½ 53 53¼ (mott rile)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.41  
  (by HARD SPUN out of KATHERINE'SKADENCE by MR. GREELEY)
8  SPORTS HERO 7 7 75 74 62¼ 63½ 64¼ (sharp joe)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.41  
  (by MUNNINGS out of OPEN HOUSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
4  RESTLESS RENEGADE 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 75 712 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 4.13  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of RESTLESS RIDER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  FRANKIE'S BOY               (miller jero)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of DONAMOUR by LANGFUHR)
 
ELP-8   07/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($102K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:092     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  REPUTATION 5 6 62¼ 52¼   2nk 11½ (delgado gustav)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 ★ 1.96  
6  FOIE GRAS 4 3 3.2 3½   1nk 21½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50 43% 1.30 3.47 P
3  DARE TO FLY 3 2 1nk 2nk   3.2 33 (damato phili)TORRES A 120 5.00 2.42  
2  PRETTY SURE 2 5 51¾ 42   42¼ 46½ (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 31% 2.20 2.56  
1  MISS ELLE 1 4 2nk 1nk   52¾ 58 (medina robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 15.71  
8  ST BERNADETTE 6 1 41¼ 63¼   68¾ 624 (holden dar)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00 52.37  
SCR  HEARTBEAT               (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00    
SCR  SCYTHIA               (king l)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
 
ELP-9   07/13/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:204 :432 :55     1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LITIGATION 10 6 44 33   1nk 13½ (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.97 W
9  INNOVATOR 9 2 66 57   41 23½ (nicholl se)TORRES A 118 5.00 3.07  
11  VESTURE 11 5 21½ 21½   2nk 35¼ (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 12.80  
1  FLOODLITES 1 4 34 45   51½ 45½ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.00 21% 3.80 2.50  
8  UNWORKABLE 8 1 11½ 11½   3½ 59¼ (acevedo i)CORREA L 124 12.00 47.38  
5  RISK IT 5 7 78½ 79½   78½ 610 (jacobson david)LANERIE J 122 5.00 33% 2.00 7.25  
2  CHRYSO ALOGO 2 9 89½ 811   68 716 (foster eric)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00 12.87  
3  JUSTIFREAK 3 8 1012 1014   811½ 816 (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.59  
6  GREATDAYFORHOCKEY 6 10 910 912   1013 917¾ (salas marcelin)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 25.00 98.25  
4  EL DANDI 4 3 54½ 67½   912 1018¼ (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 25.00 89.53  
7  SEND CASH 7 11 11100 11100   11100 11100 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 18% 4.50 3.94  
SCR  BRODY               (pompell robert)BEJARANO R 122 25.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.