Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Saturday - July 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-3   WIN (4/6/5/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $14.24 $4.24 42%
    EXA (4/6/5/10/1)-(4/6/5/10/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-10 $97.12 $57.12 143%
    TRI (4/6/5/10/1)-(4/6/5/10/1)-(4/6/5/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-10-1 $158.71 $128.71 429%
    SFT (4/6/5/10/1)-(4/6/5/10/1)-(4/6/5/10/1)-(4/6/5/10/1) 120 $0.10 $12.00  6-10-1-5 $174.36 $162.36 1353%
    SHF (4/6/5/10/1)-(4/6/5/10/1)-(4/6/5/10/1)-(4/6/5/10/1)-(4/6/5/10/1) 120 $1.00 $120  6-10-1-5-4 $2883 $2763 2303%
ELP-7   WIN (8/11/7/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $45.40 $35.40 354%
    DD (12/5/3/2/1)-(8/11/7/3/6) 25 $2.00 $50.00  3-6 $185.30 $135.30 271%
ELP-9   WIN (11/2/12/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $25.30 $17.30 216%
    EXA (11/2/12/3)-(11/2/12/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-12 $157.10 $133.10 555%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/26/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.25K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUCALE 2 4 4 42   1½ 1 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 1.00 45% 1.20 0.92 W
FAVORITE OUTLAW 3 1 1nk 1½   2½ 2 (crichton ro)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 3.50 23% 3.40 1.51 P
GO WEST 4 2 53 5   42 3 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 10.00 9.54  
PRETTY FAST 5 3 3½ 31   32 4 (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 10.82  
KNICKS STORY 1 5 2nk 2½   5 5 (ramirez-rod)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 7.69  
SCR  TRIKITRAKI               (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 122 12.00    
SCR  ZOOMBIE               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 10.00    
 
ELP-2   07/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFENDING ALBERT 5 1 2nk 1nk   1 1 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 4.92  
ZECA DIABO 7 7 7 42   2 2 (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 2.29  
THREE ECHOES 1 6 4 31   3 3 (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 20% 3.90 7.37 S
AIR CAV 6 8 8 8   45 4 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 122 8.00 8% 11.70 5.93  
DEVILISH DESIRE 3 4 6 7   77 515¼ (west ethan )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.50 37% 1.70 3.75  
10  SOUTHERN PASS TIME 8 5 5 6   6 616 (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00 93.27  
HIGH PROBABILITY 2 3 1nk 2nk   55 717¼ (newton troy)MONCADA IRVING 113 12.00 5% 19.00 4.36  
11  ENOUGH ALREADY 9 9 9 9   8 820¾ (parker donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 10% 9.50 16.69  
WAR DEPT CALLING 4 2 3.2 5   9 925¾ (foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 30.00 79.57  
SCR  EASY FAST               (divito p)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
SCR  PIERCE ELEVATED               (salas marcelino)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00    
 
ELP-3   07/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($31.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG SALT LICK 5 9 8 5   2 11 (andrade hugo)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 23% 3.30 6.12 W
10  WHEN SMOKEY SINGS 9 2 1nk 11   1 21 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.88 P
CAJUN CRUISER 1 7 3 31   3 33 (roberson dennis)LANERIE J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 3.41 S
NICO'S DERBY RUN 4 5 5 6   43 4 (dutrow e)JUAREZ NIK 119 6.00 13% 6.50 7.40  
SOLEVO 3 3 6 7   5 5 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 3.50 38% 1.60 6.90  
ACTIVITY 2 8 9 9   87 6 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 8.05  
GROUND SHAKER 8 4 4 42   6 7 (mcvickers lama)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 30.00 71.12  
SKYLER 7 6 2nk 21   7 810¼ (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 4.50 1.94  
FOX CREEK 6 1 7 8   9 920½ (carv)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 20.00 ######  
SCR  CAT FAST               (rice linda)TORRES A 119 4.00    
 
