Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Friday - July 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(3/6/4)-(6/8/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ELP-2   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(6/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(6/8/4/2)-(4/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ELP-3   WIN (6/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/4/2)-(4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/2)-(4/1/2)-(7/2/1/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ELP-4   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(7/2/1/11/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(7/2/1/11/9)-(5/9/11/10/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
ELP-5   WIN (7/2/1/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/11/9)-(7/2/1/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/11/9)-(7/2/1/11/9)-(7/2/1/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/1/11/9)-(5/9/11/10/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/11/9)-(5/9/11/10/6)-(1/10/3/8/2) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
ELP-6   WIN (5/9/11/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/11/10/6)-(5/9/11/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/11/10/6)-(5/9/11/10/6)-(5/9/11/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/11/10/6)-(1/10/3/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/9/11/10/6)-(1/10/3/8/2)-(8/2/6/4) 100 $0.50 $300 
ELP-7   WIN (1/10/3/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/3/8/2)-(1/10/3/6/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (1/10/3/8/2)-(1/10/3/6/8/2)-(1/10/3/6/8/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (1/10/3/8/2)-(8/2/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/10/3/8/2)-(8/2/6/4)-(4/2/5/12/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
ELP-8   WIN (8/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/4)-(8/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/4)-(8/2/6/4)-(8/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/4)-(4/2/5/12/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ELP-9   WIN (4/2/5/12/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/12/10)-(4/2/5/6/12/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/12/10)-(4/2/5/6/12/10)-(4/2/5/6/12/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARCOURT Apr29 Apr11 Mar17 Feb12 Jan16 (roberson dennis)LANERIE J 122 6.00 6% 15.90    
2  YUMA'S SHADOW Jun04 Mar29 Mar08 Jan16 Apr19 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00    
3  RACING THE LIGHT Jun05 May15 Oct24 Sep08   (campbell joel)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00    
4  LOIS' COURAGE Apr26 Mar05 Oct28 Sep30   (morse ran)BEALMEAR C 122 3.50 57% 0.80    
5  REDHEADEDSTRANGER Mar28 Mar13 Feb28 Jan29 Dec28 (nesbit)ORTEGA JOSEPH 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS May29 Apr11 Mar13 Oct16 May04 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20    
 
ELP-2   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J W RUCKUS Jun10 May27 May14 May05 Mar19 (livers charl)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 10.00    
2  TRIKITRAKI Jun13 May29 May15 May03 Apr18 (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 122 10.00    
3  GO WEST May02 Apr24 Apr06 Mar08 Jan31 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  VAGABOND SHOES May29 Mar12 Jan30 Jan03 Dec20 (melton chris)CEDILLO ABEL 122 5.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  MY GRASS IS BLUE Jun11 Mar07 Feb07 Oct14 Sep13 (west aaron )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00    
6  MOLTO VIVACE Apr09 Dec07 Nov20 Jun28 May27 (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  MOBSTER GUN Aug22 May26 May10 Mar13 Feb16 (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
 
ELP-3   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B D'S ANGEL Jun14 May10 Apr07 Mar22   (duvall william)ROCCO S 120 30.00    
2  LINDY CAN Jun11 May17 Apr24     (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRANSATLANTIC         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
4  ROCKAWAY REEF Jun04 May16 Apr09 Mar21 Feb21 (miller kenny)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 10.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  ADALENE May19 Mar07 Feb21 Jan26 Dec27 (salas marce)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00    
6  DIAGRAM Jun05 Nov02 Oct10 Sep08 Aug10 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  REYA SUNSHINE Jun07 May09 Mar06 Jan27   (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
8  RATIONAL THEORY Jun07 Apr19 Mar22 Jan18 Nov15 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  LOVE'S THE ANSWER Oct06 Sep24 Sep04 Aug14   (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
 
