Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Monday - July 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-2   WIN (8/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $7.68 $1.68 28%
ELP-3   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $7.76 $1.76 29%
    DD (8/7/6)-(3/7/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  8-3 $29.96 $11.96 66%
    PK3 (7/8/6/4)-(8/7/6)-(3/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-8-3 $21.76 $3.76 21%
ELP-8   WIN (6/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $17.60 $9.60 120%
ELP-9   DD (6/8/2/3)-(13/8/12/10/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-13 $81.80 $41.80 105%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:11 1:232   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BERMUDA BLITZ 7 5 42 41¾ 3.2 1½ 11¾ (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50 52% 0.90 2.40 W
5  GOOD BALI 5 7 66½ 53¾ 4¼ 2½ 21¾ (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 118 5.00 10.51  
4  IRON SHARPENS IRON 4 4 79 78¾ 63¼ 43½ 38½ (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.29 S
6  ANTHONIAN 6 3 3½ 3.2 2nk 33½ 410½ (morse l)LANERIE J 123 4.00 5% 19.00 3.95  
8  MORUNNING 8 6 2½ 2nk 51¼ 53¾ 512¾ (davis chri)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 19% 4.20 2.63  
2  GUARDIAN 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 65¼ 617 (hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00 6.58  
1  SPIRIT RAGS 1 2 53 63¾ 75¼ 77¼ 718 (salas marceli)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 17.29  
3  SPEED INSTITUTE 3 8 839 8100 8100 8100 8100 (salas marcelin)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 10.00 31.33  
 
ELP-2   07/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:22 :453 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GLORY ME 6 2 62½ 51¼   11 14 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 47% 1.10 2.84 W
  (by RAHY out of DIABLERIE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
4  KENZ 3 5 2½ 1nk   21 24 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 9.94  
  (by MCKINZIE out of MO KNOWS by UNCLE MO)
6  HYLLA 4 4 41½ 3½   32½ 35¼ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00 6% 15.30 5.53 S
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MYAWAYA by WICKED STRONG)
7  SEARCH PARTY 5 1 52½ 61¾   54½ 45¾ (casse mar)TORRES A 119 4.50 11% 8.10 4.28  
  (by SEEKING THE GOLD out of DEVIOUS CHARM by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  HOT AND DANGEROUS 7 3 72¾ 2nk   42½ 58 (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 5.00 2.83  
  (by BLAME out of WINDFALL PROFIT by MALIBU MOON)
1  GAGA'S GIRL 1 7 31 72¾   65 68¼ (hamm timoth)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 ★ 27.68  
  (by KNICKS GO out of FROZAY ALL DAY by FROSTED (GB))
3  INTEGRITY 2 6 1½ 4¾   711½ 732¾ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 3.48  
  (by WILD AGAIN out of WOLF TRAIL by SUPERBITY)
SCR  COLLECTIVE BEAUTY               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of BEAUTICIAN by DEHERE)
SCR  FLAMING MAMA               (sands shane)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MONEY FOR MAMA by STRONG MANDATE)
 
ELP-3   07/14/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:111 1:232   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RED ROSE ROCKIN 3 7 76½ 76½ 51¼ 2½ 12 (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 52% 0.90 2.88 W
8  THREE COINS 7 6 65½ 66 63¼ 64 22 (hancock john )MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00 5.86  
1  STORM BAY 1 5 53½ 45 31 53 32¼ (wismer gl)CAMACHO JR 123 5.00 ★ 1.66 S
6  TRAVAILLE 5 3 42½ 55 41¼ 31½ 43¼ (catalano wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00 4.22  
2  STREET PAINTER 2 1 21 34 1nk 1½ 54¾ (shorter aaro)TORRES A 123 12.00 5% 19.00 11.45  
5  JACKIE'S LOVE 4 2 32½ 23½ 2nk 42½ 68 (butcher james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 4.50 20.16  
7  MARIPOSA DE PISTA 6 4 11 13½ 74¾ 710 721 (foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 3.50 26% 2.90 7.74  
SCR  JUNGLE CAT               (mcvickers lama)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 10.00    
 