ELP-4   07/26/2025 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:121 1:354   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING CURLIN 4 5 98 95 9 61 1¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 4.50 3.48  
CALLER 7 8 87 85 8 8 2¼ (harty eoin)POSTON K 113 2.00 38% 1.70 5.97 P
10  BALTIMORE HEART 9 9 7 7 3.2 1nk 3¾ (williamson b)GEROUX FLORENT 125 12.00 12% 7.20 7.87 S
DOUBLE NEAT 2 2 32 3 5 3½ 42 (van tho)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 11% 8.20 5.66  
BROWN LIQUOR MAN 6 6 4 42 4 5¾ 52 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.50 17% 4.90 2.58  
RAISING KANE 8 7 54 6 73 7 63 (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 120 30.00 30.07  
DBOOK 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 2nk 7 (ortiz a)TORRES A 118 30.00 21.52  
TWO BEERS BY TEN 3 3 6 5 6 9 8 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 4.10  
TRULY LEGIT 5 4 21 2½ 2nk 4¾ 9 (davis christop)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 30.56  
SCR  D DAY REUNION               (mcgovern shannon)PRESCOTT R 123 30.00    
SCR  ITSINMYBLOOD               (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
 
ELP-5   07/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTRARY 2 7 7 6   4 11 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 20.44  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of RANDY NANCE by DIXIELAND BAND)
QUICK TO CHARM 5 3 2nk 2nk   1½ 21 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.55 P
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TROPHY GIRL by TALC)
BODACIOUS BEAUTY 6 4 31 3½   2½ 32 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 11.71  
  (by VIOLENCE out of BODACIOUS BABE by MINESHAFT)
TEMPERATE 1 6 4 5   5 4 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 51% 1.00 1.72  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SPRING IN THE AIR by SPRING AT LAST)
10  LOVE SUPREME 9 2 6 4¾   3 5 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.50 17% 5.00 8.32  
  (by TAPIT out of TERRA PROMESSA by CURLIN)
SPEIGHTER WOMAN 4 5 5 7   6 6 (lovell miche)TORRES A 124 8.00 7% 12.60 3.88  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of PAJAMA BOTTOM by INCLUDE)
12  EXPECTO PATRONUM 10 9 9 8   88 717 (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 10.46  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BALLETTE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
ESTELLE'S DAY 8 1 1nk 1nk   76 817¼ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.48  
  (by ASTERN out of TANGAROO by LONHRO (AUS))
VOLATILE JINNY 7 10 8 9   9 917¾ (wismer glenn)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 30.00 91.33  
  (by VOLATILE out of JINNY JUMP UP by JUMP START)
DIXIE NIXIE 3 8 10 1013¼   1015½ 1029 (anderson br)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 91.12  
  (by UNIFIED out of MINE'S MISTRESS by MINESHAFT)
SCR  JEWEL BOX               (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of IVORY EMPRESS by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  PERRYLU               (oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ALLIE by BAYOU HEBERT)
SCR  PUTONAHAPPYFACE               (dutrow richa)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of ACTING HAPPY by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  SENORA D'ORO               (gutierrez fausti)BEJARANO R 124 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SENORA UNO by MACHO UNO)
SCR  SHESA CHERRY               (damato philip)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CHERRY LODGE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  TEXAS QUEEN               (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 5.00    
  (by SENECA JONES out of ELOQUENT QUEEN by RAJA BABA)
 