ELP-4   07/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSY BEE May17 Apr23 Mar22 Feb22 Feb06 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00 33% 2.00    
2  COTILLARD Jun11 May15 Apr16 Nov30 Nov07 (seglin e)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  FAITH UNDERSTOOD May29 Apr23 Jan25 Nov29 Jun01 (hancock dana)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 3.50    
4  WINNING STREEP Jan04 Nov28 Nov02 Oct13 Sep08 (servis c)LANERIE J 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  CANDY BAR May30 Apr18 Feb06 Dec28 Nov28 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00    
6  UNION MIST Nov13 Oct17 Sep14 Jun28 Jun01 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50    
 
ELP-5   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($31.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HARD TO GET May30         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
2  MINK STOLE May26 May11 Apr11 Mar21 Feb21 (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  RUSH TO GLORY Jun04 May11 Mar30 Jan19 Oct26 (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
4  STERLING CLASS Jan23         (baker james)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 20.00    
5  REST OF THE WORLD Jun15 Oct25 Sep24     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
6  UNION DAME May18 Apr29 Apr13 Mar22 Feb17 (labra roge)ANDERSON MCKENNA 124 10.00    
7  MY FAVORITE GIRL Mar20 Feb27 Feb14 Dec07 Nov09 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
8  MIDNIGHT MUSE May11 Apr09 Mar12 Feb13 Feb01 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00    
9  RHYTHM AND BRUISE         (rider david )MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  FUNDING SOURCE Jun15 May01 Feb01     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00    
11  CRUISE MISSILE Jun07 May11 Apr12 Feb15 Jan26 (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 11% 8.00    
 
ELP-6   07/04/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RULOOKINFORRAYRAY Apr23 Mar27 Feb14 Jan31 Nov08 (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
2  GHOST PRINCE Jun20 May15 Apr29 Sep26 Sep12 (quartarolo a)BARBOSA CARLOS 125 12.00    
3  SHORTSTOP Jun13 May01 Apr06 Feb13 Jan15 (colebrook)TORRES A 123 10.00    
4  NON FUNGIBLE May28 May15 Apr23 Feb15 Nov18 (dalton mich)POSTON K 113 30.00    
5  SHATTUCK Jun26 May22 Mar28 Mar09 Feb03 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 6.00 35% 1.80    
6  TRAIN AND TRUST Feb26 Feb07 Jan15 Dec06 Oct25 (langemeier john)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  GAME POINT Jun12 May01 Mar07 Feb15 Dec21 (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00    
8  GOOD POINT Nov29 Nov08 Oct18 Oct04 Sep06 (kaufeld krist)CANUTO THIAGO 123 15.00    
9  POOL GUY May27 Mar14 Sep12 Jul27 May23 (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 123 4.00 18% 4.60    
10  BALTIMORE HEART May27 Mar18 Feb01 Nov06 Oct07 (williamson b)GEROUX FLORENT 123 12.00 8% 11.40    
11  BRAVE BLEND May29 May09 Mar21 Mar02 Feb01 (morse l)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 4.50 9% 10.70    
 
ELP-7   07/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN WARRIOR         (casse mar)TORRES A 119 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by IQBAAL out of DEB N DIANE by FLOWER ALLEY)
2  INSTASTAR         (retana ga)TROXTELL BRITTANY 109 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of TIJORI by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
3  SIR VINCENT May23 Apr18       (hancock l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 23% 3.30    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LADY TULA by BIG SURF)
4  SENSE OF FREEDOM Jun12 May23 Apr10     (seglin e)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of COMPLETE SENSE by STREET SENSE)
5  MR. VAGGIO         (hancock john )MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SUNSET PROMISE by BROKEN VOW)
6  STRONG POTENTIAL         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 ★    
  (by YAUPON out of TWO FOR ONE by SUPER SAVER)
7  DURABLE         (torres mar)HERNANDEZ N 119 30.00    
  (by BEST JEST out of CARESSABLE by SIR NASKRA)
8  THROTTLE         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by A.P. INDY out of PRINCESINHA JULIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  MISINFORMATION         (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  MAYWEATHER         (mccarthy mich)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UPPERCUT by DISCREET CAT)
11  WAR SPIRIT         (nicholl sebast)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00    
  (by WAR EAGLE out of FORONCENMYLIFETIME by CAPTAIN COUNTDOWN)
 