ELP-4   07/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($42.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:234 :46 1:102 1:23   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SOLID LEFT 2 2 1nk 22 2nk 2nk 1¼ (santamaria carlo)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00 5.83  
8  AIRBORNE ELITE 7 4 32 33½ 42¼ 31½ 2¼ (rice linda)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 3.50 47% 1.10 1.87 P
4  EVENING NEWS 3 1 2nk 12 1nk 1nk 3¾ (diodoro rob)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 6.00 3.52  
7  INTERLOCK EMPIRE 6 3 43 43½ 32 42½ 44½ (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 4.00 23% 3.40 6.24  
5  EXPLOSIVELY 4 6 54 55½ 53¾ 54 56 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 123 4.50 ★ 3.81  
1  MUGATU 1 7 77 79½ 78¾ 78 613¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 12.00 11.53  
6  WHERE'S RANDY 5 5 65 66½ 65¾ 66 714¼ (morse l)LANERIE J 123 15.00 5% 19.00 13.06  
SCR  NATIONAL ECLIPSE               (williamson b)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.50    
 
ELP-5   07/14/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:11 1:23   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OAK ALLEY 5 7 83¾ 83¾ 41¾ 5¾ 1nk (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 43% 1.30 1.42 W
2  RISKY WAVE 2 2 73¾ 63½ 52¾ 1nk 2nk (arnold geor)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 8.75  
5  DAWN AFTER DAWN 4 4 51¾ 31½ 21½ 2nk 3¼ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.84 S
12  LES IS BEST 10 11 105¾ 94¼ 64¼ 4¾ 4½ (foster eric)LANERIE J 118 6.00 ★ 7.33  
1  DANCING EYES 1 1 1nk 11½ 11½ 3.2 54 (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 118 12.00 10.68  
10  DARK THIRTY (IRE) 8 9 95¼ 104¾ 106¾ 74¾ 65¼ (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 27.74  
13  FASCINATOR 11 5 62¾ 73¾ 74¾ 62¾ 76¼ (moger jr)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 30% 2.30 7.99  
7  BIG AIR 6 6 31 52½ 96¾ 86¾ 89¾ (maker michae)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 8.89  
3  AHAMO 3 3 2nk 21½ 85¾ 98¾ 916½ (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 18.73  
8  REIGN CHAMPAGNE 7 8 41¼ 42 31½ 109¼ 1017 (scherer m)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 19.43  
11  WARM DAYS 9 10 1117¾ 1121¾ 1136¾ 1159¼ 11100 (johnston lane )SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 55.51  
SCR  SUPER MAXIMA               (seglin lu)BEALMEAR C 118 30.00    
SCR  THEATRIX               (arnold ge)TORRES A 118 8.00    
 
ELP-6   07/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:213 :44 1:081     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TURN UP THE TREES 2 3 21 2nk   12 1¾ (jacobson dav)TORRES A 122 3.00 ★ 4.09  
7  MIACOMET 4 5 43 32   32 2¾ (esquivel gu)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 15.00 5.39  
9  PAYNE 5 1 59 57½   44½ 32½ (foster er)TORRES A 122 6.00 2.62  
1  UNCASHED 1 4 11 1nk   22 47¼ (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 124 2.00 39% 1.60 0.91  
5  TRUST DADDY 3 2 33 42½   57 517 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 20.00 10% 9.00 15.55  
SCR  BALSA               (shorter aar)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00    
SCR  BARKSDALE               (walden wil)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
SCR  COWAN               (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 5.00    
SCR  GET HER NUMBER               (miller peter)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
 
