Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Friday - July 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-6   WIN (5/9/11/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $19.72 $9.72 97%
    DD (7/2/1/11/9)-(5/9/11/10/6) 25 $2.00 $50.00  2-10 $95.60 $45.60 91%
ELP-9   WIN (4/2/5/12/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $18.48 $8.48 85%
    DD (8/2/6/4)-(4/2/5/12/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-2 $57.00 $17.00 43%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  YUMA'S SHADOW 2 4 42½ 1½   11 14½ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00 4.23  
4  LOIS' COURAGE 4 1 32 41   21 24½ (morse ran)BEALMEAR C 122 3.50 57% 0.80 2.30 P
6  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS 6 5 21 2½   32½ 38½ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 1.20 0.95  
1  STARCOURT 1 2 53½ 54   55½ 410¼ (roberson dennis)LANERIE J 122 6.00 6% 15.90 8.15  
3  RACING THE LIGHT 3 3 11 31   44 518¼ (campbell joel)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00 17.12  
5  REDHEADEDSTRANGER 5 6 64 66½   69½ 621 (nesbit)ORTEGA JOSEPH 122 15.00 5% 19.00 22.45  
 
ELP-2   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:223 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MOLTO VIVACE 5 1 1½ 1½   12½ 11¾ (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.50 24% 3.20 1.02 W
2  TRIKITRAKI 2 5 45 44   34 21¾ (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 122 10.00 12.23  
3  GO WEST 3 4 32½ 33½   44 33¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.50 27% 2.70 3.63 S
4  VAGABOND SHOES 4 2 2½ 2½   22½ 45 (melton chris)CEDILLO ABEL 122 5.00 15% 5.60 1.86  
1  J W RUCKUS 1 3 56½ 58½   59 59¼ (livers charl)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 10.00 11.94  
SCR  MOBSTER GUN               (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
SCR  MY GRASS IS BLUE               (west aaron )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00    
 
ELP-3   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:221 :443 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TRANSATLANTIC 3 4 41½ 43½   31 11¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00 5.92  
8  RATIONAL THEORY 7 1 2½ 21½   2½ 21¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50 18% 4.50 1.80 P
6  DIAGRAM 5 2 1½ 11½   1½ 34¾ (calhoun willia)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 40% 1.50 1.94 S
7  REYA SUNSHINE 6 5 52 55½   55 46½ (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 5.07  
4  ROCKAWAY REEF 4 3 76½ 710   67½ 57¼ (miller kenny)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 10.00 13% 6.80 15.71  
2  LINDY CAN 2 7 31 32½   43 67¾ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
1  B D'S ANGEL 1 6 64 67½   79 714 (duvall william)ROCCO S 120 30.00 19.39  
SCR  ADALENE               (salas marce)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00    
SCR  LOVE'S THE ANSWER               (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
 
ELP-4   07/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:10 1:214   1:333   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CANDY BAR 5 6 11 11 1½ 12 11½ (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 3.20  
4  WINNING STREEP 4 5 54 52½ 42 32 21½ (servis c)LANERIE J 118 2.00 33% 2.00 1.55 P
1  MISSY BEE 1 4 65½ 64 63½ 63¼ 31½ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00 33% 2.00 6.55 S
2  COTILLARD 2 3 21 32 52 42½ 43¾ (seglin lu)BEALMEAR C 118 20.00 5% 19.00 24.54  
3  FAITH UNDERSTOOD 3 1 43 42 31½ 53 54 (hancock dana)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 3.50 3.07  
6  UNION MIST 6 2 31½ 21 2½ 22 64¾ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 123 2.50 5.04  
 