ELP-8   07/04/2025 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Dade Park Dash Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KALE'S ANGEL Jun29 May02 Mar22 Jan18 Jan04 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of LOVE AFFAIR by KNIGHT)
2  TROUBLESHOOTING Jun11 May16 Apr10 Nov23 Nov01 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 19% 4.20    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  ROLANDO Apr07 Mar15 Mar02 Feb01 Dec07 (gutierrez)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of MIXTECA by TAPIZAR)
4  COMING IN HOT Jun06 Apr30 Mar22 Feb22 Jan04 (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ALLIANNA by FLAT OUT)
5  STAR'S IMAGE Jun06 Jan04 Dec16 Nov22   (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of BO'S IMAGE by TAPIT)
6  HIT THAT REVIEW (IRE) May16 Mar29 Jan01 Nov29 Oct19 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 14% 6.20    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of TAMAZUG by MACHIAVELLIAN)
7  BRIDLE A BUTTERFLY Jun06 Apr30 Mar14 Nov02 Oct11 (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of SLY STORM by STORM CAT)
8  CHASING LIBERTY May14 Apr07 Mar01 Jan25 Nov01 (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PEACEFUL by DECLARATION OF WAR)
9  DREAMINBLUE Jun06 Mar21 Feb23 Jan25 Dec29 (morse ran)TORRES A 118 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of DREAMY BLUES by CURLIN)
 
ELP-9   07/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEND COINS May29 May03 Mar19     (mcvickers )HERNANDEZ N 124 30.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TEN COINS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  LEBOWSKI Jun15 May11 Apr13 Mar05 Feb13 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 6.00 12% 7.10    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of BECKY'S BEST by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  CITY OF LIFE         (wismer glenn)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FACT OF LIFE by THE FACTOR)
4  SWIRLING EIGHTS May11 Jan04 Dec07 Oct27 Sep28 (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 62% 0.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HACHI by SEEKING THE DIA)
SCR  BRUSHFIRE Jun14 Apr13 Mar22 Mar05 Feb01 (ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of ETERNAL PEACE by WAR FRONT)
6  BITE AND STRIKE Mar02 Jan04 Dec01     (mott i)LANERIE J 118 6.00 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BERNADETTA by BERNARDINI)
7  JOHNY'S RENDEZVOUS Jun08 Oct12 Sep08 Aug17   (bauer a)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ROMANTIC INTENTION by SUAVE)
8  RITUAL Jun01         (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
  (by DANZIG CONNECTION out of SECRET AGENDA by NOT FOR LOVE)
9  FIVE STAR LOVE Feb22         (dutrow e)JUAREZ NIK 118 12.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TOUGH IRMA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
10  GOLD SOVEREIGN         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STEPHEN GOT EVEN out of GOLDEN INDEED by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
11  SERGEANT CAPPS Apr26 Apr08 Jan04 Oct27 Oct04 (sweezey ken)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of PRIVATE ESTATE by PRIVATE TALK)
12  LIMITED EDITION May15 Jan18 Dec21 Oct27 Sep21 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NONSENSICAL by STREET SENSE)
SCR  MR BOBO         (o'dwyer jeremia)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of LADY JUNE BUG by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  FREE ADVICE Jan18 Jan04 Dec01 Nov14   (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
SCR  PROFOUND May02 Jul20       (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FLUSH by VIOLENCE)
SCR  WESTERN RUN (IRE) May26 Apr19 Mar07 Jan08 Oct18 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of RUN OF THE RIVER by TAPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.