ELP-7   07/14/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:211 :44 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SHE'Z THE LAW 8 5 42½ 42   31½ 11 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.50 ★ 8.37  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BACK FLIP by SUPER SAVER)
2  LUCY MCGEE 2 2 2½ 2½   1nk 21 (lovell miche)TORRES A 119 3.00 22% 3.60 2.26 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIZANILLUSION by TIZWAY)
7  DEBT FREE 6 6 74½ 74½   64 31 (devaux cheri)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 28% 2.50 8.06 S
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BREAK EVEN by COUNTRY DAY)
8  CUT TO THE CHASE 7 1 1½ 1½   2nk 41½ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.00 10% 8.80 2.88  
  (by CONCORDE'S TUNE out of THIRD DOUBLE by NODOUBLE)
1  HI'IAKA 1 7 64 63½   53½ 53½ (salas felipe)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 18.41  
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUA MULAN by MALIBU MOON)
5  MAGICAL DAY 4 3 31 31½   43 63¾ (walsh bre)TORRES A 119 4.00 10% 9.50 5.60  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SEA OF BLUE by MIDSHIPMAN)
11  DASHIN' DIVA 10 4 53 53   74½ 73¾ (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 119 15.00 10.65  
  (by CARACARO out of GIANTS DIVA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  TYPHOON TAFFY 9 8 96 95½   85 86 (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 25.00 16.60  
  (by AM ALL CHARGED UP out of TRAFFIC DRONE by JUDGE POWER)
6  ADULARE 5 9 108 107   97 97¼ (grubbs ja)LEPAROUX R 119 25.00 64.26  
  (by MCKINZIE out of SIP SIP by SIPHON (BRZ))
12  BRAVE SAMANTHA 11 10 119½ 119   118¾ 1010 (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 30.00 49.61  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LITTLE HIDDEN GEM by BODEMEISTER)
4  MOSCATO BABE 3 11 84½ 84½   108½ 1110¼ (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 20.00 18.66  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SWEET PARANG by FIRST DEFENCE)
SCR  STORMY PARADISE               (moger jr)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of AVIE'S PARADISE by TASTE OF PARADISE)
 
ELP-8   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  REGAL REY 1 7 76¾ 64¼   52¼ 1nk (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 122 8.00 12% 7.00 7.80 W
5  AJAAYB 4 1 1nk 1nk   11 2nk (esquivel gu)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 8.00 4.08  
8  BOURBON'S FAULT 7 5 64¼ 52¾   41¼ 31¼ (shorter aaro)TORRES A 122 3.50 28% 2.60 4.03 S
4  GOLDENTOWN 3 6 54¼ 42¾   31 41½ (jones jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 5.08  
6  MIRACLE WORKER 5 3 2nk 2nk   21 54¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 28% 2.60 1.93  
9  VIKING 8 2 3.2 3.2   63¼ 66 (morse l)LANERIE J 122 6.00 5.63  
3  RIVER RIDGE 2 8 88¼ 87   75¾ 712¼ (johnston lane )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 40.78  
7  BRODY 6 4 42¾ 74½   87¼ 813¼ (pompell robert)GRAHAM J 122 30.00 42.12  
SCR  STONEHENGE               (davis chri)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
 
ELP-9   07/14/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:121 1:241   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  KULAPAT 11 11 109½ 106¾ 63¼ 2nk 12¾ (mott william)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 20% 4.00 2.69 W
1  MAGNIFICENT RAGS 1 8 65 64 53¼ 51¼ 22¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 124 10.00 7.19  
2  FROSTY BEER 2 6 43½ 42½ 31½ 31 33½ (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 10.49  
10  WHERE Y'AT 9 9 98 85 96 63¼ 46 (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 13% 6.90 20.95  
4  STEEL VENOM 3 5 12 11 1nk 1nk 56¼ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5.48  
8  HAMLET 7 1 76½ 74 84 73½ 66½ (mott riley)TORRES A 118 5.00 19% 4.20 8.61  
9  BIG ROG 8 7 87 95¼ 108 104½ 76¾ (king l)MORALES EDGAR 118 25.00 5% 19.00 29.96  
5  EDIFICE 4 4 22 21 2nk 41¼ 87¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.00 7.30  
7  TOM CAT TUESDAY 6 2 33 31½ 41¾ 84 910 (maker j)LANERIE J 118 6.00 7.07  
6  SOUTHERN BULLET 5 3 54½ 53 73¾ 94½ 1011 (begley greg)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 15.00 78.62  
12  MULA 10 10 1124½ 11100 11100 11100 11100 (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 15% 5.80 6.18  
SCR  BRAVITAS               (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
SCR  SUMMER VIBES               (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00    
SCR  WINDTALKER               (wojczynski justin)MURGIA A 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.