ELP-5   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($31.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MINK STOLE 1 6 21½ 21   2½ 1hd (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.50 22% 3.50 3.33 W
5  REST OF THE WORLD 4 1 11½ 11   1½ 2hd (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 3.26  
11  CRUISE MISSILE 10 10 83¾ 75   56½ 37 (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 11% 8.00 5.70 S
7  MY FAVORITE GIRL 6 5 42 33   35 49½ (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 5.00 26% 2.90 12.31  
8  MIDNIGHT MUSE 7 2 93¾ 86   88¾ 510 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 4.17  
9  RHYTHM AND BRUISE 8 9 73¼ 64½   46½ 611¼ (rider david )MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00 5% 19.00 21.14  
6  UNION DAME 5 4 52½ 108   99¼ 712¼ (labra roge)ANDERSON MCKENNA 124 10.00 31.37  
3  RUSH TO GLORY 2 3 63 44   77¼ 812¼ (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 5.12  
4  STERLING CLASS 3 7 32 54½   67 913½ (baker james)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 20.00 31.56  
10  FUNDING SOURCE 9 8 104¾ 96½   109¾ 1017¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 15.83  
SCR  HARD TO GET               (foley gre)TORRES A 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
 
ELP-6   07/04/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:104 1:344   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BALTIMORE HEART 9 4 34½ 36 42 32½ 11¼ (williamson b)GEROUX FLORENT 123 12.00 8% 11.40 8.86 W
1  RULOOKINFORRAYRAY 1 2 22 23½ 2½ 21½ 21¼ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 4.65  
4  NON FUNGIBLE 4 1 12 13½ 1½ 11½ 31¾ (dalton michelle)JUAREZ NIK 113 30.00 44.94  
9  POOL GUY 8 8 67 68½ 52½ 54½ 44 (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 123 4.00 18% 4.60 2.65  
3  SHORTSTOP 3 3 45 58 63½ 65½ 56¾ (colebrook)TORRES A 123 10.00 8.06  
8  GOOD POINT 7 6 89½ 710½ 74½ 77 67 (kaufeld krist)CANUTO THIAGO 123 15.00 65.40  
11  BRAVE BLEND 10 5 55½ 46½ 31½ 44½ 77¾ (morse l)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 4.50 9% 10.70 2.49  
2  GHOST PRINCE 2 9 910½ 911½ 96 98½ 88½ (quartarolo a)BARBOSA CARLOS 125 12.00 32.10  
5  SHATTUCK 5 10 1014 1014 107½ 108¾ 98¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 6.00 35% 1.80 6.26  
6  TRAIN AND TRUST 6 7 78 810½ 85 88 109¾ (langemeie)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 6% 15.10 15.96  
SCR  GAME POINT               (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00    
 
ELP-7   07/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STRONG POTENTIAL 6 2 3½ 3½   32 1½ (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 119 4.50 ★ 2.93  
  (by YAUPON out of TWO FOR ONE by SUPER SAVER)
10  MAYWEATHER 10 4 2½ 2nk   11½ 2½ (mccarthy mich)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 24% 3.20 5.18 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UPPERCUT by DISCREET CAT)
5  MR. VAGGIO 5 9 62¼ 62½   42 31 (hancock john )MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 6.38 DQ↓6
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SUNSET PROMISE by BROKEN VOW)
11  WAR SPIRIT 11 3 1½ 1nk   21½ 41¾ (nicholl sebast)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00 7.50  
  (by WAR EAGLE out of FORONCENMYLIFETIME by CAPTAIN COUNTDOWN)
9  MISINFORMATION 9 7 52 52   54 52½ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 5.48  
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  SENSE OF FREEDOM 4 1 41½ 41½   64¼ 64 (seglin lu)BEALMEAR C 119 20.00 22.36  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of COMPLETE SENSE by STREET SENSE)
3  SIR VINCENT 3 5 72¼ 74   76¾ 75¾ (hancock l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 23% 3.30 10.57  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LADY TULA by BIG SURF)
8  THROTTLE 8 8 117¼ 109   87¾ 86¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.15  
  (by A.P. INDY out of PRINCESINHA JULIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
1  WESTERN WARRIOR 1 10 84¾ 86   98¼ 99½ (casse mar)TORRES A 119 4.00 29% 2.40 5.77  
  (by IQBAAL out of DEB N DIANE by FLOWER ALLEY)
7  DURABLE 7 6 95¾ 96½   109¼ 1010½ (torres mar)HERNANDEZ N 119 30.00 66.53  
  (by BEST JEST out of CARESSABLE by SIR NASKRA)
2  INSTASTAR 2 11 106¼ 1115   1121¼ 1136 (retana ga)TROXTELL BRITTANY 109 30.00 5% 19.00 63.73  
  (by INSTAGRAND out of TIJORI by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
 