ELP-6   07/26/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:21 :44 :553     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Z Z'S 3 4 11 1½   12 15 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 12% 7.60 2.64 W
  (by MCKINZIE out of ZARMANT by TAPIZAR)
SECOND CITY SAINT 5 5 32 3   22 25 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 30% 2.30 2.17 P
  (by RAGING BULL out of MORE THAN GRACIOUS by MORE THAN READY)
TRISKELION 1 7 5 52   3 35 (arnold geor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.32 S
  (by LEINSTER out of VICTORIAN GOLD by AUSTRALIA)
CHAMPAGNE CANDICE 6 3 4 4   4 47 (von donn)ROCCO S 119 15.00 17.08  
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of ELUSIVE CHAMPAGNE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
VANITY 2 9 912½ 9   7 58 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.17  
  (by VEKOMA out of TAP TAP TAPPING by TAPIT)
BISTINEAU BEAUTY 4 6 66 6   66 69 (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 42.13  
  (by EL DEAL out of CAZADORA by KARAKONTIE (JPN))
BOURBON STORY 7 8 7 76   8 711 (hess b)LANERIE J 119 15.00 37.76  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of APPLE SNOW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
12  WAKUDA 10 1 21 2½   55 811¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.50 35% 1.80 3.56  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SIMPLY SOVEREIGN by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
10  STEVIE RAE 9 2 810½ 8   9 916½ (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 13.05  
  (by JUSTIFY out of ROCK THE BEAT by FASTNET ROCK)
BUT SERIOUSLY 8 10 1014 1012¼   1012½ 1017 (oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 53.98  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of REARRANGE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  MACKINAC               (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
  (by GERI out of GRIDDLE (ARG) by OFF SHORE GAMBLE)
SCR  REIGNING JOY               (brisset ro)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
  (by RAGING BULL out of TENSHI by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  RIVER WAVENEY               (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 30.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of STREET OF GOLD by BAY STREET STAR)
SCR  STRADA DEL SOGNO               (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of LINE UP by VIOLENCE)
SCR  TEATONIC               (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by YAUPON out of STONETONIC by CANDY RIDE)
SCR  WINDY HOUSTON               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of WINDY FORECAST by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
ELP-7   07/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:22 :452 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERTRAUEN 5 3 2½ 2nk   22 11 (foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 21.70 W
REDACTED 1 6 1½ 1nk   12 21 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5.04  
10  FARM TEAM 9 4 108 10   5 3 (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 10.00 15.93  
ATLANTIC DANCER 3 7 86 84   6 4 (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.94  
TAPAKENA 6 9 9 9   44 5 (garcia genar)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 18.50 10.13  
GENO'S MYTH 8 2 3 31   34 6 (esquivel jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 10.00 11.01  
EL CORDOBES (IRE) 4 8 7 73   8 78 (calleja gust)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 30.00 ######  
HANDSOME HERB 2 10 4 4   7 814 (hartman chr)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 5.00 5.22  
ARMY HERO 7 5 63 6   9 914¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 39% 1.60 1.79  
11  INITIALIZE 10 1 52 5   1010¾ 1025½ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 23% 3.30 12.29  
SCR  STRUMMIN               (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00    
 
ELP-8   07/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($102K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:093 1:22   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INNATELY GOOD 8 10 1012¼ 1016¾ 105 7 1nk (goodwin g)JUAREZ NIK 120 20.00 49.10  
SHOW OF FORCE 9 7 7 613 6 4 2nk (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 8.62  
11  SING SING 10 3 3 311 3 1nk 3 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 51% 1.00 2.23 S
OH PLEASE 7 11 911¼ 915¼ 8 8 4 (elliott michel)ROMAN A 120 15.00 52.55  
JOEJOE GO 5 9 8 814¼ 94 6 52 (davis christop)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 12.00 10% 8.60 10.57  
NUDGE 4 5 6 713¼ 7 5 6 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 11% 8.40 2.42  
13  THE HIDDEN CHAMBER 12 12 1214¾ 1219¼ 11 9 7 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00 16.18  
STIGLETS 3 4 5 512 42 3.2 8 (damato phili)TORRES A 120 4.50 4.92  
MOON SNIPER 1 1 23 210 2 2nk 9 (miller darri)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00 22.65  
12  MY OWN 11 6 4 412 5 105 1012 (foster eric)LANERIE J 120 30.00 5% 19.00 31.54  
TREW VIOLENCE 6 8 1113¼ 1118¾ 128 118 1120¾ (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 16.14  
STONEHENGE 2 2 13 110 1 1210½ 1227¼ (davis chri)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 42.02  
SCR  WOW THAT'S HOT               (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 20.00    
 
ELP-9   07/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($102K) 3 F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:104 1:224   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT UP 1 4 5 53 5 1nk 1¾ (sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 15.00 18% 4.60 11.65 W
12  SCATTITUDE 8 5 6 6 6 4 2¾ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 13% 6.90 4.99 P
10  AUNT MO 6 6 2 21 2½ 2nk 3 (eurton peter)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 8.75  
11  WEDDING MOOD (IRE) 7 8 87 8 8 6 4 (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 39% 1.60 1.34  
BEMBRIDGE LEDGE 3 2 3 31 31 5 5 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 3.70  
ATLANTIC PASSAGE 2 1 1 11 1½ 3.2 6 (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 8.73  
TIGER DIVISION 4 7 76 75 7 7 710½ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 20.45  
LADY OF SILENCE 5 3 4 42 41 8 816¼ (fawkes david)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00 12.27  
SCR  COTILLARD               (seglin lu)BEALMEAR C 120 30.00    
SCR  I'M MO JOKE               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
SCR  MECHAYA               (divito p)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
SCR  SASHAY AWAY               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00    
SCR  TACO CAT BACKWARDS               (troiani nicco)CANNON DECLAN 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.