ELP-8   07/04/2025 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Dade Park Dash Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :443 :553     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TROUBLESHOOTING 1 3 31½ 41¼   3½ 12¼ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 19% 4.20 2.01 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  BRIDLE A BUTTERFLY 5 5 63 62¾   62¾ 22¼ (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 5.18  
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of SLY STORM by STORM CAT)
8  CHASING LIBERTY 6 7 52½ 52¾   42½ 32¼ (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 25% 3.00 2.78 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PEACEFUL by DECLARATION OF WAR)
5  STAR'S IMAGE 3 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 42¾ (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 2.79  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of BO'S IMAGE by TAPIT)
4  COMING IN HOT 2 6 2½ 2nk   1nk 54¼ (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 20.31  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ALLIANNA by FLAT OUT)
6  HIT THAT REVIEW (IRE) 4 4 41½ 31   52¾ 65½ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 14% 6.20 23.16  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of TAMAZUG by MACHIAVELLIAN)
9  DREAMINBLUE 7 2 74 73   73¼ 75¾ (morse ran)TORRES A 118 6.00 8.78  
  (by STREET BOSS out of DREAMY BLUES by CURLIN)
SCR  KALE'S ANGEL               (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of LOVE AFFAIR by KNIGHT)
SCR  ROLANDO               (gutierrez)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of MIXTECA by TAPIZAR)
 
ELP-9   07/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:092 1:211   1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LEBOWSKI 2 3 42 31½ 42¼ 41¼ 1¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 6.00 12% 7.10 8.24 W
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of BECKY'S BEST by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  JOHNY'S RENDEZVOUS 6 2 31½ 41¾ 3.2 1nk 2¼ (bauer a)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 11.91  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ROMANTIC INTENTION by SUAVE)
4  SWIRLING EIGHTS 4 1 2nk 1nk 2nk 2nk 31½ (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 62% 0.60 0.58 S
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HACHI by SEEKING THE DIA)
6  BITE AND STRIKE 5 5 1nk 2nk 1nk 3.2 41½ (mott i)LANERIE J 118 6.00 ★ 7.94  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BERNADETTA by BERNARDINI)
12  LIMITED EDITION 11 6 84½ 75¼ 73¾ 53¼ 51¾ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 23.17  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NONSENSICAL by STREET SENSE)
10  GOLD SOVEREIGN 9 10 106 117½ 95¼ 84½ 64 (brown cha)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.45  
  (by STEPHEN GOT EVEN out of GOLDEN INDEED by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
9  FIVE STAR LOVE 8 11 117 107½ 105¾ 96 75½ (dutrow e)JUAREZ NIK 118 12.00 26.79  
  (by VIOLENCE out of TOUGH IRMA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  RITUAL 7 4 52½ 53¾ 52¾ 63¼ 86¼ (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 32.88  
  (by DANZIG CONNECTION out of SECRET AGENDA by NOT FOR LOVE)
1  SEND COINS 1 8 95 85½ 62¾ 74¼ 96¾ (mcvickers )HERNANDEZ N 124 30.00 34.88  
  (by COLLECTED out of TEN COINS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  CITY OF LIFE 3 9 63 63¾ 84¾ 106½ 109¾ (wismer glenn)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 45.70  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FACT OF LIFE by THE FACTOR)
11  SERGEANT CAPPS 10 7 74 96 117¾ 119½ 1116¾ (sweezey ken)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 24.12  
  (by WEST COAST out of PRIVATE ESTATE by PRIVATE TALK)
SCR  BRUSHFIRE               (ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of ETERNAL PEACE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  FREE ADVICE               (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
SCR  MR BOBO               (o'dwyer jeremia)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of LADY JUNE BUG by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  PROFOUND               (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FLUSH by VIOLENCE)
SCR  WESTERN RUN (IRE)               (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of RUN OF THE RIVER by TAPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.